I am coming off a 2-0 Friday, made some minor non-posted wagers yesterday but all in all the Sabres cost me large in hockey. So back to the bases we go, won a huge tennis wager at +100 this morning but had no time to post it on this forum. I have been getting hot again in baseball, all my leans won yesterday but didn't get in on them so now it's time to make some cash money. Alright, here we go:
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS ML -133
I watched the Arizona-Pittsburgh game last night and let me tell you that when one team collapses like the Pirates did (blew a late six run lead), things start to change for a ball club. What I mean by that is that losses or wins of that nature are big time momentum changers and I don't have any doubts that the D-Backs win set the tone for the rubber match today. I also have no problem at all betting on Randy Johnson at this price because he has been a victim of very bad luck while pitching well in almost all his starts. Neither team has particularly hit well versus left handed pitchers this season so this game comes down to which pitcher is going to take command early and grab the crucial lead before shutting things down. Every indication points that this pitcher will be Randy Johnson. I know the team is only 1-2 in his last three starts but its not like he hasn't pitched well. In those starts he has allowed only 14 hits in 19 innings of work with an ERA of 3.79 and an impressiver WHIP of 0.84. Pat Maholm on the other hand has not had any support from his players. The Pirates average only 2.9 runs per game when he starts this season and they are also 1-2 in his last three starts so he is vulnerable here. In those three starts he has allowed 21 hits in 17 innings of work with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.47. That should be enough to get the Diamondbacks the few runs they need to grab a lead and then I expect Randy Johnson to shut things down. The last two times Maholm pitched at home against the D-Backs, Pittsburgh lost 4-2 in 2005 and 7-4 in 2006. This is not so much a bet on the Diamonbacks because they have not been hitting well at all but again it's more a bet on the momentum in this series after what happened last night. I don't think the Pirates will have much trust in their bullpen after last night and that should result in them leaving Maholm in there for a few innings too many. The Arizona bullpen has been about twenty times more reliable this season and that could play a huge part into this game today. I also have to point out that Arizona is now 9-1 in their last 10 games where they are the road favorite (it doesn't happen much but when it does, they almost always win) and I think the win last night could finally inject a bit life into this dormant offense. We all know how much the Pirates struggle against Arizona having dropped 6 of their last 7 against them and that should continue with RJ on the mound today. The Bucs are 1-5 in the last six games where Maholm has pitched and they were underdogs which is a clear indication that this is the wrong spot for him to be pitching and winning games. The combination of Johnson's pitching, the Arizona bullpen and the ability to grab the momentum in this series is why these guys are going to cash in today. I am starving for some green and its up to the D-Backs to serve me some CASH FUCKIN MONEY VEGGIES BABY!
:toast:
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS ML -133
I watched the Arizona-Pittsburgh game last night and let me tell you that when one team collapses like the Pirates did (blew a late six run lead), things start to change for a ball club. What I mean by that is that losses or wins of that nature are big time momentum changers and I don't have any doubts that the D-Backs win set the tone for the rubber match today. I also have no problem at all betting on Randy Johnson at this price because he has been a victim of very bad luck while pitching well in almost all his starts. Neither team has particularly hit well versus left handed pitchers this season so this game comes down to which pitcher is going to take command early and grab the crucial lead before shutting things down. Every indication points that this pitcher will be Randy Johnson. I know the team is only 1-2 in his last three starts but its not like he hasn't pitched well. In those starts he has allowed only 14 hits in 19 innings of work with an ERA of 3.79 and an impressiver WHIP of 0.84. Pat Maholm on the other hand has not had any support from his players. The Pirates average only 2.9 runs per game when he starts this season and they are also 1-2 in his last three starts so he is vulnerable here. In those three starts he has allowed 21 hits in 17 innings of work with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.47. That should be enough to get the Diamondbacks the few runs they need to grab a lead and then I expect Randy Johnson to shut things down. The last two times Maholm pitched at home against the D-Backs, Pittsburgh lost 4-2 in 2005 and 7-4 in 2006. This is not so much a bet on the Diamonbacks because they have not been hitting well at all but again it's more a bet on the momentum in this series after what happened last night. I don't think the Pirates will have much trust in their bullpen after last night and that should result in them leaving Maholm in there for a few innings too many. The Arizona bullpen has been about twenty times more reliable this season and that could play a huge part into this game today. I also have to point out that Arizona is now 9-1 in their last 10 games where they are the road favorite (it doesn't happen much but when it does, they almost always win) and I think the win last night could finally inject a bit life into this dormant offense. We all know how much the Pirates struggle against Arizona having dropped 6 of their last 7 against them and that should continue with RJ on the mound today. The Bucs are 1-5 in the last six games where Maholm has pitched and they were underdogs which is a clear indication that this is the wrong spot for him to be pitching and winning games. The combination of Johnson's pitching, the Arizona bullpen and the ability to grab the momentum in this series is why these guys are going to cash in today. I am starving for some green and its up to the D-Backs to serve me some CASH FUCKIN MONEY VEGGIES BABY!
:toast: