Well I foolishly bet on the Red Sox Monday Night for no apparent reason other than to have action on that game and I have lost a lot of money doing that this week (i.e. Champions League Soccer today). Anyways, when I cap baseball like I know how to cap baseball, I am lights out and it's tough to stop me. I have yet to go on that 9-10 win streak like I did about a month ago but its coming. I think it starts tonight as I pull out one of my huge plays.
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Wednesday, May 23
BALTIMORE ORIOLES ML -120
Okay so we have my Blue Jays coming off a big win by AJ Burnett last night and then we have the Baltimore Orioles who have lost 7 of their last 10 games and who have now lost four straight games against these Blue Jays. Well before you get all crazy and start feeling the Jays as underdogs tonight, keep in mind that AJ Burnett is the new ace on this team until Roy Halladay comes back and Burnett is the only pitcher on this team that has been winning games for his team and not the other way around. On the mound tonight for the Jays is Dustin McGowan who has always been a highly ranked prospect but who has never developped into anything more than a temporary starter since undergoing Tommy John Surgery a few years back. The Blue Jays are 1-2 in McGowan's last three starts and let me tell you right now that this kid has not pitched well at all and there is no reason to believe he would all of a sudden start pitching well in this game. Tonight we have a matchup of two batting lineups that love facing left handed pitchers and that are not too fond of batting against the righties. Having said that, the Orioles are the better team and have the better suited lineup to take on a right handed pitcher tonight as they are batting .270 at home versus righties this season compared to the Blue Jays who have struggled against righties batting .222 in their last 10 games. In his last three starts, McGowan has allowed 16 hits in 15.1 innings of work which is not too bad but in those games his ERA is of 8.22 and his WHIP is of 1.70. In his three starts this season McGowan has walked a whopping 10 batters which is going to be very costly tonight against an Orioles lineup that is developping patience and that has been walking 4.5 times per game in their last 10 games. Steve Trachsel is on the mound for the Orioles as he faces one of his old teams. The veteran has not pitched all that well recently and the team is only 1-2 in his last three starts but I think he is consistent enough to hold this Jays lineup at bay until the offense can get going and tag McGowan for a few. Trachsel has been virtually unhittable at home this season as visiting opponents are hitting only .197 in his three home starts and he has allowed a total of only 3 ER's in those starts. He is also 4-0 against the Jays in 5 career starts having allowed only 10 ER's in 30+ innings of work. McGowan has shown signs that he can pitch well at times but those times have come at home and we're not in Kansas right now Dusty. What you have to understand about Baltimore is that they are rarely favored at home these days in the tough American League but when they are favored its for a reason and that reason tonight is that the Blue Jays and McGowan are in for a long night. Like I said, when this team is favored at home they have won 4 of their last 5 and that's enough to show me that the spot is right for Baltimore and for Trachsel to get back on track. I think the Blue Jays are cooked before this one even starts. I want some dinner baby some cook me some CASH FUCKIN MONEY BIRDIES!
:toast:
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Wednesday, May 23
BALTIMORE ORIOLES ML -120
Okay so we have my Blue Jays coming off a big win by AJ Burnett last night and then we have the Baltimore Orioles who have lost 7 of their last 10 games and who have now lost four straight games against these Blue Jays. Well before you get all crazy and start feeling the Jays as underdogs tonight, keep in mind that AJ Burnett is the new ace on this team until Roy Halladay comes back and Burnett is the only pitcher on this team that has been winning games for his team and not the other way around. On the mound tonight for the Jays is Dustin McGowan who has always been a highly ranked prospect but who has never developped into anything more than a temporary starter since undergoing Tommy John Surgery a few years back. The Blue Jays are 1-2 in McGowan's last three starts and let me tell you right now that this kid has not pitched well at all and there is no reason to believe he would all of a sudden start pitching well in this game. Tonight we have a matchup of two batting lineups that love facing left handed pitchers and that are not too fond of batting against the righties. Having said that, the Orioles are the better team and have the better suited lineup to take on a right handed pitcher tonight as they are batting .270 at home versus righties this season compared to the Blue Jays who have struggled against righties batting .222 in their last 10 games. In his last three starts, McGowan has allowed 16 hits in 15.1 innings of work which is not too bad but in those games his ERA is of 8.22 and his WHIP is of 1.70. In his three starts this season McGowan has walked a whopping 10 batters which is going to be very costly tonight against an Orioles lineup that is developping patience and that has been walking 4.5 times per game in their last 10 games. Steve Trachsel is on the mound for the Orioles as he faces one of his old teams. The veteran has not pitched all that well recently and the team is only 1-2 in his last three starts but I think he is consistent enough to hold this Jays lineup at bay until the offense can get going and tag McGowan for a few. Trachsel has been virtually unhittable at home this season as visiting opponents are hitting only .197 in his three home starts and he has allowed a total of only 3 ER's in those starts. He is also 4-0 against the Jays in 5 career starts having allowed only 10 ER's in 30+ innings of work. McGowan has shown signs that he can pitch well at times but those times have come at home and we're not in Kansas right now Dusty. What you have to understand about Baltimore is that they are rarely favored at home these days in the tough American League but when they are favored its for a reason and that reason tonight is that the Blue Jays and McGowan are in for a long night. Like I said, when this team is favored at home they have won 4 of their last 5 and that's enough to show me that the spot is right for Baltimore and for Trachsel to get back on track. I think the Blue Jays are cooked before this one even starts. I want some dinner baby some cook me some CASH FUCKIN MONEY BIRDIES!
:toast:
Thanks man!
