Thursday Service Plays 5/24

Gold Key
(Paid Play)
Cleveland Cavaliers +6

Winning Points
Detroit* over Cleveland by 12
So many of Cleveland's shot attempts were so, so lame
in Game 1 and it's hard to see them finding a way around
Detroit's sound defense. With Lebron James reduced to
a jump-shooting, point forward confused about whether to
trust his teammates or not, the only way Cleveland scores
enough points to matter is if a red-carpet Dwayne Wade act
is sanctioned by the league and fouls are called against the
other side's good defense whenever Lebron feels like driving
the lane, something which was so distasteful last year that
nobody really wants to see it again. DETROIT, 89-77.

2-Minute Warning
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS

Rob House
3,000,000* Eastern Conf. Finals Triple Your Wager Game of the Year:
Detroit Pistons


500,000♦ Chicago Cubs W/ Marquis

Danny Sheridan trends
Early betting has the betting public taking the Pistons at home laying the points

The Cavaliers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. the Central. The Cavaliers are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog. The Cavaliers are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a loss. The Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Detroit. The Underdog is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings between the two teams and the road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

The Pistons are 21-10-3 ATS in their last 34 games overall. The Pistons are 10-21-3 ATS in their last 34 games as a home favorite. The Pistons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Conference Finals games.

The Under is 5-0 in the Cavaliers last 5 games as a road underdog. The Under is 5-0 in the Cavaliers last 5 overall. The Under is 9-0 in the Cavaliers last 9 playoff games as an underdog. The Over is 5-1 in the Cavaliers last 6 games playing on 2 days of rest. The Under is 44-16 in the Cavaliers last 60 vs. the Central.

Brandon Lang
10 DIME
Braves
Padres
Royals

5 DIME
Orioles
Cavs/Pistons UNDER
Cavs

Kelso
5 units Pistons
3 units Pistons/Cavs Over 174.5

Larry Ness
15* Getaway Day Game of the Week
Detroit Tigers

15* NL Game of the Week
Florida Marlins

Stu Feiner
1000 DIME MLB Best Bet
SAN DIEGO PADRES

1000 DIME MLB Best Bet
KANSAS CITY ROYALS

500 DIME NBA Playoff No Brainer
UNDER Cavaliers-Pistons

200 DIME MLB No Brainer
NEW YORK METS

Big Al McMordie
Cubs at Padres
Prediction: Padres
Do the Padres have such a great bullpen because PETCO Park is such a great pitchers' park, or is PETCO such a great pitchers' park because San Diego has a great bullpen? My guess is that it's a little bit of both. The Padres bullpen in 2007 looks pretty much like the best in baseball over the last 10 years or so. On the season, they have pitched 137 innings and have an ERA of 1.77 and a WHIP of 0.96. Those are simply unbelievable numbers when you consider it's not from one or two great arms, but a combination of stats from nine different pitchers, the worst of whom is closer Trevor Hoffman, who has an ERA of 3.12. With that many quality relievers, all San Diego has to do is get its starter to go six decent innings and for the offense to score a few runs, and the game is probably over. They've obviously begun to employ this strategy as the Pads are 8-3 in their last 11 and have improved their overall record to 26-20 on the season. Right-hander Chris Young is the second best starter in the rotation right now (behind Jake Peavy who is having a Cy Young-type year), and assuming his team can score some runs, he and that deadly bullpen should be on cruise control in this one. Take the Padres.

Dave Cokin
Astros at Diamondbacks
Prediction: Diamondbacks
Wandy Rodriguez (2-3, 3.99 ERA) is starting to look like a solid middle-of-the-rotation starter for Houston. The Astros southpaw is registering big strikeout numbers and he's been razor sharp in back-to-back starts. But Rodriguez has been blistered away from home so far, and he's going to have to prove he can get it done on the road. The Astros have not been hitting much lately and 'Zona right-handed prospect Micah Owings (2-1, 4.96 ERA) has been pretty good at home. I see the price here as being relatively cheap and will side with the Diamondbacks to open this four-game series with a win.

The Wunderdog
Game: L A Angels at Detroit (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Detroit -146

Ervin Santana has had lots of difficulty on the road this season where he is 0-4 with a 7.86 ERA, and the Angels’ team has struggled as well just 11-13. He has been plagued by HR's giving up 9 in just 26 innings. His only appearance at Comerica was not one he would like to remember as he only survived four innings. Jeremy Bonderman was pitching great until a blister occurred on his pitching hand, didn't heal properly and resulted in a stint on the DL. He should be energized and ready to go. Both these lineups have been hot, but the edge is to Detroit at home vs. Santana who has done poorly both on the road and against Detroit

Hondo
10 units: Baltimore Orioles

Vegas Experts
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves

Teams went well under the total last night, tallying just three runs. Look for one or both offenses to get going tonight and put this one over the lowered total of 8 (last night's total was 9.5). The NY METS are 33-19 OVER vs. a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 over the last 2 seasons and 27-15 OVER in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 48-30 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

Pick: Over

Big Al McMordie
Chicago (N) Cubs vs San Diego Padres
At 10:05pm our complimentary selection is on the San Diego Padres over the Chicago Cubs. Do the Padres have such a great bullpen because Petco Park is such a great pitchers' park, or is Petco such a great pitchers' park because San Diego has a great bullpen? My guess is that it's a little bit of both. The Padres bullpen in 2007 looks pretty much like the best in baseball the last 10 years or so. On the season, they have pitched 137 innings and have an ERA of 1.77 and a WHIP of 0.96. Those are quite simply unbelievable numbers when you consider it is not from one or two great arms, but a combination of stats from nine different pitchers, the worst of whom is closer Trevor Hoffman who has an ERA of 3.12. With that many quality relievers, all San Diego has to do is get its starter to go six decent innings and for the offense to score a few runs, and the game is probably over. They've obviously begun to employ this strategy as the Pads are 8-3 in their last 11 and have improved their overall record to 26-20 on the season. Righthander Chris Young is the second best starter in the rotation right now (behind Jake Peavy who is having a Cy Young-type year) and assuming his team can score some runs, he and that deadly bullpen should be on cruise control in this one. Take the Padres. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

Marc Lawrence

Cleveland Indians vs Kansas City Royals
Kansas City over Cleveland w/Sowers Royals close out their series with the Tribe knowing Cleveland's Jeremy Sowers is in rotten KW form and has dropped six of his eight teams starts this season. See now reason why he should be favored here tonight. Stay at home with Kansas City.

Scott Spreitzer
MLB TKO
Atlanta Braves

Scotty Spreitzer
Eastern Conf. GOY
Pistons

Ben Burns

Getaway Day Game of the Week
Tampa Bay D'Rays

Bluechip Over/Under Winner
Over Detroit/Cavs

Michael Cannon Money Train
<HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Michael Cannon

Thursday's Plays...

20 Dime –

CAVALIERS
Take the points with the Cavs tonight in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals against the Pistons.
I was burned on Monday when the Pistons failed to cover the spread, and in all honesty they shouldn’t have even won that game.
The fact that the Cavs had a chance for the game winning shot on the last possession, despite LeBron James only scoring 10 points, is all the reason in the world to take the points with Cleveland tonight.
There’s no way LeBron goes down like that again tonight, so don’t be surprised if he turns in one of his best performances of the playoffs in Game 2.
James has received a lot of criticism for passing up the last shot when all the Cavs needed was two points to tie. But I’ll back him up on the decision to pass it off to a wide open Donyell Marshall for a potential game-winning three-pointer. Marshall is a three-point specialist and if his shot goes down everybody would be talking about how great a play it was by James to pass it off.
With all that behind him, expect James to come out with a renewed focus and a determination to get to the foul line, since he didn’t attempt a free throw in Game 1.
The Cavs showed they can man up and play defense just as well as the Pistons do, and they even outrebounded Detroit, 49-41.
The last three games played between these two have been decided by a total of 12 points, with the Cavs grabbing the cash in all three. Going back to last year’s seven-game playoff series, when Cleveland went 6-1 ATS, the Cavs are on a 9-3 ATS run against the Pistons.
Cleveland is also on an 18-5 ATS run as an underdog, 17-3 as a road dog and 19-6-1 on the road overall.
Detroit is only 15-26 ATS when favored by 5 or more points, including 3-12 ATS when laying between 5 and 7 ½ points.
Take the points with the Cavaliers as they keep this game close throughout and if they play like they did in Game 1, they very well could win outright if James steps it up in the scoring department.


5 Dime –

BRAVES (With Glavine and Smoltz as listed pitchers)
Lay the juice with the Braves tonight over the Mets.
John Smoltz gets the start opposite former-Brave Tom Glavine and Atlanta definitely has the advantage here tonight.
Since signing with the Mets as a free agent, Glavine has struggled mightily against his former mates, going 3-10 with a 5.49 ERA in 17 games. He’s been hit hardest by Andruw Jones, who is batting .400 (16-for-40) with four doubles and four homeruns against the left-hander.
Smoltz is 6-2 this year with a 2.85 ERA in 10 starts, including 2-1 with a 1.74 ERA over his last three.
Take the Braves as they get it done with the home win over Glavine and the Mets.

ROYALS (With Sowers and De La Rosa as listed pitchers)
Take Kansas City as a small home dog over Cleveland tonight.
Jorge De La Rosa gets the nod for the Royals and he’s developing into a dependable middle of the rotation starter for KC. The left-hander is 4-3 with a 3.59 ERA this year in nine games. Once known for his wildness, De La Rosa has gotten his command of his pitches, walking only 12 batters in 57 2-3 innings.
Cleveland will start Jeremy Sowers and I’m not so sure I’d trust laying any juice with him, especially on the road.
Sowers is 0-4 on the year with a 7.13 ERA in eight games, including 0-3 with a 13.15 ERA in his last three.
Take the Royals as the home dog as they grab the win tonight.

Bonus Play: PIRATES


Hondo Has the Orioles For Tonight <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->The Dodgers barreled over the Brewers last night, causing Hondo's earnings to take a tumble to a lean but still mean and green 100 campanerises.

Tonight, he'll give the ball to Guthrie, who with a victory over the Jays could earn a permanent stall in Mr. Aitch's stable. Now there's a carrot worth chasing. Ten units on the Orioles


Mejia Projects Cavs to Win Outright <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Cleveland 86, Detroit 85



LT Lock
PHILLIES
0-2

Ben Burns
Blue Chip-OVER Pistons
GOW-D. Rays
Annihilator-under Tigers

Spritzer's TKO
Braves


Kelso NBA Playoffs Thurs <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Kelso
5 units Pistons -5.5
3 units Pistons/Cavs Over 174.5
2 units Parlay of both


GOLD KEY GAMES:
3 Units (Bonus Play): Washington Nationals +1.5 Runs -145
2 Units (Bonus Play): OVER 174 Pistons / Cavs
Silver Key (Bonus Play): Baltimore Orioles -125
Gold Key (Paid Play): Cleveland Cavaliers +6
The Cavs under Head Coach Mike Brown have come through for Members in the post season, including Game One of the Eastern Conference Finals. They have nothing to lose by playing hard again against a Division rival they know as well as any team does. The Cavs have been successful Against The Spread as Dogs this season, and we go back with them here this evening. Positive trends include 31-22 ATS in Division Play, 28-15 ATS after three or more Unders ATS in a row, and 18-10 ATS as Dogs.
The Pistons under their Head Coach Flip Saunders played big when it counted late in Game One of this Series. They will try to get a better jump out of the gate tonight, instead of counting on victory over the final two minutes. The Pistons are looking good at making the League Finals. Negative trends include 18-28 ATS at Home, 26-35 ATS after scoring 85 or less points, and 33-38 ATS in Division Play.
The line overnited at Pistons -5.5 and may move up. We'll take those points and the Road Cavs to cover for us here tonight in a Gold Key Play


2-Minute Warning

NBA

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS

Bobby Maxwell

Thursday's big 2-0 card

1000-Unit Max Bet Eastern Conference Game of the Year - PISTONS

100-Unit NL No-Brainer - MARLINS (play only with Willis as listed pitcher for Florida)



Chris Jordan

2-0 Sweep tonight ...

1,000? BRAVES RUN LINE PUNISHER(LIST Smoltz and Glavine) -
400? CAVALIERS -



Chuck Franklin

NBA and Baseball

1500? CLEVELAND CAVALIERS

Just like I said before game one of this series, Cleveland has matured and improved as a team this season, providing more support for James with a much deeper bench. In Monday’s game, LeBron took advantage of that additional support and often passed the ball off to his teammates rather than take the shot himself. This approach was good enough for the cover but not the straight up win. James and the rest of the Cavaliers are not satisfied with this and are looking to get much more out of their superstar tonight. I expect to see another ATS win in this second game of the series. Cleveland is now a profitable 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a dog of this many, and 5-1 ATS in their last six games in Detroit. The Pistons are a losing 1-6 ATS in their last seven Conference Finals games. That losing trend will continue with another ATS loss tonight by Detroit.



1500? ATLANTA BRAVES

This one looks like a no-brainer. John Smoltz for the Braves is having a great year and has already led his team to wins in two previous starts this season against New York. He has a winning lifetime record against the Mets and carries a respectable ERA of 3.52 in those match-ups. The Braves are 15-2 in Smoltz’s last 17 starts as a favorite of this many. Taking the mound for New York will be his old pal and former teammate Tom Glavine, who has a terrible 3-10 career record against Atlanta. The Mets are only 4-13 in Glavine’s last 17 starts against the Braves. This battle between two future hall of famers will result in Atlanta coming away with the win.


Karl Garrett

40 DIMER - DETROIT PISTONS....10 DIMER - HOUSTON WITH RODRIGUEZ

40 DIMER - DETROIT PISTONS


5 Dime –
BRAVES (With Glavine and Smoltz as listed pitchers)
ROYALS





Rob House

3,000,000* Eastern Conf. Finals Triple Your Wager Game of the Year

3,000,000? Detroit Pistons



500,000? Chicago Cubs W/ Marquis



Sports Gambling Hotline

MILWAUKEE SERVICE

Your Top-Rated NBA GOLD PLAY on Cleveland plus the points.

SALT LAKE SERVICE

For Thursday, Top-Rated 3? on Tampa Bay with Seo. Bonus 2?s on San Diego with Young, and a 2? on Cleveland with Sowers


Trev Rogers-

3-0 sweep yesterday!

Today:

Indians -127

Indians vs. KC Over 10.5


Proffit Plays
Triple Plays = 82-78

Detroit
Arizona
Pittsburgh

Daily Best Bet
YTD = 25-27

NBA:
Cleveland +5.5
-----------------------------------
Panhandle Sports
YTD = 44-21

Florida -125
Cincinnati -155 (Double Play)
Arizona -110
Cleveland -130
-----------------------------------
Professional Plays
YTD = 28-13
Plays rated 1-5

NBA:
2 Units on Detroit Under 174
----------------------------------------

Maverick
MLB ST Louis,
BAL,
ATL,

NBA Clev


Thursday's Comps <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Sebastian-Pitt.
Winner Line-San Diego
Computer Boys-San Diego
OTM-OVER KC
Astro-Arizona
Feiner-Baltimore
Ty Gaston-Detroit in the NBA


Stu Finer

1000 DIME MLB Best Bet
SAN DIEGO PADRES

1000 DIME MLB Best Bet
KANSAS CITY ROYALS

500 DIME NBA Playoff No Brainer
UNDER Cavaliers-Pistons

200 DIME MLB No Brainer
NEW YORK METS


Ness' 15* NL Game of the Week (36-10 or 78% winners w/15* GOW plays TY!)
My 15* play is on the Fla Marlins at 7:05 ET. The Phillies have yet to climb over .500 this season, or beat Dontrelle Willis. Philadelphia, now 23-23, beat Florida 8-7 in 10 innings on Wednesday night to end the Marlins' four-game winning streak. The Phillies have failed in each of their previous three tries to move above .500 but this time, they're coming off a dramatic extra-inning win and will be hoping to carry that momentum into Thursday's game. I'm not buying it! Dontrelle Willis has pitched well in his last two outings (2.77 ERA), ending a five-start stretch in which his ERA was 6.68. While his season ERA is 4.86, he's 6-3 and the team is 7-3 in his starts. He beat the Phillies twice in April and while he allowed 16 hits and seven ERs over 12.1 innings in those starts (5.11 ERA), it should not go unnoticed that he had 16 strikeouts against just three walks, as well! Jon Lieber takes the mound for the Phillies. He was a huge disappointment last year, allowing 196 hits in 168 innings while posting a 4.97 ERA in 27 starts (he was 9-8 and the team was 12-15). He didn't make his first start in '07 until April 20 but has allowed three ERs or less in five of his six starts this season (2-2, 3.00 ERA / team is just 2-4!). I'm not a big Lieber fan and Willis has looked like his old self the last two outings. Also note that the Phillies are 5-11 (minus-$630) when facing left-handed starters this year. Expect the Phillies to once again fail to move above .500. NL Game of the Week 15* Fla Marlins.<!-- / message -->
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WILL COVER=
4*Pistons Under
3*PADRES



FPBE Free Picks <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Marc Lawrence - KC +118 MLB
Marco D'Angelo - CLV -128 MLB
Matty O'Shea - SD -135 MLB
Ben Burns - CLV +5.5 NBA
Larry Ness - SD -135 MLB
Bryan Leonard - HOU +100 MLB
Tony George - KC +118 MLB
Jeff Bonds - CLV/DET over 174.5 NBA


Ted Servansky
Az,
SD



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<!-- / message -->

Root

Going for 12th straight NBA game in a row.


Cleveland Cavs tonight....

Raymond

thur
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

fla best bet
reds-1.5 runs big
royals big
sd big
braves big

det -5.5 nba super big<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->__________________

Gameday 3 Pistons over

RAZOR SHARP

NY METS/ATLANTA OVER the total of 8


Jimmy The Moose

Game: Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals
May 24 2007 8:10PM

Prediction: over

Reason: The Indians have played the over in 4 of Sowers last 5 starts. Over his last 3 starts his ERA is 13.15. In Cleveland's last 25 games played on Thursday's the over is 17-7-1. The over is 2-1 in De La Rosa's 3 starts vs. the Indians. The over is 20-7-1 in KC's last 28 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Play the Over


MIKE WYNN

Toronto w/Marcum +115 Over Baltimore


Mike Rose

Kansas City Royals (120)
Thu May 24 '07 8:10p

It's really hard to believe this, but the Royals will be sending Jorge De La Rose to the bump this evening in search of a three game sweep and I think they're going to get it. The way they took it to Clifford Lee last night in their 11-7 big dog win was quite impressive, and the Royals are playing some stellar ball coming into tonight's match-up. They're 8-2 SU their L/10 overall games, and Mgr. Buddy Bell has his youngsters playing their best ball of the season. I see no reason whatsoever to back this Sowers kid as any kind of a chalk right now. His numbers are putrid in every respect, and I'm not about to shell out any more money than I have to and hope he can grab his first victory of the season. Instead, I'll grab the plus money with "DeLR" since his splits so far this season are quite respectable. He's gone 3-1 at Kaufman Stadium this year and sports a healthy 2.39 ERA, which is more than a run lower than his overall ERA of 3.59. He ranks out with plus stuff, and my personal pitching power rankings show a grave mistake with the line in today's game. Jorge should be the favorite to win this game, and I advise you to grab the value here as the Royals pull off the unthinkable and sweep the Tribe right out of KC



Bryan Leonard

Astros (960) at D-Backs


Arizona starter Micah Owings is too liberal with free passes, allowing 16 walks in 32 innings. The Astros outplayed the D-Backs when they met a few weeks ago, taking 2 of 3 by outscoring Arizona 16-9. Arizona is 5-7 against lefties and they face lefty Wandy Rodriguez here. Rodriguez is a terrific young pitcher, with a 3.99 ERA, 47 Ks in 49 innings and a 47-14 K/BB ratio. Houston is 4-2 its last 6 against Arizona.

PLAY THE ASTROS


Sports Gambling Hotline

Tonight we will go with the Mets to take the rubber game against the Braves as former teammates Glavine and Smoltz hit the mound.
Both hurlers are coming off wins, and both hurlers are having outstanding seasons, but we like the value with the underdog tonight, as the New Yorkers are a nice 15-6 on the road this year.
This will be the third time this year that Glavine and Smoltz have sqaured off. Smoltz got the win and Glavine the loss on April 7th, while neither figured in the decision on April 22nd, but Smoltz did give up 6 runs in 6 innings in that game.
The Braves have only picked up 3 wins their last 10 games, so we will side with the more consistent New York Mets in this one.

Play on New York.

3♦ NY METS


Priority Sports Info (17-4-0 / +1,041)
MLB - Detroit (-155)


Donald Tran
Thursday, May 24, 2007

Sport: MLB
Matchup: Toronto at Baltimore
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles -125 W/ Guthrie



Jennifer Barry
Thursday, May 24 2007

Sport: MLB
Matchup: NY at Atlanta

Prediction: Atlanta Braves -140 W/ Smoltz


Chad Jordan
Thursday, May 24, 2007

Sport: MLB
Match up: Philadelphia at Florida
Prediction: Florida Marlins -120 W/ Willis


Tony George

Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals (MLB)
May 24, 2007 8:10 PM EDT

Play: Money Line: 122
Kansas City Royals

The Royals are on a roll and hitting the ball well. Taking 2 from the Red Hot Tribe is impressive and they are starting to play with consistency, especially at the plate. A game I will be at tonight, I expect some scoring in Kaufman Stadium. These 2 have lit it up in this series. Sowers takes the hill from he Tribe with over 13 ERA in his last 3 starts, all losses. KC hits .285 as a team against lefties, which is the case tonight and I expect De La Rossa on the hill for KC to continue his improvement, and with the bullpen ERA of 2.80 in the last 120 outings for KC, I feel they can save this game late with some relief in the mid to late innings tonight and sweep the Indians. A young team, at home, with confidence.
Play on the KC Royals


alex anthony
orioles
marlins
reds over

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charlie
<HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->thursday may 24, 2007

nba. cleveland @ detroit over 175 (500*)

nba. detroit-5' (30*)

mlb. houston-110 (20*)

mlb. baltimore-125 (20*)

mlb. seattle-115 (10*)

mlb. st.louis-125 (10*) Bonus Play


Big Al
Pistons


Matt F@rgo - Bonus Play (F@rgo is on a roll) <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->PICK: Kansas City Royals

REASON FOR PICK: Kansas City has a chance for a sweep which may sound unheard of but the Royals are playing some excellent baseball right now. They have won three straight, six of seven and eight of 10. Baseball is all about streaks and Kansas City is in a very good one right now. Cleveland, the best home team in baseball, continues to struggle on the road as it is now 10-13 including losses in six of its last seven roadies. Cleveland is now just 2-8 in its last 10 visits to Kauffman Stadium.

The Indians send Jeremy Sowers to the hill and he is pitching for his spot in the rotation. It has been a horrific run as he has allowed six runs or more in each of his last three starts, pushing his ERA to 7.13 on the season. He has yet to win while the Indians have lost his last four outings. He struggled in his last start against the Royals last year, allowing four runs in five innings. Kansas City is just 3-10 against left-handed starters but those three wins have come in their last three against a southpaw.

Kansas City counters with Jorge De La Rosa who has been a huge surprise. He has strung together two straight quality starts and he has had just one bad outing at home this season. De La Rosa has already managed to pick up four wins while allowing just 23 runs in 57.2 innings with a very solid 30/12 K/BB ratio. He has a great 1.21 WHIP on the season, compared to a ratio of 1.63 for Sowers. The Royals are 3-1 in his home starts and he faces a Cleveland team that is hitting just .243 against lefties over its last 10 games.

The struggles of Sowers could point to a turnaround but it’s likely just the opposite with a situation to back it up. Play on American League home teams that are hitting just .255 or less on the season going up against an opponent with starting pitcher whose WHIP is 2.00 or greater over his last three starts. This situation is 35-12 against the moneyline (74.5 percent) over the last five seasons with the average run differential being +1.1 rpg. Kansas City brings out the brooms Thursday. Play Kansas City Royals 1 Unit

Note: M@linsky, Nover, and Sevransky all favor the Royals as well...


Brandon Lang
<HR style="COLOR: #ffffff" SIZE=1>THURSDAY
10 DIME

Atlanta Braves - Specify Pitchers - Glavine vs Smoltz

S.D. Padres - Specify Pitchers - Marquis vs Young

K.C. Royals - Specify Pitchers - Sowers vs De LA Rosa

5 DIME

Baltimore Orioles - Marcum vs Guthrie

Cavs/Pistons UNDER

Cleveland Cavs

Bonus Play - Nationals - (For analysis see daily video)

Note:

It's going to turn.

I am telling you, it is. Been at this way to long not to know when it is going to turn and trust me folks, it's going to happen.

I am getting on the right side of games but some hot pitchers are taking the night off when I back them there hitters forget how to hit.

It will all come around. I been here before. Actually been worse than this before. One thing I have learned in my life in this business is to just stay level headed and rooted in your principles of handicapping.

It is within those principles that have allowed me to win consistently for my career in this business.

That consistency will pay off once again and it will pay off soon. It's all going to come back around. I am 100% confident in that.

BRAVES
With a win tonight, John Smoltz becomes the only pitcher in Major league history with 200 wins and 150 saves.

He is trying to become the National Leagues first 7 game winner tonight as well.
What makes him more unbeatable is the fact he is 3-1 at Turner field with a 1.93 ERA. If that isn't enough, here is one more.
At home versus the Mets in games Smoltz starts, the Atlanta Braves are an incredible 26-6.
Now, Tom Glavine is 5-1 this year with a respectable ERA of 3.43 but he is facing a team that has absolutely owned him since he left.
How about 3-10 with a 5.49 ERA in 17 starts against his former team.
Smoltz didn't lose to his other buddy Maddux in this same spot and he won't lose to Glavine as well.
Braves get another big home win over their East arch rival the Mets today.

PADRES

This San Diego team is becoming unbeatable at home.
Last night they pull off the 2-1 victory courtesy of Kevin Kouzmanoff's 2-run homer in the 7th inning for their 6th straight home win and 8 of their last 10.
Chris Young looks to stay hot this month. He is 3-1 with a 1.38 ERA in four starts here in May, holding opponents to a .185 batting average.
He also comes off the one run, five hit performance in an 8-1 win over Seattle on Friday.
Young has also been outstanding at Petco Park, going 2-1 with a 0.44 ERA, allowing just one earned run over 20 1-3 innings in those games.
He was 1-0 versus the Cubs last year and you can make that 2-0 tonight.
After going lights out in his first 7 starts this year, Jason Marquis has been roughed up his last 2 allowing 9 runs in 11 innings.
Padres are hot, Jason Marquis is cold and that all adds up to a huge San Diego win.

ROYALS

This is one hot team right now.
They have won 3 in a row and recorded 25 runs on 40 hits during this streak. That is flat out getting it done.
You dig deeper and you will see a winning streak of 8 out of their last 10.
They just hammered lefthander Lee last night and they will have similiar success against lefty Sowers tonight.
Sowers is 0-4 for the year with an ERA of 7.13. What is even uglier is the fact over his last 3 starts, his ERA is 13.15 and opponents are batting .373.
His last start he gave up 7 runs and 8 hits over 6 innings in a 10-5 loss to Cincinnati.
The Royals are just frothing at the mouth to get after this guy tonight.
Jorge De La Rosa is 3-1 with a 2.39 ERA in his four home starts this year and as hot as his offense is right now and as hot as his team is, he will continue his solid home pitching.
Great spot and a great price for the Royals at home and I see them getting their 4th straight win tonight.

ORIOLES

I don't care how good Marcum has been pitching for the Blue Jays, he can't beat the Orioles.
He is 0-1 with a 9.49 ERA in two starts and four overall appearances against the O's. He allowed two runs while recording just one out in a relief appearance in Baltimore on April 20 but that's nothing.
He gave up nine runs in 4 1-3 innings in his last start against the Orioles, a 15-0 road loss on Aug. 19 of last year.
Jeremy Guthrie has been fantastic lately.
He is 2-1 with a 2.95 allowing just one run in seven innings and struck out a career-high 10 in a 3-2, 11-inning win in Washington.
In replacing the injured Jaret Wright and making three starts, Guthrie has conceded just two earned runs in 21 1-3 innings, but has just one win to show for it.
He will get the win tonight as the O's take another one at home over the Blue Jays.


CAVS

I bet you didn't know that the underdog in the last 11 Cavs/Pistons games is an incredible 10-1 ATS.
That is exactly who covered in game one and exactly who I see covering here in game two.
Not only have the Cavs covered 5 of their last 6 on the road but they have covered 7 of their last 10 versus the Pistons.
I said in game one that I didn't trust the Pistons as a home favorite against anybody and with that non cover in game one, they are now 17-27-3 ATS for the year.
Secondly, this is a confident bunch the Cavs bring in here, especially after the near miss in game one.
In the last 32 meetings the Cavs beat the Pistons here in Detroit 101-97 and lost by 5 in game they should have won and by 3 in game 1.
This is a great spot to grab the dog again. A great spot.
Both these teams bring it defensively and that makes the dog a very appealing here in game 2 again.
Don't be suprised if the Cavs shock the world and win game two outright.

CAVS/PISTONS UNDER

I will continue to roll with the Under until these two show me they can play an over.
I used the Under in game one as a Bonus Play and they didn't disappoint me and I feel it's a really solid play here in game two.
First, the Cavs have gone Under 7 of their last 8 overall.
To makes matters even more in my favor is the fact these two have combined to go Under in 9 of their last 10. That is so strong.
The trend between these two is too strong on the Under to go any other way.
Ride the Under again here in game two between the Cavs and Pistons.


Larry Ness
<HR style="COLOR: #ffffff" SIZE=1>Larry Ness' 15* NL Game of the Week (36-10 or 78% winners w/15* GOW plays TY!)
My 15* play is on the Fla Marlins at 7:05 ET. The Phillies have yet to climb over .500 this season, or beat Dontrelle Willis. Philadelphia, now 23-23, beat Florida 8-7 in 10 innings on Wednesday night to end the Marlins' four-game winning streak. The Phillies have failed in each of their previous three tries to move above .500 but this time, they're coming off a dramatic extra-inning win and will be hoping to carry that momentum into Thursday's game. I'm not buying it! Dontrelle Willis has pitched well in his last two outings (2.77 ERA), ending a five-start stretch in which his ERA was 6.68. While his season ERA is 4.86, he's 6-3 and the team is 7-3 in his starts. He beat the Phillies twice in April and while he allowed 16 hits and seven ERs over 12.1 innings in those starts (5.11 ERA), it should not go unnoticed that he had 16 strikeouts against just three walks, as well! Jon Lieber takes the mound for the Phillies. He was a huge disappointment last year, allowing 196 hits in 168 innings while posting a 4.97 ERA in 27 starts (he was 9-8 and the team was 12-15). He didn't make his first start in '07 until April 20 but has allowed three ERs or less in five of his six starts this season (2-2, 3.00 ERA / team is just 2-4!). I'm not a big Lieber fan and Willis has looked like his old self the last two outings. Also note that the Phillies are 5-11 (minus-$630) when facing left-handed starters this year. Expect the Phillies to once again fail to move above .500. NL Game of the Week 15* Fla Marlins.

Larry Ness' 15* Getaway Day Game of the Week
(36-10 w/15* GOW plays since Opening Day)
My 15* play is on the Det Tigers at 1:05 ET. The Angels and Tigers are two of the AL's best teams and have split the first two games of this three-game series. LA won 6-3 Tuesday, with Detroit winning 8-7 last night. Bartolo Colon, who entered the game 5-0 in 2007, was chased in the fifth inning by Detroit, as the Tigers reached him for 10 hits and six runs. Here, the Tigers will take dead-aim on Ervin Santana, well-known for his road woes. Consider these numbers carefully. In 2005, Santana had a road ERA of 7.73, in 2006 it was 5.95 and this year, after five starts in 2007 (in which the Angels are 0-5), it's 7.86. The Tigers will go with Jeremy Bonderman, who has clearly struggled lately. After a solid four-game start to the 2007 season (2.25 ERA), Bonderman's ERA is 7.41 over his last three outings (team is actually 2-1). However, during his "slump," his strikeout-to-walk ratio has remained outstanding (19-4). For the season, it's 40-7, so this guy is far from done! Remember, the Tigers average just over six RPG at home, while the Angels average just under four RPG on the road. Getaway Day Game of the Week 15* Det Tigers.


Picks from the Bottom
<HR style="COLOR: #ffffff" SIZE=1>Pittsburgh Pirates



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Culver baseball Thursday (5/24/07)

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Sides

Phillies +127
Nationals +162
Cubs +135

Totals

Toronto-Baltimore UNDER 8 1/2 +105 (Marcum-Guthrie)
Cleveland-KC OVER 10 1/2 -105 (Sowers-De La Rosa)

Thanks!

Tom Stryker

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Stryker NBA play in on DETROIT......
Paid for so its confirmed................


Players of America

3* Tampa Bay Devil Rays(already went off)

Bookie Buster NBA Projections 5/24

Playoff Record:

Sides: 29-31-4

Totals: 32-30-1

ML: 41-24



Cleveland 88 at Detroit 92

m@linsky -51.43 units in bases for the year

4 Pistons (-5.5)
4 Mets (+126)
4 Royals (+118)
5 Cubs/Padres under (7.5 -125)
4 Tigers (-146)


JB has a very slight lean with the Pistons



Dr.B

Thursday Opinion
Cleveland (+5 ½) over DETROIT
Cleveland is now 23-10 ATS this season in road games with rest (16-4 ATS recently), including 13-2 ATS as a dog of 3 points or more. Detroit, meanwhile, is only 10-21-3 ATS this season hosting a rested team, including 4-15-1 ATS if favored by 5 points or more. There are no significant situations favoring either side in this game and my ratings favor Detroit by 5 points. I’ll lean with Cleveland at +5 or +5 ½ points and I’ll consider the Cavaliers a Strong Opinion at +6 points and a 2-Star Best Bet if the line gets up to +7 points or more
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sawastea said:

Thanks!

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No Problem and GL tonight.

Many thanks goes out to many different people in many different forums for all there help and sharing with us all.

lloyd823679 said:

Root

Going for 12th straight NBA game in a row.


Cleveland Cavs tonight....

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Thanks for the help.