Friday Bases [148-131] +46.16

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antigravity
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Jan 19, 2006
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[148-131] +46.16

2*Cleveland +120
2*Over Oakland/Baltimore 7.5 -110
1*Tampa Bay +122
1*ATL -1 -111
 

Rx Addict
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cleveland sound a good bet ..maybe better a chase if they are gonna be dogs all the series, because no way tigers will sweep a hot tribe.
 

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Can I ask what it is you like about Cleveland and TB? Tigers and White Sox were the 2 plays that most stood out to me last night.
 

head turd in the outhouse
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solid...solid...solid...

great work, much respect as always bro. don't always say but thanks for posting your selections each day, i know many many guys are following.
 

antigravity
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Can I ask what it is you like about Cleveland and TB? Tigers and White Sox were the 2 plays that most stood out to me last night.
Tampa Bay has a very potent offense and very capable of putting up runs. Crawford is realy hitting stride right now. While Buerlhe started off magnificently he has come back down to earth. While posting quality starts they are nothing special. Lately his walks have been up he hasnt been going as deep and is giving up 4 runs at average. Jame Shields however has seemed to turn the corner into a very effective pitcher. And he has the capability of keeping his pitch count down and going deep into games. This allowws me not to fear tampas pen as much. Feel Shields goes at least 7 hoping for 8 so Reyes can close it down at 9.

Cleveland I feel first off is the better team. Alot of people are putting alot of weight on them not being spectacular on the road but its not like they are an atrocious road team. They are right at about .500 and a few blown saves have messed up their road record. Paul Byrd has been awesome this year and if i recall correctly has been more efective on the road in recent years. Hes kept his walks down and as a result has not been giving up many runs. Nate Robertson on the other hand has been in trouble lately. Every game Ive followed hes giving up runs and possibly getting away lucky in some innings by stranding alot. Nate Robertson like Byrd also seems to do better on the road. Not to mention Detroits pen unlike last year has not been very good. With Robertson struggling to go deep into games lately it will allow the Indians to take a shot at the pen before todd jones comes in. At Byrds current state I feel +120 is a deal.
 

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Thanks for the explanations smartz. Personally, I'm fading Tampa on the road, as they have won only 10 of their last 56 (I think) away from home. Have been a huge Shields backer since last year, but don't think he'll be enough tonight. Also like Buerhle to get win #100 at home. Respect your views on the game though.

As for Cleveland, for me it was just too many trends going in favor of Detroit. Playing great at home while the Indians are just mediocre so far on the road (agree they are far from awful on the road, which is why I backed them last night). I think Byrd's ratios have been better on the road, but somehow that has translated into a 3-14 record for the Tribe in his last 17 road starts. Again, not saying you're wrong and I'm right or anything. Just adding my thoughts. The line dropped quite a bit on this one despite what seems to be a heavy majority of the public on Detroit, so I'm not feeling anywhere near as good about it as I did last night.

BOL today and thanks as always.
 

Rx. Junior
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Like ATL & the Over in the Orioles Game is mighty tempting.....GL!!!!!!!
 

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