Friday Service Plays 5/25

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Marc Lawrence
Tampa Bay Devil Rays vs Chicago (A) White Sox
Chicago White Sox w/Buerhle over Tampa Bay Pale Hose southpaw Mark Buerhle loves hurling during the month of May, especially at home where he is 12-0 in his last 12 team starts. He's also 7-1 in his team starts this season. With that, look for the Devil Rays to dip to 1-7 away in series openers here tonight.

Trev Rogers
A's/Orioles Under 7.5


Hondo

Hondo's freefall toward negative numbers continued last night as he flopped with the Orioles and saw his earnings plunge to a superskimpy 30 davalil los.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will try to make some moolah with the Marlins' mighty Mitre over the Metamucils. Mmmm good. Ten units. Also, 10 on Byrd to fly right in Detroit.


LT Lock

ORIOLES

Big Al McMordie
Mets at Marlins
Prediction: Mets
The two starters in this game - Marlins right-hander Sergio Mitre and Mets right-hander Orlando Hernandez - have similarly impressive statistics on the season. Mitre has a 2.25 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP while Hernandez has a 2.53 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. While the Marlins have won Mitre's last three starts after losing his first four, two of those last three starts have been at Tampa Bay and at Pittsburgh, two of the weakest offenses in all of baseball. Meanwhile, Hernandez has been out for about a month with shoulder bursitis and this is his first start since April 24. But the injury was not serious, and because of the depth of the New York roster, the Mets have been able to bring El Duque back slowly. He is definitely ready and recently threw 78 pitches in a simulated game without reporting any problems. He already has a very impressive victory over Florida earlier this year when he went seven solid innings giving up only three hits and striking out 10 Marlin batters. The Mets are an incredible 21-8 in their last 29 road games as well as 10-4 in their last 14 played on grass. The Marlins are 1-7 in Mitre's last eight home starts. Take New York.

Dennis Macklin

MLB for 05/25/2007

Phillies at Braves
Prediction: Braves
The Phillies are just 3-6 in their last nine roadies. The ancient Jamie Moyer (4-3, 4.37 ERA) toes the rubber for Philadelphia and he's been shelled to the tune of 15 earned runs on 23 hits and five walks in his last 16 innings over his last three starts. The lefty is 0-2 with a 4.36 lifetime ERA in three starts against the Bravos. Meanwhile, Atlanta starter Tim Hudson is having All-Star first half at 5-2 with 2.40 ERA; 3-1 at Turner Field with an ERA of just 2.00. The Braves are 7-3 in Hudson's 10 starts. The right-hander has already beaten Philly twice in 2007 with sparkling 1.80 ERA over 15 innings. Take the Braves.

Benjamin Lee Eckstein
Minnesota Twins


Friday Horse Racing Spot Picks

SPOT PLAYS

For Friday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Arlington Park (7th) Pirate Ship, 8-1
(8th) Gathering Kings, 4-1
Belmont Park (3rd) Malibu Moonshine, 10-1
(8th) Mohegan Sky, 7-2
Calder Race Course 1st) Mister Meadowlark, 8-1
(6th) Shadow Belle, 5-1

Canterbury Park (8th) Clever Lord, 4-1
(9th) Smoke Magic, 3-1

Charles Town (3rd) Jetta's Journey, 7-2
(9th) Monster Image, 7-2

Churchill Downs (7th) Gold Sterling, 3-1
(11th) New York Dixie, 6-1
Emerald Downs (5th) Chocolate Starr, 5-1
(6th) Silver Misty, 7-2

Evangeline Downs (6th) Ides Lady, 9-2
(8th) River Boat Blues, 3-1
Finger Lakes (5th) Isabellas Way, 3-1
(8th) Thresher, 9-2
Golden Gate Fields (6th) Madison's Lady, 9-2
(8th) October Surprise, 7-2
Hollywood Park (2nd) Beyond Loaded, 3-1
(5th) Steelin', 7-2

Indiana Downs (2nd) Galloping Gourmet, 7-2
(3rd) Winged Philly, 8-1
Lone Star Park (2nd) Luke's Whisper, 4-1
(10th) El Dayjur, 4-1

Louisiana Downs (5th) Glamour Shot, 4-1
(7th) Livvy Leigh, 7-2
Mountaineer (1st) Sir Luke, 6-1
(5th) General Mauk, 6-1
Penn National (3rd) Halo Heaven, 9-2
(5th) Dixie Avenue, 3-1
Pimlico (1st) Catlike Move, 7-2
(3rd) Sabotage, 3-1

Prairie Meadows (3rd) Lady Dancer, 7-2
(5th) Notable Exchange, 3-1
River Downs (6th) Latonia Storm, 7-2
(14th) Shore Blue, 6-1

Thistledown (1st) Darragh, 9-2
(7th) Era Bayou, 4-1

Woodbine (2nd) Serenading, 3-1
(3rd) When in Rome, 6-1

Mike Supersten's Hollywood Park Handicap for Friday, May 25

RACE ONE

LIKE JOSIE WELLS was an improved third when introduced to Cushion Track May 2, lures leading rider Michael Baze and can graduate in her fourth attempt. She's been kept fit with two drills since. MERGER MANIA showed speed sprinting and could prove difficult to catch if she can handle two turns. This looks like a match race on paper. ASCOREINGLADY has already run 15 times and isn't getting any better. However, she appears to be the best of the others.

RACE TWO

STORMY GRANT broke her maiden first time routing for Julio Canani in above average time for the level. Give her a slight edge in a wide open contest. C. T. ZEE came within a nose of pulling off an upset in the Snow Chief Stakes. This rapidly improving gelding has speed, but can also come from slightly off the pace. BOPPA BOB is unbeaten in three starts at three different race tracks. Clinton Potts will try to keep the streak going.

RACE THREE

DOUBLE TROUBLE set the pace then gave way grudgingly in the grassy Wilshire Stakes. That race marked her American debut and horses moving from turf to Cushion often fare quite well. FUN LOGIC ended a seven-race losing streak with a stylish local victory May 4. Apparently, Baze has found the key to success. BOSSET made her customary big move on the turn before flattening out as usual. She's still seeking her first U. S. victory for Kathy Walsh.

RACE FOUR

GARY JOHN tried the Cushion May 17 and powered home with an impressive daylight victory. He should have no trouble with this one level class hike. GOTTA GETCHA threw in a dud at the end of April, but his maiden victory one race prior puts him right in the thick of this. TOM WEST takes a severe drop from starter allowance $40,000 to $20,000 claimers. This cut back in distance will undoubtedly help.

RACE FIVE

STEELIN' was runnerup as the favorite April 1 and has been freshened up by Craig Dollase. Either of her two outings would be good enough to take down the top prize. Her pedigree indicates turf will not be a problem. CHOCOLATE LAVA has speed and switches to Corey Nakatani. She's trained forwardly since her last start. STOP THE HUMOR is much better on this surface and figures to be in good striking position early. Jon Court, who has ridden her the last six starts, is back aboard today.

RACE SIX

WIND WATER had better form last year but seems to be coming around again. Last time out at Golden Gate Fields, 'WATER was taken out of his front-running style when he broke slowly, but gathered himself and was a fast-closing second. BROOKER has been facing much better and is lowered into a claimer. In his last start both the second place finisher (Publication) and trailer (Gray Black N White) came back to win. DATTICUS is slowly rounding back to form after an extended layoff. This will be his first try against claimers.

RACE SEVEN

Though RUNNING FREE hasn't found the winner's circle since August of 2005, he gets the call. He was runnerup in his last two starts, including the Khaled Handicap April 29 and is poised to end the drought. SUPER STRUT has been close, but finished behind the top selection the last three times they met. Nakatani takes over trying to reverse that trend. RING OF FRIENDSHIP likes to win races and is one for one at this marathon trip. He'll take them as far as he can.

RACE EIGHT

SOCIAL SATIRE drops in for a tag and will take some beating. He's clearly the speed of the field and Flores sticks around to ride. CARIBBEAN'S HERD is the only alternative to 'SATIRE. He was second for this price in his California debut in February, his first start for John Sadler. 'HERD will have to hustle early to keep within range. VIA RODEO has piled up 18 losses and regressed badly in his last. The best he can do today is a third place finish.

Best Bet-GARY JOHN (4)
__________________

Belmont Park
By Art Gropper

BEST BET: Lemon Drop Gal (8th race)


First Race


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1. Chunk of Love 2. College Girl 3. Angel Dancer

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CHUNK OF LOVE receives the much-needed additional yardage to get her back in the winner's circle. Burned money in last 3 when getting lost in the field early, her big rallies keep us thinking "one more time" with her and 7 panels seems the perfect trip. Finished 3rd in March key race, which saw the winner win for double this price (92 Beyer speed figure) in next start. Freshened COLLEGE GIRL's new trainer has outstanding win marks 1st off the buy and can improve off recent defeat. ANGEL DANCER did not show usual kick in last, but was in the hunt vs. this same bunch 3 weeks ago at Belmont Park

Second Race


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1. Callmetony 2. Mister Supremo 3. My Dynomite

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CALLMETONY gets back to his best game today. Fired big race after big race on the Belmont main track in 2006 and figures to be set for a biggie, exiting a key race 2-turn test. Reunites with win rider Prado for this and the rock solid work for this clinches it. MISTER SUPREMO is nearly 3-for-4 off the claim. Drilled a Belmont Beyer Top last September and gets the services of Velazquez, who figures to improve his meet win figures. Picked a dream spot for latest, but is still the one to beat as he always seems to fire. MY DYNOMITE snuck thru the claim box 2-back, then was well spotted at the 'Lakes. Has a win over the track and displayed enough potential as a 2-year-old to consider in the exotics.

Third Race


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1. Minister's Joy 2. Classic Campaign 3. Shakis

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MINISTER'S JOY blossomed to end his 4-year-old season and his February Gulfstream Park optional claiming win stamped him as a stakes calibar runner. Runnerup to next-out Grade 3 Ascertain at Keeneland was no disgrace, then lost a nose on the Polytrack. Only concern is if CLASSIC CAMPAIGN shakes loose early in a paceless event. CLASSIC' defeated MINISTER' in the Fort Lauderdale at GP, but MINISTER' seems a much different horse at the moment. SHAKIS is enetered with top pick in a DEL Park race tomorrow (7th). Hard to ignore getting the substantial weight break, 1st Lasix and a hefty 117 Timeform Rating in Feb. Turf defeat.

Fourth Race


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1. Aunt Teree 2. Prom Dance 3. Lady Alice

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AUNT TEREE hopes to light up the tote board for this stretchout attempt. She passed tired rivals late sprinting and should love the added distance. Dam was a stakes-placed turfer (3-for-13, 24K) and produced 2-time turf winner Super Nationals (68K grass). PROM DANCE figures tough off recent 3rd when dueled hard for the lead in turf debut. The Mile distance can help her hang on. 1ster LADY ALICE is working well and is sired by a 1.2M turf runner (14% 1st-turf winners). 1st Lasix and gets a patient rider on a 'late runner's' turf course. Freshened PAPA'S KARA is clearly the top Main Track Only entrant.

Fifth Race


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1. Ruban Bleu 2. Mama Theresa 3. Drama Lady

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It's been 40 days since the eye-catching unveiling of RUBAN BLEU at Gulfstream Park. She swooped past the field and opened up daylight in a blink of an eye. Attempts to stretch her speed an extra two and a half furlongs in this 1-turn test. Rarely do you see a Mott-trained debut winner romp like that, so looking forward to seeing race number 2. MAMA THERESA has some proving to do at Belmont, but is as sharp as ever and figures to be a major early presence from the rail. DRAMA LADY disappointed late in latest vs. Delta Breeze and sibling to 1.9M Champion Round Pond seeks to make amends. Seems to have a bright upside and could improve here, making just 4th career start.

Sixth Race


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1. Straight Blush 2. Pro Talent 3. Song Senor

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STRAIGHT BLUSH is the logical pick off recent near-miss over the track. Runnerup to a 73 Beyer repeater 3-back, he's never been better. PRO TALENT is a 1st-time starter in a racing lacking superstars. Dam banked 229K and is by a 13-percent debut sire, who was a Grade3 sprinter; 1st Lasix for this. SONG SENOR has been overmatched and been on the wrong surface since near miss for this price in March.

Seventh Race


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1. Skip Dattt 2. Concert Line 3. Solewisher

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SKIP DATTT hasn't gotten a good trip yet in 5-race career, but still has a win and has fired well in 3 of 5 very solid grass efforts, including career debut at Saratoga. This turf plays well to deep closers like him and he's bred for better, by a G1 lawn sire (1.3M) and a sibling to 476K grass veteran In Frank's Honor. Improving CONCERT LINE would have to be scratched for sod debut, a sibling to 112K grasser Inside Affair. Four consecutive beaten favorite performances for SOLEWISHER. Can he possibly be the chalk again? Faced a tough group in last (place horse won back with an 80 Beyer) and Prado is a major improvement.

Eighth Race


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1. Lemon Drop Gal 2. Latitude Forty 3. Homerette

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LEMON DROP GAL has been dangerous in these 'fresh' situations and while this is a lengthy layoff, the recent work and her love of the Belmont Inner turf makes her tough to go past in the feature. Neck Sept. loss was to a runner, who captured a Grade 3 event at Santa Anita three starts later (100 Beyer). LATITUDE FORTY was superb racing long on the turf last summer and toss latest when 5-wide in Maryland; should be flying late. HOMERETTE is working well for this and was game in defeat in similar BEL Inner Turf sprints last spring.

Ninth Race


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1. Innovator 2. Connie the Queen 3. Make It Come True

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INNOVATOR needed her last start off an 11-week break and daughter of a 214K turf earner (5-for-14 sod) gets the call to avenge loss 29 days ago to MAKE IT COME TRUE, who should get 1st run on the closers, but might get caught up in what should be a legitimate early pace. CONNIE THE QUEEN is working well and improved dramatically on grass despite a rough gate break; scary late spark.
__________________

Churchill Downs

Analysis:: by Jill Byrne
Race 1 -
COWGIRL AFFAIR (3) looked poised for the victory in her last start at this level before she faded late. Today’s turn back in distance and second time blinkers should have her set for the score. LD’S HONEY (4) was a good second in the split division of the top pick's race, which was the faster of those races. She is clearly the one to beat if she can duplicate that effort. ALITTLE SWEETHEART (8) has run well in all of her starts this year and will run late

3-4-8

Race 2 -
HE’S MINE (4) just missed after a very wide trip last out at this level. He has dropped steadily down the claiming ladder, but gets some speed in this spot to help his closing kick. E AND DE’S DREAMS (2) ships in from Mountaineer for the Amoss stable off two close defeats against conditioned claimers and picks up the riding services of Borel. COLLATERAL DAMAGE (1) could not make up ground late against a tougher group, but figures as a strong player with today’s class drop.

4-2-1

Race 3 -
BOAZ (7) showed good speed but stopped against maiden allowance company at Hawthorne. He shortens up slightly, drops into a maiden claimer and gets the hot riding Albarado for today's event. CAPOTE’S FLAME (4) makes his first start since November and showed early speed in his previous races. He has a bullet workout in preparation for his return to racing. GREASE MONKEY (8) chased the speed early in a very strong maiden allowance race and figures to improve with both the experience of that start and today’s drop in class.

7-4-8

Race 4 -
PATRICIA’S CAT (2) ran evenly in her first start since September and looks set to score today with that race under her belt. ORIENTAL PUNCH (1) faces bottom level maiden claimers for the first time after unsuccessful attempts at Sunland and Houston against maiden allowance company. She did show some early foot in a couple of those efforts and figures to come out quickly from her rail post. SISTER PEGLEEN (3) just failed to get up in time at decent odds after a troubled trip. She is a factor here from off the pace with a repeat of that performance

2-1-3

Race 5 -
DUNMORE (2) ships in from Lone Star Park off a fourth place finish on the turf. He has good speed and a win at the distance, and looks well spotted here. WILD PASS (4) was steadied sharply on the inside when he tried to make a run at this level last out. He draws a better post for today and will likely be much closer early on. BAWDENS (5) was a distant second against allowance company at Mountaineer after he briefly made the lead. Expect him to be stalking the top two today under Borel.

2-4-5

Race 6 -
MS. SABBATICAL (1) was on her way to victory in her last start when the rider misjudged the finish line. She is well suited to the local surface with her good speed and looks like a strong contender in here. SLAMMINGPARTYGIRL (7) adds to what appears to be an abundance of speed in this race as she stretches out to a mile. Bejarano will need to harness that speed if she is to have anything left at the finish today. MISSAMERICA BERTIE (3) may not have cared for the sloppy going in her first local start and can rebound today. She would be a factor if she can rate off of the expected contested early pace. BEPPIN (8) is not out of the picture if she can transfer her recent Polytrack efforts here.

1-7-3

Race 7 -
EUPHORIC (2) made up ground late while running wide last out against a stronger field of conditioned claimers. He drops a peg today and gets a race with some early speed to set up for his closing kick. STARRY KNIGHT (5) comes out of the same race as the top pick where he set the pace before faltering late. He figures to get some pressure early on, but has shown that he fits well with this company level. DELTA SLAM (4) ran evenly in his first try against winners and this reliable runner yet to finish off the board this year

2-5-4

Race 8 -
KILN CREEK (3) broke poorly and was steadied on a sloppy track last out, but can rebound here with a better start. NO LAC O ZIP (5) is speedy, has a good local record and comes in off a sharp win. There appears to be a lot of pace in here, which could hurt his chances if he is pressured early. CAPTATION (2) has shown he can run well from on or off the pace and that versatility may help him today with all the early runners in this group.

3-5-2

Race 9 -
ALMONSOON (7) steps out of the Grade III Orchid Handicap, where she ran second to stable mate and next out stakes winner Safari Queen. She turns back in distance and seems capable of being in a perfect stalking position from the start under Bejarano. PRAIA DA PIPA (6) set very slow fractions on a yielding turf course before she faded late in a stronger version of this allowance race. She seems to prefer a firmer course. LEMONS FOREVER (3), winner of the 2006 Kentucky Oaks (GI), makes her turf debut and first start against allowance rivals since the winter of 2006. She has a bullet work over the turf course and is by Lemon Drop Kid, who has done very well with turf runners.

7-6-3

Race 10 -
EARLY VINTAGE (8) was eliminated at the start of her last race when she broke in the air and was unable to recover on a sloppy track. She has worked well since that start, draws nicely on the outside and gets another chance today to show the form she displayed when she broke her maiden here. GEM SLEUTH (6) comes out of the same race as the top pick and overcame traffic trouble to close well and only lose by a head. MEREDITH BEE (5) was fourth in the same race after she dropped back early on. That was her first start since November, and she will benefit from that race and could prefer a dry track

8-6-5

Race 11 -
BLOCK (6) returns to the turf today off an even effort as the favorite on Polytrack last out. She has been a bit of a money burner at the windows, but usually runs well enough to be tough to go against in this group. GDANSKA (10) is a first time starter from the Romans barn with a beautiful turf pedigree and some solid morning drills in preparation for her debut. NORMANDY QUEEN (3) showed nothing on a muddy track in her first start but can be a strong factor on the turf today for top connections.

6-10-3
__________________

Handicapped by Ellis Starr at Churchill Downs

Race #7
#6 Trickeration - (10-1) Fair odds 7/2
#9 Gambler's Honour - (6-1) Fair odds 7/2
#5 Starry Knight - (9/2) Fair odds 7/2
Exacta: Box 5,6,9


With FIVE of these being need-the-lead types, the early pace should be hot, and when the smoke clears one of the above, or hopefully two (for the exacta) of the 3 above should get the major awards. Trickeration won at the 15K maiden claiming level one before last with Borel up and although he lost at this 15K non-winners of 2 lifetime level last out over the track the change to Borel could signal a return to the winners' circle. Gambler's Honor closed fast for 2nd at this level three back then faced allowance foes twice since, not disgraced when 2nd in each race but perhaps a bit overmatched. Now with 4 second place finishes to go along with his one career win, the label of "non-win" type might be appropriate, but in this field with a return to the fast finish shown three back he can get up to win or at least to complete the exacta. Starry Knight rallied from 3rd to lead in the stretch one before last versus tougher 30K non-winners of 2 lifetime claimers, then moved too soon to get to 2nd before the turn last out and tired to 4th. Racing at this 15K nw2l level for the first time he has every right to turn either of those last two efforts into a winning result here.


Michael Cannon Wins 20 Dimer on the Cavs!

Michael Cannon Money Train

Friday's Plays..

15 Dime –

ANGELS (With Weaver and Clippard as listed pitchers)
Take the Angels for the win tonight in the Bronx over the Yankees.
I’m still not sold on the Yankees pitching staff right now and I think the Angels are going to spoil Tyler Clippard’s Yankee Stadium debut.
Jered Weaver gets the start for the Angels tonight and he’s looked more like the rookie that dominated the American League last year. The right-hander will be trying for his third straight win and is 2-0 with a 1.83 ERA in his last three starts after starting the year 1-3 with a 5.12 ERA.
The Angels have given the Yankees a tough time over the years, going 6-4 against New York last season. They are the only team with a winning record against the Yankees during Joe Torre’s tenure as manager, going 55-52 overall and 28-24 in the Bronx since Torre took over in 1996.
The Angels offense will be spurred on by Orlando Cabrera, who is hitting .431 (25-for-58) during his 14-game hitting streak, and of course Vladimir Guerrero, who is a career .309 hitter against New York and has hit .455 (10-for-22) in his last five games against the Yankees.
The pressure of pitching in Yankee Stadium may get to Clippard tonight, so take the Angels behind Weaver for the road win.


5 Dime –

INDIANS (With Byrd and Robertson as listed pitchers)
Take the Indians as the road dog for the win tonight over the Tigers.
Paul Byrd is scheduled to start for the Tribe and he’s been solid this year, going 4-1 with a 3.55 ERA in seven starts. His command has been unbelievable this year, as he’s walked only three batters over 45 2-3 innings, and he hasn’t issued a walk over his last 30 2-3 innings.
He should turn in a quality start tonight against the free-swinging Tigers.
Over his career, Byrd is 6-2 with a 3.04 ERA in 12 games against Detroit.
Tigers’ starter Nate Robertson has been shaky over his last three starts, going 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA in only 14 2-3 innings. The left-hander is 2-3 with a 5.00 ERA in 11 lifetime appearances against the Tribe.
Take the Indians as the road dog for the win.

WHITE SOX (With Buerhle as listed pitcher)
Take the White Sox as the home chalk for the win tonight over the Devil Rays.
Mark Buerhle gets the nod for the ChiSox and I expect him to out duel Tampa’s James Shields.
Buerhle is 5-1 lifetime against the Devil Rays with a 4.22 ERA.
Shields has been great this year for Tampa Bay, but they just can’t seem to get this guy any runs, as he’s just 3-0 in nine games despite a 2.94 ERA.
Take the White Sox as the Devil Rays offense fails to come through again tonight for Shields.

Bonus Play: RED SOX -1 1/2 RUN LINE

This is Jim Feist.
My free pick of the day is the game between (925) SEA Mariners and (926) KC Royals. Take "(925) SEA Mariners". Seattle's offense is clicking, striking for 12 runs yesterday. And they catch a break with their new ace going in hard-throwing Felix Hernandez. The team struggled when he was out, but he is back and looked sharp fanning 9 in 5 innings in his last start. He will have little trouble with this free swinging Kansas City lineup, too. He's already faced them once this season, fanning 11 and allowing 3 hits and one run. Play the Mariners!

paws
Survivor Pick Record: 32-18-2 (going for #11 in a row)
Fri pick: Det Tigers
!!!Do not play this guy's NBA picks!!! His MLB are money but NBA looks bad.


hunter49

Survivor Pick Record: 26-12-1 (going for #9)
Fri pick: Utah/SA Under 190
!!!Plays a lot of totals!!! Worst losing streak was 4 in a row.
__________________
yourwinnersonly

3* Mets
2* Padres
1* Nats

Rocketman

FREE MLB PLAY FRIDAY (108-75 59% run with freebies)

Philadelphia @ Atlanta 7:35 PM EST

Play On: 1* Atlanta -160 (Moyer/Hudson) Listed

Atlanta bullpen has a 2.70 ERA at home this year. Moyer has an 8.10 ERA his last 3 starts. Hudson is 5-2 with a 2.42 ERA overall this year and 3-1 with a 2.00 ERA at home this season. Atlanta has won 5 of 6 against Philadelphia this year. Moyer is 0-2 with a 4.36 ERA overall vs Atlanta since 1997. We're simply playing the better team with the better pitcher in this one. We'll recommend a small play on Atlanta tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
__________________
Friday Comps

Sebastian-White Sox
Winner Line-San Francisco
OTM-OVER Seattle
Computer Boys-Atlanta
Kevin Kennedy-Detroit
Feiner-OVER Houston

Gator’s Friday E-Report:


Gator Report for Friday:

NBA (Friday): no scheduled game
MLB (Friday): Play On MLB (NL) teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season facing a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts.
(37-15 last 5 seasons.) (71.2%) PLAY: New York Mets -115
MLB (Friday): Play Against MLB (AL) home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher who average <=4.5 runs per game versus a team with a bullpen ERA <=3.33 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better this year.
(32-7 since 1997.) (82.1%) PLAY: Seattle -105

Gator's MLB "Tech" Totals
Each week Gator releases his Top "Technical" Game of the Week in football, basketball and baseball. Gator also releases his MLB "Tech" Total Selections each day if we have qualifying plays.
MLB "Tech" Totals for Friday:
Game 1: (929) Toronto vs. (930) Minnesota (listed pitchers)
Selection: UNDER 9.5 (-120)

Guaranteed Pick: Tom Freese

Game: Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers May 25 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: Cleveland Indians
Reason: Cleveland starter Paul Byrd is in awesome KW form with 13 strikeouts and 0 walks in his last 3 starts. Byrd is 8-4 with a 2.74 ERA in 12 career team starts vs. the Tigers. Detroit starter Nate Robertson is off a phony win in his last start where he allowed twice as many baserunners as innings pitched. The Indians are swinging hot bats scoring 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 games and the Detroit bullpen has been getting hit hard of late. 10* MLB Game of the Month Play On Cleveland + (Byrd vs. Robertson)
 
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charlie
<HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->mlb. detroit-130 & san diego-135 (500*)

mlb. minnesota-130 (30*)

mlb. la dodgers-115 (20*)

mlb. oakland-105 (20*)

mlb. la angels+110 (10*)

mlb. seattle-115 (10*) Bonus Play


Proffit Plays
Triple plays = 84-79

MLB:
Florida over 9
Boston
Atlanta

Daily Best bet
YTD = 26-27

Florida over 9
------------------------------------------
Panhandle Sports
YTD = 47-22

MLB:
Cincinnati -165
------------------------------------------
 
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Billy Coleman

MLB:
4* cleveland (byrd +120) 7:05
3* minnesota (baker -130) 8:10
3* houston (action +120) 9:40

Arena: 4* nashville (+6)

WNBA: Game of the Month: 5* san antonio (+1.5)
 

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Service Play and Service Fade Spreadsheets

Here are the links to the most recently updated Service Play and Service Fade Spreadsheets:
 
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Stu Finer

Today's Action

NOTE: Baseball releases are for games where the starting pitchers are specified.


1000 DIME MLB Big Dog Best Bet...L.A.A. ANGELS

500 DIME MLB Big Dog No Brainer...<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:City w:st="on">KANSAS CITY</st1:City> ROYALS

200 DIME MLB Big Dog No Brainer...<st1:State w:st="on">FLORIDA</st1:State> MARLINS

200 DIME MLB Big Dog No Brainer...<st1:place w:st="on"><st1:placeName w:st="on">TAMPA</st1:placeName> <st1:placeType w:st="on">BAY</st1:placeType></st1:place> DEVIL RAYS



 
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sebastian higher then 20* baseball??
<HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Sebastian Sports (13-8-1 / +415)
MLB - Atlanta (-1.5) (+130)


FPBE Free Picks <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Marc Lawrence - CHW -150 MLB
Rocky Atkinson - ATL -165 MLB
Matty O'Shea - LAA +125 MLB
Ben Burns - OAK/BAL under 7.5 MLB
Larry Ness - MIN -132 MLB
Bryan Leonard - SEA/KC under 8 MLB
Tony George - ATL -165 MLB
Jeff Bonds - LAA +125 MLB


Winning Points <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->I signed up for a month of Baseball...Here are today's plays.
6 Oakland
5 LA Angels
4 Philadelphia


Mavericks Picks

NBA Utah -2,
MLB ATl under 8.5, Oak, San Diego


Stan Sharp - Triple Dime

Mariners -115


Will Cover
4*mets


The Wunderdog
Game: L A Angels at New York Yankees (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: L A Angels +127

The Angels may not appear to have a good road record, but that is due in large part to a 1-7 finish to their first road trip of the season. It was a trip that saw them score just 6 runs in their last 6 games while on the road. They have since been 10-7 on the road, and have averaged close to five runs a game and overall they have gone 11-4 in their last 15 games. Jerod Weaver is one of the top pitchers in all of baseball. He came up last year and went 11-2 with a 2.56 ERA. He allowed 1 run or less in 10 of 18 starts and 3 runs or less in 15 of 18. He started the season on the DL, and needed some time to get command and arm strength. He is showing again why he is one of the best, as he has allowed 1 run or less in 3 of his last 5, and 3 runs or less in all 5 games. The Yankees will again put their hands in the faith of a rookie, Tyler Clippard, who pitched well against the Red Sox, but he is more likely to struggle this second time out vs. an Angel lineup that has fared well !
at Yankee Stadium. All the winning the Yankees have done the last 6 years has not translated to success against the Angels, who have been 22-18 at Yankee Stadium the last 6 years, good for +25 units. We like the pitching matchup and the better bullpen to win one as a dog


Tony Mathew's Free MLB Selection for May 25, 2007.

Matchup: Oakland Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles

Selection: Oakland/Baltimore Under 7.5 (-110)

Explanation: We expect a low-scoring game as the Oakland Athletics face-off against the Baltimore Orioles in Friday's MLB contest.

The Oakland Athletics will use starting pitcher Danny Haren. Danny Haren has been pitching great this season (1.71 ERA). In addition, the Under is 8-2 in Danny Haren's 10 starts this season.

As for the Baltimore Orioles, they will use starting pitcher Erik Bedard. Erik Bedard has been pitching great as of late (1.71 ERA in his last 3 starts). The Under is also a perfect 3-0 in his last 3 starts.

To put it simple, great pitching almost always equals a low-scoring game!

Take the Oakland Athletics/Baltimore Orioles Under 7.5!


Strike Points

7* Cin. Reds ( MLB)


gogoplata lost yesterday and is starting over - but still a solid record & capper

gogoplata
Survivor Pick Record: 25-9-1
Fri pick: NYY

cremaster is missing in action<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->__________________


MASTER SPORTS 4* Seatle/K.C. over

GREAT LAKE SPORTS 3* Minnesota

ROCKETMAN SPORTS 1* Atlanta


Sebastian <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Sebastian:

10*-Cinn
10*-Sea
10*-Sea under
20*-Atl
20*-SD
30*-Oak


<!-- / message -->










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2-Minute Warning

Baseball Syndicate

MINNESOTA (BAKER) over Toronto (Litsch)

Bobby Maxwell

Friday's 3-0 card

400-Unit NL Grand Slam - BREWERS (play only with Bush as listed pitcher for Milwaukee)



Going with the Brewers tonight as we all know their pitching coach is Mike Maddux and tonight he faces his brother Greg in this matchup.



You know when these two get together they talk pitching and you just gotta believe Mike knows what his little brother like to throw in certain situations. Look for him to tip off the Brewers as to what his little brother is going to be coming with tonight.



Greg Maddux (3-3, 4.14 ERA) goes today and he comes in off the worst start of the season, giving up seven runs on 12 hits in just 3 2/3 innings in a 7-4 loss to the Mariners. Last year against the Brewers he faced them in September and allowed six runs on 10 hits over 5 1/3 innings in a 6-3 loss. His brother knows him and the Brewers have beaten Maddux his last three starts against them.



David Bush is starting for the Brewers. He last pitched Saturday and gave up five runs on eight hits in 7 2/3 innings against the Twins. He faced the Padres last June and dominated them, allowing just one run on three hits leading Milwaukee to a 5-1 win with his complete-game performance.



San Diego dropped a close on to the Cubs Thursday while the Brewers had the night off.



The Brewers have won seven of the last five in their recent games against San Diego and look to them to add to that today. Play Milwaukee.







100-Unit AL Big Hit - TIGERS (Play only with Robertson as listed pitcher for Detroit)



Detroit has been dominant of late, going 10-2 in their last 12 home games and 12-1 in their last 13 games as a favorite.



And head-to-head, the Tigers have gone 11-4 in their last 15 against the Indians. Throw in the fact one of our favorites in Nate Robertson is pitching tonight and there's absolutely no reason not to take Detroit.



The southpaw Robertson (4-3, 3.62 ERA) has just had one bad outing all season. He has given up three earned runs or less in all but that one and in his last outing allowed two runs on six hits in an 8-7 win over the Cardinals.



He hasn't seen the Indians since last May when he limited the Tribe to two earned runs on seven hits over six innings in an 8-3 victory.



Paul Byrd is on the hill for the Indians. He has given up 10 runs on 26 hits over his last 21 innings of work. He saw the Tigers four times last season and had three good outings and one outing where the Tigers got to him for seven runs on 10 hits in three innings.



Detroit went 13-6 against Cleveland last season and will continue that dominance when this one kicks off tonight. Let's play the young lefty Robertson in this one as the Tigers should score an easy win.







100-Unit AL Road Warrior - ANGELS (play only with Weaver as listed pitcher for Los Angeles



The Angels have won nine of the last 14 matchups with the Yankees and tonight send Jered Weaver to the mound to face the Bronx Bombers.



Weaver (3-3, 3.46 ERA) has been excellent in his last three starts, going 2-0 with a 1.83 ERA. Over those three starts he's allowed four earned runs in 25 2/3 innings. The Angels have won four of his last five starts and the most runs he's allowed this season was five. He hasn't allowed more than three runs in any of his last five trips to the hill.



In Weaver's only career start against the Yankees, he held them to one run on three hits over six innings in a 5-3 win in New York last August.



Tyler Clippard (1-0, 1.50 ERA) makes his second career start tonight for the Yankees. In his debut on Sunday he held the Mets to one run on three hits in six innings of a 6-2 victory. Now we're not calling that beginner's luck, but he isn't going to have that kind of success tonight. Look for the Angels to knock him around a bit.



The Angels come in having won seven of their last 10 overall and the Yankees for some reason just don't perform on Fridays, going 0-8 the last eight Friday night games.



We're going to back the Angels to get to the rookie tonight and score the road win.

Brandon Lang

FRIDAY

15 DIME



Mets - Specify Pitchers - Hernandez vs Mitre

A's - Specify Pitchers - Haren vs Bedard





10 DIME



Braves -1 1/2 runs - Specify Pitchers - Moyer vs Hudson

Seattle - Specify Pitchers - Hernandez vs Meche





5 DIME



Yankees - Specify Pitchers - Weaver vs Clippard

Tigers - Specify Pitchers - Byrd vs Roberston



Pick - Washington Nationals (For analysis see Daily video)



Note:

Really not a whole lot to say.



Just have to win today. Simple as that.



I have winners out there but I just don't seem to be isolating the right game and that is going to happen from time to time.



Someone wrote in my customer service team and said why don't I use my free pick as my top play seeing as I have hit 4 in a row.



If it were just that easy.



Focused today. Feel great about the NBA playoffs, courtesy of a 7-2-1 run and I feel really good about the next 3 days.



Lets go get a winning day.





OAKLAND

Not only have the A's won 13 of their last 15 games in Baltimore including 4 in a row , they have a guy on the mound who has the best ERA in baseball.



Ace Dan Haren, who is 4-2 with a 1.74 ERA), will look to give Oakland another strong start in the series opene.



He is coming off a two runs in seven innings effort to earn the victory in Saturday's 4-2 win over San Francisco.



Haren, who owns the lowest ERA in the AL among qualifying pitchers, has allowed three or fewer earned runs in each of his 10 starts this season and has gone at least six innings in all but one.



He is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his 3 outings at Camden Yards.



Bedard makes mistakes and it will be those few mistakes that cost him a win tonight. To beat a guy like Haren you have to be perfect and Bedard can't be.



He is 0-2 with a 5.16 ERA over five career starts.



A's roll tonight behind Haren.





METS

I think the Mets are ready to beat up on a right hander tonight.



In their series versus the Braves, they lost to Davies and Smolts, to righthanders that had good stuff working.



They beat James a lefty in the middle game of the 3 game set, but they couldn't do much against the two righties.



Facing Davies and Smotlz only helps the Mets here in facing Mitre.



Adding to the suspense tonight, the Mets have won 4 straight at Dolphin Stadium.



New York's offense had no problems at Florida in April, scoring 20 runs while pounding 33 hits to sweep a two-game series.



New York also looks to get a lift from Orlando Hernandez to get back on track coming off the DL. He is 2-1 with a 2.53 ERA.



Hernandez, who was sidelined with right shoulder bursitis, hasn't pitched since allowing four hits in seven scoreless innings of a 2-1, 12-inning victory over Colorado on April 24.



The right-hander has given up one run or less in three of five starts this season.



He pitched very well in a win at Florida on April 19, giving up two runs and three hits while striking out a season-high 10 in seven innings of an 11-3 victory.



Hernandez is 3-1 with a 4.07 ERA in four career starts against the Marlins, but he has won all three of his starts at Dolphin Stadium, posting a 1.93 ERA in those games.



Mets get to him early and cruise to the win tonight.





BRAVES -1 1/2 RUNS

All of a sudden Jamie Moyer is looking his age.



His last 2 starts he has gotten destroyed giving up 12 runs on 17 hits including four homers in 9 2/3 innings.



To make matters worse, he is 1-6 with a 5.37 ERA in eight lifetime appearances - seven starts - versus the Braves.



Or, how about the fact he is 0-3 with an 8.84 ERA in as many starts at Atlanta, getting tagged for 18 runs and 24 hits in just 18 1-3 innings.



Hudson had his worst start of the year at Boston but I love him right back here at home laying a run and a half.



He is 3-1 at home with a 2.00 ERA covering five home starts. That is good enough for me.



Braves roll big at home behind Hudson tonight.





MARINERS

The Mariners are finally heating up offensively and that is good news.



Tonight, they send their ace to the hill, Felix Hernandez, and he is ready.



Off the DL he pitched solid in his first start back against the Angels and then followed that up with 5 solid innings against the Padres allowing 2 runs.



He is unhittable if healthy and he right back on track tonight.



Gil Meche has been having a good year but against his former club, he gets beat.



He comes off getting drilled by the Rockies for 5 runs on in five innings of a 6-4 loss and with the way the Mariners are hitting, I will back Felix.



Mariners get it done tonight.





YANKEES

The Yankees.



They are about to go on a tear. Simple as that.



They just took 2 out of 3 from Boston and now they get ready for the Angels and Jared Weaver.



The Yanks saw him one time last year and got beat 5-3. They won't be fooled again.



This may seem simple, but if you can hammer Curt Schilling, you can get to Weaver.



I look for the Yankee batters to see more pitches, make some sound adjustments on his breaking ball and changeup and it is those adjustments that will make the difference.



Lastly, I am so impressed with Tyler Clippard. For him to go into Shea, in front of a sellout crowd and beat the Mets 6-2 allowing just 1 run on 3 hits over 6 innings, this kid is the next great thing.



Now he gives Yankee fans something to really cheer about.



All Yankees tonight.





TIGERS

This is going to be a great series.



Tigers have won 5 of their last 6 and just hammered Ervin Santana of the Angels yesterday 12-0.



Indians walked their way to a win over the Royals but are still struggling to win on the road, as evidenced by losing 3 of their last 4 series on the highway.



The Indians have lost every game Byrd has started on the road and that trend will continue tonight.



Tigers are just too hot right now. Too hot.



Now, I asked myself which Nate Roberston would show up tonight.



Is it the guy who went 2-1 with a 2.43 ERA in his five April starts, or the guy who is 2-2 with a 5.48 ERA in his 4 May starts.



I look for the April guy to show up here and for the Tigers to get another big home win here.



Tigers are the way to go.

Chris Jordan

Friday Night Winners

400? BRAVES RUN LINE (LIST Hudson and Moyer) - Jamie Moyer will get shellacked tonight, as he comes in off his two worst outings of the season, having given up seven runs on eight hits in 3-1/3 innings against Toronto, and five earned runs in 6-1/3 against Milwaukee. And those were both in Philadelphia.



In his last four starts he's surrendered 18 earned runs in 29-2/3 innings – an ERA of 5.46. The fact he is 1-6 with a 5.37 ERA in seven career starts against Atlanta does him no favors either. Instead we side with Tim Hudson, who hadn't allowed more than three earned runs in any of his previous nine starts before Sunday's debacle in Beantown.



I am not too concerned about it, as he was 5-1 in his previous eight starts, and allowed a modest 12 earned runs in those games.



100? UNDER Mets/Marlins (LIST Hernandez/Mitre) - El Duque is back after dealing with bursitis in his pitching shoulder for a month, and according to my reports, he is looking strong and ready to go for this one. Though he hasn't pitched since April 24, against Colorado, he looked good against the Fish on April 19, when he tossed seven innings and scattered three hits while striking out 10. Confidence will exude in this one for him, while Sergio Mitre gives me confidence on his home mound, sporting a 2.25 ERA on the season and now 2-0 in his last two starts. What might look like a slug-fest on paper, looks more to me like a pitchers' duel between Hernandez and Mitre.

Chuck Franklin

Baseball

1000? NEW YORK METS

The Mets are tearing it up this year on the road against right-handers, especially at night. They are also an amazing 11-1 in their last 12 road games vs. teams below .500. Both of these are very good reasons to side with New York. The Marlins have been a disappointment so far this season, and are a losing proposition in night games at home. Starting for the Mets is Orlando Hernandez, who is 2-1 this season and has a career winning record of 3-1 against the Marlins. Taking the mound for Florida is Sergio Mitre, who has never faced the New York Mets. The Marlins are 1-7 in Mitre’s last eight home starts. Take the road team Mets to trounce the Marlins and their sub-par pitching.



1000? LA ANGELS

The Yankees have been the biggest money losers in baseball this season. Their pitching is injury-riddled and unreliable, and they are facing one of the hottest teams in the league, the LA Angels. The Yankees are starting rookie Tyler Clippard, who is making his Yankee stadium debut in tonight’s game. Do you think he’ll be nervous? I would bet on it. Taking the mound for the Angels is Jered Weaver, who is has hit a good groove in his last three games, going 2-0 with an ERA of 1.83. He has a winning record in his career vs. the Yankees. All of these look like very good reasons to side with the dog in this match-up. Take the Angels to get the win.

Drew Gordon

Today's Games...

1. 300,000? LA Angels

2. 100,000? Athletics

3. 100,000? Mariners



1. LA Angels- After getting shellacked by Detroit 12-0 Thursday, I can understand why the public is jumping on the Yankees tonight... But we're not the public, we're the choice few who understand the Angels are better than that, and what's more, they've got one of their best taking the Hill tonight in Jered Weaver.



What else can I say about Weaver except he's back, allowing 7 earned runs over his last 31 1/3 innings of work, not to mention going 2-0 with a 1.83 ERA over his last 3 starts (all Angels wins)! Let's not forget the Angels young gun beat the Yankees at Yankee Stadium last year, surrendering just 1 earned on 3 hits over 6 innings! After a rough start to the season, Weaver has found his groove, and when he's on, there's few teams that can beat him.



Granted, the Yankees young hurler, Tyler Clippard, did everything that was asked of him in his only start this season. Beating the Mets in the final contest of the Subway series, allowing 1 run on 3 hits over 6 innings May 20th. However, let's not get carried away, as the 22 year old is bound to go through some growing pains. He'll have little room for error against the surging Weaver, who proved he can beat the Yankees with the aformentioned impressive effort last year.



Finally, one has to wonder about the Yankees mind-set in this game. After draining series against two of their biggest rivals, will the Yankees be ready for an Angels team that despite consecutive losses to Detroit, had won 11 of 13 games in impressive fashion. I say the Angels get back on track behind one of the best young pitchers in baseball, with a little help from an offense that, despite getting shut out yeaterday, has been producing of late.



Take the LA Angels behind Weaver over the NY Yankees as your top-rated play of the day.



2. Athletics- Sorry Baltimore backers, but the struggling Orioles offense gets no reprieve tonight, as they face-off against the A's red-hot Dan Haren. Haren, who's second in the Majors with a 1.74 ERA, is coming off another strong start, where he allowed 2 earned on 3 hits over 7 innings to the Giants, in an eventual 4-2 A's win. Look for another dominating performance tonight, especially considering the faltering Orioles offense is averaging just .236 against righties over their last 10 games... And Haren is one of the best, plain and simple.





While its hard to argue with Eric Bedard's last 3 starts, where he's posted an impressive 1.71 ERA, its easy to see how his team has wasted those starts, as he's now in the midst of 5 straight no-decisions. In other words, while neither team is playing particularly well right now, we can attribute some of the A's woes with their injury situation, however what do you attribute the Orioles slide to? Piss-poor hitting by their batting order AND a bullpen that's posted an ugly 4.15 ERA this season.



Bottom line, despite their injuries, the play here is on the A's, who even with their injuries are playing a hell of a lot better than the Orioles are. Two solid pitchers square off in this one, but only Haren has an offense and a bullpen that's not laughable right now.



Take the Athletics behind Haren over the Orioles in this MLB showdown.



3. Mariners- After a strong 10-game stretch, it appears the Royals may have run out of steam, losing badly to the Indians yesterday. More of the same tonight, as they face-off against the Mariners Felix Hernandez, who despite looking rusty in his last 2 starts, appears poised to get back to his winning ways in this one.



Biggest reason Hernandez should do just fine tonight, is he's got the backing of a surging Seattle offense that's batting an impressive .319 against righties over their last 10 games! With sufficient run support, plus a couple starts to get going, expect to see a lot more of the old Hernandez... The one that dazzled hitters in the early season before his injury.



Opposing Hernandez is the Royals Gil Meche, who despite being one of their most consistent pitchers, is just 0-1 over his last 3 starts, including a real ugly effort at Colorado, where he allowed 5 runs on 8 hits over just 5 innings. This is significant, because it won't get any easier against a red-hot Mariners batting order led by Suzuki, who's hitting .434 during his 17 game hitting streak!



Bottom line, depsite recent success, the Royals will be hard-pressed to do much against the Mariners Hernandez, who looks primed and ready to get the "W" tonight. While on the other hand, Gil Meche will have his hands full with this Seattle offense, as he losses his second game in as many starts.



Take the Mariners behind Hernandez over the Royals in this MLB match up.

Karl Garrett

30 DIMER - DETROIT TIGERS -1 1/2 RUNS....10 DIMERS - METS WITH HERNANDEZ, & A'S WITH HAREN

30 DIMER - DETROIT TIGERS -1 1/2 RUNS



Big weekend series at Comerica, and my money says the Tigers start this series off with a statement.



Detroit just pounded the Angels 12-0 yesterday, and while Cleveland finally got off the schneid against Kansas City, the Tribe is just 11-13 away from home this year.



Last year the Tigers went 13-6 in the season series, and while Nate Robertson's past starts against the Indians don't support my argument, Robertson has gone 3-1 at home this season.



With Sheffield, Guillen, and Ordonez on-fire right now, I will back the Tigers on the RUN LINE to get to Paul Byrd who is due for a shelling.



Tigers on the RUN LINE tonight, let's call it 9-4 Detroit!



10 DIMER - NY METS WITH HERNANDEZ



El Duque is back for the Mets, and Willie Randolph's team could sure use him at 100% for the rest of the way.



New York did drop 2 of 3 at Atlanta, but they are 2-0 this season at Florida, and 12-8 overall in Miami since 2005. This will be the Mets 1st look at Sergio Mitre who has been throwing well his last few times to the hill.



The Mets were held to just 1 run by John Smoltz and the Braves bullpen last night, while Florida's pitching was a tad extended in the extra-inning affair with Philly last night.



I like the Mets to take this one.



10 DIMER - OAKLAND ATHLETICS WITH HAREN



Haren and Bedard have been sizzling of late, but Bedard has not fooled the A's his last few starts against them, and his mates are on a 3-8 slide their last 11!



That is trouble against an Oakland team that loves to play at Camden Yards as evidenced by their 10-2 mark the last 3 years.



Dan Haren has a season ERA under 2, while Eric Bedard's season ERA still stands at over 4 despite 21 innings of 4 run ball his last 3 times out!



The A's do bring an above .500 road mark for the year into town, and the price is sure cheap tonight with a pitcher that is not likely to give up more than 2 runs.



A's beat O's!

Michael Cannon

Friday's Plays...

15 Dime –



ANGELS (With Weaver and Clippard as listed pitchers)



Take the Angels for the win tonight in the Bronx over the Yankees.



I’m still not sold on the Yankees pitching staff right now and I think the Angels are going to spoil Tyler Clippard’s Yankee Stadium debut.



Jered Weaver gets the start for the Angels tonight and he’s looked more like the rookie that dominated the American League last year. The right-hander will be trying for his third straight win and is 2-0 with a 1.83 ERA in his last three starts after starting the year 1-3 with a 5.12 ERA.



The Angels have given the Yankees a tough time over the years, going 6-4 against New York last season. They are the only team with a winning record against the Yankees during Joe Torre’s tenure as manager, going 55-52 overall and 28-24 in the Bronx since Torre took over in 1996.



The Angels offense will be spurred on by Orlando Cabrera, who is hitting .431 (25-for-58) during his 14-game hitting streak, and of course Vladimir Guerrero, who is a career .309 hitter against New York and has hit .455 (10-for-22) in his last five games against the Yankees.



The pressure of pitching in Yankee Stadium may get to Clippard tonight, so take the Angels behind Weaver for the road win.



5 Dime –



INDIANS (With Byrd and Robertson as listed pitchers)



Take the Indians as the road dog for the win tonight over the Tigers.



Paul Byrd is scheduled to start for the Tribe and he’s been solid this year, going 4-1 with a 3.55 ERA in seven starts. His command has been unbelievable this year, as he’s walked only three batters over 45 2-3 innings, and he hasn’t issued a walk over his last 30 2-3 innings.



He should turn in a quality start tonight against the free-swinging Tigers.



Over his career, Byrd is 6-2 with a 3.04 ERA in 12 games against Detroit.



Tigers’ starter Nate Robertson has been shaky over his last three starts, going 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA in only 14 2-3 innings. The left-hander is 2-3 with a 5.00 ERA in 11 lifetime appearances against the Tribe.



Take the Indians as the road dog for the win.



WHITE SOX (With Buerhle as listed pitcher)



Take the White Sox as the home chalk for the win tonight over the Devil Rays.



Mark Buerhle gets the nod for the ChiSox and I expect him to out duel Tampa’s James Shields.



Buerhle is 5-1 lifetime against the Devil Rays with a 4.22 ERA.



Shields has been great this year for Tampa Bay, but they just can’t seem to get this guy any runs, as he’s just 3-0 in nine games despite a 2.94 ERA.



Take the White Sox as the Devil Rays offense fails to come through again tonight for Shields.



Bonus Play: RED SOX -1 1/2 RUN LINE (For analysis watch my daily video)

Rob House

1,000,000* AL Game of the Week

1,000,000? Seattle Mariners W/ Hernandez



I know Hernandez has struggle since coming off the DL but he's got two starts under his belt now and I'm really looking for him to make an impact in a big way tonight.



His first start back, he allowed 3 earned runs and 7 hits in just 3 2/3 innings pitched against the Angels.



In his next starts he allowed 2 earned runs and 8 hits against the Padres. Tonight, I expect him to dazzle. Seattle took 2 of 3 from the Royals in the first series these teams played this year and with King Felix on the hill I expect them to start this series off with an easy winner here.



Take the Mariners in this one and expect a gem from Hernandez.





500,000? Chicago White Sox W/ Buehrle



Shields has been good this year for the D'Rays but I like the match-up here with Buehrle and the White Sox.



Chicago is the better team and Buehrle is usually always good at home. Tampa Bay is a bad road team and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games. Chicago has won 3 of 4 so in this spot I feel they are a good play tonight.



Take the Chisox.





Sports Gambling Hotline

HARTFORD SERVICE

For Friday in MLB, Top-Rated 3? on the Mets with Hernandez. Bonus 2?s on Detroit with Robertson, and a 2? on Minnesota with Baker.
 
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Tony Mathew's Free MLB Selection for May 25, 2007.

Matchup: Oakland Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles

Selection: Oakland/Baltimore Under 7.5 (-110)

Explanation: We expect a low-scoring game as the Oakland Athletics face-off against the Baltimore Orioles in Friday's MLB contest.

The Oakland Athletics will use starting pitcher Danny Haren. Danny Haren has been pitching great this season (1.71 ERA). In addition, the Under is 8-2 in Danny Haren's 10 starts this season.

As for the Baltimore Orioles, they will use starting pitcher Erik Bedard. Erik Bedard has been pitching great as of late (1.71 ERA in his last 3 starts). The Under is also a perfect 3-0 in his last 3 starts.

To put it simple, great pitching almost always equals a low-scoring game!

Take the Oakland Athletics/Baltimore Orioles Under 7.5!


The Wunderdog
Game: L A Angels at New York Yankees (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: L A Angels +127

The Angels may not appear to have a good road record, but that is due in large part to a 1-7 finish to their first road trip of the season. It was a trip that saw them score just 6 runs in their last 6 games while on the road. They have since been 10-7 on the road, and have averaged close to five runs a game and overall they have gone 11-4 in their last 15 games. Jerod Weaver is one of the top pitchers in all of baseball. He came up last year and went 11-2 with a 2.56 ERA. He allowed 1 run or less in 10 of 18 starts and 3 runs or less in 15 of 18. He started the season on the DL, and needed some time to get command and arm strength. He is showing again why he is one of the best, as he has allowed 1 run or less in 3 of his last 5, and 3 runs or less in all 5 games. The Yankees will again put their hands in the faith of a rookie, Tyler Clippard, who pitched well against the Red Sox, but he is more likely to struggle this second time out vs. an Angel lineup that has fared well !
at Yankee Stadium. All the winning the Yankees have done the last 6 years has not translated to success against the Angels, who have been 22-18 at Yankee Stadium the last 6 years, good for +25 units. We like the pitching matchup and the better bullpen to win one as a dog.

Will Cover
4*mets

Stan Sharp - Triple Dime

Mariners -115

Strike Point Sports
400 Atlanta Braves-1.5 C. Jordan
100 Under Mets

Mavericks Picks
NBA Utah -2,
MLB ATl under 8.5, Oak, San Diego

Winning Points <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->I signed up for a month of Baseball...Here are today's plays.
6 Oakland
5 LA Angels
4 Philadelphia

FPBE Free Picks <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Marc Lawrence - CHW -150 MLB
Rocky Atkinson - ATL -165 MLB
Matty O'Shea - LAA +125 MLB
Ben Burns - OAK/BAL under 7.5 MLB
Larry Ness - MIN -132 MLB
Bryan Leonard - SEA/KC under 8 MLB
Tony George - ATL -165 MLB
Jeff Bonds - LAA +125 MLB

sebastian higher then 20* baseball?? <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Sebastian Sports (13-8-1 / +415)
MLB - Atlanta (-1.5) (+130


gogoplata lost yesterday and is starting over - but still a solid record & capper

gogoplata
Survivor Pick Record: 25-9-1
Fri pick: NYY

cremaster is missing in action<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->__________________


MASTER SPORTS 4* Seatle/K.C. over

GREAT LAKE SPORTS 3* Minnesota

ROCKETMAN SPORTS 1* Atlanta


Sebastian <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Sebastian:

10*-Cinn
10*-Sea
10*-Sea under
20*-Atl
20*-SD
30*-Oak

TRIPLE CROWN SPORTS (24-14 on 4*& up ytd.)

5* LAA Angels under 9.5

4* Oakland

3* K.C.

3*Atlanta


PPoD
<HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1>
<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->NY Yankees



Frank Rosenthal

FRIDAY, MAY 25, 2007

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
902 FISH UNDER 9 SB+
909 ASTROS+115 SB
911 BREWERS+120 SB
916 DODGERS-120 SB
918 YANKS-125 SB
922 COOKIES-105 SB
925 SEATTLE-110 SB
928 CWS-135 SB+
GOOD LUCK!
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Larry Ness

15* AL Game of the Week

My 15* play is on the oak A's at 7:05 ET. The Oakland A's have enjoyed visiting Baltimore over the last few years. Oakland has won 13 of its last 15 games in Baltimore, including four straight. The A's swept a two-game series at Camden Yards April 23-24 in their first meetings with the Orioles this season. Overall, Oakland has won 10 of its last 12 games against Baltimore. The Orioles lost for the eighth time in 11 games on Thursday, falling 5-4 to Toronto in 10 innings and after an 11-7 start in 2007, have now gone 10-19 to fall to 21-26. Oakland sends its ace to the mound tonight in Danny Haren. Haren's made 10 starts in 2007, allowing more than two ERs (three, to be exact!) just ONCE! He's allowed only 47 hits in 67.1 innings and his 1.74 ERA is the lowest in the AL among qualifying pitchers. He's just 4-2 overall but the team has won SIX of his last eight starts and he's gone at least six innings in all but one start all year! Bedard (3-2, 4.28) goes for the Orioles and the lefty is 0-2 with a 5.16 ERA in five career starts against the A's (team is 0-5!). While The A's have averaged 4.58 RPG this year, in 17 starts vs left-handed starters, they've averaged 5.59 RPG.

AL Game of the Week 15* Oak A's.




Larry Ness

20* NL Game of the Month

My 20* play is on the SD Padres at 10:05 ET. The Brewers, who last had a winning season back in 1992, got off to a 24-10 start and were the talk of all of MLB. The team has struggled lately, dropping nine of its last 13 games, including seven of its last 10 on the road (minus-$415). Despite a 3-1 loss last night, the Padres (behind an outstanding starting staff) have won seven of their last 10. Tonight's matchup sets up nicely for San Diego with vet Greg Maddux going against Milwaukee's Dave Bush. Milwaukee was 48-33 at home last year but just 27-54 on the road. Bush mirrored his team, as the Brewers went 12-3 in his home starts where he posted a 3.23 ERA but 4-13 in his road starts, where his ERA ballooned to 5.38. He had an excellent first road start this year, allowing just one ER in six innings at Florida on April 11 but over his last three away outings, he's reverted to last year's form. He's failed to get out of the sixth inning in any one of those starts, posting a 7.47 ERA, as the Brewers have lost all three. Greg Maddux also had much different results home and away last year. At home for both the Cubs and then the Dodgers, he posted a 3.41 ERA but on the road, his ERA was 5.20. In five road starts this year, his ERA is 6.00 but at home things have been much better. The four-time NL Cy Young Award winner dropped his Padres debut on April 6 at home to Colorado but has bounced back to win his next three starts at Petco Park by posting a 1.23 ERA, striking out 14 and walking only one batter in that span! With the Brewers not hitting (have scored just 36 runs over their last 11 games!), Maddux will be just fine, while I fully expect Dave Bush to continue with his road struggles.

NL Game of the Month 20* SD Padres.


----------------------------


MLB Toronto vs. Minnesota
Take Minnesota Twins
Minnesota had the best home record in the majors last season at 54-27 but is tied with Colorado for the majors' fourth-worst home record this year (10-13). The Twins return home from a 4-5 road trip, capped by a 5-3 win over Texas on Wednesday. Toronto defeated Baltimore 5-4 in 10 innings on Thursday and has won eight of 12 following a nine-game losing streak. Scott Baker (1-0, 2.16 ERA) goes for the Twins and he looks to build off a strong first start of the season in his last outing. Baker spent parts of the last two seasons with Minnesota but began the year with Triple-A Rochester before being recalled for last Saturday's game against Milwaukee. The right-hander allowed two runs and six hits while striking out five in a career-high 8.1 innings of a 5-2 win. Baker, who has made 26 career starts, now looks to win back-to-back outings for the first time in his first career appearance against the Blue Jays. The good news is that the Blue Jays are just 12-20 (minus-$1,020) this year vs right-handers. For Toronto, it's rookie Jesse Litsch (1-1, 3.55), making his third career start. He hopes to bounce back from his last outing. He allowed one run and four hits in 8.2 innings in a 2-1 win over Baltimore on May 15 in his major league debut but yielded four runs and seven hits (two HRs) in just four innings of a 5-3 loss to Philadelphia on Sunday. Take Minnesota.
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May 6, 2006
Messages
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Tri-State
<HR style="COLOR: #ffffff" SIZE=1>MLB:
H/R: 32-22 OAKLAND -111 (200)

CARMINE: 27-19 ARIZONA -123 (100)

DOC: 26-25 LA DODGERS -113 (20)

Bonus Play: 59-53 REDS -155

WNBA: DOC: 3-3
SAN ANTONIO +2 (50)
CHICAGO +7 (50)

AFL: 53 -45
ORLANDO -8 (100)
SAN JOSE -6 (100)

NFLE: 5-13
Amsterdam -2 (20)


Louie Mayo


(50*) (32-17) CUBS +105 (LILLY)
Lilly leads the National league in strikeouts to walks ratio. 54 k's to 10 walks. His last start was pushed back because coach didn't want to throw 3 lefties back, to back, to back. LOWE leads league in COMPLETE games, BUT both were losses and only 1 run in both games combined by his offense. Nothing different here an easy CUB WIN!

(30*) (26-21) OAKLAND -111 (HAREN)
Haren has 7 consecutive starts without allowing more than 2 earned runs in any game. Bedard in 6 straight starts has NO wins with 5 straight NO decisions. EASY OAKLAND WIN!

(20*) (24-19) REDS -155 (HARANG)
Maholm has 2 straight losses and is NOT aggressive enough to tame these REDS bats. HARANG is coming off a 5-3 loss against the Indians, BUT that was first game back from bereavement leave. He was in San Diego with his ailing grandfather and his head was NOT in the game. LOOK for him to rebound on Friday and give the REDS 7 or 8 strong innings enroute to an easy REDS win!

WNBA: (1-1)
PHOENIX -6 (50*)


Picks from the Bottom
<HR style="COLOR: #ffffff" SIZE=1>Oakland
Minnesota
 

Member
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Sep 18, 2006
Messages
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My Plays for Friday (if anyone's interested):

3* ATL -160
2* Mets -131
2* CIN -164
2* MIL OV 7.5 -115
2* LAD OV 7.5 -115

Record: 90~60~2
 

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Sep 18, 2006
Messages
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Welcome back, how was the time off?

Sometimes that is needed.

GL

BB

Thanks BB ~

Yeah...I was getting SO-OOOOO frustrated with bases. The time off was great. Ready to grind it out again if everyone wants my spreadsheets and/or plays daily, or a few times a week, etc.
 
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Messages
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Dr B

No NBA scheduled for Friday.

I'll release Saturday's NBA at 10 am Pacific on Saturday morning.



Arena Football
I have been handicapping Arena Football for 7 weeks and I’m 5-3-1 on the games that I have played so far. I believe that the indicators that work in the NFL and College football will work in the AFL. I have also created a math model that I believe to have some merit and I will continue to handicap the AFL this Summer.
Friday Arena Football
I don't have any Best Bets or Strong Opinions on tonight's two games, but I lean with Utah +8 (my math model favors Orlando by 6 1/2 points) and I lean with Nashville +6 (my math favors San Jose by just 4 1/2 points and the Sabercats haven't played nearly as well away from home this season and are 5-10 ATS as a road favorite the last 3 seasons).
 

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May 17, 2007
Messages
681
Tokens
My Plays for Friday (if anyone's interested):

3* ATL -160
2* Mets -131
2* CIN -164
2* MIL OV 7.5 -115
2* LAD OV 7.5 -115

Record: 90~60~2

im interested SDS, you shold make a thread everyday with ur plays! one of the few cappers on here i respect, just bang my mets play even harder now :dancefool
 
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Messages
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Culver baseball Friday (5 /25/07)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Phillies +150
Pirates +156
Nationals +158
Padres -126
Rockies +155
Cubs +115
Angels +126
Indians +111
Rangers +170
Devil Rays +132
Blue Jays +137
 

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Jan 28, 2007
Messages
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BB, no problem just tryin to contribute to ur guys hard work. Woulda thrown more in, but didnt have time 2 scan. sds nice to see u back. :aktion033
 

Member
Joined
Sep 18, 2006
Messages
7,659
Tokens
My Plays for Friday (if anyone's interested):

3* ATL -160
2* Mets -131
2* CIN -164
2* MIL OV 7.5 -115
2* LAD OV 7.5 -115

Record: 90~60~2

Sports Man, BF2 ~ Thanks ~ Glad to be back



Adding:

CWS -138
WA +1.5 -143
 

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