three today with analysis

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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">4</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+9.44 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">49</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">55</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+9.30 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since April 2007)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">77</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">100</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-14.07 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.

Washington +1.65 over ST. LOUIS
This line is just plain ludicrous and that’s all there is to it. This price is predicated on what? That the Cards won the World Series last year? Yeah, well they weren’t very good last year and they’re 10 times worse this year, minus the motivation. If Chris Carpenter was healthy and he was pitching here then yeah, the Card should be this big a price but Adam Wainright should not be chalk over anyone, let alone a 1.75 favorite. Wainright has surrendered 71 hits in 49 innings, his ERA is 6.02 and the opposition is hitting a hefty .346 off him. This month the opposition is hitting .368 off him and his ERA in his last three starts is 7.07. Meanwhile, the Nationals have the best record in baseball over the last two weeks. They’re getting great offensive production and Matt Chico is slowly turning into a rock solid starter after a shaky start. Over his last six starts, Chico has beaten the Mets, Braves, Marlins and Cinci and threw a seven-inning gem against the Brewers in a game the Nats lost 3-0. There’s not a single pitcher on the Red Birds that’s worthy of being this price and there’s not a single team in the majors that they’re that much superior to, Again, this price is ludicrous. Play: Washington +1.65 (Risking 2 units). <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
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Anaheim +1.26 over NY YANKEES
We’re suggesting that the Angel’s should be about 1.40 favorite here and the only reason they’re not is because when you wager on the Yanks you pay a premium to do so. John Lackey is one of the most reliable and consistent starters in the business. All he does is go out there every fifth day and throw gem after gem after gem. Lackey will not only pitch effectively in 90% of his starts but he’ll pitch deep into games. He comes in with an ERA of 2.38 and this month in four starts he’s 3-1 with a 2.63 ERA and he’s held the opposition to a .198 batting average. Lackey is the straight goods. Meanwhile, the Yanks don’t know where to turn and Mike Mussina is not the answer. Mussina’s ERA at Yankee Stadium this season is 8.10 and overall it’s 6.52. Mussina has surrendered 15 earned runs in his last 16 innings. He’s a worn down pitcher with a worn out arm. The Angels are steaming, they’re the better team, their pitcher and their pen is hugely superior and they getting a tag in this one? Get in line behind us. Play: Anaheim +1.26 (Risking 2 units). <o:p></o:p>
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Seattle –1½ +1.25 over KANSAS CITY
The Mariners continue to perform under the radar but that’s not going to last too much longer. A close look at this squad shows an offensive line-up that has four out of the nine regulars hitting above .300 and two others, Ibanez and Bettencourt, batting in the high .280’s. What makes that even more impressive is that half of their games are played at that pitchers paradise in Seattle. Thus, when these Mariners hit the road it’s not surprising to see them score like madmen just like they’ve done in the first two games of this series, scoring 10 and 9 runs respectively. Seattle will face Odalis Perez here and Perez will be the third best starter the Mariners will see this weekend. Perez is extremely hittable, as his 5.72 ERA and .316 batting average against would attest to. Furthermore, the Mariners are 8-3 against southpaws and Perez is the 12th best southpaw to start against them this season. By contrast, the Royals are 1-5 at home vs lefties and 3-11 overall and they’ll see another one here in Jarrod Washburn. Washburn’s ERA on the road is 1.74 and it’s also worth noting that his last two games on the road were against the Yanks and Devil Rays, two of the best offensive clubs in the league. The Mariners won the first two games of this series by eight runs each and this one might be worse. Play: Seattle –1½ +1.25 (Risking 2 units).
 

Rx Addict
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i like anaheim from your card, lackey is a solid guy he can sweep yankees.
also i dont undestand lately why nats are still heavy dog in every game if would have bet them on that streak god we have made a lot of cash.
 

New member
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Feb 10, 2005
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With you on 1 and 2. Third game seems complicated to me and just passing it. GL
 

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Nov 23, 2004
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I couldn't agree more and was already on all these plays (plus Toronto). Looks solid. Love your writeups, keep up the good work!
 

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Thanks SDD:

Funny thing is I wrote in CK's thread to lay off the Jays or rather to be cautious about playing them today.
 

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