four tonight w/analysis

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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">2</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+3.56 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">49</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">53</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+14.54 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since April 2007)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">82</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">101</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-2.19 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.

WASHINGTON +1.53 over Los Angeles
As Vin Scully would say, “The Nationals come into this game riding a very nice streak, having won 12 of their past 17 games and five of their past six. (Remember now, this is in Vin Scully’s legendary voice)..”Including pitchers, the Nationals have seven players on the current roster who’s last name begins with the letter “C”, so as we get set for the first pitch a sea of Nationals take the field to a nice ovation from the fans”. Washington is hot, very hot and not only are they winning but they’re scoring runs like mad. In fact, the Nats scored 49 runs on their just ended seven-game road trip and batted .310. Things will be a little tougher against Brad Penny but Penny is beginning to show signs of slowing way down after a torrid start. On the road his ERA is an impressive 3.46, however, the opposition has hit .283 off him and that’s very mediocre indeed. Jason Simontacchi will start for the Nats and here’s a guy that missed the past two seasons with injuries. He’s really rounding into nice form and has gotten progressively better in each of his four starts. Simontacchi is coming off two very decent performances against the O’s and Reds and it’s also worth noting that he’s struck out 16 batters in 22 frames. Playing on a hot team with a better then 3-2 take-back is never a bad idea and as long as these Nats keep paying big dividends we’ll continue to watch them closely. Overlay. Play: Washington +1.53 (Risking 2 units). <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
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COLORADO +1.06 over St. Louis
The Cardinals favored here is ridiculous. First off, Colorado is on fire and have now won six in a row having beaten Arizona twice before going into San Fran this past weekend and putting a beat-down on the Giants. They returned home yesterday and put away this intruder early. The Rockies have outscored their opponents 28-11 during the streak and they hit .281 during the win streak, and its staff ERA of 1.80 is the best in the majors over that span. Rodrigo Lopez returns to the mound after being on the DL since April 18. Lopez was an Oriole from 2000-2006 and what we do know is that he has some very nasty stuff. He’s been inconsistent but he can be downright dominating. Oh, he was thriving in the National League before he was injured, as his 1.59 ERA in three April starts would attest to. Lopez is a ground-ball pitcher and when he’s on he’s as tough to rally against as anyone. Meanwhile, the Cardinals continue to just go through the motions and if there’s a less-motivated team in the majors, we haven’t seen them yet. The Cards have dropped six in a row on the road and 11 of its past 13. Braden Looper has been steady in the rotation but Looper is a reliever turned starter and he’s been torched twice in his last five starts. In fact, over that stretch of five games, Looper faced Pittsburgh, San Diego at Petco, Houston, Milwaukee and Detroit. Now, look at those five teams and take a guess which two ripped him a new you-know-what. If you guessed the latter two you’re right and that’s revealing. He was very good against Houston, Pitt and at Petco just like about 95% of all pitchers usually are. Wrong side favored here. Play: Colorado +1.06 (Risking 2 units). <o:p></o:p>
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TORONTO +1.43 over NY Yankees
This is beginning to sound like a broken record but playing against the Yankees has been a cash cow and we’re not about to stop now. The Blue Jays are warm, having won four straight and five of six at home. It’s also worth noting that the Jays are 6-1 vs lefties at the Rogers center and will face another one here in Andy Pettitte. The Jays will counter with Shaun Marcum and this guy has one of the best young arms in the game. Marcum has struck out 37 hitters in 35 innings and continues to give the Jays quality starts one after another. In fact, Marcum has pitched into the seventh inning in four straight starts. Overall he’s only allowed three jacks in 64 innings and the fact that the Yanks are -1.53 here is just plain ludicrous. The Yanks are simply not that good, their pitching staff is woeful, they’re not hitting and there’s nothing to like about them as big chalk. Once again we find tremendous value going against them. Play: Toronto +1.43 (Risking 2 units).<o:p></o:p>
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Seattle +1.35 over L.A. Angels
The starting pitchers in baseball are largely responsible for the betting line but let’s face it, if the better pitcher won every day we’d all be rich. The point is, does it really matter who’s pitching here when the Mariners are seeing beach balls? We mentioned on Sunday that the Mariners have four of the nine regulars hitting over.300 and two others, Ibanez and Bettencourt, are hitting in the mid .280’s. Seattle has scored 50 runs in their past five games and that’s not a typo. Besides, Earvin (Magic) Santana is extremely inconsistent and very hittable. Santana has allowed 68 hits in 57 innings and the most alarming thing about that is the opposition has gone yard on him an eye-opening 13 times. He’s also walked 25 hitters and his ERA on the year is 6.00 and over his last three starts his ERA is 8.04. So, yeah, we’d say the hottest hitting team in the majors has a shot here, wouldn’t you? Play Seattle: +1.35 (Risking 2 units).
 

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