Ben Burns
MAJOR MISMATCH
Phillies
charlie
nba. detroit @ cleveland over 171 (500*)
nba. cleveland-1' (30*)
mlb. san diego+130 (20*)
mlb. cubs-140 (20*)
mlb. white sox+120 (10*)
mlb. st.louis-110 (10*) Bonus Play
Big Al McMordie
Cardinals at Rockies
Prediction: Cardinals
Rockies starter and former Baltimore right-hander Rodrigo Lopez (1-0, 1.59 ERA) was off to a good start to the season before being sidelined with an elbow injury on April 19 after making three starts for his new team. Lopez has gone from runner up in AL Rookie of the Year voting (with the O's in 2002) to almost being an afterthought as a major league starter. In fact, this may be his last chance as a regular MLB rotation member. The Rockies are hoping that with this injury behind him, Lopez can contribute the rest of the way for his team. But coming back against the defending NL champs in his first start off the DL is a tall order indeed. One of the biggest problems the Rockies will face is limiting Lopez's pitches and having to rely on their shaky bullpen for perhaps the last 3+ innings of the game. The Rockies' relievers have been getting blasted lately with a 6.64 ERA and 2.01 WHIP in their last three games heading into yesterday's game. It looks like St. Louis made the right move converting Braden Looper to a starter - the veteran right-hander is a productive 6-3 and the Cards have won seven of his 10 starts this year. The Cardinals have won nine of the last dozen meetings with the Rockies. Take St. Louis
Tom Stryker
Yankees at Blue Jays
Prediction: Yankees
Off four consecutive losses, look for the "Bronx Bombers" to bounce back nicely with southpaw Andy Pettitte (3-3, 2.66 ERA) on the mound. In his last four starts against the likes of Boston, the Mets, Seattle and Texas, Pettitte has been touched for only seven earned runs and 30 hits in 28.1 innings of work. Those numbers are good but Pettitte's career marks against Toronto are better. With 28 starts against the Blue Jays in the books, the lefty from Baton Rouge has posted a 15-7 record against Toronto and has surrendered 88 earned runs and 196 hits in 184.1 frames. That breaks down to a respectable 4.30 ERA and a WHIP of 1.37! Toronto will counter with big right-hander Shaun Marcum (2-2, 4.33 ERA). Normally a relief pitcher, Marcum has faced Tampa Bay, Philadelphia and Baltimore in his last three appearances and has thrown the ball pretty well. In 19 innings, Marcum has been nicked for only six earned runs and 10 hits. He has fanned 15 batters in the process. Unfortunately for the Blue Jays, the one team Marcum has struggled against is New York. In six games against the Yankees, including four starts, Marcum has allowed 15 earned runs and 26 hits in 18.2 innings. That breaks down to an ugly 7.23 ERA and a WHIP of 1.93. The Yankees have only dropped five consecutive games once this season. With ace pitcher Pettitte on the hill, the "Boys from the Big Apple" will get the job done. Take New York.
Wunderdog
Game: Seattle at L A Angels (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: L A Angels -148
We have had a great feel for this Angel team the entire season, especially of late. We had them all three games as a dog vs. the Yankees and we went against them as they returned home yesterday. But it is time to call on them again. We figured they would be flat after traversing the country 3,000 miles after the Yankee series, and they were. Even though they had dominated Seattle winning 9 straight here before yesterday's losse, we felt a fade was in order. They get back on track tonight. Ervin Santana is off his worst start of the season, falling to Detroit 12-0. That is nothing new as he is the worst road pitcher in the league, and now stands at 0-5 9.30 ERA. The story is different at home. Santana is 3-1 with a 2.33 ERA. For his career he is 22-6 with an ERA of 3.00 at home, and 9-15 with an ERA of 6.71 on the road. The Angels win 75% of his home starts lifetime. The Mariners have been swinging the bats well, but will go with Ryan Feierabend. Feierabend is up from AAA tak!
ing the spot of Ramirez. Feierabend wasn't exactly burning up the PCL, where he had given up 63 hits in 49 innings of work, and has a minor league career record that is sub .500 at 30-31. Look for the Angels, who have been great at home, especially with Santana, and especially vs. the Mariners, to rebound with a win tonight.
Wunderdog
Game: Seattle at L A Angels (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: L A Angels -148
We have had a great feel for this Angel team the entire season, especially of late. We had them all three games as a dog vs. the Yankees and we went against them as they returned home yesterday. But it is time to call on them again. We figured they would be flat after traversing the country 3,000 miles after the Yankee series, and they were. Even though they had dominated Seattle winning 9 straight here before yesterday's losse, we felt a fade was in order. They get back on track tonight. Ervin Santana is off his worst start of the season, falling to Detroit 12-0. That is nothing new as he is the worst road pitcher in the league, and now stands at 0-5 9.30 ERA. The story is different at home. Santana is 3-1 with a 2.33 ERA. For his career he is 22-6 with an ERA of 3.00 at home, and 9-15 with an ERA of 6.71 on the road. The Angels win 75% of his home starts lifetime. The Mariners have been swinging the bats well, but will go with Ryan Feierabend. Feierabend is up from AAA tak!
ing the spot of Ramirez. Feierabend wasn't exactly burning up the PCL, where he had given up 63 hits in 49 innings of work, and has a minor league career record that is sub .500 at 30-31. Look for the Angels, who have been great at home, especially with Santana, and especially vs. the Mariners, to rebound with a win tonight.
Drew Gordon
200,000* Cavaliers
100,000* Padres
100,000* Braves
Rob House
5,000,000* MLB Game of the Year
Baltimore Orioles
1,000,000*
Detroit Pistons
Larry Ness
15* NL Underdog of the Week
Florida Marlins ML
Vegas Experts
St. Louis Cardinals at Colorado Rockies
Tuesday, May 29th, 9:05 PM EDT
St. Louis is 7-3 when Looper starts. The Cards have defeated Colorado 13 of the last 20 meetings. ST LOUIS is 114-93 against the money line in road games against NL West opponents since 1997. COLORADO is 47-78 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1997.
Play on: St. Louis
Dave Cokin
Take "(916) COL Rockies"
Things just aren't getting any better for the Cardinals. Cases in point, Scott Rolen and David Eckstein. Both had really been struggling until recently when they both started to finally hit. But Murphy's Law has zoned in on the defending champs this season, so naturally Rolen and Eckstein both got hurt over the weekend and the Cards could be without their services again tonight. The Rockies got the best of the Redbirds Monday, and are worth backing again here."
Hondo Likes the Orioles
Hondo
Contreras had nothing yesterday, just like those years with the Yankees, so the Chisox were mauled in Minny and Hondo's earnings dipped back into double figures at 85 forsters.
Today, Mr. Aitch will give Guthrie another opportunity to earn a semi-permanent stall in the stable. Ten units on the Orioles
Michael Cannon
Money Train
30 Dime
CAVALIERS
10 Dime
ORIOLES
5 Dime
BRAVES
Jim Feist
Take "(918) TOR Blue Jays"
The Yankees are reeling, with injuries to the starting staff and leadoff hitter Johnny Damon limping around. They are also playing with no confidence, losing 10 of 15. Toronto starter Shaun Marcum has been effective, with a 4.33 ERA and allowing just 27 hits in 35 innings. He also has 37 Ks in 35 innings. Toronto's offense is healthy making them a very live home dog. Play the Blue Jays!
Michael Cannon Wins Big on the Spurs, Has Cavs Tonight
Michael Cannon Money Train
Tuesday's Plays..
30 Dime –
CAVALIERS
Take the Cavs to even the series at 2-2 tonight at home in the Eastern Conference finals.
Cleveland will be without Larry Hughes, who injured his left foot during the Game 3 win, but I believe that it will actually work to their benefit. In addition to forcing them to play with greater focus, the Cavs will actually get a lift on the scoring end as Hughes has been mired in a shooting slump during the entire postseason.
Rookie Daniel Gibson will get more playing time, and the second-round pick from Texas made several crucial plays at both ends of the floor in the fourth quarter of Sunday’s victory. He also held his own while guarding Tayshaun Prince and Chauncey Billups.
Cleveland has held the rebounding advantage in all three games and has committed fewer turnovers than Detroit. The Cavs are also on a 5-1 SU run in the postseason and are 8-1 SU dating back to the regular season.
With this line being what it is, all the Cavs have to do is win and they most likely will cover.
Detroit just hasn’t put it all together in this series and I don’t see them getting it done tonight on the road. Not with the way Billups has been turning the ball over and not with the way Prince has struggled from the field.
Take the Cavaliers for the win tonight at home as they even the series, 2-2.
10 Dime –
ORIOLES (With Guthrie and De La Rosa as listed pitchers)
Take the Orioles as the small road chalk for the win tonight over the Royals.
I gave you the O’s as a 5 dime winner last night against these very Royals and I expect a carbon copy of last night’s performance tonight.
Jeremy Guthrie gets the nod for Baltimore and the young right-hander is 2-1 on the year with a 3.09 ERA in 11 games. He’s been even better over his last five games, going 1-0 with a 1.53 ERA in 29 1-3 innings.
The only problem is he hasn’t received a lot of run support this year, but I expect that to change tonight against Jorge De La Rosa.
The Royals left-hander has struggled over his last three games, going 1-1 with a 6.11 ERA in 17 2-3 innings. He has shown signs of his past struggles with control, issuing 10 walks over that span.
The O’s have won three straight and are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
With Kansas City mired in a five-game losing streak and with the way Guthrie has been pitching, take the Orioles as they grab the road win tonight.
5 Dime –
GIANTS (With Lincecum as listed pitcher)
Take the Giants at a nice plus return tonight on the road over the Mets.
Rookie phenom Tim Lincecum gets the nod tonight and this kid has been pitching lights out recently.
The right-hander is 2-0 on the year with a 3.08 ERA in four starts. He notched both of his wins over his last three starts and has posted a 1.64 ERA in that span, striking out 20 and walking only three in 22 innings.
He’ll be opposed by Oliver Perez and he also has been pitching great recently, but you have to wonder whether or not it’s for real. You have to account for his last two years in Pittsburgh, when he struggled with his command and velocity. I’m not saying he’s going to lay an egg tonight, but with a pitcher like Lincecum going tonight, I’ll take my chances at a big plus return with the Giants.
Take San Francisco for the road win.
BRAVES (With Smoltz as listed pitcher)
Take Atlanta for the road win over Milwaukee at a near even price.
You have to wonder whether or not the Brewers early season run was for real, because ever since they started playing some quality teams they’ve reverted back to their losing ways.
Milwaukee checks into tonight’s game mired in a six-game losing streak and are just 2-8 over their last 10.
They are going to have to try and break that streak tonight against John Smoltz, who is pitching like a Cy Young candidate right now. Smoltz is 7-2 on the year with a 2.58 ERA in 11 games. He’s 4-1 with a 1.04 ERA over his last five starts, including 2-1 with a 0.87 ERA over his last three.
Smoltz is also 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA in his career against Milwaukee.
The oft-injured Ben Sheets will get the nod for Milwaukee tonight, and despite his top of the rotation status, is just 4-3 on the year with a 3.75 ERA.
Take the Braves behind Smoltz for the road win tonight.
Bonus Play: MARLINS
Mejia's Projected Score in the Pistons/Cavs Game Tonight
Mejia Projected Score
Cavs 86 Pistons 83
FPBE Free Picks
Marc Lawrence - ATL -102 MLB
Matty O'Shea - MIN -130 MLB
Ben Burns - DET Pk NBA
Bryan Leonard - PIT -140 MLB
Rocky Atkinson - BOS -175 MLB
KEY GAMES:
3 Units (Bonus Play): OVER 10 Runs Detroit Tigers / TB
2 Units (Bonus Play): Cleveland Cavaliers +1.5
Silver Key (Bonus Play): Houston Astros -130
Gold Key (Paid Play): OVER 171 Pistons / Cavaliers
The Pistons under Head Coach Flip Saunders failed late in Game Three, but still lead this Series two games to one. They figure to play even stronger tonight, hoping to gain a win away from Home. The Pistons have shown little on Offense lately, and they might just break out of that scoring slump here this evening. Virtually all applicable trends favor the Under in this one with regard to the Pistons.
The Cavaliers under Head Coach Mike Brown came through late to win Game Three at Home, giving them life in this match up. They haven't been all that successful on Offense, and will be without G Hughes tonight. The Cavs will bring all their weapons to bear in front of the Home faithful to even this Series. Almost all trends favor the Under involving Cavs games, with the exception of 10-2 Over Against The Spread on Tuesday nights,
The Totals line overnited at 171. We'll go with the Over here tonight in a Gold Key Play.
Kelso NBA Playoff Tuesday
Kelso
25 units Pistons -1 @ Cavs
Here we go- Kelso wins yesterday after an incredible losing streak so he jumps up today's pick to 25 units in the attempt to get back to even for the playoffs.
He was 0-8 prior to yesterday
M@linsky (Bonus Play)
REASON FOR PICK: 4* CLEVELAND/BOSTON Over
Because of the early 7-0/2.66 by Josh Beckett this season we thought that the early 10.5’s on this one would become 10’s eventually, and they have, which means time to play. It is not necessarily that the "10" is so valuable, but rather just timing our play to get the best of the line; at first pitch 10.5 would have suited us anyway.
Yes, Beckett has been off to a great start. But much of that can be attributed to facing a weak schedule (of pitchers that have worked at least 40 innings, his opponents rate 88th in On-Base + Slugging), and now he is stepping up in a major way, facing a Cleveland offense that has absolutely mashed right-handed pitching. And the type of stuff that Beckett throws, hard and up in the strike zone, is a particular liability against the Indians. They have seen him twice since he came over to the A.L. and battered him for 16 runs (one unearned) in 9.2 innings, including three homers both at Jacobs Field and here in Fenway. Now Beckett also has a rhythm issue in his first outing since May 13, so it will not be a surprise at all for the Cleveland hitters to get good swings.
Meanwhile the Red Sox will get their cuts all night against Jeremy Sowers and a pedestrian Indian bullpen. Sowers is the worst possible matchup in Fenway; a left-hander with limited velocity that pitches to contact (only 13 strikeouts in 48.2 innings). It is so easy to re-direct his pitchers to the Green Monster for right-handed hitters, and against a patient lineup he faces real issues – the deeper he goes into a count the more vulnerable he is, because he lacks an "out" pitch. And while his awful road showings (1-3/7.28) might appear to be turning based on his win at Kansas City last week, take a closer look. He may have only allowed one run in seven innings but there was nothing behind his stuff at all – of the 20 batters that he retired, 15 came on fly balls. That same kind of stuff gets him knocked around here, and it sets the tone for what should be an explosive evening.
Cappersaccess
(Tue) NBA Cavaliers Pistons 1- Pistons
(Tue) MLB Astros Reds 130 Astros
Executive
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BASEBALL
Tues, May 29 9:05
COLORADO pk
over St.Louis
Guaranteed Pick: Tom Freese
Game: Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals May 29 2007 8:10PM
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles
Reason: Baltimore starter Jeremy Guthrie has been pitching lights out allowing 8 runs total in his 5 starts this year. Kansas City starter Jorge De La Rosa is in terrible KW form with more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts. The Royals bullpen has been getting roughed up as well. Kansas City is just 2-6 in Game 2 of a home series this year. 5* Play On Baltimore - (Guthrie vs. De La Rosa)
Tigers / Bonderman Priority Sports
Tigers Net Prophet Sports
MAJOR MISMATCH
Phillies
charlie
nba. detroit @ cleveland over 171 (500*)
nba. cleveland-1' (30*)
mlb. san diego+130 (20*)
mlb. cubs-140 (20*)
mlb. white sox+120 (10*)
mlb. st.louis-110 (10*) Bonus Play
Big Al McMordie
Cardinals at Rockies
Prediction: Cardinals
Rockies starter and former Baltimore right-hander Rodrigo Lopez (1-0, 1.59 ERA) was off to a good start to the season before being sidelined with an elbow injury on April 19 after making three starts for his new team. Lopez has gone from runner up in AL Rookie of the Year voting (with the O's in 2002) to almost being an afterthought as a major league starter. In fact, this may be his last chance as a regular MLB rotation member. The Rockies are hoping that with this injury behind him, Lopez can contribute the rest of the way for his team. But coming back against the defending NL champs in his first start off the DL is a tall order indeed. One of the biggest problems the Rockies will face is limiting Lopez's pitches and having to rely on their shaky bullpen for perhaps the last 3+ innings of the game. The Rockies' relievers have been getting blasted lately with a 6.64 ERA and 2.01 WHIP in their last three games heading into yesterday's game. It looks like St. Louis made the right move converting Braden Looper to a starter - the veteran right-hander is a productive 6-3 and the Cards have won seven of his 10 starts this year. The Cardinals have won nine of the last dozen meetings with the Rockies. Take St. Louis
Tom Stryker
Yankees at Blue Jays
Prediction: Yankees
Off four consecutive losses, look for the "Bronx Bombers" to bounce back nicely with southpaw Andy Pettitte (3-3, 2.66 ERA) on the mound. In his last four starts against the likes of Boston, the Mets, Seattle and Texas, Pettitte has been touched for only seven earned runs and 30 hits in 28.1 innings of work. Those numbers are good but Pettitte's career marks against Toronto are better. With 28 starts against the Blue Jays in the books, the lefty from Baton Rouge has posted a 15-7 record against Toronto and has surrendered 88 earned runs and 196 hits in 184.1 frames. That breaks down to a respectable 4.30 ERA and a WHIP of 1.37! Toronto will counter with big right-hander Shaun Marcum (2-2, 4.33 ERA). Normally a relief pitcher, Marcum has faced Tampa Bay, Philadelphia and Baltimore in his last three appearances and has thrown the ball pretty well. In 19 innings, Marcum has been nicked for only six earned runs and 10 hits. He has fanned 15 batters in the process. Unfortunately for the Blue Jays, the one team Marcum has struggled against is New York. In six games against the Yankees, including four starts, Marcum has allowed 15 earned runs and 26 hits in 18.2 innings. That breaks down to an ugly 7.23 ERA and a WHIP of 1.93. The Yankees have only dropped five consecutive games once this season. With ace pitcher Pettitte on the hill, the "Boys from the Big Apple" will get the job done. Take New York.
Wunderdog
Game: Seattle at L A Angels (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: L A Angels -148
We have had a great feel for this Angel team the entire season, especially of late. We had them all three games as a dog vs. the Yankees and we went against them as they returned home yesterday. But it is time to call on them again. We figured they would be flat after traversing the country 3,000 miles after the Yankee series, and they were. Even though they had dominated Seattle winning 9 straight here before yesterday's losse, we felt a fade was in order. They get back on track tonight. Ervin Santana is off his worst start of the season, falling to Detroit 12-0. That is nothing new as he is the worst road pitcher in the league, and now stands at 0-5 9.30 ERA. The story is different at home. Santana is 3-1 with a 2.33 ERA. For his career he is 22-6 with an ERA of 3.00 at home, and 9-15 with an ERA of 6.71 on the road. The Angels win 75% of his home starts lifetime. The Mariners have been swinging the bats well, but will go with Ryan Feierabend. Feierabend is up from AAA tak!
ing the spot of Ramirez. Feierabend wasn't exactly burning up the PCL, where he had given up 63 hits in 49 innings of work, and has a minor league career record that is sub .500 at 30-31. Look for the Angels, who have been great at home, especially with Santana, and especially vs. the Mariners, to rebound with a win tonight.
Wunderdog
Game: Seattle at L A Angels (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: L A Angels -148
We have had a great feel for this Angel team the entire season, especially of late. We had them all three games as a dog vs. the Yankees and we went against them as they returned home yesterday. But it is time to call on them again. We figured they would be flat after traversing the country 3,000 miles after the Yankee series, and they were. Even though they had dominated Seattle winning 9 straight here before yesterday's losse, we felt a fade was in order. They get back on track tonight. Ervin Santana is off his worst start of the season, falling to Detroit 12-0. That is nothing new as he is the worst road pitcher in the league, and now stands at 0-5 9.30 ERA. The story is different at home. Santana is 3-1 with a 2.33 ERA. For his career he is 22-6 with an ERA of 3.00 at home, and 9-15 with an ERA of 6.71 on the road. The Angels win 75% of his home starts lifetime. The Mariners have been swinging the bats well, but will go with Ryan Feierabend. Feierabend is up from AAA tak!
ing the spot of Ramirez. Feierabend wasn't exactly burning up the PCL, where he had given up 63 hits in 49 innings of work, and has a minor league career record that is sub .500 at 30-31. Look for the Angels, who have been great at home, especially with Santana, and especially vs. the Mariners, to rebound with a win tonight.
Drew Gordon
200,000* Cavaliers
100,000* Padres
100,000* Braves
Rob House
5,000,000* MLB Game of the Year
Baltimore Orioles
1,000,000*
Detroit Pistons
Larry Ness
15* NL Underdog of the Week
Florida Marlins ML
Vegas Experts
St. Louis Cardinals at Colorado Rockies
Tuesday, May 29th, 9:05 PM EDT
St. Louis is 7-3 when Looper starts. The Cards have defeated Colorado 13 of the last 20 meetings. ST LOUIS is 114-93 against the money line in road games against NL West opponents since 1997. COLORADO is 47-78 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1997.
Play on: St. Louis
Dave Cokin
Take "(916) COL Rockies"
Things just aren't getting any better for the Cardinals. Cases in point, Scott Rolen and David Eckstein. Both had really been struggling until recently when they both started to finally hit. But Murphy's Law has zoned in on the defending champs this season, so naturally Rolen and Eckstein both got hurt over the weekend and the Cards could be without their services again tonight. The Rockies got the best of the Redbirds Monday, and are worth backing again here."
Hondo Likes the Orioles
Hondo
Contreras had nothing yesterday, just like those years with the Yankees, so the Chisox were mauled in Minny and Hondo's earnings dipped back into double figures at 85 forsters.
Today, Mr. Aitch will give Guthrie another opportunity to earn a semi-permanent stall in the stable. Ten units on the Orioles
Michael Cannon
Money Train
30 Dime
CAVALIERS
10 Dime
ORIOLES
5 Dime
BRAVES
Jim Feist
Take "(918) TOR Blue Jays"
The Yankees are reeling, with injuries to the starting staff and leadoff hitter Johnny Damon limping around. They are also playing with no confidence, losing 10 of 15. Toronto starter Shaun Marcum has been effective, with a 4.33 ERA and allowing just 27 hits in 35 innings. He also has 37 Ks in 35 innings. Toronto's offense is healthy making them a very live home dog. Play the Blue Jays!
Michael Cannon Wins Big on the Spurs, Has Cavs Tonight
Michael Cannon Money Train
Tuesday's Plays..
30 Dime –
CAVALIERS
Take the Cavs to even the series at 2-2 tonight at home in the Eastern Conference finals.
Cleveland will be without Larry Hughes, who injured his left foot during the Game 3 win, but I believe that it will actually work to their benefit. In addition to forcing them to play with greater focus, the Cavs will actually get a lift on the scoring end as Hughes has been mired in a shooting slump during the entire postseason.
Rookie Daniel Gibson will get more playing time, and the second-round pick from Texas made several crucial plays at both ends of the floor in the fourth quarter of Sunday’s victory. He also held his own while guarding Tayshaun Prince and Chauncey Billups.
Cleveland has held the rebounding advantage in all three games and has committed fewer turnovers than Detroit. The Cavs are also on a 5-1 SU run in the postseason and are 8-1 SU dating back to the regular season.
With this line being what it is, all the Cavs have to do is win and they most likely will cover.
Detroit just hasn’t put it all together in this series and I don’t see them getting it done tonight on the road. Not with the way Billups has been turning the ball over and not with the way Prince has struggled from the field.
Take the Cavaliers for the win tonight at home as they even the series, 2-2.
10 Dime –
ORIOLES (With Guthrie and De La Rosa as listed pitchers)
Take the Orioles as the small road chalk for the win tonight over the Royals.
I gave you the O’s as a 5 dime winner last night against these very Royals and I expect a carbon copy of last night’s performance tonight.
Jeremy Guthrie gets the nod for Baltimore and the young right-hander is 2-1 on the year with a 3.09 ERA in 11 games. He’s been even better over his last five games, going 1-0 with a 1.53 ERA in 29 1-3 innings.
The only problem is he hasn’t received a lot of run support this year, but I expect that to change tonight against Jorge De La Rosa.
The Royals left-hander has struggled over his last three games, going 1-1 with a 6.11 ERA in 17 2-3 innings. He has shown signs of his past struggles with control, issuing 10 walks over that span.
The O’s have won three straight and are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
With Kansas City mired in a five-game losing streak and with the way Guthrie has been pitching, take the Orioles as they grab the road win tonight.
5 Dime –
GIANTS (With Lincecum as listed pitcher)
Take the Giants at a nice plus return tonight on the road over the Mets.
Rookie phenom Tim Lincecum gets the nod tonight and this kid has been pitching lights out recently.
The right-hander is 2-0 on the year with a 3.08 ERA in four starts. He notched both of his wins over his last three starts and has posted a 1.64 ERA in that span, striking out 20 and walking only three in 22 innings.
He’ll be opposed by Oliver Perez and he also has been pitching great recently, but you have to wonder whether or not it’s for real. You have to account for his last two years in Pittsburgh, when he struggled with his command and velocity. I’m not saying he’s going to lay an egg tonight, but with a pitcher like Lincecum going tonight, I’ll take my chances at a big plus return with the Giants.
Take San Francisco for the road win.
BRAVES (With Smoltz as listed pitcher)
Take Atlanta for the road win over Milwaukee at a near even price.
You have to wonder whether or not the Brewers early season run was for real, because ever since they started playing some quality teams they’ve reverted back to their losing ways.
Milwaukee checks into tonight’s game mired in a six-game losing streak and are just 2-8 over their last 10.
They are going to have to try and break that streak tonight against John Smoltz, who is pitching like a Cy Young candidate right now. Smoltz is 7-2 on the year with a 2.58 ERA in 11 games. He’s 4-1 with a 1.04 ERA over his last five starts, including 2-1 with a 0.87 ERA over his last three.
Smoltz is also 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA in his career against Milwaukee.
The oft-injured Ben Sheets will get the nod for Milwaukee tonight, and despite his top of the rotation status, is just 4-3 on the year with a 3.75 ERA.
Take the Braves behind Smoltz for the road win tonight.
Bonus Play: MARLINS
Mejia's Projected Score in the Pistons/Cavs Game Tonight
Mejia Projected Score
Cavs 86 Pistons 83
FPBE Free Picks
Marc Lawrence - ATL -102 MLB
Matty O'Shea - MIN -130 MLB
Ben Burns - DET Pk NBA
Bryan Leonard - PIT -140 MLB
Rocky Atkinson - BOS -175 MLB
KEY GAMES:
3 Units (Bonus Play): OVER 10 Runs Detroit Tigers / TB
2 Units (Bonus Play): Cleveland Cavaliers +1.5
Silver Key (Bonus Play): Houston Astros -130
Gold Key (Paid Play): OVER 171 Pistons / Cavaliers
The Pistons under Head Coach Flip Saunders failed late in Game Three, but still lead this Series two games to one. They figure to play even stronger tonight, hoping to gain a win away from Home. The Pistons have shown little on Offense lately, and they might just break out of that scoring slump here this evening. Virtually all applicable trends favor the Under in this one with regard to the Pistons.
The Cavaliers under Head Coach Mike Brown came through late to win Game Three at Home, giving them life in this match up. They haven't been all that successful on Offense, and will be without G Hughes tonight. The Cavs will bring all their weapons to bear in front of the Home faithful to even this Series. Almost all trends favor the Under involving Cavs games, with the exception of 10-2 Over Against The Spread on Tuesday nights,
The Totals line overnited at 171. We'll go with the Over here tonight in a Gold Key Play.
Kelso NBA Playoff Tuesday
Kelso
25 units Pistons -1 @ Cavs
Here we go- Kelso wins yesterday after an incredible losing streak so he jumps up today's pick to 25 units in the attempt to get back to even for the playoffs.
He was 0-8 prior to yesterday
M@linsky (Bonus Play)
REASON FOR PICK: 4* CLEVELAND/BOSTON Over
Because of the early 7-0/2.66 by Josh Beckett this season we thought that the early 10.5’s on this one would become 10’s eventually, and they have, which means time to play. It is not necessarily that the "10" is so valuable, but rather just timing our play to get the best of the line; at first pitch 10.5 would have suited us anyway.
Yes, Beckett has been off to a great start. But much of that can be attributed to facing a weak schedule (of pitchers that have worked at least 40 innings, his opponents rate 88th in On-Base + Slugging), and now he is stepping up in a major way, facing a Cleveland offense that has absolutely mashed right-handed pitching. And the type of stuff that Beckett throws, hard and up in the strike zone, is a particular liability against the Indians. They have seen him twice since he came over to the A.L. and battered him for 16 runs (one unearned) in 9.2 innings, including three homers both at Jacobs Field and here in Fenway. Now Beckett also has a rhythm issue in his first outing since May 13, so it will not be a surprise at all for the Cleveland hitters to get good swings.
Meanwhile the Red Sox will get their cuts all night against Jeremy Sowers and a pedestrian Indian bullpen. Sowers is the worst possible matchup in Fenway; a left-hander with limited velocity that pitches to contact (only 13 strikeouts in 48.2 innings). It is so easy to re-direct his pitchers to the Green Monster for right-handed hitters, and against a patient lineup he faces real issues – the deeper he goes into a count the more vulnerable he is, because he lacks an "out" pitch. And while his awful road showings (1-3/7.28) might appear to be turning based on his win at Kansas City last week, take a closer look. He may have only allowed one run in seven innings but there was nothing behind his stuff at all – of the 20 batters that he retired, 15 came on fly balls. That same kind of stuff gets him knocked around here, and it sets the tone for what should be an explosive evening.
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Tues, May 29 9:05
COLORADO pk
over St.Louis
Guaranteed Pick: Tom Freese
Game: Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals May 29 2007 8:10PM
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles
Reason: Baltimore starter Jeremy Guthrie has been pitching lights out allowing 8 runs total in his 5 starts this year. Kansas City starter Jorge De La Rosa is in terrible KW form with more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts. The Royals bullpen has been getting roughed up as well. Kansas City is just 2-6 in Game 2 of a home series this year. 5* Play On Baltimore - (Guthrie vs. De La Rosa)
Tigers / Bonderman Priority Sports
Tigers Net Prophet Sports
