I kicked off the year on absolute fire. I won some large 10k+ wagers (something I had never done with baseball, only once in the NFL and it was a loss) and won a few more before withdrawing my largest amount ever from an online book. After cashing out, I stopped for a while until 2-3 weeks ago. Well since coming back I have not won more than a few games, have lost so many games but have not bet more than $200-$300 per game trying to start from scratch like I did the first time.
Anyways, the point here is that I need to find that magic touch again. The one I had back in April, the one that won me the most money ever in my 4-5 years of gambling on sports (winning, but mostly losing). I have not been betting the way I was back then and for some reason I have just been going with gut instinct or shitty old capping habbits in baseball that never really got me anywhere in years past.
So I don't know if this will work long term but it's worth a try. I literally started with nothing the first time and my run took me to almost 40k before withdrawing half and losing the rest.
To keep things brief...I learned this the hard way but you have to be very selective when you bet on baseball. I would recommend only betting on home teams that are fielding strong lineups for that particular game. I don't think I lost more than 1 game using this for the first three weeks and that's what got me the big cash and thats why I have not been posting as much.
Let's have fun with this and make some $$$$$$$
SYSTEM RULES
a) Calculate the combined career average of all starting hitters in a lineup.
b) Determine if starting pitcher is righty or lefty
c) If a starting lineup has a career combined average difference better than .010 over their opponent, they are the play
d) ONLY HOME TEAMS APPLY
e) Batters with less than 10 MLB career AB's do not count, minus one in the multiplication process of averaging.
Example of a game yesterday
SAN DIEGO LINEUP
1. Marcus Giles ---> .289 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
2. Jose Cruz Jr. ---> .281 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
3. Mike Cameron ---> .262 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
4. Adrian Gonzalez ---> .273 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
5. Khalil Greene ---> .258 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
6. Kevin Kouzmanoff ---> .208 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
7. Josh Bard ---> .291 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
8. Terrmel Sledge ---> .207 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
Career Average vs LHP: .259
PITTSBURGH LINEUP
1. Jose Bautista ---> .226 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
2. Chris Duffy ---> .238 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
3. Freddy Sanchez ---> .378 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
4. Jason Bay ---> .309 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
5. Xavier Nady ---> .334 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
6. Adam LaRoche ---> .235 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
7. Ronny Paulino ---> .342 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
8. Jack Wilson ---> .279 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
Career Average vs LHP: .296
PITCHERS
San Diego: David Wells is a Left-Handed pitcher
Pittsburgh: Tom Gorzelanny is a Left-Handed pitcher
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates -128 (again this was last night)
Analysis: As you can see this game was last night but the Pirates had a very distinct advantage in starting lineups. Their starting eight batters had an outstanding combined team average career wise versus left handed pitchers while the Padres had terrible numbers with that starting lineup when it comes to hitting lefties. If you go back and look at the boxscore, it all makes sense...the guys who were supposed to hit did and the guys with terrible numbers didn't. Starting lineups vary from time to time and this is a perfect example. Obviously the starting lineup is going to be different tonigh and the pitchers are going to be different.
ENJOY, I WILL POST NIGHTLY PICKS WITH THIS SAME EXACT STYLE WHEN I HAVE THE TIME. THIS IS NOT REALLY A SYSTEM, JUST A NICE WAY TO CAP BASEBALL GAMES IN A TIMELY MANNER
Anyways, the point here is that I need to find that magic touch again. The one I had back in April, the one that won me the most money ever in my 4-5 years of gambling on sports (winning, but mostly losing). I have not been betting the way I was back then and for some reason I have just been going with gut instinct or shitty old capping habbits in baseball that never really got me anywhere in years past.
So I don't know if this will work long term but it's worth a try. I literally started with nothing the first time and my run took me to almost 40k before withdrawing half and losing the rest.
To keep things brief...I learned this the hard way but you have to be very selective when you bet on baseball. I would recommend only betting on home teams that are fielding strong lineups for that particular game. I don't think I lost more than 1 game using this for the first three weeks and that's what got me the big cash and thats why I have not been posting as much.
Let's have fun with this and make some $$$$$$$
SYSTEM RULES
a) Calculate the combined career average of all starting hitters in a lineup.
b) Determine if starting pitcher is righty or lefty
c) If a starting lineup has a career combined average difference better than .010 over their opponent, they are the play
d) ONLY HOME TEAMS APPLY
e) Batters with less than 10 MLB career AB's do not count, minus one in the multiplication process of averaging.
Example of a game yesterday
SAN DIEGO LINEUP
1. Marcus Giles ---> .289 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
2. Jose Cruz Jr. ---> .281 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
3. Mike Cameron ---> .262 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
4. Adrian Gonzalez ---> .273 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
5. Khalil Greene ---> .258 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
6. Kevin Kouzmanoff ---> .208 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
7. Josh Bard ---> .291 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
8. Terrmel Sledge ---> .207 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
Career Average vs LHP: .259
PITTSBURGH LINEUP
1. Jose Bautista ---> .226 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
2. Chris Duffy ---> .238 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
3. Freddy Sanchez ---> .378 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
4. Jason Bay ---> .309 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
5. Xavier Nady ---> .334 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
6. Adam LaRoche ---> .235 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
7. Ronny Paulino ---> .342 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
8. Jack Wilson ---> .279 lifetime versus left-handed pitcher
Career Average vs LHP: .296
PITCHERS
San Diego: David Wells is a Left-Handed pitcher
Pittsburgh: Tom Gorzelanny is a Left-Handed pitcher
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates -128 (again this was last night)
Analysis: As you can see this game was last night but the Pirates had a very distinct advantage in starting lineups. Their starting eight batters had an outstanding combined team average career wise versus left handed pitchers while the Padres had terrible numbers with that starting lineup when it comes to hitting lefties. If you go back and look at the boxscore, it all makes sense...the guys who were supposed to hit did and the guys with terrible numbers didn't. Starting lineups vary from time to time and this is a perfect example. Obviously the starting lineup is going to be different tonigh and the pitchers are going to be different.
ENJOY, I WILL POST NIGHTLY PICKS WITH THIS SAME EXACT STYLE WHEN I HAVE THE TIME. THIS IS NOT REALLY A SYSTEM, JUST A NICE WAY TO CAP BASEBALL GAMES IN A TIMELY MANNER
