Money Lines:
Favorites: 136-80 for +24.17 units
Underdogs: 51-48 for +20.3 units
Total: 175-121 for for +44.47 units
Totals: 3-1 for 2.63 units
Run Lines: 8-8 for +1.61 units
Parlays: 1-2 for -1.97 units
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7-3 on the day yesterday to pick up another 5.67 units. Feels great to have recouped my big losses from last week and then some. Hopefully I can keep it going today. After 2 days of riding dogs hard, it's back to laying chalk for me with some solid favorites. Watching a number of other lines and need to do a bit more research on some of the games.
Mariners -132: I don't look forward to particular matchups too often, but when it comes to Cha Seung Baek playing the Rangers, I can't get enough. Despite a bad performance against them in his first game of the season (a game which the M's still won 5-4), in 4 career starts against the Rangers, Baek is 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA, a 0.92 WHIP, and a .198 BAA. And he's coming in off one of his best starts of the season against KC, where he threw 74 of his 98 pitches for strikes while cruising through seven innings.
Considering how badly the Rangers are playing this year (and it should be noted that one more loss in May will make it the team's worst May ever), and how well Seattle has played as of late, I'm surprised to get Seattle at only -132. On top of this though, Vincent Padilla will be on the hill for Texas. The Rangers have lost nine of Padilla's eleven starts this year (as well as every one of his road starts), and he comes in with a 5.77 ERA, a 1.55 WHIP, and a .276 BAA. These numbers are much worse on the road, where he has an ERA of 7.59, a WHIP of 1.94, and a BAA of .316. 1.98 units to win 1.5.
Reds -120: When teams are playing as poorly as the Astros currently are, they just find a way to lose games. And on top of Houston's awful play of late, there is a huge pitching mismatch in this one. Many people are ready to give up on Bronson Arroyo. And while I'm not his biggest fan, he deserves more respect than he's getting from the book in this one. Arroyo has been lights out on the road this year, putting up a 1.94 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .238 BAA away from home. His horrible performances at home this year have really skewed his stats, but I think he'll handle this Astros offense with ease tonight.
Houston sends Woody Williams to the mound tonight. Williams has been simply awful so far this year, putting up a 1-7 record in 11 starts with a 5.65 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, and a .293 BAA. Those stats are even worse at home, where he sports a 6.23 ERA, a 1.75 WHIP, and a .330 BAA. He's also among the worst in the league in HRs allowed, having served up 12 gopher balls already this year. And it doesn't help that Griffey has gone 13 for 34 against him in his career with 5 HRs and a .500 OBP against Williams. I just think Woody is done and that this line is too low. Sure, Houston has to win eventually, but I'm happy to lay this chalk with the Reds. I just got -117, but by the time I got all this written out the best line available is now -120 so I'll use that. 1.8 units to win 1.5.
Padres -129: After riding San Diego all throughout May, I'll finish the month the same way. San Diego's pitching has been incredible this month (and this year), and I think we'll see more of the same from the crafy Maddux tonight. The Padres have never lost a series in PNC Park, and I don't think Shawn Chacon is the pitcher to get the Pirates their first series win against the Pads. Chacon has plummeted from his days with Colorado and the Yankees, and I really don't like his chances now that he's in the Pirates' rotation. There's really not much more to say about this one really. The Padres are playing far better right now. Their pitchers are performing night in and night out. Maddux is on the mound against a team he's had success against in the past. The Pirates are horrible at home and are playing poorly. And Shawn Chacon is on the hill for Pittsburgh. 1.94 units to win 1.5.
Mets -137: After being shutout for the first time this season, I love the Mets to bounce back in this spot. Despite how incredible Cain pitches on the road (1.67 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, .140 BAA in 5 road starts), the Giants are 1-6 in his last 7 starts away from home. Even more amazingly, and I really had to do a double-take on this, the Giants have lost 11 of Cain's last 13 starts. That's some truly tough luck. Regardless though, I don't see that luck changing tonight.
The Mets are heating up again even with last night's loss (and I was on the Giants yesterday), and that should continue with Orlando Hernandez heading back to the hill for his 3rd start since coming off the DL. In his first 2 starts since, he's been almost unhittable, going 13 innings while allowing 6 hits and 0 runs while striking out 9. In fact, aside from one awful start against the Nats, Hernandez has given up only 3 earned runs and 16 hits in 5 starts this year. The Giants have won only 4 of their last 13 matchups in Shea, and I see that trend continuing tonight. 2.06 units to win 1.5.
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BOL to everyone on their cards today.
Favorites: 136-80 for +24.17 units
Underdogs: 51-48 for +20.3 units
Total: 175-121 for for +44.47 units
Totals: 3-1 for 2.63 units
Run Lines: 8-8 for +1.61 units
Parlays: 1-2 for -1.97 units
______________________________________________________
7-3 on the day yesterday to pick up another 5.67 units. Feels great to have recouped my big losses from last week and then some. Hopefully I can keep it going today. After 2 days of riding dogs hard, it's back to laying chalk for me with some solid favorites. Watching a number of other lines and need to do a bit more research on some of the games.
Mariners -132: I don't look forward to particular matchups too often, but when it comes to Cha Seung Baek playing the Rangers, I can't get enough. Despite a bad performance against them in his first game of the season (a game which the M's still won 5-4), in 4 career starts against the Rangers, Baek is 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA, a 0.92 WHIP, and a .198 BAA. And he's coming in off one of his best starts of the season against KC, where he threw 74 of his 98 pitches for strikes while cruising through seven innings.
Considering how badly the Rangers are playing this year (and it should be noted that one more loss in May will make it the team's worst May ever), and how well Seattle has played as of late, I'm surprised to get Seattle at only -132. On top of this though, Vincent Padilla will be on the hill for Texas. The Rangers have lost nine of Padilla's eleven starts this year (as well as every one of his road starts), and he comes in with a 5.77 ERA, a 1.55 WHIP, and a .276 BAA. These numbers are much worse on the road, where he has an ERA of 7.59, a WHIP of 1.94, and a BAA of .316. 1.98 units to win 1.5.
Reds -120: When teams are playing as poorly as the Astros currently are, they just find a way to lose games. And on top of Houston's awful play of late, there is a huge pitching mismatch in this one. Many people are ready to give up on Bronson Arroyo. And while I'm not his biggest fan, he deserves more respect than he's getting from the book in this one. Arroyo has been lights out on the road this year, putting up a 1.94 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .238 BAA away from home. His horrible performances at home this year have really skewed his stats, but I think he'll handle this Astros offense with ease tonight.
Houston sends Woody Williams to the mound tonight. Williams has been simply awful so far this year, putting up a 1-7 record in 11 starts with a 5.65 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, and a .293 BAA. Those stats are even worse at home, where he sports a 6.23 ERA, a 1.75 WHIP, and a .330 BAA. He's also among the worst in the league in HRs allowed, having served up 12 gopher balls already this year. And it doesn't help that Griffey has gone 13 for 34 against him in his career with 5 HRs and a .500 OBP against Williams. I just think Woody is done and that this line is too low. Sure, Houston has to win eventually, but I'm happy to lay this chalk with the Reds. I just got -117, but by the time I got all this written out the best line available is now -120 so I'll use that. 1.8 units to win 1.5.
Padres -129: After riding San Diego all throughout May, I'll finish the month the same way. San Diego's pitching has been incredible this month (and this year), and I think we'll see more of the same from the crafy Maddux tonight. The Padres have never lost a series in PNC Park, and I don't think Shawn Chacon is the pitcher to get the Pirates their first series win against the Pads. Chacon has plummeted from his days with Colorado and the Yankees, and I really don't like his chances now that he's in the Pirates' rotation. There's really not much more to say about this one really. The Padres are playing far better right now. Their pitchers are performing night in and night out. Maddux is on the mound against a team he's had success against in the past. The Pirates are horrible at home and are playing poorly. And Shawn Chacon is on the hill for Pittsburgh. 1.94 units to win 1.5.
Mets -137: After being shutout for the first time this season, I love the Mets to bounce back in this spot. Despite how incredible Cain pitches on the road (1.67 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, .140 BAA in 5 road starts), the Giants are 1-6 in his last 7 starts away from home. Even more amazingly, and I really had to do a double-take on this, the Giants have lost 11 of Cain's last 13 starts. That's some truly tough luck. Regardless though, I don't see that luck changing tonight.
The Mets are heating up again even with last night's loss (and I was on the Giants yesterday), and that should continue with Orlando Hernandez heading back to the hill for his 3rd start since coming off the DL. In his first 2 starts since, he's been almost unhittable, going 13 innings while allowing 6 hits and 0 runs while striking out 9. In fact, aside from one awful start against the Nats, Hernandez has given up only 3 earned runs and 16 hits in 5 starts this year. The Giants have won only 4 of their last 13 matchups in Shea, and I see that trend continuing tonight. 2.06 units to win 1.5.
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BOL to everyone on their cards today.