two tonight w/analysis

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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">0.00 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">50</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">53</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+17.52 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since April 2007)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">84</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">103</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-1.21 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.

Florida +1.30 over MILWAUKEE
It’s never a bad idea to play hot vs cold with a tag attached to it and that’s precisely what we’re doing here. The Marlins are coming off a three-game sweep of the Cubs and they’ve now won 10 of their last 15 games. A quick look at Wes Obermueller’s numbers and one would think that he’s been getting pounded, however, a close look reveals that he may be on the verge of something good. Obermueller’s problems is his lack of control but expect him to be just a little more focused here, as he played for the Brewers for three years before coming to Florida. Incidentally, he was a very highly touted rookie and he’s shown signs of that on more then a few occasions. On the road this season the league is hitting just .200 off him and he’s only allowed two bombs in 31 innings. His road ERA is 3.45 and again, if he can throw strikes he’ll give the Fish a huge chance to win this game. The Brewers are sinking faster then Michael Vicks’ popularity. They’ve lost 14 of 19 and they’ve also lost six straight series. This Brewer club is in a huge funk that’s having a big negative effect on their psyche too. Claudio Vargas has been hit hard in his last two starts and that’s not surprising because while Vargas can be good at times he also is very inconsistent and has been his whole career. In fact, he’s a .500 career pitcher with a career ERA of 4.84 and frankly, we don’t see where the Brewers have an edge here. Overlay. Play: Florida +1.30 (Risking 2 units). <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
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Detroit +1.28 over CLEVELAND
Two very good pitchers square off here, as C.C. Sabathia and Justin Verlander are a combined 12-2 and both lead their teams in several categories. The difference here is that the Tigers seldom lose to southpaws. In fact, Detroit is now 9-3 vs lefties and that includes a 6-1 mark on the road. Verlander is fast becoming one of the best in the business. He’s surrendered just 52 hits in 63 innings and his ERA of 2.71 ranks him seventh in the AL. Verlander has been tagged for just five home-runs. Sabathia has been tagged for 10 jacks in 73 frames. The league is hitting .274 off him and his ERA is 3.54. In other words, Sabathia has been hittable. The man is a rock solid pitcher to be sure, however, he has nothing over Verlander and any take-back on Verlander playing for one the leagues best teams is worthy of some attention, thus the equation should read like this: Detroit + Verlander + a tag = a very solid pup. Play: Detroit +1.28 (Risking 2 units).
 

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