Money Lines:
Favorites: 139-84 for +22.26 units
Underdogs: 54-50 for +24.04 units
Total: 193-134 for for +46.32 units
Totals: 4-1 for 4.13 units
Run Lines: 8-10 for -0.89 units
Parlays: 1-2 for -1.97 units
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Well, really bad night last night. I just screwed up. Glad I kept the later plays smaller. Felt great about the Sox and still think that's clearly where the value was on that one. But that's the breaks sometimes. Teams lead the bases loaded time and again but come away with nothing, pitchers implode, and things just don't click. That's why they play the games. I do really regret a couple of my other plays though. Just a bad job on my part. Hopefully I can do a better job today.
Don't really have times for full writeups today. Weekends can often be tough for me. As it is, I've been up since 7 in the morning looking at games. Unfortunately, I can't play most of these yet because Matchbook is sucking today and I think I can do better with the lines. Will post to make these official when I do so, but figured I'd get my thread started and post the two official plays (LAA and Arizona) I have.
LAA Angels -142: I've been on Trachsel a few times recently, but don't think this is the spot for him. Getting the Angels at a good price because O's have played them well so far and because Saunders replaced Colon today. But Saunders has good stuff and showed it earlier this season. And the Angels offense is too good to be contained three days in a row at home. 2.13 units to win 1.5.
Arizona +140: Hopefully make up for yesterday's mistake. 1.5 units to win 2.10.
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Leans:
Reds +167: Line is just too high for a slumping Rockies team. Lohse is coming off one of his best starts of the year, and hopefully he can build on that away from home, where he needs improvement. Looking to get +170 or above, but will take this price gladly if it doesn't look like it will go higher.
Red Sox -131: For the second straight day, I think there is solid value on the Sox as too many people "just feel" that the Yankees will start playing better and that this is the time where they make a big run. Well we've heard that all year and even I've fallen for it a couple times. Assuming this one will drop at some point today and hoping to get around -125. Who knows what the public will do when it comes to the Yankees though. Might also put one unit on the run line like yesterday.
Mariners -145: Not too optimistic, but hoping this one drops a little on Matchbook. Stranger things have happened. Love fading Loe but have to do a bit more work to see if it's worth this chalk.
White Sox -110 (VIP): Also watching this line. Think McGowan is the type of pitcher a slumping offense loves to see. Contreras has been very good on the road this year, allowing only a .215 BAA to go along with his 3.29 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Going to see if I can get it around even money on MB today. Another one that I'm not too optimistic on seeing the line move in my favor.
Cleveland -136: Indians are just winning and Detroit is just finding ways to lose. Things like that don't fix themselves over night and I think it may be awhile before Detroit puts this behind them. Again, just going to watch the line a bit.
Cardinals +132: Cards are just playing much better ball right now. Wells is 2-9, but that number will obviously improve if this team ever starts playing like World Champions. Again, just looking to max out the number I can get.
Padres: Still looking at both the money line and the run line. May have a play on this one and like them a lot in this game.
Brewers -168: Love the Brewers today but think their priced out for me. Might look at the run line, but haven't decided yet.
Favorites: 139-84 for +22.26 units
Underdogs: 54-50 for +24.04 units
Total: 193-134 for for +46.32 units
Totals: 4-1 for 4.13 units
Run Lines: 8-10 for -0.89 units
Parlays: 1-2 for -1.97 units
______________________________________________________
Well, really bad night last night. I just screwed up. Glad I kept the later plays smaller. Felt great about the Sox and still think that's clearly where the value was on that one. But that's the breaks sometimes. Teams lead the bases loaded time and again but come away with nothing, pitchers implode, and things just don't click. That's why they play the games. I do really regret a couple of my other plays though. Just a bad job on my part. Hopefully I can do a better job today.
Don't really have times for full writeups today. Weekends can often be tough for me. As it is, I've been up since 7 in the morning looking at games. Unfortunately, I can't play most of these yet because Matchbook is sucking today and I think I can do better with the lines. Will post to make these official when I do so, but figured I'd get my thread started and post the two official plays (LAA and Arizona) I have.
LAA Angels -142: I've been on Trachsel a few times recently, but don't think this is the spot for him. Getting the Angels at a good price because O's have played them well so far and because Saunders replaced Colon today. But Saunders has good stuff and showed it earlier this season. And the Angels offense is too good to be contained three days in a row at home. 2.13 units to win 1.5.
Arizona +140: Hopefully make up for yesterday's mistake. 1.5 units to win 2.10.
__________________________________________________________________
Leans:
Reds +167: Line is just too high for a slumping Rockies team. Lohse is coming off one of his best starts of the year, and hopefully he can build on that away from home, where he needs improvement. Looking to get +170 or above, but will take this price gladly if it doesn't look like it will go higher.
Red Sox -131: For the second straight day, I think there is solid value on the Sox as too many people "just feel" that the Yankees will start playing better and that this is the time where they make a big run. Well we've heard that all year and even I've fallen for it a couple times. Assuming this one will drop at some point today and hoping to get around -125. Who knows what the public will do when it comes to the Yankees though. Might also put one unit on the run line like yesterday.
Mariners -145: Not too optimistic, but hoping this one drops a little on Matchbook. Stranger things have happened. Love fading Loe but have to do a bit more work to see if it's worth this chalk.
White Sox -110 (VIP): Also watching this line. Think McGowan is the type of pitcher a slumping offense loves to see. Contreras has been very good on the road this year, allowing only a .215 BAA to go along with his 3.29 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Going to see if I can get it around even money on MB today. Another one that I'm not too optimistic on seeing the line move in my favor.
Cleveland -136: Indians are just winning and Detroit is just finding ways to lose. Things like that don't fix themselves over night and I think it may be awhile before Detroit puts this behind them. Again, just going to watch the line a bit.
Cardinals +132: Cards are just playing much better ball right now. Wells is 2-9, but that number will obviously improve if this team ever starts playing like World Champions. Again, just looking to max out the number I can get.
Padres: Still looking at both the money line and the run line. May have a play on this one and like them a lot in this game.
Brewers -168: Love the Brewers today but think their priced out for me. Might look at the run line, but haven't decided yet.
