Larry Ness
(**Daytime Delight**)
SF Giants
Scott Spreitzer
(**15* Monday Nite Crusher**)
Mariners
Hondo
10 units :Giants and Twins
Michael Cannon
Money Train
20 Dime
Braves
5 Dime
Yankees
Big Al McMordie
Cubs at Brewers
Prediction: Brewers
The Brewers just took the third and final game of their four game series at home against the Marlins to improve their record at Miller Park to 21-10, one of the best home records in the Majors. Meanwhile, the Cubs are fighting amongst themselves in their clubhouse and their manager is screaming at everyone, bumping umpires and getting suspended. A year ago, Chicago manager Lou Piniella had a cushy job in the broadcast booth with no stress - he must have really been enjoying himself. Of course, he wasn't making nearly as much money as he would have been had he been managing, which must be the only reason he decided to come back this year. It sure wasn't because he couldn't wait to manage this group of overpaid underachievers. Cubs starter Jason Marquis (5-2, 2.93 ERA) was one of the team's few bright spots early on, but lately he has reverted back to his old form. Three of his last four outings have been ugly, and a closer look at his other starts reveals that one was in San Diego (where anyone can pitch well) and the other two good ones before that were against the Pirates (home and away). This is Marquis' first start this season against the Brewers, but prior to this year when he was with the Cardinals he almost never pitched well against them. And that was before Milwaukee had one of the best offenses in the National League. Take the Brewers.
Lenny Del Genio
Twins at Angels
Prediction: Angels
Los Angeles improved to 22-8 at home following Sunday's 4-3 comeback win. Vladimir Guerrero hit a two-run homer in the bottom of the ninth inning for the team's eighth win in the last 10 games. The Angels are now a major league-best 19-6 since May 9. LA's offense has been backed by impressive performances by the team's starters, who are 18-6 with a 2.98 ERA at home this season. The club's starters have lasted seven or more innings in 11 of their last 17 home starts. However, the Angels are starting Jered Weaver (4-3, 4.25 ERA), who hasn't been as successful at home. The right-hander is just 1-1 with a 6.16 ERA in four starts this year at Angel Stadium. Weaver, who has never faced the Twins, is 3-0 with a 4.24 ERA over his last four outings, receiving an average of close to seven runs of support over that stretch. The Twins will counter with Boof Bonser (4-1, 3.61), who is 4-0 with a 3.04 ERA in four starts after going winless in his first seven outings. Minnesota dropped the final two games of its three-game series with the Oakland Athletics over the weekend. The Twins came into the series averaging 6.33 runs while winning nine of 12 games but they were held to a total of five runs against the A's. The Angels are too tough at home to go against.
Mighty ! Quinn
Tampa Bay D'Rays
Marc Lawrence
Game: New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox
Jun 4 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: Chicago White Sox
Reason: Chicago White Sox w/Garland over NY Yankees:
Pale Hose send Jon Garland to the hill in the opener of a big series with the Yankees knowing he owns a sharp 3.44 career ERA in his seven team starts against the Pinstripes. With Chicago 7-1 in home series openers and the Bronx Bombers just 3-7 in road series openers this season, we'll stay at home with the White Sox here tonight.
Dave Cokin
Take "(908) MIL Brewers"
Here's Dave's analysis on tonight's series opener between the Cubs and Brewers..."I'm a great believer in regression to the norm when it comes to pitchers, and I believe we're seeing just that taking place right now with Cubs righthander Jason Marquis. After getting out of the gate in a spectacular fashion that can only be described as hugely unanticipated, the Marquis we're used to seeing is starting to reemerge. Marquis has been roughed up in three of his last four starts. Dave Bush pitched what may very well have been his best game of the season last time out, so that's encouraging for Milwaukee. The Cubs exploded for a big Sunday win, but they'd lost six straight prior to that, and the price is hardly unreasonable here as the Brewers are clearly the better team and they're at home. Milwaukee is my choice tonight."
Jim Feist
Take "(907) CHI Cubs"
Jason Marquis continues to pay dividends for the Cubs this season. The off season acquisition is now 5-2 on the year with a nifty 2.93 era. Moreover, he's been even better on the road with a 2-0 mark and 2.76 era. Dave Bush gets the nod tonight for the Brewers and he is riding a 2-game losing streak. In fact, Bush is just 3-5 on the year with a 6.13 era. In addition, the club is only 3-7 (30%) in his starts. Right now, there's only one Bush whose approval rating is lower than Dave Bush and he can't throw a ball!! We'll take the Cubbies as our Bonus Play on Monday.
Burns afternoon annihilator...
Philly ML
.
Larry Ness' Daytime Delight-MLB (52-20 run the last four weeks!)
My Daytime Delight is on the SF Giants at 1:05 ET. San Francisco and Philadelphia wrap a four-game series with this afternoon tilt. The Giants won the series opener 13-0 on Friday before losing the next two games. Philadelphia's Shane Victorino hit a ninth-inning, walk-off homer to defeat them 9-8 on Sunday. Barry Zito (5-5, 4.21 ERA) goes for the Giants and he's been outstanding in his last two outings, allowing one run and 10 hits in 14 innings with nine strikeouts and three walks. That success came after a pair of road losses in which he had surrendered 13 runs and 12 hits, including four home runs, in 10 innings. He'll be opposed by Philly's Jon Lieber. Lieber may own a 3.51 ERA this year but he's just 2-3 and the Phils are 2-6 in his eight starts. That includes losses in FIVE of his last six outings, as Lieber has allowed 19 hits and nine ERs in his last two starts (11.2 innings), for an ERA of 6.94. In three starts against the Giants in '06 and '07, he's 2-1 but has a 5.89 ERA. Zito has been inconsistent this year but he's been in a groove his last two outings plus it's hard to ignore Philly's 6-14 (minus-$880) mark when facing left-handers. Daytime Delight on the SF Giants.
Scott Spreitzer's MLB 15* Monday Nite Crusher! *10-2, 83% w/ 15* plays!
My 15* Crusher is a play on the Mariners with Hernandez. I doubt very highly that we'll see Hernandez laying this low of a price at home many more times this season. Tonight, he's facing an overrated Baltimore squad. We're playing AGAINST the Orioles for the third straight day. And, if the matchups are right, we'll continue to do so until the line corrects itself. The bottom line is that Bedard, along with the rest of the Baltimore rotation fattened their numbers against weak opposition before running into the Angels over the weekend. Now, the road-trip heads north to Seattle and I expect more losses for the O's. Seattle has pounded southpaws this season. They're 9-3 against lefties, plating 5.67 RPG. We also feel Hernandez is ready to get back on track and this is the spot to do it. The O's are 12-19 away from home this season, including 8-13 when facing right-handed starters. The Mariners are our 15* Crusher on Monday night.
Mti
Guaranteed Pick: MTI Sports
Game: Boston Red Sox at Oakland Athletics Jun 4 2007 10:05PM
Prediction: under
Reason: The Red Sox are off a three game series vs the Yankees in which they lost the last game 6-5 to lose the series two games to one. We expect a much significantly scoring game here. The Sox are 10-23-4 OU as a dog after allowing 6+ runs and losing and 12-22 OU as an underdog vs a team that has a worse record. Complementing this trend nicely is the fact that the A’s are 9-22-4 OU as a home favorite vs a team that has a better record.
Oakland off a 4-2 win over Santana and the Twins in which six A’s pitchers allowed a total of six walks. Oakland is 0-10 OU in the first game of a series after a win in which they allowed 5+ walks – allowing a total of only 14 runs in the ten games. The average final score in the ten qualifying games has been 3.0 to 1.4.
Oakland has won Haren’s last three starts by scores of 4-2, 3-2 and 6-1. In his last outing, he went eight innings, scattering four hits. This is a strong UNDER situation for Oakland, as they are 10-23-2 OU since May 19, 2004 as a home favorite when their starter went at least eight innings in his last start including 1-7-1 their last nine. The lone over was a 7-2 win over Boston and Schilling with the OU line at 8.
MTi’s FORECAST: OAKLAND 4 Boston 3
Moose
Guaranteed Pick: Jimmy The Moose
Game: Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators Jun 4 2007 8:05PM
Prediction: under
Reason: Defence got away from both teams in Game 3 with a 5-3 Ottawa win. The teams have played the under in the first two games of the series and you can expect another low scoring affair tonight. The under is a profitable 6-1 for the Senators in their last 7 playoff games. The under is also a money making 26-19 for the Ducks on the road this season. Look for both teams to tighten their D, play a more disciplined games resulting in not too many goals being scored. Play the under
Smart Money
Guaranteed Pick: Alex Smart
Game: Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators Jun 4 2007 8:05PM
Prediction: Ottawa Senators
Reason: The Ottawa Senators are prepared to even this series at 2 games a piece in front of their home town fans tonight. In game 2 the team fed of the home town fans enthusiasm, and came out with a physical, take no prisoners effort , in a 5-3 win. The Ducks tried to out muscle the Sens, much like they did in the first two games in Anaheim. But the referees were warned to start calling interference/obstruction, thus giving the more talented puck handling team (Senators) an edge. Both teams are physical, both have puck handlers. But it is the Ducks who are just slightly tougher, while the Sens are better at moving the puck in transistion. What Im saying is that these teams are very evenly matched. With that said, look for home ice to be golden here tonight as Ottawa brings home the cash. Final notes & Key Trends: Ottawa is 10-1 L/11 ATS when favored in the playoffs. Chris Pronger Anaheims top defenseman will miss tonight contest because of suspension. ( I know the Ducks won without him, in the Detroit series, but that was on their own home ice, and they were in a revenge situation after being blown out 5-0, in a previous game). Not this time. Play on Ottawa
Gamblers Choice Monitored Plays 86-69 +42.9 Units
S-f +04
L-a -48
Cubs +12
Sf Under 9 1/2
Atl Under 8
Ana +70
Ana Un 5
Michael Cannon Money Train
Michael Cannon
Monday's Plays..
20 Dime -
BRAVES -1 1/2 RUN LINE (With Obermueller and Hudson as listed pitchers)
5 Dime -
YANKEES
Guaranteed Pick: Marc Lawrence
Game: Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners Jun 4 2007 10:05PM
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles
Reason: Play On: Baltimore w/Bedard vs Hernandez Note: Orioles send Erik Bedard to the hill knowing he's in great current form with a 1.71 ERA in his L6 starts, including a 1.64 ERA in his L3 road efforts. On the flip side Seattle's Felix Hernandez counters with a 7.29 ERA in his L5 starts. With the visiting team 3-0 in Hernandez' career team starts against Baltimore, we'll back the Birds here tonight.
bodieallen
member since 2/17/2007
Survivor Pick Record: 17-13-0
Mon pick: Mariners
!!!!DOES NOT PICK DAILY!!!!
racer
member since 12/5/2004
Survivor Pick Record: 411-339-11
Mon pick: Yankees
Perrgood
member since 5/21/2007
Survivor Pick Record: 10-2-0
Mon pick: Mariners
!!!!!THIS GUY IS 3-0 IN ARENA SO WATCH FOR HIS ARENA PICKS!!!!!
copa55
member since 5/11/2007
Survivor Pick Record: 9-4-1
Cavs/Spurs Under
!!!!THIS GUY IS 3-0 IN WNBA & 5-2-1 ON NBA/WNBA TOTALS!!!!
Stan Sharp - Double Dime
Dodgers -145
Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-MLB (now 52-20 MLB run the L/4 weeks!)
My Las Vegas Insider is on the LA Dodgers at 7:05 ET. The Dodgers overcame a 4-0 seventh-inning deficit yesterday, beating the Pirates 5-4. LA has taken two of the first three games of this four-games series and is rolling, with wins in EIGHT of its last 11 games, overall. The Pirates look to salvage a split of their four-game series against the Dodgers. Out of eight home series this season, Pittsburgh has won only one (a three-game sweep of Houston from April 24-26), lost six and split one, while compiling an 11-18 record at PNC Park. Last year, despite a 67-95 record, Pittsburgh went 43-38 at home. Derek Lowe starts for LA and he's had great success against the Pirates. He's 4-0 with a 2.52 ERA in four career starts against the Pirates, three of them in Pittsburgh. Lowe is coming off one of his best starts this year, as he held Washington to three hits in seven innings to get the decision in the Dodgers' 5-0 win last Wednesday. Paul Maholm (2-7, 5.35) takes the mound for the Pirates in search of his first win since May 10. He is 0-3 in his last four starts, including a loss to San Diego on Wednesday, when he allowed four runs in 7.2 innings of the Pirates' 9-0 defeat. Maholm went 5-2 with a 3.59 ERA in 15 starts at PNC Park last year (team was 9-6) but is 1-4 at home in 2007 in six starts, posting a 5.16 ERA with Pittsburgh going 1-5. In two career starts against the Dodgers, the left-hander is 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA. More bad news comes Pittsburgh way in that the Dodgers are 14-5 vs lefties in 2007, averaging 5.21 RPG. Las Vegas Insider on the LA Dodgers.
Good Luck...Larry
Larry Ness' 15* AL Game of the Week (now 48-12 or 80% winners through nine weeks!)
My 15* play is on the Oak A's at 10:05 ET. The Red Sox are in a tough spot in this game against the 28-27 Oakland A's. They do own MLB's best overall record at 37-18 plus are an impressive 18-8 (plus-$1,155) on the road this year but they are traveling cross-country off a tough three-game series with the Yankees. That series wrapped up last night with the Sunday Night game, won by the Yanks 6-5 on an A-Rod 9th-inning HR (Yanks took two of three). Julian Tavarez (3-4, 5.40), who had his regular turn pushed back to allow both Curt Schilling and Josh Beckett to face the arch-rival Yankees, will take the mound. He last pitched May 27 against the Texas Rangers, allowing four runs in 5 2-3 innings and not receiving a decision in Boston's 6-5 victory. Despite his 5.40 ERA, the Red Sox are 5-4 in his nine starts (it helps to pitch for MLB's best team). Tavarez has never faced Oakland as a starter. In 20 relief appearances versus the A's, he's 1-1 with a 4.85 ERA. The A's will send Dan Haren (6-2, 1.64 ERA) to the mound. He has the lowest ERA of any starter in the majors and opponents are hitting just .180 against him! He allowed just one ER over 13 innings in his first two starts this year (lost them both!) but has since gone 6-0 in 10 starts, with the A's winning EIGHT of the 10. The Red Sox own MLB's third-best average at .281 but Haren's allowed just 53 hits in 82.1 innings this year. AL Game of the Week 15* Oak A's
Keith Line Sports
Keith Line Sports:
June 4th Plays:
300 To Win 200 Oakland Athletics - D.Haren (J.Tavarez)
220 To Win 200 Oakland Boston Over 8.5
200 To Win 232 Chicago Cubs - J.Marquis (D.Bush)
300 To Win 200 Tampa Bay Devil Rays - J.Shields (G.Meche)
June 4th Parlays:
Parlay #1 Risk 200 To Win 420
Oakland -150
Oakland Boston Over -108
Parlay #2 Risk 150 To Win 350
Oakland -150
Chicago +116
Parlay #3 Risk 200 To Win 1000
Oakland -150
Oakland Boston Over 8.5
Tampa Bay -150
Parlay #4 Risk 100 To Win 1055
Oakland -150
Oakland Boston Over 8.5
Tampa Bay -150
Chicago +116
Parlay #5 Risk 200 To Win 377
Oakland -150
Tampa Bay -155
Parlay #6 Risk 200 To Win 522
Tampa Bay -150
Chicago Cubs +116
Will Cover
3* Oakland
Totals4U
Top Play
RSox OVER 8
regular plays
SF UNDER 9
Flor OVER 9
TB UNDER 8
LAA UNDER 8
Wise Owl Syndicate Monday
Giants 2 units
Orioles 2 units
Red Sox 1 units
Twins 1 unit
Bonus Parlay Giants Moneyline & Drays Over
Dodgers Bryan Leonard
Dodgers Vegas Experts
Brandon Lang
MONDAY
15 DIME
Dodgers - Specify Pitchers - Lowe vs Maholm
5 DIME
Giants - Specify Pitchers - Zito vs Lieber
Twins - Specify Pitchers - Bonser vs Weaver
Free Pick - Brewers
DODGERS
When you are 11-18 at home, you just figure out ways to lose games.
That is what the Pirates did yesterday as the Dodgers rallied from 4-0 down with 5 runs in the 7th and 8th inning for the 5-4 win
After blowing that game yesterday, the Pirates now face a guy in Lowe who flat out owns them.
Lowe, who is 5-5 with a 3.32 ERA, is 4-0 with a 2.52 ERA in four career starts against Pittsburgh, three of them at PNC Park.
He comes off 7 shutout innings at Washington in a 5-0 win and this is a great spot to ride him and the Dodgers.
Just like the Pirates, Maholm can't get out of his own way.
Maholm is 2-7 with a 5.35 is in search of his first win since May 10.
He is 0-3 in his last four starts, including a loss to San Diego on Wednesday, when he allowed four runs in 7 2-3 innings of a 9-0 loss
He is not only 1-4 at home in 2007 but in two career starts against the Dodgers, the left-hander is 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA.
Dodgers are hot and LA gets the win here today as they beat up on the Pirates again tonight.
GIANTS
Going to come right back with the Giants today.
Zito was masterful in his last two starts allowing just one run on 10 hits over 14 innings.
He cashed a big dog ticket last time out versus the Mets getting the 3-0 shutout.
The Giants won the opener of this 4 game set 13-0 before being stopped by Hamels Saturday and their stupidity on Sunday.
Lieber has been struggling bigtime and that is just what the doctored ordered for the Giants today.
The right-hander allowed a season-high five runs - all in the second inning - and 13 hits in 6 2-3 innings of an 11-5 loss to Arizona.
I look for the Giants to bounce back and get the win today.
TWINS
Going to go against the Angels today.
Had a very nice dog winner staring me in the face yesterday until Chris Ray wet the bed in the bottom of the 9th but such is live with baseball players.
I will say it a thousand times before I die, they get paid millions of dollars to fail. Simple as that.
Jared Weaver hasn't been solid lately at home and his ERA is a bit high.
The right-hander is just 1-1 with a 6.16 ERA in four starts this year and that ERA I am talking about is 4.24 ERA.
Anybody can get wins when you are getting 7 runs a game run support.
Boof Bonser (4-1, 3.61), who is 4-0 with a 3.04 ERA in four starts after going winless in his first seven outings.
Bonser, who has never faced the Angels, pitched 6 2-3 innings against the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday, allowing two runs and seven hits in a 9-2 win.
I have a hot pitcher at a great price and I will ride the Twins here tonight
(**Daytime Delight**)
SF Giants
Scott Spreitzer
(**15* Monday Nite Crusher**)
Mariners
Hondo
10 units :Giants and Twins
Michael Cannon
Money Train
20 Dime
Braves
5 Dime
Yankees
Big Al McMordie
Cubs at Brewers
Prediction: Brewers
The Brewers just took the third and final game of their four game series at home against the Marlins to improve their record at Miller Park to 21-10, one of the best home records in the Majors. Meanwhile, the Cubs are fighting amongst themselves in their clubhouse and their manager is screaming at everyone, bumping umpires and getting suspended. A year ago, Chicago manager Lou Piniella had a cushy job in the broadcast booth with no stress - he must have really been enjoying himself. Of course, he wasn't making nearly as much money as he would have been had he been managing, which must be the only reason he decided to come back this year. It sure wasn't because he couldn't wait to manage this group of overpaid underachievers. Cubs starter Jason Marquis (5-2, 2.93 ERA) was one of the team's few bright spots early on, but lately he has reverted back to his old form. Three of his last four outings have been ugly, and a closer look at his other starts reveals that one was in San Diego (where anyone can pitch well) and the other two good ones before that were against the Pirates (home and away). This is Marquis' first start this season against the Brewers, but prior to this year when he was with the Cardinals he almost never pitched well against them. And that was before Milwaukee had one of the best offenses in the National League. Take the Brewers.
Lenny Del Genio
Twins at Angels
Prediction: Angels
Los Angeles improved to 22-8 at home following Sunday's 4-3 comeback win. Vladimir Guerrero hit a two-run homer in the bottom of the ninth inning for the team's eighth win in the last 10 games. The Angels are now a major league-best 19-6 since May 9. LA's offense has been backed by impressive performances by the team's starters, who are 18-6 with a 2.98 ERA at home this season. The club's starters have lasted seven or more innings in 11 of their last 17 home starts. However, the Angels are starting Jered Weaver (4-3, 4.25 ERA), who hasn't been as successful at home. The right-hander is just 1-1 with a 6.16 ERA in four starts this year at Angel Stadium. Weaver, who has never faced the Twins, is 3-0 with a 4.24 ERA over his last four outings, receiving an average of close to seven runs of support over that stretch. The Twins will counter with Boof Bonser (4-1, 3.61), who is 4-0 with a 3.04 ERA in four starts after going winless in his first seven outings. Minnesota dropped the final two games of its three-game series with the Oakland Athletics over the weekend. The Twins came into the series averaging 6.33 runs while winning nine of 12 games but they were held to a total of five runs against the A's. The Angels are too tough at home to go against.
Mighty ! Quinn
Tampa Bay D'Rays
Marc Lawrence
Game: New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox
Jun 4 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: Chicago White Sox
Reason: Chicago White Sox w/Garland over NY Yankees:
Pale Hose send Jon Garland to the hill in the opener of a big series with the Yankees knowing he owns a sharp 3.44 career ERA in his seven team starts against the Pinstripes. With Chicago 7-1 in home series openers and the Bronx Bombers just 3-7 in road series openers this season, we'll stay at home with the White Sox here tonight.
Dave Cokin
Take "(908) MIL Brewers"
Here's Dave's analysis on tonight's series opener between the Cubs and Brewers..."I'm a great believer in regression to the norm when it comes to pitchers, and I believe we're seeing just that taking place right now with Cubs righthander Jason Marquis. After getting out of the gate in a spectacular fashion that can only be described as hugely unanticipated, the Marquis we're used to seeing is starting to reemerge. Marquis has been roughed up in three of his last four starts. Dave Bush pitched what may very well have been his best game of the season last time out, so that's encouraging for Milwaukee. The Cubs exploded for a big Sunday win, but they'd lost six straight prior to that, and the price is hardly unreasonable here as the Brewers are clearly the better team and they're at home. Milwaukee is my choice tonight."
Jim Feist
Take "(907) CHI Cubs"
Jason Marquis continues to pay dividends for the Cubs this season. The off season acquisition is now 5-2 on the year with a nifty 2.93 era. Moreover, he's been even better on the road with a 2-0 mark and 2.76 era. Dave Bush gets the nod tonight for the Brewers and he is riding a 2-game losing streak. In fact, Bush is just 3-5 on the year with a 6.13 era. In addition, the club is only 3-7 (30%) in his starts. Right now, there's only one Bush whose approval rating is lower than Dave Bush and he can't throw a ball!! We'll take the Cubbies as our Bonus Play on Monday.
Burns afternoon annihilator...
Philly ML
.
Larry Ness' Daytime Delight-MLB (52-20 run the last four weeks!)
My Daytime Delight is on the SF Giants at 1:05 ET. San Francisco and Philadelphia wrap a four-game series with this afternoon tilt. The Giants won the series opener 13-0 on Friday before losing the next two games. Philadelphia's Shane Victorino hit a ninth-inning, walk-off homer to defeat them 9-8 on Sunday. Barry Zito (5-5, 4.21 ERA) goes for the Giants and he's been outstanding in his last two outings, allowing one run and 10 hits in 14 innings with nine strikeouts and three walks. That success came after a pair of road losses in which he had surrendered 13 runs and 12 hits, including four home runs, in 10 innings. He'll be opposed by Philly's Jon Lieber. Lieber may own a 3.51 ERA this year but he's just 2-3 and the Phils are 2-6 in his eight starts. That includes losses in FIVE of his last six outings, as Lieber has allowed 19 hits and nine ERs in his last two starts (11.2 innings), for an ERA of 6.94. In three starts against the Giants in '06 and '07, he's 2-1 but has a 5.89 ERA. Zito has been inconsistent this year but he's been in a groove his last two outings plus it's hard to ignore Philly's 6-14 (minus-$880) mark when facing left-handers. Daytime Delight on the SF Giants.
Scott Spreitzer's MLB 15* Monday Nite Crusher! *10-2, 83% w/ 15* plays!
My 15* Crusher is a play on the Mariners with Hernandez. I doubt very highly that we'll see Hernandez laying this low of a price at home many more times this season. Tonight, he's facing an overrated Baltimore squad. We're playing AGAINST the Orioles for the third straight day. And, if the matchups are right, we'll continue to do so until the line corrects itself. The bottom line is that Bedard, along with the rest of the Baltimore rotation fattened their numbers against weak opposition before running into the Angels over the weekend. Now, the road-trip heads north to Seattle and I expect more losses for the O's. Seattle has pounded southpaws this season. They're 9-3 against lefties, plating 5.67 RPG. We also feel Hernandez is ready to get back on track and this is the spot to do it. The O's are 12-19 away from home this season, including 8-13 when facing right-handed starters. The Mariners are our 15* Crusher on Monday night.
Mti
Guaranteed Pick: MTI Sports
Game: Boston Red Sox at Oakland Athletics Jun 4 2007 10:05PM
Prediction: under
Reason: The Red Sox are off a three game series vs the Yankees in which they lost the last game 6-5 to lose the series two games to one. We expect a much significantly scoring game here. The Sox are 10-23-4 OU as a dog after allowing 6+ runs and losing and 12-22 OU as an underdog vs a team that has a worse record. Complementing this trend nicely is the fact that the A’s are 9-22-4 OU as a home favorite vs a team that has a better record.
Oakland off a 4-2 win over Santana and the Twins in which six A’s pitchers allowed a total of six walks. Oakland is 0-10 OU in the first game of a series after a win in which they allowed 5+ walks – allowing a total of only 14 runs in the ten games. The average final score in the ten qualifying games has been 3.0 to 1.4.
Oakland has won Haren’s last three starts by scores of 4-2, 3-2 and 6-1. In his last outing, he went eight innings, scattering four hits. This is a strong UNDER situation for Oakland, as they are 10-23-2 OU since May 19, 2004 as a home favorite when their starter went at least eight innings in his last start including 1-7-1 their last nine. The lone over was a 7-2 win over Boston and Schilling with the OU line at 8.
MTi’s FORECAST: OAKLAND 4 Boston 3
Moose
Guaranteed Pick: Jimmy The Moose
Game: Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators Jun 4 2007 8:05PM
Prediction: under
Reason: Defence got away from both teams in Game 3 with a 5-3 Ottawa win. The teams have played the under in the first two games of the series and you can expect another low scoring affair tonight. The under is a profitable 6-1 for the Senators in their last 7 playoff games. The under is also a money making 26-19 for the Ducks on the road this season. Look for both teams to tighten their D, play a more disciplined games resulting in not too many goals being scored. Play the under
Smart Money
Guaranteed Pick: Alex Smart
Game: Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators Jun 4 2007 8:05PM
Prediction: Ottawa Senators
Reason: The Ottawa Senators are prepared to even this series at 2 games a piece in front of their home town fans tonight. In game 2 the team fed of the home town fans enthusiasm, and came out with a physical, take no prisoners effort , in a 5-3 win. The Ducks tried to out muscle the Sens, much like they did in the first two games in Anaheim. But the referees were warned to start calling interference/obstruction, thus giving the more talented puck handling team (Senators) an edge. Both teams are physical, both have puck handlers. But it is the Ducks who are just slightly tougher, while the Sens are better at moving the puck in transistion. What Im saying is that these teams are very evenly matched. With that said, look for home ice to be golden here tonight as Ottawa brings home the cash. Final notes & Key Trends: Ottawa is 10-1 L/11 ATS when favored in the playoffs. Chris Pronger Anaheims top defenseman will miss tonight contest because of suspension. ( I know the Ducks won without him, in the Detroit series, but that was on their own home ice, and they were in a revenge situation after being blown out 5-0, in a previous game). Not this time. Play on Ottawa
Gamblers Choice Monitored Plays 86-69 +42.9 Units
S-f +04
L-a -48
Cubs +12
Sf Under 9 1/2
Atl Under 8
Ana +70
Ana Un 5
Michael Cannon Money Train
Michael Cannon
Monday's Plays..
20 Dime -
BRAVES -1 1/2 RUN LINE (With Obermueller and Hudson as listed pitchers)
5 Dime -
YANKEES
Guaranteed Pick: Marc Lawrence
Game: Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners Jun 4 2007 10:05PM
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles
Reason: Play On: Baltimore w/Bedard vs Hernandez Note: Orioles send Erik Bedard to the hill knowing he's in great current form with a 1.71 ERA in his L6 starts, including a 1.64 ERA in his L3 road efforts. On the flip side Seattle's Felix Hernandez counters with a 7.29 ERA in his L5 starts. With the visiting team 3-0 in Hernandez' career team starts against Baltimore, we'll back the Birds here tonight.
bodieallen
member since 2/17/2007
Survivor Pick Record: 17-13-0
Mon pick: Mariners
!!!!DOES NOT PICK DAILY!!!!
racer
member since 12/5/2004
Survivor Pick Record: 411-339-11
Mon pick: Yankees
Perrgood
member since 5/21/2007
Survivor Pick Record: 10-2-0
Mon pick: Mariners
!!!!!THIS GUY IS 3-0 IN ARENA SO WATCH FOR HIS ARENA PICKS!!!!!
copa55
member since 5/11/2007
Survivor Pick Record: 9-4-1
Cavs/Spurs Under
!!!!THIS GUY IS 3-0 IN WNBA & 5-2-1 ON NBA/WNBA TOTALS!!!!
Stan Sharp - Double Dime
Dodgers -145
Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-MLB (now 52-20 MLB run the L/4 weeks!)
My Las Vegas Insider is on the LA Dodgers at 7:05 ET. The Dodgers overcame a 4-0 seventh-inning deficit yesterday, beating the Pirates 5-4. LA has taken two of the first three games of this four-games series and is rolling, with wins in EIGHT of its last 11 games, overall. The Pirates look to salvage a split of their four-game series against the Dodgers. Out of eight home series this season, Pittsburgh has won only one (a three-game sweep of Houston from April 24-26), lost six and split one, while compiling an 11-18 record at PNC Park. Last year, despite a 67-95 record, Pittsburgh went 43-38 at home. Derek Lowe starts for LA and he's had great success against the Pirates. He's 4-0 with a 2.52 ERA in four career starts against the Pirates, three of them in Pittsburgh. Lowe is coming off one of his best starts this year, as he held Washington to three hits in seven innings to get the decision in the Dodgers' 5-0 win last Wednesday. Paul Maholm (2-7, 5.35) takes the mound for the Pirates in search of his first win since May 10. He is 0-3 in his last four starts, including a loss to San Diego on Wednesday, when he allowed four runs in 7.2 innings of the Pirates' 9-0 defeat. Maholm went 5-2 with a 3.59 ERA in 15 starts at PNC Park last year (team was 9-6) but is 1-4 at home in 2007 in six starts, posting a 5.16 ERA with Pittsburgh going 1-5. In two career starts against the Dodgers, the left-hander is 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA. More bad news comes Pittsburgh way in that the Dodgers are 14-5 vs lefties in 2007, averaging 5.21 RPG. Las Vegas Insider on the LA Dodgers.
Good Luck...Larry
Larry Ness' 15* AL Game of the Week (now 48-12 or 80% winners through nine weeks!)
My 15* play is on the Oak A's at 10:05 ET. The Red Sox are in a tough spot in this game against the 28-27 Oakland A's. They do own MLB's best overall record at 37-18 plus are an impressive 18-8 (plus-$1,155) on the road this year but they are traveling cross-country off a tough three-game series with the Yankees. That series wrapped up last night with the Sunday Night game, won by the Yanks 6-5 on an A-Rod 9th-inning HR (Yanks took two of three). Julian Tavarez (3-4, 5.40), who had his regular turn pushed back to allow both Curt Schilling and Josh Beckett to face the arch-rival Yankees, will take the mound. He last pitched May 27 against the Texas Rangers, allowing four runs in 5 2-3 innings and not receiving a decision in Boston's 6-5 victory. Despite his 5.40 ERA, the Red Sox are 5-4 in his nine starts (it helps to pitch for MLB's best team). Tavarez has never faced Oakland as a starter. In 20 relief appearances versus the A's, he's 1-1 with a 4.85 ERA. The A's will send Dan Haren (6-2, 1.64 ERA) to the mound. He has the lowest ERA of any starter in the majors and opponents are hitting just .180 against him! He allowed just one ER over 13 innings in his first two starts this year (lost them both!) but has since gone 6-0 in 10 starts, with the A's winning EIGHT of the 10. The Red Sox own MLB's third-best average at .281 but Haren's allowed just 53 hits in 82.1 innings this year. AL Game of the Week 15* Oak A's
Keith Line Sports
Keith Line Sports:
June 4th Plays:
300 To Win 200 Oakland Athletics - D.Haren (J.Tavarez)
220 To Win 200 Oakland Boston Over 8.5
200 To Win 232 Chicago Cubs - J.Marquis (D.Bush)
300 To Win 200 Tampa Bay Devil Rays - J.Shields (G.Meche)
June 4th Parlays:
Parlay #1 Risk 200 To Win 420
Oakland -150
Oakland Boston Over -108
Parlay #2 Risk 150 To Win 350
Oakland -150
Chicago +116
Parlay #3 Risk 200 To Win 1000
Oakland -150
Oakland Boston Over 8.5
Tampa Bay -150
Parlay #4 Risk 100 To Win 1055
Oakland -150
Oakland Boston Over 8.5
Tampa Bay -150
Chicago +116
Parlay #5 Risk 200 To Win 377
Oakland -150
Tampa Bay -155
Parlay #6 Risk 200 To Win 522
Tampa Bay -150
Chicago Cubs +116
Will Cover
3* Oakland
Totals4U
Top Play
RSox OVER 8
regular plays
SF UNDER 9
Flor OVER 9
TB UNDER 8
LAA UNDER 8
Wise Owl Syndicate Monday
Giants 2 units
Orioles 2 units
Red Sox 1 units
Twins 1 unit
Bonus Parlay Giants Moneyline & Drays Over
Dodgers Bryan Leonard
Dodgers Vegas Experts
Brandon Lang
MONDAY
15 DIME
Dodgers - Specify Pitchers - Lowe vs Maholm
5 DIME
Giants - Specify Pitchers - Zito vs Lieber
Twins - Specify Pitchers - Bonser vs Weaver
Free Pick - Brewers
DODGERS
When you are 11-18 at home, you just figure out ways to lose games.
That is what the Pirates did yesterday as the Dodgers rallied from 4-0 down with 5 runs in the 7th and 8th inning for the 5-4 win
After blowing that game yesterday, the Pirates now face a guy in Lowe who flat out owns them.
Lowe, who is 5-5 with a 3.32 ERA, is 4-0 with a 2.52 ERA in four career starts against Pittsburgh, three of them at PNC Park.
He comes off 7 shutout innings at Washington in a 5-0 win and this is a great spot to ride him and the Dodgers.
Just like the Pirates, Maholm can't get out of his own way.
Maholm is 2-7 with a 5.35 is in search of his first win since May 10.
He is 0-3 in his last four starts, including a loss to San Diego on Wednesday, when he allowed four runs in 7 2-3 innings of a 9-0 loss
He is not only 1-4 at home in 2007 but in two career starts against the Dodgers, the left-hander is 0-1 with a 7.15 ERA.
Dodgers are hot and LA gets the win here today as they beat up on the Pirates again tonight.
GIANTS
Going to come right back with the Giants today.
Zito was masterful in his last two starts allowing just one run on 10 hits over 14 innings.
He cashed a big dog ticket last time out versus the Mets getting the 3-0 shutout.
The Giants won the opener of this 4 game set 13-0 before being stopped by Hamels Saturday and their stupidity on Sunday.
Lieber has been struggling bigtime and that is just what the doctored ordered for the Giants today.
The right-hander allowed a season-high five runs - all in the second inning - and 13 hits in 6 2-3 innings of an 11-5 loss to Arizona.
I look for the Giants to bounce back and get the win today.
TWINS
Going to go against the Angels today.
Had a very nice dog winner staring me in the face yesterday until Chris Ray wet the bed in the bottom of the 9th but such is live with baseball players.
I will say it a thousand times before I die, they get paid millions of dollars to fail. Simple as that.
Jared Weaver hasn't been solid lately at home and his ERA is a bit high.
The right-hander is just 1-1 with a 6.16 ERA in four starts this year and that ERA I am talking about is 4.24 ERA.
Anybody can get wins when you are getting 7 runs a game run support.
Boof Bonser (4-1, 3.61), who is 4-0 with a 3.04 ERA in four starts after going winless in his first seven outings.
Bonser, who has never faced the Angels, pitched 6 2-3 innings against the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday, allowing two runs and seven hits in a 9-2 win.
I have a hot pitcher at a great price and I will ride the Twins here tonight