I've been breaking down this game for the past 30 minutes, and I am very tempted to fade Santana for a unit.
And Santana has not been sharp as in recent years.
First off, he's been getting crappy run support.
Second off, Nats hit lefties very well.
(these stats are against southpaws for 2007)
Young is .388 avg .423 oba
Zimmerman is .345 avg .410 oba
Kearns is .314 avg .386 oba (2 dingers)
Belliard is .294 avg.321 oba
Logan is .294 avg .314 oba
Lopez is .288 avg .358 oba
Guzman is .276 avg .276 oba
All should be in the line up today
The only thing that is holding me back is Speigner is not really a starter (he is one now) and has only 28 innings pitched.
That and he got creamed his past 3 starts.
And Santana has not been sharp as in recent years.
First off, he's been getting crappy run support.
Second off, Nats hit lefties very well.
(these stats are against southpaws for 2007)
Young is .388 avg .423 oba
Zimmerman is .345 avg .410 oba
Kearns is .314 avg .386 oba (2 dingers)
Belliard is .294 avg.321 oba
Logan is .294 avg .314 oba
Lopez is .288 avg .358 oba
Guzman is .276 avg .276 oba
All should be in the line up today
The only thing that is holding me back is Speigner is not really a starter (he is one now) and has only 28 innings pitched.
That and he got creamed his past 3 starts.
Often times when these kinds of lines come out, the general public will not want to pay the juice so they either parlay it with some other game or play the run-line thinking that it's a sure bet. However, more times than not games often trap in so much fav money that the books just clean-up w/ the dog upsets. Just a thought I wanted to input about your parlay idea. Not dogging your idea, just think there's a better way to just lay the juice down through strategic wagering or finding better values in other games.
I Live In The TC`s And Believe Me
This is NOT the Johan of the last 2 yrs. Will they win? Probably, Speigner is awful. Am I willing to lay that sort of juice in a BB gm? No. GD is right, there are better bets out there. Like Mil/ Tx sans Texiera. This is one of the biggest differences in BB vs Foots. For example, take the 83 Huskers of Rozier, etc. playing MN and fav. by + 5 TDS. In those kinds of games there was NO chance the GG would actually win SU. That`s why the boys in the backroom @ the Lincoln Rec. invented the pt spread. Up to that time the ONLY sports wagered on big time were boxing & BB. But in foots no amount of pricing could even out a game between Mich. & KSt, in those days.
This is NOT the Johan of the last 2 yrs. Will they win? Probably, Speigner is awful. Am I willing to lay that sort of juice in a BB gm? No. GD is right, there are better bets out there. Like Mil/ Tx sans Texiera. This is one of the biggest differences in BB vs Foots. For example, take the 83 Huskers of Rozier, etc. playing MN and fav. by + 5 TDS. In those kinds of games there was NO chance the GG would actually win SU. That`s why the boys in the backroom @ the Lincoln Rec. invented the pt spread. Up to that time the ONLY sports wagered on big time were boxing & BB. But in foots no amount of pricing could even out a game between Mich. & KSt, in those days.
