Jibba's Saturday MLB

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Money Lines:

Favorites: 150-93 for +18.07 units
Underdogs: 57-62 for +11.76 units
Total: 204-154 for for +29.83 units

Totals: 5-1 for 5.13 units

Run Lines: 12-14 for -0.04 units

Parlays: 1-3 for -2.97 units

_______________________________________________________

Well I went 3-2 yesterday for +0.58 units. Obviously didn't win much money, but felt great about the night. I did very well on the full card of games, and ended up calling most of them correctly. That doesn't put any money in my pocket, but it was a very nice boost for my confidence, which has been my biggest problem the last few days. Hope to continue the upward trend today. Still keeping the plays smaller than my standard plays, but might mix it up a bit. Also, I'm back to my standard large card.

Cubs +145: Marquis should not be getting this number the way he's pitched this year, especially on the road. Atlanta is not playing well lately and either is Hudson. I'll take the dog here. 1 unit to win 1.45.

Yankees -1.5, -118: I hate to do this, but I can't see this one not turning into a blowout. Maholm is one of the last pitchers a team should want facing off with these Yankees right now. They're gaining confidence and will have emotions running high today. 1.18 units to win 1.

Athletics -113: I can't resist Haren at this price. Zito has been hit or miss this year, and while he's been much better his last few starts, he's no Haren. And this Oakland team hit him very hard just last month. 1.13 units to win 1.

Mets +142 (WSEX): This game sports a nice pitching matchup with neither pitcher being the clearly better choice. It also features two solid offenses, again with no clearly better choice. The Mets haven't been hitting as usual without Green and Alou, but it's still an offense to fear and will start hitting again sooner rather than later. And despite Detroit's solid offensive performances lately, they were still shutout yesterday and face a tough pitcher today. Finally, Detroit has home field advantage today, but both of these teams have played their best baseball on the road this year. I think that based on all this, the line is too high. 1 unit to win 1.42.

Nationals +355: This line is clearly too high in my opinion. The Nationals have played decent ball lately and the Twins are a sub-.500 team that hasn't been playing well lately. Santana gets plenty of name recognition from the public, especially during interleague play, but he isn't the same pitcher this year. At least not yet. 0.75 units to win 2.66.

Brewers -138: Sheets has been pitching great lately, and should continue that success against this week Rangers offense. With the Brewers losing yesterday, I can't see them not coming to play tonight. McCarthy is coming off a missed start due to blisters, which is never a good sign for a pitcher, and has been very bad at home this year (although despite bad numbers almost across the board at home, his BAA at home is only .218). I can't see Milwaukee losing two straight to Texas, and the way Prince is playing, he might see to it himself that they don't. 1.38 units to win 1.

Red Sox -113 (WSEX): Owings has been a very nice surprise this year, but I have to question how he'll perform against this Sox offense, even without the DH. And this is moreso since Owings hasn't pitched in close to two weeks. Tavarez has quitely been pretty solid this year. His numbers aren't great, but he gives the Sox what they need more often than not. He also knows this may be one of his last starts before moving to the bullpen to make room for Lester (a move he has fully welcomed). Hopefully Francona knows enough to yank Tavares before he starts to lose it tonight, which is always the case during the third time through a batting order with Tavares. If the Sox put up a few runs against the D-Backs' young starter though, it could be smooth sailing. 1.13 units to win 1.

Padres -139: I know, I know, a theme is developing here with me and these Padres. But what can I say? I've ridden this squad virtually all year, and I love them against the "other" Weaver tonight. Wells has been solid this year, even moreso at home, and I think he will continue that trend given a little bit of run support by his offense (assuming they can get to Weaver). 1.39 units to win 1.

_____________________________________________________

Might even have one more after going over it a bit. Hope to get past my weekend woes of late. BOL to everyone on their cards today.
 

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Ok, I can't resist this one.

Devil Rays +113: Betting on James Shields doesn't really need an explanation these days. He's been almost unhittable this year, and I'm glad to say he's one of the few prospects I've been right about. And as unbelieveable as he's been this year, he's been even better on the road, albeit in only 3 starts. Hopefully he can continue that today against the Marlins, who are fresh off a big come from behind win (thanks guys). And it certainly doesn't help his cause having no DH tonight.

While the public loves to back Willis, he's just not the same at home or as a favorite it seems. In 6 home starts, he has an ERA over 6, a WHIP of 1.68, and a BAA of over .280. And he's favored against Shields? Well, I'll be the first to admit that Tampa is a very bad road team, but I have to back them in this spot with this line. I really like their chances to bounce back after the tough loss yesterday. 1 unit to win 1.13.

Again, BOL today guys. Hope we all make some money.
 

ATP

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like all your plays except the cubs, marquis has sucked vs atlanta
 

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like all your plays except the cubs, marquis has sucked vs atlanta

Thanks. Just like the value in the Cubs here. Marquis is a different pitcher so far than in years past. We'll see if that holds up against a team that has had success against him.

Noticed you haven't been around as much lately (I think). Good to have you back. BOL.
 

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Red Sox line dropped from -114 to -110, does that mean anything.

Manny, Pedroia and Lowell are out of the lineup. Youkilis, Cora and Hinske are in. Getting a couple extra lefties in the lineup tonight. Hope it works out.
 

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4-2 for +3.79 units so far on the night. Shouldn't have played the Nats smaller than the others, but still a nice score. Still have the Red Sox, Brewers and Padres pending. Hope everyone made some cash tonight and picks up a bit more in the late games.
 

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Thanks VS. Hope you are having a good night so far as well.
 

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5-4 on the night for +2.02 units. The Brewers and Padres both blew big losses, which hurt my night. But after the last week or two, I'm grateful for any winning night. Just did a couple of writeups only to have IE crash on me. Will try again, but it'll have to be the shortened version.

Padres -120: Chris Young has been money this year. And he's flat out sick at home. In 5 starts in SD this season, Young is 2-1 with a 0.52 ERA, a 0.99 BAA, and a .164 BAA. In 5 home starts, he's amazingly only given up 2 ERs. Plus, he's had success in the past against Seattle. On the other side, we have King Felix, who has pitched like less than royalty this year. As nasty as his stuff is, he just hasn't really had it this year, and his injury may be lingering. But he's a public favorite, which is the only reason I can come up with for this line. Seattle has won the first two, but San Diego is too hot to continue losing. And they've been right there in both games, so I think they get over the top tomorrow. 1.8 units to win 1.5.

Phillies -133: 1.33 units to win 1.

Dodgers -108: 1.08 units to win 1.

Red Sox -110: 1.1 units to win 1.

I also like the Mets, Pirates, Angels, Orioles, Chi Sox, and the A's, but am going to wait to see how these lines move. BOL to everyone.
 

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