four today w/analysis

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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">2</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+2.12 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">47</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">44</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+32.56 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since April 2007)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">100</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">121</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+4.63 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.

Arizona +2.12 over NY YANKEES
Despite winning last night as big favorites the Yanks are once again hugely overpriced and thus we’re playing against them for that same reason. No need to go into a big explanation. Bottom line is there’s tremendous value playing against them and that’s all there is to it. Mike Mussina has an ERA of 6.65 at home and has just one win in four starts at The Stadium. No mater how you break it down this line is out of whack. Play: Arizona +2.09 (Risking 2 units).
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Toronto +1.35 over SAN FRANCISCO (3:35 PM)
We’ve been saying it for about a month now how Dustin McGowan has one of the best young arms in the game. He got off to a rough start but is now pitching with confidence and thus, McGowan has already taken the last bus ride of his life. McGowan has pitched seven full innings in three straight starts, allowing just 15 hits in 21.2 innings and lowering his ERA from 7.17 to 5.02. He’s being aggressive and going right after hitters, unlike at the beginning of the year when he was, as he put it, “Looking at the names on the back of the shirts”. McGowan has wicked stuff and these Giants are going to have a very tough time getting anything off him. The Giants offense is weak at best and you can be sure that Bonds will be sitting this one out after a night game yesterday. Tim Lincecum has much less experience then McGowan and is not yet close to the form or confidence that McGowan is pitching with. In fact, Lincecum has an ERA of 7.36 in two home starts in June. The only real success he’s had at this level was a three-game stretch in which he was dazzling against Houston twice and the Rockies, not exactly the cream of the crop. Don’t get us wrong, Lincecum is a definite talent and a pitcher to watch for sure. However, there’s a learning period in the big leagues and McGowan has gone through it (he’s been up and down from the minors for 2½ years), Lincecum has not. Play: Toronto +1.35 (Risking 2 units).
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PHILADELPHIA –1½ +1.71 over Chicago (1:05 PM)
The Phillies will call up a pitcher from Double AA to make a start in place of Freddy Garcia and that allows us an opportunity to lay 1½-runs and take back a pretty sweet price against these floundering White Sox. Kendrick pitched 81.1 innings at Reading, where he went 4-7 with a 3.21 ERA. His numbers in the minors are not great, however, he does have some that stand out and. He’s walked just 18 in 81 innings and has allowed just three bombs. He also threw a six-hitter in his last start and Charlie Manuel thinks he has a great shot to do something. Meanwhile, the White Sox are just going through the motions and Ozzie Guillen’s time as their manager is hanging by a thread. The player’s don’t like playing for him, as he’s a total head-case with a mouth like a sewer that has an opinion on everything. It’s becoming old and worn out and it’s taking it’s toll on the whole team. The South Side has lost 14 of 17 and now Joe Crede, a key ingredient is out for at least two months. Furthermore, John Danks has allowed 20 hits, three jacks and 11 runs in his past 13 innings pitched and that was against three struggling offenses in Minnesota, Toronto and Houston. The offense he’ll see here is a huge step up in class and neither he nor the entire team is ready for that. Play: Philadelphia –1½ +1.71 (Risking 2 units).
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Washington +1.45 over BALTIMORE
The Nats are hot and the Orioles are cold and that alone makes this choice a very live one indeed. In addition, Steve Trachsel, although he’s pitched well hasn’t been this big a favorite in years and nor should he be. Guys like Trachsel do not pitch well for long stretches and therefore he’s ripe to get lit up. Washington has won its last eight of 10 on the road while averaging 6.3 runs and batting .307. Meanwhile, the Orioles have lost three straight and eight of their last 10 to fall into last place in the AL East, one game behind Tampa Bay. Matt Chico has an ERA of 2.76 over his last three games and frankly, we don’t see where the Orioles have an advantage in this contest and even if they do it’s not –1.55 worth. Overlay. Play: Washington +1.45 (Risking 2 units).
 

Rx Addict
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Arizona with you baby..no way that price will dropp without me wagerin on it..
 

Banned
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Mar 20, 2006
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Always a great read and convincing points of view


Thanks


snets
 

NBA and Miami Heat Guru
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Sep 20, 2004
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This shouldnt be on the second page....just a courtesy bump!

Keep up the solid work!

You are on fire.

SB :103631605
 

Rx. Junior
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Nov 3, 2006
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Books have taken a beating today!!!!....hope you finish the job!!!!!!!
 

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