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I don't know what my record is on the year, it's definitely somewhere near .500 or worse...who knows, I have not kept track. However, no more games for me. I have started quite a few ridiculous threads the last few days trying out different methods to win ball games and it has not worked. I think going back to what I do best is going to provide some winners. I adapted this three different unit range system for my plays (I know several use it on these boards...great idea) and I am looking forward to making cash the rest of the year. If anyone has my record this year, feel free to post it in the thread, I'll make sure to have it up with my writeups everyday. Thanks
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Friday, June 15<o></o>
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<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Seattle</st1lace></st1:City> Mariners ML -127 (1 Unit)<o></o>
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The Seattle Mariners could have very well come out of Wrigley Field with a three game sweep but instead they came out losing two of three, both losses coming by one run. They were underdogs in all three games and interestingly enough this time around, they now move into the road favorite category which is a whole new ballgame for some teams. The Mariners have more wins on the road than they do at home so you shouldn't be worried about betting on them on the road. Regardless of the two losses, <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Seattle</st1lace></st1:City> is still 7-3 in their last 10 games and hitting .284 in those games. On the mound for <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Houston</st1lace></st1:City> tonight is Wandy Rodriguez who is a left-handed pitcher. Right off the top of my head I can tell you that this <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Seattle</st1lace></st1:City> team loves to hit lefties and are hitting .292 against them this year, .308 on the road. This is the worse possible matchup for Rodriguez who although has pitched well at home, is 1-2 in his last three starts and is getting only 3.3 runs of support in those starts from his offense. Some may argue that because he held the Rangers to one run back in May, he can do the same here but the truth is that the Rangers can't hit lefties and the Mariners sure as hell can.<o></o>
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The Houston Astros come into this game having lost 6 of their last 10 games and I don't know that the end of mediocrity is anywhere in sight. They are batting only .252 in those last ten games as a team and both their starting pitching and bullpen have not performed better than they are expected to. On the mound for <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Seattle</st1lace></st1:City> tonight is 'King' Felix Hernandez. Some of you may disagree with him being favored in this spot because of his recent numbers but he kinda reminds me of Bartolo Colon. No matter how poorly this guy pitches, the offense provides him with run support. Although his ERA in the last three games is 7.13 and his WHIP 1.70, the Mariners are still 2-1 in those games and averaging 5.7 runs of support per game. Much like the offense, Hernandez has been a lot better on the road this year going 2-1 in four road starts with an ERA of 4.10 and a WHIP of 1.14. Don't forget that Felix is coming off an impressive road performance against the San Diego Padres where he allowed only three runs in six innings of work. The bottom line is that <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Houston</st1lace></st1:City> is struggling at the plate and they are pathetic against right handed pitchers hitting only .241 on the year.<o></o>
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The skinny on this game is that the Mariners are just a better team on the road than at home and they have crushed left handed pitchers all season long. They have been one of the most consistent inter-league teams in baseball going 12-2 in their last 14 interleague games versus a team with a losing record and 13-3 in their last 16 games overall versus a left-handed pitcher which tells me that Wandy Rodriguez could be in for one hell of a long night. Hernandez is the kind of pitcher that can show you the money or can burn your money but the spot seems great for him tonight. The Astros have had problems at the plate and Hernandez has been very good as a short price road favorite. After losing to <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Oakland</st1lace></st1:City> yesterday, the Astros are now 2-9 in their last 11 games versus a right-handed batter and for those who did not know, when Wandy Rodriguez is an underdog, there is definitely a reason for it. I say that because the Astros are 1-9 in their last 10 games where Rodriguez is an underdog. Eat that for dinner.<o></o>
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<st1:State w:st="on">Colorado</st1:State> <st1lace w:st="on">Rockies</st1lace> ML -105 (3 Units)<o></o>
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The Tampa Bay Devil Rays fly into the thin air of <st1:State w:st="on">Colorado</st1:State> on a pretty damn shitty note after losing two of three games at home against <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">San Diego</st1lace></st1:City>. What you have to understand about this team is that they rely heavily on their powerful batting lineup and not so much on their pitching staff. Well that could be a problem now because the D-Rays lose a batter in the lineup and have to have the pitcher step up to the plate for what should be an automatic out. On the mound tonight for the hometown Colorado Rockies is Rodrigo Lopez, who the Devil Rays should be familiar with since he played with the Orioles the last few years. Surprisingly enough, Lopez is 2-0 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.19 WHIP on the season and has been one of the best pitchers for this team as they are 5-1 when he starts this year. Lopez is 10-6 lifetime versus the D-Rays and has faced several guys in this lineup. Lopez has not been as good at home as he has been on the road this season but the Devil Rays have slowed down their offense a bit these days (scoring only once in the last two games) and are hitting only .257 against right handed pitchers this year. <st1
laceName w:st="on">Tampa</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">Bay</st1laceType> is in trouble tonight because the <st1lace w:st="on">Rockies</st1lace> have not lost at home this season when Lopez is pitching at Coors Field. He is getting 7.0 runs of support from the offense in his last three starts.<o></o>
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The Colorado Rockies pulled off the impossible when they won two games as huge dogs against the Boston Red Sox. The <st1lace w:st="on">Rockies</st1lace> are coming off ML wins as +197 and +242 underdogs as they just beat Josh Beckett and Curt Schilling for a very impressive near sweep of the AL East leading Red Sox. <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Colorado</st1lace></st1:State>'s bats have really come alive recently as they are hitting .303 in their last 10 games, have had tremendous starting pitching and even better work from their bullpen. This team is finally in some kind of groove and there is no reason to believe that will end tonight. On the mound for the Devil Rays is James Shields who has been outstanding this season going 6-0 with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 0.96. However, I have to warn you guys that much like Josh Beckett last night, Shields is bound to lose a game and seeing how the Rockies are starter killers these days...why the hell not tonight too? Colorado is hitting .283 at home versus right handed pitchers and even if Shields pitches well and leaves in the 7th or 8th inning, do you really think this Tampa Bay bullpen (who have an ERA of 7.34 in their last 10 games) can hold the fort down in a stadium that loves higher scoring games? I don't think so guys.<o></o>
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Just on a side note here, the home team has never lost a game in the six meetings between these two teams. I know it was a while ago and all but it's important to know that these two teams play well in their own homes and for whatever reason, have had their own advantages against the other at home. Yes its true that <st1lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Tampa</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">Bay</st1laceType></st1lace> has dominated the NL West when they have played each other (15-2 in their last 17 against them) but the D-Rays just cannot win road games against right handed pitchers winning only 10 of their 51 against road righties. Also, dating back to last season, James Shields has always been more vulnerable on the road than at home and the oddsmakers know what they are doing when they make him an underdog. The Devil Rays are 2-10 the last 12 times he has started as a road underdog and like I said before, they just can't hit righties. Not only are the <st1lace w:st="on">Rockies</st1lace> sending one of their best starters tonight but they get to face a team that is ice cold at the plate. What I like about the <st1lace w:st="on">Rockies</st1lace> is that they have always reacted well to the first home game following a long road trip and are now 5-1 in their last six games after returning from a road trip of more than six days. This should be another Coors Field party for the red-hot <st1lace w:st="on">Rockies</st1lace>.<o></o>
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<st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Oakland</st1lace></st1:City> Athletics ML -183 (5 Units) ***PLAY OF THE DAY***<o></o>
The St. Louis Cardinals are coming off another horrendous series, this time against the pathetic Kansas City Royals. First of all, before I even talk about the matchup tonight, who the fuck allows the Kansas City Royals to score 28 runs against them in a three game series. Okay any other team I would understand but when you allow that many runs to a shitty team like the Royals, something is seriously wrong with your team. The Cardinals are now 5-5 in their last 10 games (after somewhat turning things around on their terrible season) and hitting .285. Pitching has been their big issue and I'll talk about it a bit later. On the mound for <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Oakland</st1lace></st1:City> tonight is their ace Dan Haren who is as untouchable as it gets when playing at home. In seven home starts this season Haren is 4-0 with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.88 while opponents are hitting only .168. I know the Cardinals prefer batting against right handed pitchers but this is not a normal right handed pitcher. Haren has beat the Red Sox, Rangers, Giants and D-Rays at home so there is no reason to believe he can't beat these Cardinals. The Oakland bullpen has been outstanding as they have an ERA of only 1.11 in their last 10 games so if Haren has to leave early, you know these guys can get the job done and win the game anyways. I don't see how the Cardinals can score enough runs tonight.
The Oakland Atheltics are on their yearly mid-season run right now (some on this board have talked about it happening) and they are 8-2 in their last 10 games despite hitting only .255 in those games. How is that possible with all the injuries they have you ask? Well I know Shannon Stewart, Travis Buck, Milton Bradley and Mike Piazza are still all out of the lineup but the Athletics continue to beat teams with their solid pitching as the starting staff has an ERA of 2.15 over their last 10 games. Now that is outstanding. Things should be a bit easier for the A's in their return home tonight as they face the Cardinals and Braden Looper. The Cardinals pitching staff has been a disaster as of late with their 7.08 ERA in the last 10 games. Their bullpen has been just as atrocious with their 7.23 ERA over the last 10 games. Its already bad enough that the A's have one of the best pitchers going tonight, you really dont want to help them out on the offensive side of things. The only time Looper has seen the A's in his career was as a reliever and he converted two of two saves. However, he is 3-3 on the road this season with an ERA of 4.75 and WHIP of 1.42. He has been rocked in his last three starts as the team is 1-2 in those starts and his ERA is 7.64 and his WHIP 1.67. That's horrendous. I don't think there is anything Looper can do tonight even though the A's are hitting only .227 against right handed pitchers at home.
The skinny on this game is that you have one team who can somewhat hit but their pitching is terrible and you have one team that cannot hit but that gets to face a terrible pitching staff with 9 batters instead of only 8 if this were being played in an NL ballpark. I think Shannon Stewart is back in the lineup tonight so that could be another big boost for this team that can't really hit for their lives. St. Louis has had a lot of success against the AL West in their inter-league schedule winning 8 of their last 10 against this division but the Cardinals have not had any recent success playing against right-handed pitchers as they have lost 5 of their last 6 in interleague play versus righties. The Cardinals are also 1-7 in their last eight interleague road games versus a right handed starter and a dismal 2-12 in their last 14 interleague road games. Wow...thats garbage. Although the A's have not been too succesful at the plate this year, they have done well against crappy pitchers like Looper. Oakland is 7-1 in their last eight games versus a starting pitcher that has a WHIP greater than 1.30 (Looper is 1.36 on the year) and they have done an outstanding job at home versus righties and at home as a moderate price favorite like tonight. I have no problem backing the A's here seeing how they are 7-1 the last eight times Haren starts at home and he has been their best pitcher overall.
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></o>I don't know what my record is on the year, it's definitely somewhere near .500 or worse...who knows, I have not kept track. However, no more games for me. I have started quite a few ridiculous threads the last few days trying out different methods to win ball games and it has not worked. I think going back to what I do best is going to provide some winners. I adapted this three different unit range system for my plays (I know several use it on these boards...great idea) and I am looking forward to making cash the rest of the year. If anyone has my record this year, feel free to post it in the thread, I'll make sure to have it up with my writeups everyday. Thanks
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></o>Friday, June 15<o
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></o><?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
ffice:smarttags" /><st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Seattle</st1lace></st1:City> Mariners ML -127 (1 Unit)<o></o><o
></o>The Seattle Mariners could have very well come out of Wrigley Field with a three game sweep but instead they came out losing two of three, both losses coming by one run. They were underdogs in all three games and interestingly enough this time around, they now move into the road favorite category which is a whole new ballgame for some teams. The Mariners have more wins on the road than they do at home so you shouldn't be worried about betting on them on the road. Regardless of the two losses, <st1:City w:st="on"><st1
lace w:st="on">Seattle</st1lace></st1:City> is still 7-3 in their last 10 games and hitting .284 in those games. On the mound for <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Houston</st1lace></st1:City> tonight is Wandy Rodriguez who is a left-handed pitcher. Right off the top of my head I can tell you that this <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Seattle</st1lace></st1:City> team loves to hit lefties and are hitting .292 against them this year, .308 on the road. This is the worse possible matchup for Rodriguez who although has pitched well at home, is 1-2 in his last three starts and is getting only 3.3 runs of support in those starts from his offense. Some may argue that because he held the Rangers to one run back in May, he can do the same here but the truth is that the Rangers can't hit lefties and the Mariners sure as hell can.<o></o><o
></o>The Houston Astros come into this game having lost 6 of their last 10 games and I don't know that the end of mediocrity is anywhere in sight. They are batting only .252 in those last ten games as a team and both their starting pitching and bullpen have not performed better than they are expected to. On the mound for <st1:City w:st="on"><st1
lace w:st="on">Seattle</st1lace></st1:City> tonight is 'King' Felix Hernandez. Some of you may disagree with him being favored in this spot because of his recent numbers but he kinda reminds me of Bartolo Colon. No matter how poorly this guy pitches, the offense provides him with run support. Although his ERA in the last three games is 7.13 and his WHIP 1.70, the Mariners are still 2-1 in those games and averaging 5.7 runs of support per game. Much like the offense, Hernandez has been a lot better on the road this year going 2-1 in four road starts with an ERA of 4.10 and a WHIP of 1.14. Don't forget that Felix is coming off an impressive road performance against the San Diego Padres where he allowed only three runs in six innings of work. The bottom line is that <st1:City w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Houston</st1lace></st1:City> is struggling at the plate and they are pathetic against right handed pitchers hitting only .241 on the year.<o></o><o
></o>The skinny on this game is that the Mariners are just a better team on the road than at home and they have crushed left handed pitchers all season long. They have been one of the most consistent inter-league teams in baseball going 12-2 in their last 14 interleague games versus a team with a losing record and 13-3 in their last 16 games overall versus a left-handed pitcher which tells me that Wandy Rodriguez could be in for one hell of a long night. Hernandez is the kind of pitcher that can show you the money or can burn your money but the spot seems great for him tonight. The Astros have had problems at the plate and Hernandez has been very good as a short price road favorite. After losing to <st1:City w:st="on"><st1
lace w:st="on">Oakland</st1lace></st1:City> yesterday, the Astros are now 2-9 in their last 11 games versus a right-handed batter and for those who did not know, when Wandy Rodriguez is an underdog, there is definitely a reason for it. I say that because the Astros are 1-9 in their last 10 games where Rodriguez is an underdog. Eat that for dinner.<o></o><o
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></o><st1:State w:st="on">Colorado</st1:State> <st1
lace w:st="on">Rockies</st1lace> ML -105 (3 Units)<o></o><o
></o>The Tampa Bay Devil Rays fly into the thin air of <st1:State w:st="on">Colorado</st1:State> on a pretty damn shitty note after losing two of three games at home against <st1:City w:st="on"><st1
lace w:st="on">San Diego</st1lace></st1:City>. What you have to understand about this team is that they rely heavily on their powerful batting lineup and not so much on their pitching staff. Well that could be a problem now because the D-Rays lose a batter in the lineup and have to have the pitcher step up to the plate for what should be an automatic out. On the mound tonight for the hometown Colorado Rockies is Rodrigo Lopez, who the Devil Rays should be familiar with since he played with the Orioles the last few years. Surprisingly enough, Lopez is 2-0 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.19 WHIP on the season and has been one of the best pitchers for this team as they are 5-1 when he starts this year. Lopez is 10-6 lifetime versus the D-Rays and has faced several guys in this lineup. Lopez has not been as good at home as he has been on the road this season but the Devil Rays have slowed down their offense a bit these days (scoring only once in the last two games) and are hitting only .257 against right handed pitchers this year. <st1laceName w:st="on">Tampa</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">Bay</st1laceType> is in trouble tonight because the <st1lace w:st="on">Rockies</st1lace> have not lost at home this season when Lopez is pitching at Coors Field. He is getting 7.0 runs of support from the offense in his last three starts.<o></o><o
></o>The Colorado Rockies pulled off the impossible when they won two games as huge dogs against the Boston Red Sox. The <st1
lace w:st="on">Rockies</st1lace> are coming off ML wins as +197 and +242 underdogs as they just beat Josh Beckett and Curt Schilling for a very impressive near sweep of the AL East leading Red Sox. <st1:State w:st="on"><st1lace w:st="on">Colorado</st1lace></st1:State>'s bats have really come alive recently as they are hitting .303 in their last 10 games, have had tremendous starting pitching and even better work from their bullpen. This team is finally in some kind of groove and there is no reason to believe that will end tonight. On the mound for the Devil Rays is James Shields who has been outstanding this season going 6-0 with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 0.96. However, I have to warn you guys that much like Josh Beckett last night, Shields is bound to lose a game and seeing how the Rockies are starter killers these days...why the hell not tonight too? Colorado is hitting .283 at home versus right handed pitchers and even if Shields pitches well and leaves in the 7th or 8th inning, do you really think this Tampa Bay bullpen (who have an ERA of 7.34 in their last 10 games) can hold the fort down in a stadium that loves higher scoring games? I don't think so guys.<o></o><o
></o>Just on a side note here, the home team has never lost a game in the six meetings between these two teams. I know it was a while ago and all but it's important to know that these two teams play well in their own homes and for whatever reason, have had their own advantages against the other at home. Yes its true that <st1
lace w:st="on"><st1laceName w:st="on">Tampa</st1laceName> <st1laceType w:st="on">Bay</st1laceType></st1lace> has dominated the NL West when they have played each other (15-2 in their last 17 against them) but the D-Rays just cannot win road games against right handed pitchers winning only 10 of their 51 against road righties. Also, dating back to last season, James Shields has always been more vulnerable on the road than at home and the oddsmakers know what they are doing when they make him an underdog. The Devil Rays are 2-10 the last 12 times he has started as a road underdog and like I said before, they just can't hit righties. Not only are the <st1lace w:st="on">Rockies</st1lace> sending one of their best starters tonight but they get to face a team that is ice cold at the plate. What I like about the <st1lace w:st="on">Rockies</st1lace> is that they have always reacted well to the first home game following a long road trip and are now 5-1 in their last six games after returning from a road trip of more than six days. This should be another Coors Field party for the red-hot <st1lace w:st="on">Rockies</st1lace>.<o></o><o
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lace w:st="on">Oakland</st1lace></st1:City> Athletics ML -183 (5 Units) ***PLAY OF THE DAY***<o></o>The St. Louis Cardinals are coming off another horrendous series, this time against the pathetic Kansas City Royals. First of all, before I even talk about the matchup tonight, who the fuck allows the Kansas City Royals to score 28 runs against them in a three game series. Okay any other team I would understand but when you allow that many runs to a shitty team like the Royals, something is seriously wrong with your team. The Cardinals are now 5-5 in their last 10 games (after somewhat turning things around on their terrible season) and hitting .285. Pitching has been their big issue and I'll talk about it a bit later. On the mound for <st1:City w:st="on"><st1
lace w:st="on">Oakland</st1lace></st1:City> tonight is their ace Dan Haren who is as untouchable as it gets when playing at home. In seven home starts this season Haren is 4-0 with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.88 while opponents are hitting only .168. I know the Cardinals prefer batting against right handed pitchers but this is not a normal right handed pitcher. Haren has beat the Red Sox, Rangers, Giants and D-Rays at home so there is no reason to believe he can't beat these Cardinals. The Oakland bullpen has been outstanding as they have an ERA of only 1.11 in their last 10 games so if Haren has to leave early, you know these guys can get the job done and win the game anyways. I don't see how the Cardinals can score enough runs tonight.The Oakland Atheltics are on their yearly mid-season run right now (some on this board have talked about it happening) and they are 8-2 in their last 10 games despite hitting only .255 in those games. How is that possible with all the injuries they have you ask? Well I know Shannon Stewart, Travis Buck, Milton Bradley and Mike Piazza are still all out of the lineup but the Athletics continue to beat teams with their solid pitching as the starting staff has an ERA of 2.15 over their last 10 games. Now that is outstanding. Things should be a bit easier for the A's in their return home tonight as they face the Cardinals and Braden Looper. The Cardinals pitching staff has been a disaster as of late with their 7.08 ERA in the last 10 games. Their bullpen has been just as atrocious with their 7.23 ERA over the last 10 games. Its already bad enough that the A's have one of the best pitchers going tonight, you really dont want to help them out on the offensive side of things. The only time Looper has seen the A's in his career was as a reliever and he converted two of two saves. However, he is 3-3 on the road this season with an ERA of 4.75 and WHIP of 1.42. He has been rocked in his last three starts as the team is 1-2 in those starts and his ERA is 7.64 and his WHIP 1.67. That's horrendous. I don't think there is anything Looper can do tonight even though the A's are hitting only .227 against right handed pitchers at home.
The skinny on this game is that you have one team who can somewhat hit but their pitching is terrible and you have one team that cannot hit but that gets to face a terrible pitching staff with 9 batters instead of only 8 if this were being played in an NL ballpark. I think Shannon Stewart is back in the lineup tonight so that could be another big boost for this team that can't really hit for their lives. St. Louis has had a lot of success against the AL West in their inter-league schedule winning 8 of their last 10 against this division but the Cardinals have not had any recent success playing against right-handed pitchers as they have lost 5 of their last 6 in interleague play versus righties. The Cardinals are also 1-7 in their last eight interleague road games versus a right handed starter and a dismal 2-12 in their last 14 interleague road games. Wow...thats garbage. Although the A's have not been too succesful at the plate this year, they have done well against crappy pitchers like Looper. Oakland is 7-1 in their last eight games versus a starting pitcher that has a WHIP greater than 1.30 (Looper is 1.36 on the year) and they have done an outstanding job at home versus righties and at home as a moderate price favorite like tonight. I have no problem backing the A's here seeing how they are 7-1 the last eight times Haren starts at home and he has been their best pitcher overall.
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GL bro
