<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">2</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-1.92 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">47</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">45</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+31.24 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since April 2007)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">104</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">124</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+9.73 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
NY Mets +1.61 over NY YANKEES
Oliver Perez has been one of the leagues most consistent and efficient starters this season and the only reason we’re getting such a big price is because he’s going up against the Yanks and that 45-year old freak of nature, Roger Clemens. The only thing missing is Mike Piazza in Mets gear. Anyway, Perez has allowed a stingy 58 hits in 75 frames and the league is hitting just .206 off him. Clemens made his season debut against the Pirates and while he did win he still gave up three runs in six innings for a 4.50 ERA. So, yeah, the Mets are cold and the Yankees are hot but that doesn’t change the fact that this price is just plain stupid. Win or lose the Mets are a must play and hopefully this setting will wake up these cross-town intruders. Big overlay. Play: NY Mets +1.61 (Risking 2 units). <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
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OAKLAND –1½ +1.24 over St. Louis
Very interesting match-up sees Tony LaRussa coming back to Oakland to face his former team for the first time. It also features Dan Haren going for the A’s and Haren was originally a Cardinal and was traded for Mark Mulder in 2005. Gee, wonder if that genius LaRussa was the mastermind of that trade. All Haren has done is win 14 games in each of the past two seasons and this year he is the front-runner for the Cy Young award. Haren is 7-0 with a 1.48 ERA and .170 opponents batting average over his last 11 starts, and 4-0 in seven home starts to go along with a 1.80 ERA and a .168 opponents batting average. Brandon Looper is a reliever turned starter and the effects of that transition are showing up big time. In Looper’s last three starts covering 17 frames he’s allowed 25 hits and 15 earned runs. In June his ERA is 6.75 and the opposition has hit .346 off him. Furthermore, the Cards bullpen, aside from being a joke, is beaten up and worn out after the Royals battered them over a just completed three-game set in KC. In fact, the Cardinals bullpen had an ERA of 10.24 over that stretch. Lastly, the A’s are on fire with 10 win sin 12 games and the Cardinals are cold as hell or drunk or both. Play: Oakland –1½ +1.24 (Risking 2 units). <o></o>
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Seattle –1½ +1.28 over HOUSTON
The Mariners should absolutely thrive offensively in this park. Minute Maids’ dimensions caters to line-drive hitters and that’s all the Mariners feature. From Ichiro at the top of the order all the way down the whole line-up these Mariners have been tearing it up offensively for the past six weeks. They’re now third in the league in team batting average just slightly behind the Angels and Tigers. The Mariners are 13-4 against southpaws and will face another one here in Wandy Rodriguez. Rodriguez has some sweet numbers at home but that’s a little misleading because he’s only made four home starts and two of those came against the Reds and the other ones came against the D-Backs and Rangers. That trio has struggled miserably at the plate and Rodriguez is about to take a huge step up in class tonight. Furthermore, the Astros have lost 20 of 27 and have made some of the weakest pitchers in the game look like Ron Guidry. The Astros are 27th out of 30 in team batting average and Felix Hernandez has all the potential to be dazzling. Offensively, this one’s a mismatch and overall, in terms of form, talent and everything else, it’s also a mismatch and we expect the Mariners to come in here and sweep this unmotivated host. Play: Seattle –1½ +1.28 (Risking 2 units). <o></o>
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Detroit –1½ +1.40 over PHILADELPHIA
Frankly, we have no idea how Jon Lieber continues to keep his team in games but with the way he pitches it simply cannot last, especially against this offensive juggernaut. Lieber’s fastball is about the same speed of Tom Wakefield’s knuckler. Ok, that might be a stretch but you get the point. He locates well but he just doesn’t have the talent or repertoire to keep hitters off balance. The league has hit .317 off him at Citizens Bank Park and he hasn’t seen anything resembling the Tigers all year. Detroit leads the league in just about every offensive category and we expect them to batter Lieber early and often. Jeremy Bonderman needs no introduction, as Bonderman remains one of the most reliable starters in the business. Anyway, this choice is all about playing AL vs NL and going against Jon Lieber. Play: Detroit –1½ +1.40 (Risking 2 units). <o></o>
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Detroit TT over 4½ -1.07
We’re also going to play the Tigers team total over 4½ for the same reasons mentioned above. Play; Detroit (TT) over 4½ -1.07 (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
NY Mets +1.61 over NY YANKEES
Oliver Perez has been one of the leagues most consistent and efficient starters this season and the only reason we’re getting such a big price is because he’s going up against the Yanks and that 45-year old freak of nature, Roger Clemens. The only thing missing is Mike Piazza in Mets gear. Anyway, Perez has allowed a stingy 58 hits in 75 frames and the league is hitting just .206 off him. Clemens made his season debut against the Pirates and while he did win he still gave up three runs in six innings for a 4.50 ERA. So, yeah, the Mets are cold and the Yankees are hot but that doesn’t change the fact that this price is just plain stupid. Win or lose the Mets are a must play and hopefully this setting will wake up these cross-town intruders. Big overlay. Play: NY Mets +1.61 (Risking 2 units). <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o></o><o
></o>OAKLAND –1½ +1.24 over St. Louis
Very interesting match-up sees Tony LaRussa coming back to Oakland to face his former team for the first time. It also features Dan Haren going for the A’s and Haren was originally a Cardinal and was traded for Mark Mulder in 2005. Gee, wonder if that genius LaRussa was the mastermind of that trade. All Haren has done is win 14 games in each of the past two seasons and this year he is the front-runner for the Cy Young award. Haren is 7-0 with a 1.48 ERA and .170 opponents batting average over his last 11 starts, and 4-0 in seven home starts to go along with a 1.80 ERA and a .168 opponents batting average. Brandon Looper is a reliever turned starter and the effects of that transition are showing up big time. In Looper’s last three starts covering 17 frames he’s allowed 25 hits and 15 earned runs. In June his ERA is 6.75 and the opposition has hit .346 off him. Furthermore, the Cards bullpen, aside from being a joke, is beaten up and worn out after the Royals battered them over a just completed three-game set in KC. In fact, the Cardinals bullpen had an ERA of 10.24 over that stretch. Lastly, the A’s are on fire with 10 win sin 12 games and the Cardinals are cold as hell or drunk or both. Play: Oakland –1½ +1.24 (Risking 2 units). <o
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></o>Seattle –1½ +1.28 over HOUSTON
The Mariners should absolutely thrive offensively in this park. Minute Maids’ dimensions caters to line-drive hitters and that’s all the Mariners feature. From Ichiro at the top of the order all the way down the whole line-up these Mariners have been tearing it up offensively for the past six weeks. They’re now third in the league in team batting average just slightly behind the Angels and Tigers. The Mariners are 13-4 against southpaws and will face another one here in Wandy Rodriguez. Rodriguez has some sweet numbers at home but that’s a little misleading because he’s only made four home starts and two of those came against the Reds and the other ones came against the D-Backs and Rangers. That trio has struggled miserably at the plate and Rodriguez is about to take a huge step up in class tonight. Furthermore, the Astros have lost 20 of 27 and have made some of the weakest pitchers in the game look like Ron Guidry. The Astros are 27th out of 30 in team batting average and Felix Hernandez has all the potential to be dazzling. Offensively, this one’s a mismatch and overall, in terms of form, talent and everything else, it’s also a mismatch and we expect the Mariners to come in here and sweep this unmotivated host. Play: Seattle –1½ +1.28 (Risking 2 units). <o
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></o>Detroit –1½ +1.40 over PHILADELPHIA
Frankly, we have no idea how Jon Lieber continues to keep his team in games but with the way he pitches it simply cannot last, especially against this offensive juggernaut. Lieber’s fastball is about the same speed of Tom Wakefield’s knuckler. Ok, that might be a stretch but you get the point. He locates well but he just doesn’t have the talent or repertoire to keep hitters off balance. The league has hit .317 off him at Citizens Bank Park and he hasn’t seen anything resembling the Tigers all year. Detroit leads the league in just about every offensive category and we expect them to batter Lieber early and often. Jeremy Bonderman needs no introduction, as Bonderman remains one of the most reliable starters in the business. Anyway, this choice is all about playing AL vs NL and going against Jon Lieber. Play: Detroit –1½ +1.40 (Risking 2 units). <o
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></o>Detroit TT over 4½ -1.07
We’re also going to play the Tigers team total over 4½ for the same reasons mentioned above. Play; Detroit (TT) over 4½ -1.07 (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).
