MistaFlava's 2007 MLB 3-Unit Range Record: 2-1 (+6.73 Units)<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
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5 Units Plays: 1-0 (+5.00 Units) ***POD***<o></o>
3 Units Plays: 1-0 (+3.00 Units)<o></o>
1 Unit Plays: 0-1 (-1.27 Units)<o></o>
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I don't know what my record is on the year, it's definitely somewhere near .500 or worse...who knows, I have not kept track and don't feel like digging it up. I have started quite a few ridiculous threads the last few days trying out different methods to win ball games and it has not worked. I think going back to what I do best is going to provide some winners. I adapted this three different unit range system for my plays (I know several use it on these boards...great idea) and I am looking forward to making cash the rest of the year. If anyone has my record this year, feel free to post it in the thread, I'll make sure to have it up with my writeups everyday. Thanks
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Saturday, June 16
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Colorado Rockies ML -130 (3 Units)
The Tampa Bay Devil Rays were a real bust for the 40% or so that backed them last night but thats mainly because you were ignoring the fact that the Rays rely almost solely on thier bats to win them games and seeing how this is being played in an NL ballpark, Tampa Bay gets to use one less batter every game. For a team that is hitting .291 in their last 10 games, that makes a big difference let me tell you. So the blowout is out of the way but the question is...can they avoid another one and can they get a quality start from Andy Sonnanstine? Well it won't matter much if the D-Rays can't get to Jason Hirsch. The 6'8 monster from Santa Monica has been a hard luck loser at home this season going 1-4 in seven starts but holding opponents to a batting average of only .256. The problem with Hirsch has not been so much that he allows too many runs it has been that he doesn't get enough run support (the offense scores only 3.4 runs per game for him in 13 starts this season). However, as well as they hit overall, the Devil Rays are batting only .258 versus right handed pitchers. The Rockies bullpen has been one of the best in the majors in recent week as their ERA is 2.59 in the last 10 games. Hirsch has allowed more than 4 ER's in only one start this season, the runs are bound to come for him.
The Colorado Rockies continued their torrid run with a 12-2 blowout of these Devil Rays last night and who the hell is with me when I say that the run continues with a nice price of -130? They are 7-3 in their last 10 games, hitting .299 in those games and getting some quality pitching all around from their starting staff and their bullpen. There is no reason to fade them right now until they have to face a left handed pitcher at Coors. The Rockies are hitting only .247 versus lefties at home while they are hitting .287 versus right handed pitchers at Coors Field. Luckily for them they get another righty today as Andy Sonnanstine is on the mound for Tampa. The kid is 1-0 on the season with a 5.14 ERA in two starts. The Devil Rays won both his starts this season in Toronto (lineup that likes lefties, not righties) and Florida (lineup that likes lefties, not righties) but still allowed a lot of runs. He is getting 10.0 runs of support from his offense in both starts and I don't know that this will matter or help him again today against a lineup that loves to hit righties at Coors. I know he lasted 7 innings in both starts but if he doesn't make it that far, how do the Devil Rays survive with a bullpen that has an ERA of 8.71 over the last 10 games? They don't. So no matter what lead they have, it will be in danger...this pen is horrendous these days.
Keep in mind as one of the key variables to this game that the home team is now 7-0 in this all-time series and like I said yesterday, there is something about the D-Rays playing in this ballpark and the Rockies playing away from it that might never allow that trend to change. Typically you can expect a nice amount of runs today (I hate totals) because the D-Rays are not often held down against pitchers with weaker WHIP numbers like Hirsch has. However, they are still 3-12 in their last 15 interleague games versus a team with a winning record. You also have to remember that they just can't hit righties like they hit lefties as they have won only 10 of their last 52 games versus right handed pitchers and are 1-7 in their last eight road games versus a right handed starter. The Rockies have won five straight home games when playing against a right handed starter and 8 of their last 10 overall against righties. The only concern in this game is that they have lost the last five home games that Jason Hirsch has started but seeing how the Rockies offense is clicking on all cylinders, I think they can get him enough runs for once to bring home the bacon. Rockies it is for me.
Seattle Mariners ML -109 (5 Units) ***PLAY OF THE DAY***
Well you would think that someone like me who lost a bit of cash on the Mariners last night would back away and let these guys burn in baseball hell after screwing me. Not so much. When I bet on them yesterday I had a plan in mind that included betting them even bigger today if they lost my one unit play. No matter which way you look at it, the Mariners are still playing decent baseball the last two weeks and believe it or not I still think their pitching can keep them in games long enough to get the sleeping bats going. Wandy Rodriguez looked like Cy Young last night well let me tell you right away that Woody Williams is not going to look like Cy tonight. Not only is Williams 3-5 in 12 career starts versus the Mariners with an ERA of 5.12 but he is also 1-3 at home this season with an ERA of 5.74 and a WHIP of 1.76 (opposing teams are hitting .330 against him in Minute Maid park). So its obvious by now that he has been clobbered by other teams and the dormant Seattle bats should have no problems coming out of their shells. When the Texas Rangers came to town in May, they managed to hit 3 HR's off Williams and scored 5 runs in only four innings before he left. I really think the Mariners are going to enjoy hitting him around even though they prefer lefties and even though they are hitting only .269 versus right handed pitchers on the road this season. We all know its easier to get good numbers pitching in San Diego like Williams has the last two years which is why he is now 2-9 on the season and getting crushed left and right. In 2005, the Mariners were able to score 4 runs off Woody when he played at home for the Padres and they lost 5-4. Well now he's no longer in the comforts of that tough to hit in ballpark so the Mariners should come out and have a field day. What I like the most is that not many people from yesterday will be on them again today.
The Houston Astros won yesterday's game but that doesn't change the fact that they are 4-6 in their last 10 games or the fact that they are still hitting only .257 at home this season and probably blew their entire load last night with the 15 hit performance or whatever it was. Cha Seung Baek is on the mound for the Mariners tonight and what you have to keep in mind before anything else is that he has been getting 6.0 runs of support from his offense per start this season while Woody Williams has been getting only 4.0 runs of support in return himself. As poorly as he has pitched in his last three starts (6.75 ERA and 1.56 WHIP), the team is 3-0 in those starts thanks to the offense who has crushed opposing teams bullpens very late in games. You gotta love having a team like that specially knowing that Brad Lidge is on the other side and that the Astros bullpen has an ERA of 4.82 in their last 10 games. Let's be fair to Baek for a second though. On the road this season he has faced the Cleveland Indians twice, the Detroit Tigers, the Kansas City Royals, the New York Yankees and the Texas Rangers. Yet he is still 2-1 in those six starts and the Astros are definitely a step down in class for him tonight. If the Baek can throw in another decent start here, the Mariners bullpen has been one of their highlights of the year as they have an ERA of 3.40 on the season and 3.03 in their last 10 games. Houston has been a lot better in recent weeks against right handed pitchers but even if they can get some runs tonight, I don't think they can get enough to match the Mariners onslaught of Woody Williams.
When these two teams met in 2002 and 2004, the home team took only one game in both three game series and although it has nothign to do with this game today, you would like to still think that the road team has some kind of edge in this series. Despite the loss last night, Seattle is still 12-3 in their last 15 interleague games versus a team with a losing record and they are still 7-1 in their last eight interleague road games versus a right handed pitcher. The NL Central teams have not been kind to Seattle but like I mentioned before, the Mariners always seems to show up at the plate when Baek is pitching as they are 7-0 in Baek's last seven starts versus a team with a losing record (I was talking about who Baek has faced and it was mostly winning teams which would explain the shitty numbers) and 8-1 in Baek's last nine road starts. What's even more impressive, and again I am having a hard time explaining why they hit for this guy, is that the Mariners are 14-3 in Baek's last 17 starts. Those are some great numbers. Houston on the other hand have been as garbage as it gets after they win a game, going 1-7 in their last eight games following a win. The Astros are also 1-6 in Williams last seven starts where he is coming off four days rest and I just don't think he can hold the Mariners to anything less than 6-7 runs in this game which should be enough to get these guys the big win.
:toast:
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></o>5 Units Plays: 1-0 (+5.00 Units) ***POD***<o
></o>3 Units Plays: 1-0 (+3.00 Units)<o
></o>1 Unit Plays: 0-1 (-1.27 Units)<o
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></o>I don't know what my record is on the year, it's definitely somewhere near .500 or worse...who knows, I have not kept track and don't feel like digging it up. I have started quite a few ridiculous threads the last few days trying out different methods to win ball games and it has not worked. I think going back to what I do best is going to provide some winners. I adapted this three different unit range system for my plays (I know several use it on these boards...great idea) and I am looking forward to making cash the rest of the year. If anyone has my record this year, feel free to post it in the thread, I'll make sure to have it up with my writeups everyday. Thanks
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></o>Saturday, June 16
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></o>Colorado Rockies ML -130 (3 Units)
The Tampa Bay Devil Rays were a real bust for the 40% or so that backed them last night but thats mainly because you were ignoring the fact that the Rays rely almost solely on thier bats to win them games and seeing how this is being played in an NL ballpark, Tampa Bay gets to use one less batter every game. For a team that is hitting .291 in their last 10 games, that makes a big difference let me tell you. So the blowout is out of the way but the question is...can they avoid another one and can they get a quality start from Andy Sonnanstine? Well it won't matter much if the D-Rays can't get to Jason Hirsch. The 6'8 monster from Santa Monica has been a hard luck loser at home this season going 1-4 in seven starts but holding opponents to a batting average of only .256. The problem with Hirsch has not been so much that he allows too many runs it has been that he doesn't get enough run support (the offense scores only 3.4 runs per game for him in 13 starts this season). However, as well as they hit overall, the Devil Rays are batting only .258 versus right handed pitchers. The Rockies bullpen has been one of the best in the majors in recent week as their ERA is 2.59 in the last 10 games. Hirsch has allowed more than 4 ER's in only one start this season, the runs are bound to come for him.
The Colorado Rockies continued their torrid run with a 12-2 blowout of these Devil Rays last night and who the hell is with me when I say that the run continues with a nice price of -130? They are 7-3 in their last 10 games, hitting .299 in those games and getting some quality pitching all around from their starting staff and their bullpen. There is no reason to fade them right now until they have to face a left handed pitcher at Coors. The Rockies are hitting only .247 versus lefties at home while they are hitting .287 versus right handed pitchers at Coors Field. Luckily for them they get another righty today as Andy Sonnanstine is on the mound for Tampa. The kid is 1-0 on the season with a 5.14 ERA in two starts. The Devil Rays won both his starts this season in Toronto (lineup that likes lefties, not righties) and Florida (lineup that likes lefties, not righties) but still allowed a lot of runs. He is getting 10.0 runs of support from his offense in both starts and I don't know that this will matter or help him again today against a lineup that loves to hit righties at Coors. I know he lasted 7 innings in both starts but if he doesn't make it that far, how do the Devil Rays survive with a bullpen that has an ERA of 8.71 over the last 10 games? They don't. So no matter what lead they have, it will be in danger...this pen is horrendous these days.
Keep in mind as one of the key variables to this game that the home team is now 7-0 in this all-time series and like I said yesterday, there is something about the D-Rays playing in this ballpark and the Rockies playing away from it that might never allow that trend to change. Typically you can expect a nice amount of runs today (I hate totals) because the D-Rays are not often held down against pitchers with weaker WHIP numbers like Hirsch has. However, they are still 3-12 in their last 15 interleague games versus a team with a winning record. You also have to remember that they just can't hit righties like they hit lefties as they have won only 10 of their last 52 games versus right handed pitchers and are 1-7 in their last eight road games versus a right handed starter. The Rockies have won five straight home games when playing against a right handed starter and 8 of their last 10 overall against righties. The only concern in this game is that they have lost the last five home games that Jason Hirsch has started but seeing how the Rockies offense is clicking on all cylinders, I think they can get him enough runs for once to bring home the bacon. Rockies it is for me.
Seattle Mariners ML -109 (5 Units) ***PLAY OF THE DAY***
Well you would think that someone like me who lost a bit of cash on the Mariners last night would back away and let these guys burn in baseball hell after screwing me. Not so much. When I bet on them yesterday I had a plan in mind that included betting them even bigger today if they lost my one unit play. No matter which way you look at it, the Mariners are still playing decent baseball the last two weeks and believe it or not I still think their pitching can keep them in games long enough to get the sleeping bats going. Wandy Rodriguez looked like Cy Young last night well let me tell you right away that Woody Williams is not going to look like Cy tonight. Not only is Williams 3-5 in 12 career starts versus the Mariners with an ERA of 5.12 but he is also 1-3 at home this season with an ERA of 5.74 and a WHIP of 1.76 (opposing teams are hitting .330 against him in Minute Maid park). So its obvious by now that he has been clobbered by other teams and the dormant Seattle bats should have no problems coming out of their shells. When the Texas Rangers came to town in May, they managed to hit 3 HR's off Williams and scored 5 runs in only four innings before he left. I really think the Mariners are going to enjoy hitting him around even though they prefer lefties and even though they are hitting only .269 versus right handed pitchers on the road this season. We all know its easier to get good numbers pitching in San Diego like Williams has the last two years which is why he is now 2-9 on the season and getting crushed left and right. In 2005, the Mariners were able to score 4 runs off Woody when he played at home for the Padres and they lost 5-4. Well now he's no longer in the comforts of that tough to hit in ballpark so the Mariners should come out and have a field day. What I like the most is that not many people from yesterday will be on them again today.
The Houston Astros won yesterday's game but that doesn't change the fact that they are 4-6 in their last 10 games or the fact that they are still hitting only .257 at home this season and probably blew their entire load last night with the 15 hit performance or whatever it was. Cha Seung Baek is on the mound for the Mariners tonight and what you have to keep in mind before anything else is that he has been getting 6.0 runs of support from his offense per start this season while Woody Williams has been getting only 4.0 runs of support in return himself. As poorly as he has pitched in his last three starts (6.75 ERA and 1.56 WHIP), the team is 3-0 in those starts thanks to the offense who has crushed opposing teams bullpens very late in games. You gotta love having a team like that specially knowing that Brad Lidge is on the other side and that the Astros bullpen has an ERA of 4.82 in their last 10 games. Let's be fair to Baek for a second though. On the road this season he has faced the Cleveland Indians twice, the Detroit Tigers, the Kansas City Royals, the New York Yankees and the Texas Rangers. Yet he is still 2-1 in those six starts and the Astros are definitely a step down in class for him tonight. If the Baek can throw in another decent start here, the Mariners bullpen has been one of their highlights of the year as they have an ERA of 3.40 on the season and 3.03 in their last 10 games. Houston has been a lot better in recent weeks against right handed pitchers but even if they can get some runs tonight, I don't think they can get enough to match the Mariners onslaught of Woody Williams.
When these two teams met in 2002 and 2004, the home team took only one game in both three game series and although it has nothign to do with this game today, you would like to still think that the road team has some kind of edge in this series. Despite the loss last night, Seattle is still 12-3 in their last 15 interleague games versus a team with a losing record and they are still 7-1 in their last eight interleague road games versus a right handed pitcher. The NL Central teams have not been kind to Seattle but like I mentioned before, the Mariners always seems to show up at the plate when Baek is pitching as they are 7-0 in Baek's last seven starts versus a team with a losing record (I was talking about who Baek has faced and it was mostly winning teams which would explain the shitty numbers) and 8-1 in Baek's last nine road starts. What's even more impressive, and again I am having a hard time explaining why they hit for this guy, is that the Mariners are 14-3 in Baek's last 17 starts. Those are some great numbers. Houston on the other hand have been as garbage as it gets after they win a game, going 1-7 in their last eight games following a win. The Astros are also 1-6 in Williams last seven starts where he is coming off four days rest and I just don't think he can hold the Mariners to anything less than 6-7 runs in this game which should be enough to get these guys the big win.
:toast:
