three today with analysis

Search

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
5,201
Tokens
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">4</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+8.34 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">51</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">43</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+45.58 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since April 2007)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">108</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">125</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+18.07 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.

Detroit –1.04 over PHILADELPHIA
A few things to note here and we’ll start with the Tigers eye-opening record against lefties, which is now 13-5. Then we have the Tigers offense, which ranks first in the majors in team batting average, slugging percentage, doubles, base hits, RBI’s, runs scored, total bases, and triples. Oh, they not only lead but some of them aren’t close. Also remember that the Tigers play half their games at Comerica, a pitchers park to be sure so when they get into a hitter friendly environment like the venue here, they’re about three times as dangerous. In four of their last nine games the Tigers have hung double-digits on somebody, including 12 last night. Jamie Moyer was torched in his last outing against the Royals and in his two starts against AL competition (the other being the Blue Jays) he didn’t make it out of the fourth inning in either of them, allowing 15 hits and 13 earned runs in a combined seven innings. By contrast, the Phillies are 8-16 against southpaws and will face one here they’ve never seen in young Andrew Miller. Miller is 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA but this choice has little to do with playing on him. It has everything to do with playing the superior Tigers in a park they thrive in against a lefty who hasn’t been able to get an AL player out yet and that’s 44-years old. Play: Detroit –1.04 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2). <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
San Diego +1.07 over CHICAGO
Can someone please, please explain how the Texas Rangers, a team desperate for pitching for the last 25 years, let Francisco Cordero get away and even worse, our guy today, Chris Young. What’s even more amazing is that someone is actually getting paid big money to make these decisions. Nonetheless, Chris Young has quietly turned into a stud and when he pitches the Padres usually win. Young has been flirting with no-hitters for the past two seasons with the Padres and he might just get one this season. His numbers aren’t as good on the road as they are at Petco but they’re still very impressive. He’s allowed just 61 hits in 80 innings and just three of those hits went yard. The league is hitting a puny .208 off him. Young has surrendered an incredible one earned run or less in five of his last six starts and the last time he faced the Cubs back on May 24th he struck out 10 and allowed one earned run in seven full innings. Carlos Zambrano has the talent and we all know that. However, his mind is erratic as hell and that’s prevented him from being one of the top three pitchers in the business. Zambrano cannot be trusted, especially at home as a favorite, where’s he’s gone 2-4 with an ERA of 6.37. Chris Young plus anything is value at its best. Play: San Diego +1.07 (Risking 2 units). <o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
CINCINNATI –1½ +1.17 over Texas
Aaron Harang remains the only constant for the Reds and at least he gives them quality starts more often then not. Harang completely shut down the Indians in his last start, going a full seven innings and not allowing a single run on just three hits. Harang has an ERA of 2.05 over his last three starts covering 22 frames. The man has been pure gold. Alright, enter Jamie Wright for the Rangers; a guy that has been picked up off the scrap heap more times then a 50-year-old Ford Pickup. Wright has pitched for and subsequently released by Colorado, Milwaukee, St. Louis, Kansas City, Colorado again, San Fran and now he’s landed in Texas, the home of the great pitchers. He’s been on the DL since April 10th with shoulder inflammation after pitching 2.2 innings in his first start of the year. Not only is he 1000 steps behind everyone else, he also has trouble finding the strike zone, as he’s constantly behind in the count and has been his whole career. He’s walked 726 batters in 1426 career innings, which is just slightly below the 782 he’s whiffed. Jamie Wright has about as much chance for success at this venue as Mike Tyson does of getting his own talk radio show. Have to figure the Reds for a bunch today and that should be plenty to cash this ticket with Harang behind them. Play: Cincinnati –1½ +1.17 (Risking 2 units).
 

Official Rx music critic and beer snob
Joined
Jun 21, 2003
Messages
25,128
Tokens
Zambrano has pitched a lot better since the Barrett incident. Barrett will not be his catcher anymore. Hill will be his catcher until Blanco gets off the DL. Something to watch for.

Congrats on the huge night Friday.
 

antigravity
Joined
Jan 19, 2006
Messages
2,640
Tokens
our thought process is pretty similar on these plays. just cashed the padres
 

Member
Joined
Feb 24, 2005
Messages
2,757
Tokens
no matter what happens today or any other day. i have always enjoyed your writeups & read them everytime i see them. professional. thanks again.
 
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
510
Tokens
2-1 will work anytime. Good writeups. Soft-tossing Moyer was on his game today. It happens.

Kab
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,108,264
Messages
13,450,030
Members
99,404
Latest member
byen17188
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com