Under 9.5 Yankees@Rockies...
Under system: Play under 9.5 (or higher) in game #2 if a team scores the first run of game #1 and fails to score another run in that game, if their line is lower than +140 (39-8 L4Y). Pettitte and Francis have a combined 8-1-1 under record this season in L vs L matchups. Pettitte's YTD ERA is 2.93 (2.75 on the road) and in his last 10 starts the under stands at 5-3-2 (after starting the season with 6 overs and a push). In last two seasons (with Houston) he allowed 0 earned runs in 16 IP vs Colorado. Francis is an 'under' machine this season (10-2), as his ERA stands at 3.61 YTD and 2.37 in last three starts. He has 8 unders in last 8 starts. Tim Welke has a 24-9 'under' record in recent years in games with a total of 9.5 or higher. Hard to believe, but both teams have more unders than overs this season, despite the fact that the Yankees have probably the best offensive lineup in the majors, and that the Rockies play at Coors field, what once used to be a hitters nirvana. Under 9.5 is the play.
Under system: Play under 9.5 (or higher) in game #2 if a team scores the first run of game #1 and fails to score another run in that game, if their line is lower than +140 (39-8 L4Y). Pettitte and Francis have a combined 8-1-1 under record this season in L vs L matchups. Pettitte's YTD ERA is 2.93 (2.75 on the road) and in his last 10 starts the under stands at 5-3-2 (after starting the season with 6 overs and a push). In last two seasons (with Houston) he allowed 0 earned runs in 16 IP vs Colorado. Francis is an 'under' machine this season (10-2), as his ERA stands at 3.61 YTD and 2.37 in last three starts. He has 8 unders in last 8 starts. Tim Welke has a 24-9 'under' record in recent years in games with a total of 9.5 or higher. Hard to believe, but both teams have more unders than overs this season, despite the fact that the Yankees have probably the best offensive lineup in the majors, and that the Rockies play at Coors field, what once used to be a hitters nirvana. Under 9.5 is the play.