Jibba's Friday MLB

Jibba · Jun 22, 2007

I'm not back to posting regularly, but I had a good amount of free time this morning and decided to cap some games. Feel good about the card so I just decided to post it. I'll post an updated record later if I can.

Detroit +135: 1 unit to win 1.35.
Phillies +105: 1 unit to win 1.05.
Diamondbacks -165: 1.65 units to win 1.
A's +135: 1 unit to win 1.35.
Yankees -112: 1.12 units to win 1.

Also have leans on the Cubs, Rockies, and Angels runline. Doubt I'll play them unless I get some nice line movement. BOL to everyone on their cards today.

cnote · Jun 22, 2007

welcome back jibba.....like the a's here...mets are 4-14 in the month of june...the mets have lost glavines last 5 starts..glavines last 2 starts he has been rocked....the bullpen is bad right now and the team is not hitting..would lay off the mets till they win 3 or 4 in a row....i am waiting till closer to game time as I am sure this line will rise towards the mets throughout the day

silver7 · Jun 22, 2007

Glad You`re Back My Man

Stay w/it your expertise will win in the end. Been rocky for all of us. Such is the way of MLB. Little leary on Rogers 1st outing, tho that O of Tigers can overcome anything. Like Phils, on em already also Az & LAA RL. Bol Pal

cnote · Jun 22, 2007

i also think the mets are something like 0-8 against left handed pitchers this year

Jibba · Jun 22, 2007

c note,

Thanks. Totally agree on your analysis. Figured I'd take a line I like now rather than assuming it would go up. I just haven't been able to figure out line movements this year for some reason. BOL.

silver7,

Thanks man. I can use all the luck I can get right now. Rogers is definitely a slight worry, but I like that he's coming back against this Braves offense, which hasn't looked good lately IMO. Chipper is hurting again and Jones is still playing awful. As great as Smoltz has been this year, I just can't see him shutting down the Tigers offense tonight. BOL.

cnote · Jun 22, 2007

little more a's support

Mets are 0-8 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Athletics are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.

gabbana · Jun 22, 2007

i like the detroit and a's gl today jibba.

GoSteelers248 · Jun 22, 2007

Hey Jibba...any lean on early game?? and just my thought.. today is K Roger's first start since he came back from DL..... I don't remeber seeing pitcher throwing sharp balls recently when they came back from DL... GL today man..

Jibba · Jun 22, 2007

dcspride said:
Hey Jibba...any lean on early game?? and just my thought.. today is K Roger's first start since he came back from DL..... I don't remeber seeing pitcher throwing sharp balls recently when they came back from DL... GL today man..

I tend to think that veterans coming back off of an injury fare better than younger pitchers. That kind of goes against the idea that young pitchers can "bounce back" quicker, but I still think it has merit.

As for the early game, I definitely lean toward the Cubbies, but that line makes me just a bit nervous. Even if it is Buerhle, who's been solid this year, I think the Cubs should be bigger favorites in this one. And I'm not sure why they're not. Zambrano has been coming around and is undoubtedly a better pitcher than Buerhle (at least IMO). He's looked great in his last two starts and faces a horrible offense in the Chi Sox. The Chi Sox are also terrible against the NL this year, having won only 4 of 15 interleague matches. The Cubs haven't been great against the AL, but they're a respectable 5-4. Another problem I'm having with this one though is that Zambrano always seems to pitch well when I don't expect him to while pitching like crap when I think he'll put up a solid performance. Today I happen to think he'll be solid.

All in all, I may put a small action play on the Cubs, but aside from that I'll probably stay away. BOL.

sportsman · Jun 22, 2007

welcome back sir

everythingthatsgreen · Jun 22, 2007

I took the early game off but lean Cubs. GL there if you played..

How bout this game?

Angels -1.5 -110: I hate RL's, I will be the first to admit it but this just seems like the only logical play here. You have home team + hotter team + better offense + better pitcher + better bullpen. There isnt a faze of the game that the Pirates are not outclassed here and they scored 5 runs in their last 3 games and sport back 2 back shutouts. They are a bad road team as well. Saunders is solid and he doesn't have to be great tonight, just good. Angels murder LHP lately and are 6-1 vs. LHP in their last 7 games. Duke on the road = 2-3 w/ 5.97era. I don't know if people are aware of his numbers but he has thrown 84ip and given up 120hits, sports an OBP of .386 overall and .405 on the road. The league is hitting .350 off him overall and .372 on the road. His WHIP this yr 1.65 and 1.73 on the road. I can go on and on about these numbers here, the bottom line is that he is dog shit and even worse on the road.

METFAN · Jun 22, 2007

GOOD LUCK JIBBA...LIKE YOUR CARD:toast:

Jibba · Jun 22, 2007

everythingthatsgreen said:
I took the early game off but lean Cubs. GL there if you played..

How bout this game?

Angels -1.5 -110: I hate RL's, I will be the first to admit it but this just seems like the only logical play here. You have home team + hotter team + better offense + better pitcher + better bullpen. There isnt a faze of the game that the Pirates are not outclassed here and they scored 5 runs in their last 3 games and sport back 2 back shutouts. They are a bad road team as well. Saunders is solid and he doesn't have to be great tonight, just good. Angels murder LHP lately and are 6-1 vs. LHP in their last 7 games. Duke on the road = 2-3 w/ 5.97era. I don't know if people are aware of his numbers but he has thrown 84ip and given up 120hits, sports an OBP of .386 overall and .405 on the road. The league is hitting .350 off him overall and .372 on the road. His WHIP this yr 1.65 and 1.73 on the road. I can go on and on about these numbers here, the bottom line is that he is dog shit and even worse on the road.

Ended up going small on the Cubbies. Just couldn't resist. Think they should win that one fairly easily. But the fact that I was able to get them as a dog to the horrible Chi Sox makes me slightly nervous.

I actually really like that LAA run line. I can't come up with any reason why that one won't turn into a blowout. Don't like playing too many run lines though, especially home teams without getting + money. I havent' decided on it yet, but I completely agree with you there.

And btw, you really need to get Matchbook or 5Dimes man. The line has dropped a bit, but MB still has LAA -15. at +105. Over the course of a season, that 15 cents could end up making or breaking you. Course, easier said than done in the US these days.

Jibba · Jun 22, 2007

METFAN said:
GOOD LUCK JIBBA...LIKE YOUR CARD:toast:

Thanks. Like I said, probably not back for good, but this is the first card I've capped in over a week easy. Hope you're kicking ass in the contest. Haven't checked at all since Saturday.

And thanks to everyone else for the kind words. Hope you all make some nice cash tonight. :toast: BOL.

finman13 · Jun 22, 2007

interesting coincidence jibba. i just came back today for the first time in a few weeks. have capped the games. like all your plays, but will stay away from yanks probably, although i think they win. i love the dodgers tonight to.

everythingthatsgreen · Jun 22, 2007

finman13 said:
interesting coincidence jibba. i just came back today for the first time in a few weeks. have capped the games. like all your plays, but will stay away from yanks probably, although i think they win. i love the dodgers tonight to.

I feel the same way.

Dodgers -139:

Dodgers are like 33-1 when leading after the 6th inning and is a team who knows how to close the deal. That makes me feel pretty confident when I put money on this team because in most cases it is a 6inning game. Lowe has been a rock lately and is 9-3 vs. the DRays from his days with the Sox. Sonnanstine is 1-1 w/ 7.71era, 19ip, 2-1h, 2bb, 20k in his 3 starts this yr. To be fair, all 3 of his starts have come on the road. Should I expect that he throws a 8inning shutout 2night since he gets to start at home? Dodgers are not a good interleague baseball team, posting a 9-27 record in their last 36 games and are 19-17 on the road. The good news is that they just took 2 of 3 from the BlowJays on the road. Dodgers are 7-3 in Lowe's last 10 starts, including a complete game 1-0 loss to Toronto. DRay bullpen troubles are pretty serious so if the Dodgers go down, they are never out of the game.

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