Is this a fair bet?

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New member
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Jun 2, 2006
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OK, I have a co-worker at work that is a huge Tom Glavine fan.
I was joking around with him and said Glavine will be stuck on 299 for a month.
He said "no way, first time after win 299, he'll get 300"

So I proposed a prop.

Man to man.

Will Tom Glavine win his 300th on the next start after winning his 299th?
No decisions rated as no.

YES +150
NO -150

I have no.

Fair wager?
 

BEER DRINKER
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Dec 20, 2005
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all depends on the opponent. if he wins and his 299th, and his next start is at home vs wash. then you are betting -150 on the nats
 

New member
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Mar 14, 2006
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It's a pretty fair bet, I think you've got the best of it a little. Glavine's only won 6 of 16 starts this year (37.5%), and 54 of 146 the last five years (37.0%). 60-40 would indicate a -150 line, so all things being equal, you probably have a positive expectancy on this one.
 

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