Drew Gordon
Toronto (-140) at MINNESOTA
Got to love this match up, as the short-handed, Morneau-less Twins don't stand a chance against Roy Halladay and the hot-hitting Blue Jays. After his emergency appendectomy, there was a lot questions surrouding Halladay, but he answered his critics, going 4-0 with a 3.58 ERA over his last 5 starts! It gets even worse for the Twins, as Halladay has dominated them in the past, going 5-0 with a 1.79 ERA in 8 games (6 starts).
Halladay will be opposed by the Twins rookie Kevin Slowey. Not only does Slowey give up way too many home runs, but he's facing an offense that's batting .288 over their last 10 games!
Look guys, I know the Twins took consecutive games to end the Marlins series, however how much longer do you think they can keep this up without Morneau in the lineup, especially when add in Halladay to the equation.
Bottom line, the Blue Jays continue their winning ways behind their ace in this one. Halladay has dominated the Twins in the past, and he'll do again tonight!
Take Toronto behind Halladay over Minnesota in this MLB match up.
4? TORONTO
Larry Ness
NL 15* Game of the Week
LA Dodgers
15* MLB Blowout GOW
Boston Red Sox
Las Vegas Insider
San Diego Padres
Trev Rogers
Twins/BlueJays Under 8.5
Handicapper World
Cardinals @ Mets
Maroth vs Sosa
Pick: Mets -175
Royals @ Angels
Thomson vs Lackey
Pick: Under 8-
Big Al
(**Monday Night Massacre**)
Cleveland Indians
Karl Garrett
Boston (-125) at SEATTLE
Tonight I can't pass up the Boston Red Sox at such a cheap price!
Julian Tavarez has looked very solid over his last few starts, and he has won his last 2 starts in convincing fashion, working 14 innings while allowing just 2 runs to score.
Jeff Weaver is fresh off a complete game shutout of the Pirates, but I am not sold that a win over Pittsburgh is enough to prove Weaver and his over 8 season ERA are out of the woods just yet.
Weaver did lose an April start at Fenway Park, as he got lit up for 7 runs in 2 innings of work. Boston has one of the best attacks in the game, and they also own one of the best road records in the game at 25-14.
This price is just too cheap too pass on, so I am grabbing the Red Sox tonight at Safeco Field.
3? BOSTON
Brandon Lang
15 Dime
LA Dodgers
5 Dime
Detroit Tigers -1.5 runs
Toronto BlueJays -1.5 runs
Boston RedSox
Michael Cannon
Boston (-125) at SEATTLE
Take the Red Sox tonight for the road win over the Mariners.
Julian Tavarez, Boston's fifth starter, has won four straight decisions and shouldn't have any problems posting the win here tonight.
That's because his mound opponent is Jeff Weaver. Don't be fooled by his last game when the right-hander shutout the Pirates. That was a case of a blind squirrell finding the nut. I fully expect him to get pounded tonight by the BoSox potent offense.
Weaver pitched effectively in interleague play, but his numbers against the AL this year are atrocious. The right-hander is 0-6 with a 14.32 ERA in six starts against AL opponents.
Take the Red Sox as they cruise to an easy road win tonight.
4? BOSTON
Sports Gambling Hotline
Colorado at CUBS (pick)
Chicago just swept the White Sox, and we get the feeling that the Cubbies are going to go on a tear. Their starting pitching has been A-plus of late, and their hitting has been coming through when needed, especially Alfonso Soriano who is heating up in a big way.
Colorado struggled on the road this past weekend, as they lost all 3 games played at Toronto, getting 1-hit yesterday by Dustin McGowan.
Jeff Francis is emerging as the ace of the Colorado staff, but over his last 3 starts against Chicago, he has allowed 16 runs in just 15 innings of work.
Jason Marquis has struggled of late, but we believe he will come through tonight at home, as the offense continues to come up big for the Cubbies.
Play on Chicago.
3? CUBS
The Wunderdog
Game: Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay -131
The White Sox have been an ugly 5-22 over their last 27 games, and will come to Tampa having lost five straight, while having scored just 2 runs in their last 3 games. They have been out-scored 150-93 in those 27 games and that is over two runs per game (RPG). The offense has been horrible, but against LHP even worse. The pale hose have now dropped 10 of their last 11 against southpaws and are the worst team in baseball against LHP. J.P. Howell has made two home starts and has allowed 2 earned runs in 15 innings. That comes off of his last home start last year when he pitched an eye-opening shutout over the Yankees. Tampa has played as good as they have all season, as they have won 11 of their last 20. This is a much better TB team than we have seen in quite awhile. The 05, and 06 seasons saw them in the role of a -130 favorite just 3 times and they won all of them. This season already they have played in this role 9 times - winning 7. That means they have been 10-2 as a -14!
0 favorite or more covering three years, so don't think this is too much. They have been better against LHP than RHP, as they have an overall winning record and they get the win here tonight.
Bobby Maxwell
St. Louis (+150) at N.Y. METS
Today we go with another big plus-money underdog in the Cardinals as they travel to New York to take on the Mets. St. Louis makes its first appearance in New York since knocking the Mets out of the NLCS in Game 7 last October.
On the mound for the Cardinals is newly acquired Mike Maroth from Detroit. Maroth (5-2, 5.06 ERA) battled through injury in 2006 but has been healthy and pitching well this season. He's had 18 starts against the National League and is 5-7 with a 3.75 ERA.
New York is sending Jorge Sosa (6-3, 4.05) to the hill and he has been horrible in his last two outings, posting an 11.00 ERA in his last two, including giving up seven runs on eight hits in just 3 1/3 innings of a 9-0 loss to the Twins.
This is the first meeting between these two since an opening-season series in St. Louis when the Mets swept the Cardinals three games and outscored them 20-2. Revenge will be on the minds of St. Louis and they will deliver a win tonight.
Look for Maroth to pitch well and St. Louis to get enough offense to hand the Mets a loss tonight.
2? ST. LOUIS
Hondo
10 units: Nationals
Mighty ! Quinn
Colorado Rockies
Dave Cokin
(955) COL Rockies
(956) CHI Cubs
Take "(955) COL Rockies"
If you follow my writeups here, you already know I'm a great believer in regression to the norm. Case in point, Cubs righty Jason Marquis. Following his eye-popping start to the campaign, Marquis is now absolutely regressing to his norm, which is an adequate at best back of the rotation starter. He's winless in his last eight starts. The key is control. Marquis walked only 13 in his first 48 innings. Over these last eight outings, he's BB'd 22 in just 40 IP. With Jeff Francis still pitching really well for Colorado, I like the Rockies to get the win tonight at Wrigley.
Jim Feist
(957) HOU Astros
(958) MIL Brewers
Take "(958) MIL Brewers"
Big series for the Astros if they hope to climb out of 5th place in the NL Central and gain some ground on division leading Milwaukee. Jason Jennings takes to the hill for the Astros. Jennings has started seven games this year but has only a 1-1 mark. In fact, the Astros are just 2-5 in his seven starts. Jennings did get the win in his last start against the Angels despite giving up 11 hits and four earned runs in just 5 2/3 innings. Ben Sheets starts for Milwaukee. Sheets has been very good this year, posting a 8-3 mark with a 3.19 era. But,he's been even better at home where he has five wins versus just one loss and a 2.77 era. Sheets has allowed just five earned runs in his last 27 2/3 innings. A fairly steep price to lay with the 1st place Brewers here on Monday, but in the right spot the price is always right!!
Vernon Croy
Bonus Play: Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers
1 Unit - Take Detroit -210, This Detroit team is red hot coming into tonights home game and they are by far the superior team here Monday night. Loe has struggled for Texas this season and Detroit is averaging 7 rpg over their last 7 games and they are hitting .293 as a team this season. I never like taking the big juice but I have to lay down on this pick tonight for 1 Unit. Have a great Monday! Vernon Croy
Brian Gabrielle
Bonus Play: Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins
Take the Toronto Blue Jays (Roy Halladay 8-2, 4.08 ERA) over the Minnesota Twins in Minnesota (Kevin Slowey 2-0, 4.43): The Twins’s bats have responded to the loss of Justin Morneau since a collision at home plate on Friday left him coughing up blood with a bruised lung. Joe Mauer, in particular, went 4-for-8 with six RBIs and two home runs over the weekend. But Toronto’s swinging well lately, too, and they have their ace on the mound after reaching .500 Sunday for the first time since May 1 (they did it with a one-hitter from Dustin McGowan). That’s a huge motivation for a team that lost nine in a row to start May and has been clawing its way back since. The Jays have averaged 9.2 runs scored per game in their last six (4-2 in that stretch). Frank Thomas is one shy of 500 career home runs against a young pitcher in Slowey who’s given up a lot
Gator's MLB 70% Situational Report:
MLB (Monday): Play Under MLB (AL) home teams when the total is 10 or higher with a team that averages scoring >=5.4 runs per game facing a starting pitcher whose ERA >=6.20 and a team batting .290 or better over their last 20 games.
(54-22 since 1997.) (71.1%)
PLAY: Texas / Detroit UNDER 10 (-115)
Big Al McMordie
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants (MLB)
Jun 25, 2007 10:15 PM EDT
Play: Total: Over
Young Giants righthanded fireballer Tim Lincecum is yet another example of a "next big thing" starter who was tearing it up in the Minors only to come up to the Show and promptly become the "next bad thing". Sure Lincecum can throw hard and strike people out, but as they say about a lot of young hurlers these days - he knows how to throw, he just has to learn how to pitch. Lincecum has been so awful lately that Manager Bruce Bochy had actually considered skipping his start tonight, but decided to keep Lincecum out there. Lincecum, who was on just about everyone's watch list as one of the up and coming stars needs to have a decent outing or else he might be moved to the bullpen. Young Padres righthander Justin Germano is sort of the anti-Lincecum as he was not on hardly anyone's watch list prior to the season but has been one of the biggest surprises in the league with a 5-1 record, 2.62 ERA and only seven walks in 48 innings. But there may be signs that the league is starting to catch up to Germano, a guy who doesn't throw hard or strike out a lot of batters. Also, Germano has had the benefit of pitching against some of the lesser hitting teams in the league in his recent starts; Baltimore, Tampa Bay, Washington, and Seattle (twice) are the teams he's faced in five of his last six outings. Six of the last seven Giants' games have gone a total of nine runs or more. Take the 'over'. As always, good luck...Al McMordie
Bryan Leonard
A's at Indians (964)
I've been on Oakland's little known Chad Gaudin several times this season as he's been strong. However, hitters are finally figuring out what the former-reliever throws and he's been smoked his last 2 starts, giving up 9 runs in 11 innings (16 hits, 6 walks). This is a bad spot for him, as Cleveland is a tough pitcher's park, totally different from Oakland. And the Indians have a power offense that knows how to hit in this park: 6.09 runs per game. They are 24-11 in Jacobs Field. Lefty Cliff Lee has won his last two starts and Oakland is just 16-16 its last 32 road games against southpaws.
INDIANS
MADDUX SPORTS
LA Dodgers -135
ETHAN LAW
955 COL (+100) vs 956 CHC
COL: LHP Jeff Francis (7-5, 3.44 ERA) vs. CHC: RHP Jason Marquis (5-4, 3.38 ERA)
Going to go against traditional handicapping theory in this one as Colorado comes into this as a team that was swept in a three game series against Toronto, while Chicago comes into this one fresh off a three game sweep with their cross town rival, the White Sox. Now the basic theory is to fade the team on the losing streak and ride the team on the winning streak. But, lets not get ahead of ourselves here. Despite this past weekends result, the Rockies still have been one of the top money-winners over the past several weeks, and their numbers outside Coors Field are sensational (+$725). In contrast, the Cubs did their winning on the road, but they have had a miserable time at Wrigley this year (-$1465). Even more important, is the fact that Chicago will have to take their swings against left-hander Jeff Francis who has been on a role as of late. Francis had a career-high nine strikeouts over seven innings on Wednesday against the Yankees while yielding only one run on five hits. He also forced 11 groundouts. Indeed, his past two starts (against the Red Sox and Yankees) have resulted in 12 innings and only one allowed run and hes only allowed five runs through 26 innings and four June starts. Francis should find the same (if not better success) against this Cubs team that has been miserable against left-handed pitching this season. The Cubs check in with a 7-11 -$645 mark against left-handers in all spots where they are averaging a dismal 3.2 runs per game. As if that could not get any worse, their record at home/nights match-ups against left-handers is even more pathetic. In limited action they are just 1-2 but averaging just 2.7 runs per game! In contrast, the Rockies get tot take their swings against right-hander Jason Marquis. Unfortunately for Marquis, the Rockies do their best work against right-handers +$1380 and (on
EZ Winners
These are Monday's plays.....
1 STAR: (951) WASHINGTON (+$173) over Atlanta
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $173)
1 STAR: (953) ST. LOUIS (+$160) over NY Mets
(Listing Maroth and Sosa)
(Risking $100 to win $160)
1 STAR: (960) ARIZONA (+$117) over LA Dodgers
(Listing Owings only)
(Risking $100 to win $117)
1 STAR: (973) KANSAS CITY (+$250) over LA Angels
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $250)
wunderdog
Game: Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay -131
The White Sox have been an ugly 5-22 over their last 27 games, and will come to Tampa having lost five straight, while having scored just 2 runs in their last 3 games. They have been out-scored 150-93 in those 27 games and that is over two runs per game (RPG). The offense has been horrible, but against LHP even worse. The pale hose have now dropped 10 of their last 11 against southpaws and are the worst team in baseball against LHP. J.P. Howell has made two home starts and has allowed 2 earned runs in 15 innings. That comes off of his last home start last year when he pitched an eye-opening shutout over the Yankees. Tampa has played as good as they have all season, as they have won 11 of their last 20. This is a much better TB team than we have seen in quite awhile. The 05, and 06 seasons saw them in the role of a -130 favorite just 3 times and they won all of them. This season already they have played! in this role 9 times - winning 7. That means they have been 10-2 as a -140 favorite or more covering three years, so don't think this is too much. They have been better against LHP than RHP, as they have an overall winning record and they get the win here tonight.
Brandon Lang
15 Dime: Dodgers
5 Dime:
Tigers -1.5 runs
Jays -1.5 runs
Redsox
Bonus Play: SF
CAPPERS ACCESS
(Mon) MLB Braves
(Mon) MLB W. Sox
(Mon) MLB Mariners
Ben Burns
Game: Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins
Jun 25 2007 8:10PM
Prediction: under
Reason: Halladay has been dominant lately, going 3-0 with a 2.21 ERA his last three starts. He has also OWNED the Twins over his career, going a perfect 5-0 with a save and a miniscule 1.79 ERA. He'll be facing a Twins lineup which is expected to again be without their top power hitter, Justin Morneau. Although owning a 2-0 record, Slowey has been only mediocre for the Twins. However, while he has struggled during the day, Slowey has been sharp at night, boasting a 2.25 ERA in two starts underneath the lights. He'll have the advantage of facing the Jays for the first time. Behind a 1-hitter from McGowan yesterday, the Jays complete the sweep of the Rockies. Naturally, the final score of 5-0 stayed well beneath the number. That's noteworthy for a couple of reasons. For starters, the UNDER is 12-5 the last 17 times that the Jays were coming off a shutout victory. Additionally, during the same span, the UNDER is a profitable 23-7-2 the last 32 times that the Jays were coming three or more consecutive victories. Take a look at the UNDER
LT Profits
Chicago White Sox (120)
Mon Jun 25 '07 7:10p
White Sox +120 to upset Devil Rays
We do not think anyone could have envisioned before this season started the Tampa Bay Devil Rays being three games in front of the Chicago White Sox at this point in the year!
However, we do look for the White Sox to close that gap some tonight. The Devil Rays may still be a bit giddy after taking the last two games from the Los Angeles Dodgers this weekend, and they may forget the fact that they are still under the .500 mark, at 19-20 here at home. Also, the Rays starting pitcher J.P. Howell is winless in his last three starts, with a 5.71 ERA and a 1.79 WHIP.
Now John Danks is not really that much better statistically for the White Sox, but at least the young southpaw has shown signs of having a future this year, and he should be tough on a Tampa Bay team that has never faced him before. In fact, Danks has allowed three earned runs or less in seven of his last nine starts. His problem is that he has struggled with his control, which is the main reason he has not pitched deeper into games lately.
Danks gets a break here though in that he is facing a young and over-aggressive Devil Rays lineup that does not draw enough walks, so look for the White Sox to post a rare road win at a nice price tonight.
MLB Free Pick: White Sox +120
mr a
Houston Astros (32-43) at Milwaukee Brewers (43-32)
(R) Jason Jennings (1-1) vs. (R) Ben Sheets (8-3)
Milwaukee sends Ben Sheets (8-3, 3.19 ERA) to the mound. The right-hander is 7-1 with a 2.59 ERA in his last 10 starts. Sheets allowed two runs on six hits and one walk in his first complete game a 6-2 win over San Francisco on Tuesday. He is 9-8 with a 3.81 ERA in 21 career starts against the Astros. The Brewers are 8-2 in Sheets' last 10 starts.
Houston counters with Jason Jennings (1-1, 3.63). The right-hander allowed five runs and 11 hits over 5 2/3 innings in a 9-5 win over the Angels on Tuesday. Jennings is 2-0 with a 3.47 ERA in four career starts against the Brewers. The Astros are 2-5 in Jennings' last 7 starts.
Milwaukee has won five of their last six games, 5-1 in its last 6 at home and has beaten the Astros in four of the last 5 meetings. Houston is 2-4 in their last 6 games.
Brewers’ Ben Sheets has had troubles with the Astros, 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus Houston. Even so, Milwaukee has been hot. The Brewers have won nine of its last 11games overall and their ace Ben Sheets is 4-0 with a 2.43 ERA his last five starts at Miller Park. Go with the Brewers at home versus the struggling Astros. Houston has lost 16 of their 21 road games, 15 -25 away from home this season.
Oddsmakers:
Milwaukee as a -180 home favorite with the total listed at 8 'over'.
Milwaukee Brewers
national sports advisor
FREE MLB BASEBALL PICKS
Texas @ Detroit
Time : 7:05 PM EST
Pick: UNDER 10
gameday sports
FREE MLB PICKS
St Louis @ NY Mets
Pick: UNDER 9.5
Big Al's Monday Night Massacre 6/25!!!
At 7:05pm our selection is on the Cleveland Indians over the Oakland Athletics. Two of the American League's biggest surprise teams meet at Jacobs Field for the start of a critical four game series for both clubs. In the case of the Indians, they have seen their lead in the central division evaporate as the red-hot Detroit Tigers have caught and passed them during the interleague play and Cleveland must do well in series like this one in order to keep it close. In the case of Oakland, it could be now or never as despite a pretty decent record of 39-35, they have seen the Angels get stronger and stronger as the season has gone on and they have now fallen behind by 9 games. The A's have to play better than they did in New York as the Mets blasted them in a 3 game sweep at Shea by a combined score of 20-2. It doesn't get any easier coming into Cleveland to face the Indians and veteran lefthander Cliff Lee. Lee had to shake of some rust when he first came off the DL, but now, ten starts into his return, he is starting to look like the Lee of old. Oakland righty Chad Gaudin is another young starter who looked great at the beginning of the season but has started to come down to earth more recently. The Oakland bullpen is perhaps the team's weakest link as numerous injuries have devastated the A's relievers. By contrast, Cleveland's pen has been outstanding, and even the shaky closer Borowski has shown signs of setting down in converting his recent save opportunites without incident. Take the Indians. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
Michael Cannon Money Train
Monday's Plays:
15 Dime –
BLUE JAYS (With Halladay and Slowey as listed pitchers)
Take Toronto for the road win over Minnesota tonight.
It’s always a risky proposition when you lay this kind of chalk on the road, but having a pitcher like Roy Halladay going tonight makes it worthwhile.
Halladay has been dominant since returning from his emergency appendectomy. The right-hander has won four straight starts and also has a history of success against the Twins.
In eight appearances, including six starts, Halladay is 5-0 with a save and a 1.79 ERA against the Twins. The 2003 AL Cy Young winner won’t have to face the reigning AL MVP as Justin Morneau remains hospitalized while he awaits test results from a bruised lung.
Rookie Kevin Slowey will start for the Twins and he’s had trouble with the long ball since being recalled from the minors on June 1. The right-hander has allowed seven home runs in just 22 1-3 innings.
Lay the chalk with Toronto as they grab the road win behind Halladay.
5 Dime –
NATIONALS (With Bergmann as listed pitcher)
Take the Nats as a huge dog for the road win over the Braves.
Washington will start Jason Bergmann tonight and the right hander doesn’t own many career victories, but does have a good history against the Braves.
Bergmann has won only three career games, but is 2-1 against Atlanta with a 2.35 ERA in 30 2-3 career innings. He’s faced the Braves twice this year and is 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA in 14 innings. During that span he’s only allowed three hits and has posted 18 strikeouts.
Tim Hudson is scheduled to start for Atlanta, and the right-hander has struggled to a 1-2 record and 5.20 ERA over his last five starts. What’s more, Atlanta as a team enters this contest having lost five straight.
If ever there was an opportunity to take advantage of a big dog against Atlanta, this is it.
The Braves have played sub-.500 baseball at home
ROCKIES (With Francis and Marquis as listed pitchers)
Take Colorado for the road win tonight over the Cubs.
The Rockies will send Jeff Francis to the hill tonight and he’s led Colorado to wins in seven of his last nine starts. He’s 6-1 with a 1.86 ERA in that stretch after opening the season 1-4.
The Cubs will send Jason Marquis to the mound and he hasn’t won in more than six weeks. The right-hander is 0-3 with a 5.36 ERA in eight starts since his last win.
The Rockies won four of six meetings with the Cubs last season, including two of three at Wrigley Field. Since August 20, 2005, the Cubs have dropped six of eight games in the series.
Take Colorado as they make it seven of nine tonight.
veggasi sports
MONDAY 6/25/2007
FREE MLB PICKS
KC @ LA Angels
Picks: UNDER 8.5
Time: 10:05 PM EST
gina picks
r) Roy Halladay (8-2) vs. (R) Kevin Slowey (2-0)
Toronto’s right-hander Roy Halladay (8-2, 4.08 ERA), allowed one run on six hits and striking out four over eight innings of a 12-1 win over the Dodgers in his last start on Wednesday. Halladay is 4-0 with a 3.58 ERA in his last five starts and is 5-0 with a 2.20 ERA in nine career appearances against the Twins.
Minnesota's right-hander Kevin Slowey (2-0, 4.43), allowed four earned runs on four hits over 5 1/3 innings, in a 10-9 win over Milwaukee on June 17. Minnesota has won all four games Slowey started. The rookie will make his first career start against Toronto.
Go with the awaken Blue Jays. Toronto has won four of their last five games and will have their ace Roy Halladay on the hill. Halladay has been brutal against the Blue Jays. The right-hander is undefeated against the Twins in his career and Toronto has won six of Halladay's last 7 starts versus the Twins.
Toronto Blue Jays -140
Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners
Monday, June 25th, 10:05 P.M. EST EST
Boston is heating up having won 7 of their last 9 games. The Red Sox send Tavarez to the mound tonight and he's been red hot. He's 2-0 over his last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.25. Boston has won his last 3 starts and 6 of his last 7. The Red Sox have also won 4 of his last 5 road starts. Weaver has pitched well in his last 3 starts but the Mariners still seem to lose when he's on the mound. Seattle is 2-7 in his last 9 starts this season. In his last 4 starts vs. Boston his team's record is 1-3. Look for Tavarez to out pitch Weaver tonight and the Red Sox to be victorious.
Good Luck. - Jimmy the Moose
Play on: Boston
Maximum Fantasy Sports MLB St. Louis Cardinals ~vs~ New York Mets
New York Mets -1.5 (+124) 6-1
523 17-5
1213 Game Analysis
Against The Spread Winners MLB Texas Rangers ~vs~ Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers -1.5 (-105) 6-4
288 10-4
862 Game Analysis
Carl Allen Sports MLB Los Angeles Dodgers ~vs~ Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers -124 7-2
583 7-2
583 Game Analysis
USA Sports Consulting MLB Boston Red Sox ~vs~ Seattle Mariners
Over 10 (-108) 8-2
668 14-9
491 Game Analysis
Boston (J.Tavarez) at Seattle (Jeff Weaver) OVER 10 -104, 10:05 ET
Now that Interleague play is over, teams can start getting down to business with the playoff chase. Boston opens up a series in Seattle tonight as Julian Tavarez (5-4 4.50) takes on Jeff Weaver (1-6 8.56). Boston and Seattle are a combined 12-4-1 on the OVER in their last 17 in game 1 of a series. The Mariners games have gone OVER in 11 of their past 12 games against teams with a winning percentage of over .600. Weaver has an ERA of 8.00 in his last 10 games versus Boston including a 14-3 loss earlier in the year.
Brian Smith
Have a great day and good luck.
POINT SPREAD HANDICAPPING MLB Colorado Rockies ~vs~ Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies -109 4-1
300 8-5
143 Game Analysis
Winners Inc MLB Texas Rangers ~vs~ Detroit Tigers
Over 9.5 (-111) 6-6
59 6-6
59 Game Analysis
DRG SPORTS MLB San Diego Padres ~vs~ San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres +105 2-0
200 3-2
11 Game Analysis
Fast Eddie Sports MLB Los Angeles Dodgers ~vs~ Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers -125 4-3
155 8-10
-189 Game Analysis
Sports-Handicapping-Service MLB Houston Astros ~vs~ Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+126) 6-1
482 9-8
-469 Game Analysis
Black Cobras Picks MLB Colorado Rockies ~vs~ Chicago Cubs
Colorado Roc
3G-Sports MLB - 6/25/2007 ATLANTA BRAVES -185
PlayByPlayInc. MLB - 6/25/2007 CHICAGO CUBS -111
Fast Eddie Sports MLB - 6/25/2007 LOS ANGELES DODGERS -129
Mike Devine Sports MLB - 6/25/2007
Best Bet! DETROIT TIGERS -1.5 (-105)
USA Sports Consulting - Brian Smith MLB - 6/25/2007 BOSTON RED SOX (J.Tavarez) at
SEATTLE MARINERS (Jeff Weaver) Over 10
Alex Smart
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 25 2007 9:40PM
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers
Reason:
The LA Dodgers starter Brad Penney(9-1,2. 212 ERA) enters into this tilt against Western Division leaders the Arizona Dbacks, ready help his team make 9 wins and the L/11 meetings in this series., including 4 straight wins in the desert. The Dodgers are 1 ? games behind the Dbacks, and will be primed for a big performance as they look to gain ground in this key divisional NL race. With thats said, look for the Dodgers behind the arm of Penney to bring home the cash against the moneyline. Final notes & Key Trends: Los Angeles is 13-2 in Penneys starts this season and he is 6-2 in 13 career starts against the Dbacks garnering a stingy 1.33 ERA in those contests. Play on the Dodgers
Tom Freese
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 25 2007 9:40PM
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers
Reason: Los Angeles starter Brad Penny is in awesome KW form with 19 strikeouts and just 1 walk in his last 3 starts. The Dodgers are 13-2 in 15 starts made by Penny this year. That includes 2 wins over the Diamondbacks where he allowed a total of 2 runs. Arizona starter Micah Owings lasted just 4 innings in his only start against the Dodgers this year, a 6-4 loss. Play On Los Angeles - (Penny vs. Owings)
John Ryan
Game: Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Angels Jun 25 2007 10:05PM
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels
Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Anaheim - Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 45-4 and has made 35.9 units since 1997. Play on home favorites with a money line of -200 or more that are good baserunning teams averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game on the season, after 4 straight games where they committed no errors. Simply said this is one of the best teams in baseball versus one of the worst. You may remember that I had released a huge DOUBLE DOG play on Washington at +350 and they won; defeating Santana and the Twins. I normally like playing the big dogs when the research backs that idea. This is a totally different situation. Some winning teams struggle from time to time against the bottom feeders, but not Anaheim. LA ANGELS are 20-4 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. LACKEY is 24-4 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
Larry Ness' 15* NL Game of the Week (62-16 TY!)
Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 25 2007 9:40PM
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers
Reason: Brad Penny has been MLB's biggest 'moneymaker' this year, as the Dodgers have gone 13-2 in his starts (plus-$1,026). His ERA is 2.12 on the year and when one realizes that EIGHT of the 23 ERs he's allowed this season came in one start (at the Angels on May 18), his ERA is his other 14 starts drops to 1.46! Think the Dodgers believe he's their stopper? Penny was moved back a day so that he could start the opener."It gives Penny one more day and we want him to pitch in the series in Arizona," said manager Grady Little. If Penny's current form isn't enough to back the Dodgers here, note that Penny has been tough against the Diamondbacks, going 6-2 with a 1.88 ERA in 13 career starts against them. In two starts against Arizona this season, he has allowed just one run in 13 innings (0.69 ERA) while going 1-0 (team won both games). Arizona will start Micah Owings (5-1, 4.06), who has won four decisions in nine starts since his last defeat on April 11 against Cincinnati. The rookie right-hander has allowed more then three runs just twice in 11 starts this year. However, he's no match for Penny. Also note that the Diamondbacks have dropped eight of their last 10 games against the Dodgers, including four of five this season. They have also lost four straight at home in the series, including a two-game sweep April 16-17. NL Game of the Week 15* LA Dodgers.
Larry Ness' 15* MLB Blowout GOW (62-16 TY!)
Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness
Game: Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners Jun 25 2007 10:05PM
Prediction: Boston Red Sox
Reason: The Red Sox took two of three games from the Padres over the weekend, finishing interleague play 12-6, the third-best mark in the majors. Boston won for the seventh time in nine games and stayed percentage points ahead of the Angels for the best record in the majors. Since losing a season-high four straight, the Red Sox have won 11 of 16! The Red Sox have been a dominant road team this year, going 25-14 (plus-$1,152) away from Fenway, including a mark of 21-7 (plus-$1,590) when facing a right-handed starter. The Mariners overcame two home runs by Ken Griffey Jr. and rallied for a 3-2 victory Sunday over Cincinnati. Seattle continues to be very streaky, winning four of five after losing a season-high six straight which followed five consecutive victories. Tonight's starters are Julian Tavarez and Jeff Weaver. The right-handed Tavarez has been better than expected as a starter this year, particularly lately. He is 4-0 with a 3.65 ERA in his last seven starts, with the Red Sox going 6-1. The Mariners are 14-6 vs lefties this year but just 25-27 vs righties. Jeff Weaver of Seattle is coming off his best outing of the season. He entered Wednesday's start against Pittsburgh 0-6 with a 10.97 ERA but shut down the Pirates with a four-hitter in a 7-0 victory. Weaver is 1-0 with a 1.89 ERA in three interleague starts, compared to 0-6 with a 14.32 in six starts against the AL. Weaver was tagged for seven runs and seven hits in only two innings of a 14-3 loss at Boston on April 10. He is 3-5 with a 6.99 ERA in 12 career starts against the Red Sox. The Red Sox are NOT the Pirates. MLB Blowout of the Week 15* Bos Red Sox.
vegas insider
Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness
Game: San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants Jun 25 2007 10:15PM
Prediction: San Diego Padres
Reason: Two young pitchers square off tonight in San Francisco, when the Giants host the Padres. While SF's Tim Lincecum is the more heralded, it's SD's Justin Germano who has been the more effective. Germano's made eight starts, going 5-1 with a 2.63 ERA. In four road starts, he's 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA. As for Lincecum, he's 2-2 with a 5.71 ERA in nine starts (team is 3-6). Over his last five starts, he's 0-2 (team is 0-5), while posting an 8.77 ERA. In four home starts this year, his ERA is 7.09 with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of only 18-15. San Diego just completed a 2-4 homestand against Baltimore and Boston with a 4-2 loss to the Red Sox on Sunday. Four of the Padres' last five series were against AL opponents and they lost eight of their last 12 interleague games after dropping two of three to the Red Sox over the weekend. The Padres are one game behind the Arizona Diamondbacks for first place in the NL West and their offense is a big factor in their slide, being held to three or fewer runs in four of its last five games. San Diego has the worst batting average (.246) in the NL. The Giants took two of three from the Yankees this weekend but San Francisco has also struggled on offense, sporting the second-worst average in the league at .249. Let's remember, despite wins on Saturday and Sunday, the Giants are only 8-20 since sitting at 24-22 on May 23. Las Vegas Insider on the SD Padres.
Tony Mathew's
10* Mets -165
frank roesethal
MONDAY, JUNE 25, 2007
MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
954 NYM-170 SB
955 ROCKIES-105 SB+
959 DODGERS-125 SB+
969 JAYS-130 SB+
Toronto (-140) at MINNESOTA
Got to love this match up, as the short-handed, Morneau-less Twins don't stand a chance against Roy Halladay and the hot-hitting Blue Jays. After his emergency appendectomy, there was a lot questions surrouding Halladay, but he answered his critics, going 4-0 with a 3.58 ERA over his last 5 starts! It gets even worse for the Twins, as Halladay has dominated them in the past, going 5-0 with a 1.79 ERA in 8 games (6 starts).
Halladay will be opposed by the Twins rookie Kevin Slowey. Not only does Slowey give up way too many home runs, but he's facing an offense that's batting .288 over their last 10 games!
Look guys, I know the Twins took consecutive games to end the Marlins series, however how much longer do you think they can keep this up without Morneau in the lineup, especially when add in Halladay to the equation.
Bottom line, the Blue Jays continue their winning ways behind their ace in this one. Halladay has dominated the Twins in the past, and he'll do again tonight!
Take Toronto behind Halladay over Minnesota in this MLB match up.
4? TORONTO
Larry Ness
NL 15* Game of the Week
LA Dodgers
15* MLB Blowout GOW
Boston Red Sox
Las Vegas Insider
San Diego Padres
Trev Rogers
Twins/BlueJays Under 8.5
Handicapper World
Cardinals @ Mets
Maroth vs Sosa
Pick: Mets -175
Royals @ Angels
Thomson vs Lackey
Pick: Under 8-
Big Al
(**Monday Night Massacre**)
Cleveland Indians
Karl Garrett
Boston (-125) at SEATTLE
Tonight I can't pass up the Boston Red Sox at such a cheap price!
Julian Tavarez has looked very solid over his last few starts, and he has won his last 2 starts in convincing fashion, working 14 innings while allowing just 2 runs to score.
Jeff Weaver is fresh off a complete game shutout of the Pirates, but I am not sold that a win over Pittsburgh is enough to prove Weaver and his over 8 season ERA are out of the woods just yet.
Weaver did lose an April start at Fenway Park, as he got lit up for 7 runs in 2 innings of work. Boston has one of the best attacks in the game, and they also own one of the best road records in the game at 25-14.
This price is just too cheap too pass on, so I am grabbing the Red Sox tonight at Safeco Field.
3? BOSTON
Brandon Lang
15 Dime
LA Dodgers
5 Dime
Detroit Tigers -1.5 runs
Toronto BlueJays -1.5 runs
Boston RedSox
Michael Cannon
Boston (-125) at SEATTLE
Take the Red Sox tonight for the road win over the Mariners.
Julian Tavarez, Boston's fifth starter, has won four straight decisions and shouldn't have any problems posting the win here tonight.
That's because his mound opponent is Jeff Weaver. Don't be fooled by his last game when the right-hander shutout the Pirates. That was a case of a blind squirrell finding the nut. I fully expect him to get pounded tonight by the BoSox potent offense.
Weaver pitched effectively in interleague play, but his numbers against the AL this year are atrocious. The right-hander is 0-6 with a 14.32 ERA in six starts against AL opponents.
Take the Red Sox as they cruise to an easy road win tonight.
4? BOSTON
Sports Gambling Hotline
Colorado at CUBS (pick)
Chicago just swept the White Sox, and we get the feeling that the Cubbies are going to go on a tear. Their starting pitching has been A-plus of late, and their hitting has been coming through when needed, especially Alfonso Soriano who is heating up in a big way.
Colorado struggled on the road this past weekend, as they lost all 3 games played at Toronto, getting 1-hit yesterday by Dustin McGowan.
Jeff Francis is emerging as the ace of the Colorado staff, but over his last 3 starts against Chicago, he has allowed 16 runs in just 15 innings of work.
Jason Marquis has struggled of late, but we believe he will come through tonight at home, as the offense continues to come up big for the Cubbies.
Play on Chicago.
3? CUBS
The Wunderdog
Game: Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay -131
The White Sox have been an ugly 5-22 over their last 27 games, and will come to Tampa having lost five straight, while having scored just 2 runs in their last 3 games. They have been out-scored 150-93 in those 27 games and that is over two runs per game (RPG). The offense has been horrible, but against LHP even worse. The pale hose have now dropped 10 of their last 11 against southpaws and are the worst team in baseball against LHP. J.P. Howell has made two home starts and has allowed 2 earned runs in 15 innings. That comes off of his last home start last year when he pitched an eye-opening shutout over the Yankees. Tampa has played as good as they have all season, as they have won 11 of their last 20. This is a much better TB team than we have seen in quite awhile. The 05, and 06 seasons saw them in the role of a -130 favorite just 3 times and they won all of them. This season already they have played in this role 9 times - winning 7. That means they have been 10-2 as a -14!
0 favorite or more covering three years, so don't think this is too much. They have been better against LHP than RHP, as they have an overall winning record and they get the win here tonight.
Bobby Maxwell
St. Louis (+150) at N.Y. METS
Today we go with another big plus-money underdog in the Cardinals as they travel to New York to take on the Mets. St. Louis makes its first appearance in New York since knocking the Mets out of the NLCS in Game 7 last October.
On the mound for the Cardinals is newly acquired Mike Maroth from Detroit. Maroth (5-2, 5.06 ERA) battled through injury in 2006 but has been healthy and pitching well this season. He's had 18 starts against the National League and is 5-7 with a 3.75 ERA.
New York is sending Jorge Sosa (6-3, 4.05) to the hill and he has been horrible in his last two outings, posting an 11.00 ERA in his last two, including giving up seven runs on eight hits in just 3 1/3 innings of a 9-0 loss to the Twins.
This is the first meeting between these two since an opening-season series in St. Louis when the Mets swept the Cardinals three games and outscored them 20-2. Revenge will be on the minds of St. Louis and they will deliver a win tonight.
Look for Maroth to pitch well and St. Louis to get enough offense to hand the Mets a loss tonight.
2? ST. LOUIS
Hondo
10 units: Nationals
Mighty ! Quinn
Colorado Rockies
Dave Cokin
(955) COL Rockies
(956) CHI Cubs
Take "(955) COL Rockies"
If you follow my writeups here, you already know I'm a great believer in regression to the norm. Case in point, Cubs righty Jason Marquis. Following his eye-popping start to the campaign, Marquis is now absolutely regressing to his norm, which is an adequate at best back of the rotation starter. He's winless in his last eight starts. The key is control. Marquis walked only 13 in his first 48 innings. Over these last eight outings, he's BB'd 22 in just 40 IP. With Jeff Francis still pitching really well for Colorado, I like the Rockies to get the win tonight at Wrigley.
Jim Feist
(957) HOU Astros
(958) MIL Brewers
Take "(958) MIL Brewers"
Big series for the Astros if they hope to climb out of 5th place in the NL Central and gain some ground on division leading Milwaukee. Jason Jennings takes to the hill for the Astros. Jennings has started seven games this year but has only a 1-1 mark. In fact, the Astros are just 2-5 in his seven starts. Jennings did get the win in his last start against the Angels despite giving up 11 hits and four earned runs in just 5 2/3 innings. Ben Sheets starts for Milwaukee. Sheets has been very good this year, posting a 8-3 mark with a 3.19 era. But,he's been even better at home where he has five wins versus just one loss and a 2.77 era. Sheets has allowed just five earned runs in his last 27 2/3 innings. A fairly steep price to lay with the 1st place Brewers here on Monday, but in the right spot the price is always right!!
Vernon Croy
Bonus Play: Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers
1 Unit - Take Detroit -210, This Detroit team is red hot coming into tonights home game and they are by far the superior team here Monday night. Loe has struggled for Texas this season and Detroit is averaging 7 rpg over their last 7 games and they are hitting .293 as a team this season. I never like taking the big juice but I have to lay down on this pick tonight for 1 Unit. Have a great Monday! Vernon Croy
Brian Gabrielle
Bonus Play: Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins
Take the Toronto Blue Jays (Roy Halladay 8-2, 4.08 ERA) over the Minnesota Twins in Minnesota (Kevin Slowey 2-0, 4.43): The Twins’s bats have responded to the loss of Justin Morneau since a collision at home plate on Friday left him coughing up blood with a bruised lung. Joe Mauer, in particular, went 4-for-8 with six RBIs and two home runs over the weekend. But Toronto’s swinging well lately, too, and they have their ace on the mound after reaching .500 Sunday for the first time since May 1 (they did it with a one-hitter from Dustin McGowan). That’s a huge motivation for a team that lost nine in a row to start May and has been clawing its way back since. The Jays have averaged 9.2 runs scored per game in their last six (4-2 in that stretch). Frank Thomas is one shy of 500 career home runs against a young pitcher in Slowey who’s given up a lot
Gator's MLB 70% Situational Report:
MLB (Monday): Play Under MLB (AL) home teams when the total is 10 or higher with a team that averages scoring >=5.4 runs per game facing a starting pitcher whose ERA >=6.20 and a team batting .290 or better over their last 20 games.
(54-22 since 1997.) (71.1%)
PLAY: Texas / Detroit UNDER 10 (-115)
Big Al McMordie
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants (MLB)
Jun 25, 2007 10:15 PM EDT
Play: Total: Over
Young Giants righthanded fireballer Tim Lincecum is yet another example of a "next big thing" starter who was tearing it up in the Minors only to come up to the Show and promptly become the "next bad thing". Sure Lincecum can throw hard and strike people out, but as they say about a lot of young hurlers these days - he knows how to throw, he just has to learn how to pitch. Lincecum has been so awful lately that Manager Bruce Bochy had actually considered skipping his start tonight, but decided to keep Lincecum out there. Lincecum, who was on just about everyone's watch list as one of the up and coming stars needs to have a decent outing or else he might be moved to the bullpen. Young Padres righthander Justin Germano is sort of the anti-Lincecum as he was not on hardly anyone's watch list prior to the season but has been one of the biggest surprises in the league with a 5-1 record, 2.62 ERA and only seven walks in 48 innings. But there may be signs that the league is starting to catch up to Germano, a guy who doesn't throw hard or strike out a lot of batters. Also, Germano has had the benefit of pitching against some of the lesser hitting teams in the league in his recent starts; Baltimore, Tampa Bay, Washington, and Seattle (twice) are the teams he's faced in five of his last six outings. Six of the last seven Giants' games have gone a total of nine runs or more. Take the 'over'. As always, good luck...Al McMordie
Bryan Leonard
A's at Indians (964)
I've been on Oakland's little known Chad Gaudin several times this season as he's been strong. However, hitters are finally figuring out what the former-reliever throws and he's been smoked his last 2 starts, giving up 9 runs in 11 innings (16 hits, 6 walks). This is a bad spot for him, as Cleveland is a tough pitcher's park, totally different from Oakland. And the Indians have a power offense that knows how to hit in this park: 6.09 runs per game. They are 24-11 in Jacobs Field. Lefty Cliff Lee has won his last two starts and Oakland is just 16-16 its last 32 road games against southpaws.
INDIANS
MADDUX SPORTS
LA Dodgers -135
ETHAN LAW
955 COL (+100) vs 956 CHC
COL: LHP Jeff Francis (7-5, 3.44 ERA) vs. CHC: RHP Jason Marquis (5-4, 3.38 ERA)
Going to go against traditional handicapping theory in this one as Colorado comes into this as a team that was swept in a three game series against Toronto, while Chicago comes into this one fresh off a three game sweep with their cross town rival, the White Sox. Now the basic theory is to fade the team on the losing streak and ride the team on the winning streak. But, lets not get ahead of ourselves here. Despite this past weekends result, the Rockies still have been one of the top money-winners over the past several weeks, and their numbers outside Coors Field are sensational (+$725). In contrast, the Cubs did their winning on the road, but they have had a miserable time at Wrigley this year (-$1465). Even more important, is the fact that Chicago will have to take their swings against left-hander Jeff Francis who has been on a role as of late. Francis had a career-high nine strikeouts over seven innings on Wednesday against the Yankees while yielding only one run on five hits. He also forced 11 groundouts. Indeed, his past two starts (against the Red Sox and Yankees) have resulted in 12 innings and only one allowed run and hes only allowed five runs through 26 innings and four June starts. Francis should find the same (if not better success) against this Cubs team that has been miserable against left-handed pitching this season. The Cubs check in with a 7-11 -$645 mark against left-handers in all spots where they are averaging a dismal 3.2 runs per game. As if that could not get any worse, their record at home/nights match-ups against left-handers is even more pathetic. In limited action they are just 1-2 but averaging just 2.7 runs per game! In contrast, the Rockies get tot take their swings against right-hander Jason Marquis. Unfortunately for Marquis, the Rockies do their best work against right-handers +$1380 and (on
EZ Winners
These are Monday's plays.....
1 STAR: (951) WASHINGTON (+$173) over Atlanta
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $173)
1 STAR: (953) ST. LOUIS (+$160) over NY Mets
(Listing Maroth and Sosa)
(Risking $100 to win $160)
1 STAR: (960) ARIZONA (+$117) over LA Dodgers
(Listing Owings only)
(Risking $100 to win $117)
1 STAR: (973) KANSAS CITY (+$250) over LA Angels
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $250)
wunderdog
Game: Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay -131
The White Sox have been an ugly 5-22 over their last 27 games, and will come to Tampa having lost five straight, while having scored just 2 runs in their last 3 games. They have been out-scored 150-93 in those 27 games and that is over two runs per game (RPG). The offense has been horrible, but against LHP even worse. The pale hose have now dropped 10 of their last 11 against southpaws and are the worst team in baseball against LHP. J.P. Howell has made two home starts and has allowed 2 earned runs in 15 innings. That comes off of his last home start last year when he pitched an eye-opening shutout over the Yankees. Tampa has played as good as they have all season, as they have won 11 of their last 20. This is a much better TB team than we have seen in quite awhile. The 05, and 06 seasons saw them in the role of a -130 favorite just 3 times and they won all of them. This season already they have played! in this role 9 times - winning 7. That means they have been 10-2 as a -140 favorite or more covering three years, so don't think this is too much. They have been better against LHP than RHP, as they have an overall winning record and they get the win here tonight.
Brandon Lang
15 Dime: Dodgers
5 Dime:
Tigers -1.5 runs
Jays -1.5 runs
Redsox
Bonus Play: SF
CAPPERS ACCESS
(Mon) MLB Braves
(Mon) MLB W. Sox
(Mon) MLB Mariners
Ben Burns
Game: Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins
Jun 25 2007 8:10PM
Prediction: under
Reason: Halladay has been dominant lately, going 3-0 with a 2.21 ERA his last three starts. He has also OWNED the Twins over his career, going a perfect 5-0 with a save and a miniscule 1.79 ERA. He'll be facing a Twins lineup which is expected to again be without their top power hitter, Justin Morneau. Although owning a 2-0 record, Slowey has been only mediocre for the Twins. However, while he has struggled during the day, Slowey has been sharp at night, boasting a 2.25 ERA in two starts underneath the lights. He'll have the advantage of facing the Jays for the first time. Behind a 1-hitter from McGowan yesterday, the Jays complete the sweep of the Rockies. Naturally, the final score of 5-0 stayed well beneath the number. That's noteworthy for a couple of reasons. For starters, the UNDER is 12-5 the last 17 times that the Jays were coming off a shutout victory. Additionally, during the same span, the UNDER is a profitable 23-7-2 the last 32 times that the Jays were coming three or more consecutive victories. Take a look at the UNDER
LT Profits
Chicago White Sox (120)
Mon Jun 25 '07 7:10p
White Sox +120 to upset Devil Rays
We do not think anyone could have envisioned before this season started the Tampa Bay Devil Rays being three games in front of the Chicago White Sox at this point in the year!
However, we do look for the White Sox to close that gap some tonight. The Devil Rays may still be a bit giddy after taking the last two games from the Los Angeles Dodgers this weekend, and they may forget the fact that they are still under the .500 mark, at 19-20 here at home. Also, the Rays starting pitcher J.P. Howell is winless in his last three starts, with a 5.71 ERA and a 1.79 WHIP.
Now John Danks is not really that much better statistically for the White Sox, but at least the young southpaw has shown signs of having a future this year, and he should be tough on a Tampa Bay team that has never faced him before. In fact, Danks has allowed three earned runs or less in seven of his last nine starts. His problem is that he has struggled with his control, which is the main reason he has not pitched deeper into games lately.
Danks gets a break here though in that he is facing a young and over-aggressive Devil Rays lineup that does not draw enough walks, so look for the White Sox to post a rare road win at a nice price tonight.
MLB Free Pick: White Sox +120
mr a
Houston Astros (32-43) at Milwaukee Brewers (43-32)
(R) Jason Jennings (1-1) vs. (R) Ben Sheets (8-3)
Milwaukee sends Ben Sheets (8-3, 3.19 ERA) to the mound. The right-hander is 7-1 with a 2.59 ERA in his last 10 starts. Sheets allowed two runs on six hits and one walk in his first complete game a 6-2 win over San Francisco on Tuesday. He is 9-8 with a 3.81 ERA in 21 career starts against the Astros. The Brewers are 8-2 in Sheets' last 10 starts.
Houston counters with Jason Jennings (1-1, 3.63). The right-hander allowed five runs and 11 hits over 5 2/3 innings in a 9-5 win over the Angels on Tuesday. Jennings is 2-0 with a 3.47 ERA in four career starts against the Brewers. The Astros are 2-5 in Jennings' last 7 starts.
Milwaukee has won five of their last six games, 5-1 in its last 6 at home and has beaten the Astros in four of the last 5 meetings. Houston is 2-4 in their last 6 games.
Brewers’ Ben Sheets has had troubles with the Astros, 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus Houston. Even so, Milwaukee has been hot. The Brewers have won nine of its last 11games overall and their ace Ben Sheets is 4-0 with a 2.43 ERA his last five starts at Miller Park. Go with the Brewers at home versus the struggling Astros. Houston has lost 16 of their 21 road games, 15 -25 away from home this season.
Oddsmakers:
Milwaukee as a -180 home favorite with the total listed at 8 'over'.
Milwaukee Brewers
national sports advisor
FREE MLB BASEBALL PICKS
Texas @ Detroit
Time : 7:05 PM EST
Pick: UNDER 10
gameday sports
FREE MLB PICKS
St Louis @ NY Mets
Pick: UNDER 9.5
Big Al's Monday Night Massacre 6/25!!!
At 7:05pm our selection is on the Cleveland Indians over the Oakland Athletics. Two of the American League's biggest surprise teams meet at Jacobs Field for the start of a critical four game series for both clubs. In the case of the Indians, they have seen their lead in the central division evaporate as the red-hot Detroit Tigers have caught and passed them during the interleague play and Cleveland must do well in series like this one in order to keep it close. In the case of Oakland, it could be now or never as despite a pretty decent record of 39-35, they have seen the Angels get stronger and stronger as the season has gone on and they have now fallen behind by 9 games. The A's have to play better than they did in New York as the Mets blasted them in a 3 game sweep at Shea by a combined score of 20-2. It doesn't get any easier coming into Cleveland to face the Indians and veteran lefthander Cliff Lee. Lee had to shake of some rust when he first came off the DL, but now, ten starts into his return, he is starting to look like the Lee of old. Oakland righty Chad Gaudin is another young starter who looked great at the beginning of the season but has started to come down to earth more recently. The Oakland bullpen is perhaps the team's weakest link as numerous injuries have devastated the A's relievers. By contrast, Cleveland's pen has been outstanding, and even the shaky closer Borowski has shown signs of setting down in converting his recent save opportunites without incident. Take the Indians. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
Michael Cannon Money Train
Monday's Plays:
15 Dime –
BLUE JAYS (With Halladay and Slowey as listed pitchers)
Take Toronto for the road win over Minnesota tonight.
It’s always a risky proposition when you lay this kind of chalk on the road, but having a pitcher like Roy Halladay going tonight makes it worthwhile.
Halladay has been dominant since returning from his emergency appendectomy. The right-hander has won four straight starts and also has a history of success against the Twins.
In eight appearances, including six starts, Halladay is 5-0 with a save and a 1.79 ERA against the Twins. The 2003 AL Cy Young winner won’t have to face the reigning AL MVP as Justin Morneau remains hospitalized while he awaits test results from a bruised lung.
Rookie Kevin Slowey will start for the Twins and he’s had trouble with the long ball since being recalled from the minors on June 1. The right-hander has allowed seven home runs in just 22 1-3 innings.
Lay the chalk with Toronto as they grab the road win behind Halladay.
5 Dime –
NATIONALS (With Bergmann as listed pitcher)
Take the Nats as a huge dog for the road win over the Braves.
Washington will start Jason Bergmann tonight and the right hander doesn’t own many career victories, but does have a good history against the Braves.
Bergmann has won only three career games, but is 2-1 against Atlanta with a 2.35 ERA in 30 2-3 career innings. He’s faced the Braves twice this year and is 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA in 14 innings. During that span he’s only allowed three hits and has posted 18 strikeouts.
Tim Hudson is scheduled to start for Atlanta, and the right-hander has struggled to a 1-2 record and 5.20 ERA over his last five starts. What’s more, Atlanta as a team enters this contest having lost five straight.
If ever there was an opportunity to take advantage of a big dog against Atlanta, this is it.
The Braves have played sub-.500 baseball at home
ROCKIES (With Francis and Marquis as listed pitchers)
Take Colorado for the road win tonight over the Cubs.
The Rockies will send Jeff Francis to the hill tonight and he’s led Colorado to wins in seven of his last nine starts. He’s 6-1 with a 1.86 ERA in that stretch after opening the season 1-4.
The Cubs will send Jason Marquis to the mound and he hasn’t won in more than six weeks. The right-hander is 0-3 with a 5.36 ERA in eight starts since his last win.
The Rockies won four of six meetings with the Cubs last season, including two of three at Wrigley Field. Since August 20, 2005, the Cubs have dropped six of eight games in the series.
Take Colorado as they make it seven of nine tonight.
veggasi sports
MONDAY 6/25/2007
FREE MLB PICKS
KC @ LA Angels
Picks: UNDER 8.5
Time: 10:05 PM EST
gina picks
r) Roy Halladay (8-2) vs. (R) Kevin Slowey (2-0)
Toronto’s right-hander Roy Halladay (8-2, 4.08 ERA), allowed one run on six hits and striking out four over eight innings of a 12-1 win over the Dodgers in his last start on Wednesday. Halladay is 4-0 with a 3.58 ERA in his last five starts and is 5-0 with a 2.20 ERA in nine career appearances against the Twins.
Minnesota's right-hander Kevin Slowey (2-0, 4.43), allowed four earned runs on four hits over 5 1/3 innings, in a 10-9 win over Milwaukee on June 17. Minnesota has won all four games Slowey started. The rookie will make his first career start against Toronto.
Go with the awaken Blue Jays. Toronto has won four of their last five games and will have their ace Roy Halladay on the hill. Halladay has been brutal against the Blue Jays. The right-hander is undefeated against the Twins in his career and Toronto has won six of Halladay's last 7 starts versus the Twins.
Toronto Blue Jays -140
Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners
Monday, June 25th, 10:05 P.M. EST EST
Boston is heating up having won 7 of their last 9 games. The Red Sox send Tavarez to the mound tonight and he's been red hot. He's 2-0 over his last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.25. Boston has won his last 3 starts and 6 of his last 7. The Red Sox have also won 4 of his last 5 road starts. Weaver has pitched well in his last 3 starts but the Mariners still seem to lose when he's on the mound. Seattle is 2-7 in his last 9 starts this season. In his last 4 starts vs. Boston his team's record is 1-3. Look for Tavarez to out pitch Weaver tonight and the Red Sox to be victorious.
Good Luck. - Jimmy the Moose
Play on: Boston
Maximum Fantasy Sports MLB St. Louis Cardinals ~vs~ New York Mets
New York Mets -1.5 (+124) 6-1
523 17-5
1213 Game Analysis
Against The Spread Winners MLB Texas Rangers ~vs~ Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers -1.5 (-105) 6-4
288 10-4
862 Game Analysis
Carl Allen Sports MLB Los Angeles Dodgers ~vs~ Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers -124 7-2
583 7-2
583 Game Analysis
USA Sports Consulting MLB Boston Red Sox ~vs~ Seattle Mariners
Over 10 (-108) 8-2
668 14-9
491 Game Analysis
Boston (J.Tavarez) at Seattle (Jeff Weaver) OVER 10 -104, 10:05 ET
Now that Interleague play is over, teams can start getting down to business with the playoff chase. Boston opens up a series in Seattle tonight as Julian Tavarez (5-4 4.50) takes on Jeff Weaver (1-6 8.56). Boston and Seattle are a combined 12-4-1 on the OVER in their last 17 in game 1 of a series. The Mariners games have gone OVER in 11 of their past 12 games against teams with a winning percentage of over .600. Weaver has an ERA of 8.00 in his last 10 games versus Boston including a 14-3 loss earlier in the year.
Brian Smith
Have a great day and good luck.
POINT SPREAD HANDICAPPING MLB Colorado Rockies ~vs~ Chicago Cubs
Colorado Rockies -109 4-1
300 8-5
143 Game Analysis
Winners Inc MLB Texas Rangers ~vs~ Detroit Tigers
Over 9.5 (-111) 6-6
59 6-6
59 Game Analysis
DRG SPORTS MLB San Diego Padres ~vs~ San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres +105 2-0
200 3-2
11 Game Analysis
Fast Eddie Sports MLB Los Angeles Dodgers ~vs~ Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers -125 4-3
155 8-10
-189 Game Analysis
Sports-Handicapping-Service MLB Houston Astros ~vs~ Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+126) 6-1
482 9-8
-469 Game Analysis
Black Cobras Picks MLB Colorado Rockies ~vs~ Chicago Cubs
Colorado Roc
3G-Sports MLB - 6/25/2007 ATLANTA BRAVES -185
PlayByPlayInc. MLB - 6/25/2007 CHICAGO CUBS -111
Fast Eddie Sports MLB - 6/25/2007 LOS ANGELES DODGERS -129
Mike Devine Sports MLB - 6/25/2007
Best Bet! DETROIT TIGERS -1.5 (-105)
USA Sports Consulting - Brian Smith MLB - 6/25/2007 BOSTON RED SOX (J.Tavarez) at
SEATTLE MARINERS (Jeff Weaver) Over 10
Alex Smart
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 25 2007 9:40PM
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers
Reason:
The LA Dodgers starter Brad Penney(9-1,2. 212 ERA) enters into this tilt against Western Division leaders the Arizona Dbacks, ready help his team make 9 wins and the L/11 meetings in this series., including 4 straight wins in the desert. The Dodgers are 1 ? games behind the Dbacks, and will be primed for a big performance as they look to gain ground in this key divisional NL race. With thats said, look for the Dodgers behind the arm of Penney to bring home the cash against the moneyline. Final notes & Key Trends: Los Angeles is 13-2 in Penneys starts this season and he is 6-2 in 13 career starts against the Dbacks garnering a stingy 1.33 ERA in those contests. Play on the Dodgers
Tom Freese
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 25 2007 9:40PM
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers
Reason: Los Angeles starter Brad Penny is in awesome KW form with 19 strikeouts and just 1 walk in his last 3 starts. The Dodgers are 13-2 in 15 starts made by Penny this year. That includes 2 wins over the Diamondbacks where he allowed a total of 2 runs. Arizona starter Micah Owings lasted just 4 innings in his only start against the Dodgers this year, a 6-4 loss. Play On Los Angeles - (Penny vs. Owings)
John Ryan
Game: Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Angels Jun 25 2007 10:05PM
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels
Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Anaheim - Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 45-4 and has made 35.9 units since 1997. Play on home favorites with a money line of -200 or more that are good baserunning teams averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game on the season, after 4 straight games where they committed no errors. Simply said this is one of the best teams in baseball versus one of the worst. You may remember that I had released a huge DOUBLE DOG play on Washington at +350 and they won; defeating Santana and the Twins. I normally like playing the big dogs when the research backs that idea. This is a totally different situation. Some winning teams struggle from time to time against the bottom feeders, but not Anaheim. LA ANGELS are 20-4 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. LACKEY is 24-4 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
Larry Ness' 15* NL Game of the Week (62-16 TY!)
Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 25 2007 9:40PM
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers
Reason: Brad Penny has been MLB's biggest 'moneymaker' this year, as the Dodgers have gone 13-2 in his starts (plus-$1,026). His ERA is 2.12 on the year and when one realizes that EIGHT of the 23 ERs he's allowed this season came in one start (at the Angels on May 18), his ERA is his other 14 starts drops to 1.46! Think the Dodgers believe he's their stopper? Penny was moved back a day so that he could start the opener."It gives Penny one more day and we want him to pitch in the series in Arizona," said manager Grady Little. If Penny's current form isn't enough to back the Dodgers here, note that Penny has been tough against the Diamondbacks, going 6-2 with a 1.88 ERA in 13 career starts against them. In two starts against Arizona this season, he has allowed just one run in 13 innings (0.69 ERA) while going 1-0 (team won both games). Arizona will start Micah Owings (5-1, 4.06), who has won four decisions in nine starts since his last defeat on April 11 against Cincinnati. The rookie right-hander has allowed more then three runs just twice in 11 starts this year. However, he's no match for Penny. Also note that the Diamondbacks have dropped eight of their last 10 games against the Dodgers, including four of five this season. They have also lost four straight at home in the series, including a two-game sweep April 16-17. NL Game of the Week 15* LA Dodgers.
Larry Ness' 15* MLB Blowout GOW (62-16 TY!)
Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness
Game: Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners Jun 25 2007 10:05PM
Prediction: Boston Red Sox
Reason: The Red Sox took two of three games from the Padres over the weekend, finishing interleague play 12-6, the third-best mark in the majors. Boston won for the seventh time in nine games and stayed percentage points ahead of the Angels for the best record in the majors. Since losing a season-high four straight, the Red Sox have won 11 of 16! The Red Sox have been a dominant road team this year, going 25-14 (plus-$1,152) away from Fenway, including a mark of 21-7 (plus-$1,590) when facing a right-handed starter. The Mariners overcame two home runs by Ken Griffey Jr. and rallied for a 3-2 victory Sunday over Cincinnati. Seattle continues to be very streaky, winning four of five after losing a season-high six straight which followed five consecutive victories. Tonight's starters are Julian Tavarez and Jeff Weaver. The right-handed Tavarez has been better than expected as a starter this year, particularly lately. He is 4-0 with a 3.65 ERA in his last seven starts, with the Red Sox going 6-1. The Mariners are 14-6 vs lefties this year but just 25-27 vs righties. Jeff Weaver of Seattle is coming off his best outing of the season. He entered Wednesday's start against Pittsburgh 0-6 with a 10.97 ERA but shut down the Pirates with a four-hitter in a 7-0 victory. Weaver is 1-0 with a 1.89 ERA in three interleague starts, compared to 0-6 with a 14.32 in six starts against the AL. Weaver was tagged for seven runs and seven hits in only two innings of a 14-3 loss at Boston on April 10. He is 3-5 with a 6.99 ERA in 12 career starts against the Red Sox. The Red Sox are NOT the Pirates. MLB Blowout of the Week 15* Bos Red Sox.
vegas insider
Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness
Game: San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants Jun 25 2007 10:15PM
Prediction: San Diego Padres
Reason: Two young pitchers square off tonight in San Francisco, when the Giants host the Padres. While SF's Tim Lincecum is the more heralded, it's SD's Justin Germano who has been the more effective. Germano's made eight starts, going 5-1 with a 2.63 ERA. In four road starts, he's 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA. As for Lincecum, he's 2-2 with a 5.71 ERA in nine starts (team is 3-6). Over his last five starts, he's 0-2 (team is 0-5), while posting an 8.77 ERA. In four home starts this year, his ERA is 7.09 with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of only 18-15. San Diego just completed a 2-4 homestand against Baltimore and Boston with a 4-2 loss to the Red Sox on Sunday. Four of the Padres' last five series were against AL opponents and they lost eight of their last 12 interleague games after dropping two of three to the Red Sox over the weekend. The Padres are one game behind the Arizona Diamondbacks for first place in the NL West and their offense is a big factor in their slide, being held to three or fewer runs in four of its last five games. San Diego has the worst batting average (.246) in the NL. The Giants took two of three from the Yankees this weekend but San Francisco has also struggled on offense, sporting the second-worst average in the league at .249. Let's remember, despite wins on Saturday and Sunday, the Giants are only 8-20 since sitting at 24-22 on May 23. Las Vegas Insider on the SD Padres.
Tony Mathew's
10* Mets -165
frank roesethal
MONDAY, JUNE 25, 2007
MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
954 NYM-170 SB
955 ROCKIES-105 SB+
959 DODGERS-125 SB+
969 JAYS-130 SB+
