Green Valley HOME FAVORITE system

OVERALL RECORD for IL Play:

ML: 9-9 -614

RL: 3-5 -315

Here we go with regular play and below you will see a recap of the system. I will track for 10 days if we do not see a profit I am done with this system.

Here is what the system is all about-Posted by Green Valley

Very Very Basic.....But Consistant

A very simple HOME FAVORITE fomula and easy to research. Here is my chart for verification and results. I can only hope it
comes to you legible.



<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=561 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>Bet ON Home favorite if the pitcher has an ERA of less than 4.00 and has a differential

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</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>of at least 2.00 or higher versus his opponent

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</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>Pitcher must have 3 starts

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</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>Begin at end of first 4 weeks

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Date​

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Team​

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Result​

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YTD​

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29-Apr​

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Colo​

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Tor​

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30-Apr​

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SD​

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SF​

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W​

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Tor​

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4-1​

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1-May​

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LAD​

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2-May​

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Milw​

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SF​

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W​

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3-May​

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KC​

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W​

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SF​

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4-May​

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Milw​

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LAA​

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10-2​

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5-May​

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Cubs​

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Fla​

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Milw​

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Atl​

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Minn​

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6-May​

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Cinn​

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Ariz​

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15-4​

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7-May​

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Milw​

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W​

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Ariz​

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W​

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8-May​

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Ariz​

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W​

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9-May​

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Det​

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L​

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18-5​

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10-May​

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Atl​

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W​

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Det​

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W​

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NYY​

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L​

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LAA​

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W​

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Balt​

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W​

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11-May​

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SD​

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W​

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W.Sox​

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W​

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24-6​

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14-May​

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Pitt​

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W​

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Phil​

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W​

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15-May​

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LAD​

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W​

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</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Oak​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

16-May​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

LAD​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Oak​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

L​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

17-May​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

TB​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

30-7​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

20-May​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Milw​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

23-May​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Balt​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

24-May​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

KC​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

L​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

26-May​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

SD​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

27-May​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

SF​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

L​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

28-May​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Colo​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Bos​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Oak​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

29-May​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Pitt​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Cubs​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

L​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Bos​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

38-10​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

31-May​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Milw​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

1-Jun​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Hous​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

L​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Clev​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

LAA​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Sea​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

L​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

2-Jun​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Bos​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Hous​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

3-Jun​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Tor​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

4-Jun​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

Oak​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

5-Jun​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

SD​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

W​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

46-12​

​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

6-Jun​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

NYM​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="9%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="14%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%" height=16>

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>




It is yeat untried in interleague, but I will be using it with caution this year for the first time.

Respectfully,
Green Valley



Here's An Example
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width=684 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=center width="19%">Thursday, 6/7/2007 (10:05 PM)
Matchup Report | FoxSheet

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="4%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="11%"></TD><TD vAlign=center width="8%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="8%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="19%">Conditions: A Few Clouds Temperature: 64
Wind: From the West at 12 MPH

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="11%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%"> </TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="19%">

Teams​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%">

Line​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="4%">

OU​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="11%">

W-L​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="8%">

Ov/Un/P​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="8%">

RF/RA​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="19%">

Starters​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%">

W-L​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="11%">

Team Rec​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%">

ERA​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%">

WHIP​

​

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="19%">963:LA DODGERS
964:SAN DIEGO

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%">+190
-210

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="4%">7.0

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="11%">34-24 (L1)
34-23 (W3)

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="8%">31-25-2
22-30-5

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="8%">4.4 / 3.9
4.3 / 3.2

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="19%">(L)H KUO
(R)J PEAVY

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%">0-1
7-1

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="11%">0-1 (L1)
9-3 (L1)

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%">3.85
1.68

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%">1.499
0.983

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="19%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="4%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="11%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="8%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="8%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="19%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="11%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%"> </TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="19%">Thursday, 6/7/2007 (12:05 PM)
Matchup Report | FoxSheet

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="4%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="11%"></TD><TD vAlign=center width="8%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="8%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="19%">Conditions: Mostly Cloudy Temperature: 61
Wind: From the Northeast at 9 MPH

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="11%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%"> </TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%"> </TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="19%">

Teams​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%">

Line​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="4%">

OU​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="11%">

W-L​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="8%">

Ov/Un/P​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="8%">

RF/RA​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="19%">

Starters​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%">

W-L​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="11%">

Team Rec​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%">

ERA​

​

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%">

WHIP​

​

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center width="19%">965:KANSAS CITY
967:CLEVELAND

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%">+235
-270

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="4%">10.0

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="11%">21-38 (L3)
35-21 (W1)

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="8%">25-28-6
32-21-3

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="8%">3.8 / 5.2
5.6 / 4.9

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="19%">(L)O PEREZ
(R)F CARMONA

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%">3-5
6-1

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="11%">5-7 (W1)
7-3 (W2)

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="5%">5.74
3.29

</TD><TD vAlign=center width="6%">1.539
1.273

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>



As you can see for Thursday Peavy has 1.68 ERA and his opponent has an ERA of 3.85 which is over 2.00 differential.....However his opponent has not had 3 starts and therefore this does not qualify.

Clevelands Carmona has an ERA of 3.29 and his opponent has an ERA of 5.74 and being they both have over 3 starts and a differential of over 2.00, Clevland would be a play.

I will not be posting on a daily bases. That is why the explanation. Now let's talk PRICE for a moment. Tomorrows Cleveland price is a low of -247 at pinnacle as we speak. For me the play is nonexistant at that price, unless I lay a run and a half which I seldom do. There would have to be other extremely good factors for me to do that.

However the prices I played at for the previuos 5 plays, not including the Mets today were very realistic.

5th SD - 130
4th Oak -145
3rd Tor -125
2nd Hou -140
Bost -135

A person need not necessarily play these religiously because of some of the prohibited prices. You be the judge of your own financial capabilities.

Once again I hope this is legible

Respectfully,
Green Valley

No Plays for 6/25

No Plays for 6/26

Mets is not a play because St Louis pitcher only has 2 starts and Baltimore is a home dog.

St Louis pitcher Wellemeyer has 5 starts this year so shouldnt it be a play?

Thanks BB

As you will read in Green Valleys post above he is going by the win/loss record as far as starts go, so if you look at St. Louis pitcher is 2-0 for me this is a no play.

GL BB

Anthony Reyes will start for STL, so Mets should be a play for you

Bookie Buster said:

As you will read in Green Valleys post above he is going by the win/loss record as far as starts go, so if you look at St. Louis pitcher is 2-0 for me this is a no play.

GL BB

Click to expand...

Thin k you got it little wrong,GV does NOT check pitcher start W/L record
but requires each pitcher to have 3 starts at least before it could turn to a play and if there is differential of 2 or more between the two pitchers and the favorite pitcher has an ERA below 4 according to his system it is a play.

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 id=head vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD class=columnrow align=left width="40%">7:10 pm</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="20%">Standings</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="20%">W-L</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="20%">Strk</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD class=name align=left>St. Louis </TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>3rd NL CENT</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>(33-40)</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>L 2</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD class=name align=left>N.Y. Mets </TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>1st NL EAST</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>(42-32)</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>W 4</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE id=alerts1197984 cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=scoresrow><TD><TABLE class=scoresrow cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD id=plays1197984 vAlign=top>STL: Wellemeyer (2-1, 6.65)
NYM: Perez (7-6, 3.16)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Click to expand...

Wellmeyer has 3 starts and His average ERA higher by more than 3 runs per match than of Perez and therefore according to the system itself it IS a play,but regardless of that i am tempted to go with the Cardinals tonight.

Well espn and mlb.com has him as 2-1....But then elsewhere you see 2-0...Im confused:
This was taken from mlb.com:

STL: RHP Todd Wellemeyer (2-1, 6.65 ERA)
Wellemeyer went five innings in his last start against the Royals, surrendering four runs -- two earned -- while striking out three and walking none. The first inning proved to be his toughest, as the right-hander gave up three runs off an infield hit and two errors.


And soswalter...is there a pitching change in that game?

Ok here you go line from 5dimes:

906 new york mets -205

RL -1.5 +100

I will track both.

All plays will be based on a $100 bettor.

That is what is so messed up about this system and it is staring to get on my nerves if this does not show a profit after 10 days I am done with this system.

GL BB

Wellemeyer (2-1, 6.65) has had three decisions so the mets would be a play. Wellemeyer is still listed as the starter on Pinnalce.

Unless I missed it somewhere I believe its starts not decisions. At the time Green Valley used the above example, Kuo had not made three starts....That is why he did not quality. He had made 1 start and 2 relief appearances.

"Bet ON Home favorite if the pitcher has an ERA of less than 4.00 and has a differential of at least 2.00 or higher versus his opponent...Pitcher must have 3 starts"

wellemeyer came over from the royals. some sites start the pitcher over when they change leagues. dont know if that is why some have different stats.

Recap for 6/26

Bookie Buster said:

Ok here you go line from 5dimes:

906 new york mets -205 L -205

RL -1.5 +100 L -100

I will track both.

All plays will be based on a $100 bettor.

That is what is so messed up about this system and it is staring to get on my nerves if this does not show a profit after 10 days I am done with this system.

GL BB

Click to expand...

Record for 6/26:
ML: 0-1 -205
RL: 0-1 -100

No plays for 6/27

wouldnt the mets be the pick today due to both pitchers era??

nikeairx said:

wouldnt the mets be the pick today due to both pitchers era??

Click to expand...

Mets pitcher era is over 4 and therefore can't be a play.Pitcher era must be under 4 and start at least 3 games with differential of 2 and more.

7:10 pm Standings W-L Strk
St. Louis 3rd NL CENT (34-40) W 1
N.Y. Mets 1st NL EAST (42-33) L 1

STL: Reyes (0-9, 6.64)
NYM: Glavine (6-5, 4.38)

Click to expand...

There was just one match close to be a play today and as things stand now it is going to end as a loss too.

3:35 pm
Kansas City
L.A. Angels

KC: De La Rosa (4-9, 5.75)
LAA: Weaver (6-3, 3.80)<!--QuoteEnd-->

Click to expand...

LAA would have been a play if the difference between Weaver and De La Rosa would have been over 2,it is 1.95.

I am following that system since June 8th and it has been in the red since then during the interleague games and the odds on the home favorite so low that actually it is very tempting to bet on the dogs in these games much more than betting on a home favorite which end up losing.most of times the odds for these games at -200 and up,so you need 3 wins vs 1 loss to remain always ahead and the ratio is less than 1;3.

This system seemed promising at first but since i check it the last 3 weeks there was no rpfit made with it.

That is for sure no profit at all, like I said if there is no profit after 10 days I will be done with this system.

Please track for the 10 days and see what happens. I never see systems that put you on faves, and would like you to see how it turns out. GL and thanks.:toast:

No plays for 6/28

Plays for 6/29

Lines from Bodog:

958
Pittsburgh Pirates -170
Ian Snell (R)


<TABLE class=datatable cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=cell1 align=middle colSpan=3>Friday, 6/29/2007 (7:05 PM)
All Games | FoxSheet</TD><TH class=header1 align=middle colSpan=3>WASHINGTON at
PITTSBURGH</TH><TD class=cell2 align=middle colSpan=5>Conditions: Overcast Temperature: 73
Wind: From the Northwest at 8 MPH </TD><TR><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=130>Teams</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=35>Line</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=25>OU</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=75>W-L</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=50>Ov/Un/P</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=50>RF/RA</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=130>Starters</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=30>W-L</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=70>Team Rec</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=30>ERA</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=40>WHIP</TH><TR class=cell1><TD class=cell2>957: WASHINGTON
958: PITTSBURGH</TD><TD>+160
-170</TD><TD>8.5</TD><TD>32-46 (L3)
33-45 (L1)</TD><TD>36-36-6
36-35-7</TD><TD>3.8 / 5.1
4.1 / 5.0</TD><TD class=cell2>(L) M CHICO
(R) I SNELL</TD><TD>3-5
6-5</TD><TD>9-7 (L2)
9-6 (L1)</TD><TD>5.08
2.92</TD><TD>1.560
1.200</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Recap for 6/29

Bookie Buster said:

Lines from Bodog:

958
Pittsburgh Pirates -170 W +100
Ian Snell (R)


<TABLE class=datatable cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=cell1 align=middle colSpan=3>Friday, 6/29/2007 (7:05 PM)
All Games | FoxSheet
</TD><TH class=header1 align=middle colSpan=3>WASHINGTON at
PITTSBURGH
</TH><TD class=cell2 align=middle colSpan=5>Conditions: Overcast Temperature: 73
Wind: From the Northwest at 8 MPH
</TD><TR><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=130>Teams</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=35>Line</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=25>OU</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=75>W-L</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=50>Ov/Un/P</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=50>RF/RA</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=130>Starters</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=30>W-L</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=70>Team Rec</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=30>ERA</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=40>WHIP</TH><TR class=cell1><TD class=cell2>957: WASHINGTON
958: PITTSBURGH
</TD><TD>+160
-170
</TD><TD>8.5</TD><TD>32-46 (L3)
33-45 (L1)
</TD><TD>36-36-6
36-35-7
</TD><TD>3.8 / 5.1
4.1 / 5.0
</TD><TD class=cell2>(L) M CHICO
(R) I SNELL
</TD><TD>3-5
6-5
</TD><TD>9-7 (L2)
9-6 (L1)
</TD><TD>5.08
2.92
</TD><TD>1.560
1.200
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Click to expand...

Record for 6/29: 1-0 +100

Overall Record:
ML: 1-1 -105
RL: 0-1 -100

Plays for 6/30

Lines from bodog:

926
Boston Red Sox -260
Josh Beckett (R)
RL: -1.5 -130

<TABLE class=datatable cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=cell1 align=middle colSpan=3>Saturday, 6/30/2007 (7:05 PM)
Matchup Report | FoxSheet</TD><TH class=header1 align=middle colSpan=3>TEXAS at
BOSTON</TH><TD class=cell2 align=middle colSpan=5>Conditions: Partly Cloudy Temperature: 78
Wind: From the West at 9 Gusting to 18 MPH </TD><TR><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=130>Teams</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=35>Line</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=25>OU</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=75>W-L</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=50>Ov/Un/P</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=50>RF/RA</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=130>Starters</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=30>W-L</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=70>Team Rec</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=30>ERA</TH><TH class=header1 noWrap align=middle width=40>WHIP</TH><TR class=cell1><TD class=cell2>925: TEXAS
926: BOSTON</TD><TD>+230
-260</TD><TD>10.0</TD><TD>32-47 (L2)
49-29 (W1)</TD><TD>38-36-5
33-41-4</TD><TD>5.2 / 5.7
5.0 / 3.9</TD><TD class=cell2>(R) R TEJEDA
(R) J BECKETT</TD><TD>5-7
11-1</TD><TD>6-9 (L3)
12-2 (W2)</TD><TD>6.57
3.07</TD><TD>1.696
1.055</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>