<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">2</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">-1.82 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">43</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">39</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+32.10 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since April 2007)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">116</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">138</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+10.71 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Washington +1.76 over ATLANTA
Huge overlay on the Nationals today and there’s just no way we’re passing up on this one. The Braves are the National League version of the Chicago White Sox in that their offense is anemic at best. In fact, it really can’t get much worse. The Braves have been shutout in four of their past five games and in the game they weren’t shutout, they scored one run. So, in their past five games covering 45 innings the Braves have one run to their credit. They’ve also dropped five in a row and 13 of 19 and they wouldn’t be appealing as a –1.10 favorite, let alone a big favorite like they are here. Jason Bergmann comes off the DL for this start and before he was injured he was the league’s best-kept secret. Bergmann had allowed just 28 hits in 49 innings to go along with a 2.76 ERA. He faced the Braves twice earlier in the year and in 14 innings against them he allowed just one run on three hits and that’s when Atlanta was seeing the ball. Tim Hudson has been good but not close to what was expected of him and besides, this has noting to do with playing against Hudson. This has everything to do with taking back a ridiculous price against a team that’s seeing BB’s and that does not come close to warrant this tag. Play: Washington +1.76 (Risking 2 units).
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San Diego +1.05 over SAN FRANCISCO
The Giants had a pretty good weekend by taking two out of three from the Yanks but let’s not forget that the Yankees pitching staff is one of the league’s worst. The dynamics take on a bit of a different look now as the Giants will be in the favorite’s role and when they are the chalk the opposition is always worth a close look. Remember, the Giants had lost eight straight before taking the final two games on Saturday and Sunday. Offensively, the Giants and Padres rank last and second last in the NL with the Giants holding a slight edge over the Padres but one cannot overlook the fact that the Padres play in the toughest hitters park in the majors. On the road the Padres rank higher then five other NL teams and the Giants are one of them. Furthermore, the Padres bullpen is one of the best and that gives us another edge here. Tim Lincecum has the talent but just like a lot of other talented rookies he’s learning and he’s struggling. Lincecum has allowed six earned runs or more in three of his last four starts and over that span covering 18.2 innings, he’s allowed 23 hits and walked 14 to go along with a 10.81 ERA. Justin Germano has been nothing short of brilliant since he was picked up off waivers in May. He’s 5-1 with a 2.63 ERA and has yet to lose on the road. In 24 road innings he’s walked just three batters, surrendered just 18 hits and four earned runs for an ERA of 1.50. So, yeah, the Giants took two out of three from the Yanks but so what, the Yanks are a .500 ball club. The Padres are 10 games ahead of the Giants and nothing about them here is inferior to the Giants. Play San Diego +1.05 (Risking 2 units).
Washington +1.76 over ATLANTA
Huge overlay on the Nationals today and there’s just no way we’re passing up on this one. The Braves are the National League version of the Chicago White Sox in that their offense is anemic at best. In fact, it really can’t get much worse. The Braves have been shutout in four of their past five games and in the game they weren’t shutout, they scored one run. So, in their past five games covering 45 innings the Braves have one run to their credit. They’ve also dropped five in a row and 13 of 19 and they wouldn’t be appealing as a –1.10 favorite, let alone a big favorite like they are here. Jason Bergmann comes off the DL for this start and before he was injured he was the league’s best-kept secret. Bergmann had allowed just 28 hits in 49 innings to go along with a 2.76 ERA. He faced the Braves twice earlier in the year and in 14 innings against them he allowed just one run on three hits and that’s when Atlanta was seeing the ball. Tim Hudson has been good but not close to what was expected of him and besides, this has noting to do with playing against Hudson. This has everything to do with taking back a ridiculous price against a team that’s seeing BB’s and that does not come close to warrant this tag. Play: Washington +1.76 (Risking 2 units).
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fficeffice" /><o></o>San Diego +1.05 over SAN FRANCISCO
The Giants had a pretty good weekend by taking two out of three from the Yanks but let’s not forget that the Yankees pitching staff is one of the league’s worst. The dynamics take on a bit of a different look now as the Giants will be in the favorite’s role and when they are the chalk the opposition is always worth a close look. Remember, the Giants had lost eight straight before taking the final two games on Saturday and Sunday. Offensively, the Giants and Padres rank last and second last in the NL with the Giants holding a slight edge over the Padres but one cannot overlook the fact that the Padres play in the toughest hitters park in the majors. On the road the Padres rank higher then five other NL teams and the Giants are one of them. Furthermore, the Padres bullpen is one of the best and that gives us another edge here. Tim Lincecum has the talent but just like a lot of other talented rookies he’s learning and he’s struggling. Lincecum has allowed six earned runs or more in three of his last four starts and over that span covering 18.2 innings, he’s allowed 23 hits and walked 14 to go along with a 10.81 ERA. Justin Germano has been nothing short of brilliant since he was picked up off waivers in May. He’s 5-1 with a 2.63 ERA and has yet to lose on the road. In 24 road innings he’s walked just three batters, surrendered just 18 hits and four earned runs for an ERA of 1.50. So, yeah, the Giants took two out of three from the Yanks but so what, the Yanks are a .500 ball club. The Padres are 10 games ahead of the Giants and nothing about them here is inferior to the Giants. Play San Diego +1.05 (Risking 2 units).
