NBA Draft Prop... Am I Missing Something?

AFLGuru · Jun 28, 2007

Greek is offering over 4 SEC players to go in the 1st round at -250...

Noah, Horford, and Brewer are all lottery picks

Byars is almost certainly going at some point in the next 15 selections after that

The only question is whether they get the 5th guy or not, and there are two legit candidates in Taureen Green and Big Baby Davis as the 5th guy.

Right?

AFLGuru · Jun 28, 2007

Now -400... I still think it's worth the free shot at some extra cash. Odds have it that this will push... but it sure isn't losing, right?

jeckll · Jun 28, 2007

Byars could drop out of the first round; unlikely but possible.

-Slim- · Jun 28, 2007

drafts are odd......kinda like when that Heisman winner was never drafted, the one out of FSU.....I cant believe I forget his name

Im getting old....

AFLGuru · Jun 28, 2007

Maybe it's not worth it at -400, but I think it was theft at -250

AFLGuru · Jun 28, 2007

Now -500... somebody agrees with me, obviously.

SkinsRaj28 · Jun 28, 2007

Davis and Byars are projected to go late in the 1st round, but you never know for sure which direction teams are gonna go. All it takes is a team or two trading down, and some teams going international, for that prop to lose.

I think it'll at least push, but that's some high juice.

Just my opinion, though. I think it'll at least push. GL.

AFLGuru · Jun 28, 2007

I also tend to think that the Big 12 over 3 at -240 is the right move as well, but I can't think of a 4th player off the top of my head that may go 1st round from the conference. At least with the SEC, I could legit end up with 6 first rounders.

Smartass · Jun 28, 2007

I'll be shocked if it hits on anything but 4.

MrCleo · Jun 28, 2007

i saw it at -105 this morning...then when i tried to bet it moved, and i got it at -130.

also took UNDER 2 Big East Players at -155

AFLGuru · Jun 28, 2007

Smartass said:
I'll be shocked if it hits on anything but 4.

It very well could hit on 4, and I won't be disappointed for taking the chance on it. Of course, I'd love to hear Davis or Green's name in the late 20s. I'm not guaranteeing that it's a winner, but I'm saying it's very likely to at least not lose.

MrCleo · Jun 28, 2007

i'll be surprised if those three lottery picks are the only three in the 1st round. Also don't see there being 3 players from the Big East being in the 1st round, but like Skins said some team might trade down and try and grab someone like an Aaron Gray or Nichols, i like my chances though

AFLGuru · Jun 28, 2007

MrCleo said:
i saw it at -105 this morning...then when i tried to bet it moved, and i got it at -130.

also took UNDER 2 Big East Players at -155

Excellent call on the Big East. I never even looked at that. Jeff Green and.... Wilson Chandler from DePaul maybe?

I have no idea how they get to 3.

juice · Jun 28, 2007

Byars is looking like he'll go in the mid-late first round.
But there's too much of a chance Davis will go in the 2nd round to pay that much chalk.

AFLGuru · Jun 28, 2007

juice said:
Byars is looking like he'll go in the mid-late first round.
But there's too much of a chance Davis will go in the 2nd round to pay that much chalk.

If Byars goes 1st round anywhere, I push if Davis or Green isn't drafted in Round 1. I would NEVER play over 4.5, but over 4? Absolutely.

SkinsRaj28 · Jun 28, 2007

Also keep in mind that Davis sprained his ankle on Tuesday.

Not that big a deal, but he got injured both times he worked out for the Sixers, who own a late pick and were one of the teams who were high on him.

Railbird · Jun 28, 2007

I would never waste a pick on an American college player, the best ones are the undrafted ones anyway.

Look at the Spurs, all foreigners and an undrafted FA from CS Fullerton. Too bad Bowen didnt get any minutes in the FIBA last summer. Coach K too big an idiot. Bowen who should have had mvp over Parker never left the floor for the entire post season, led the team in minutes by a landslide.

Smartass · Jun 28, 2007

Railbird said:
I would never waste a pick on an American college player, the best ones are the undrafted ones anyway.

Look at the Spurs, all foreigners and an undrafted FA from CS Fullerton. Too bad Bowen didnt get any minutes in the FIBA last summer. Coach K too big an idiot. Bowen who should have had mvp over Parker never left the floor for the entire post season, led the team in minutes by a landslide.

Hmm, he's missing someone, I can't think who it is.

Smartass · Jun 28, 2007

AFLGuru said:
It very well could hit on 4, and I won't be disappointed for taking the chance on it. Of course, I'd love to hear Davis or Green's name in the late 20s. I'm not guaranteeing that it's a winner, but I'm saying it's very likely to at least not lose.

Yes, the chances of it losing are almost nothing. Byars will go to the Jazz at 25 if he's still available, unless they trade out of that spot.

newb411breaker19 · Jun 28, 2007

-Slim- said:
drafts are odd......kinda like when that Heisman winner was never drafted, the one out of FSU.....I cant believe I forget his name Im getting old....

Charlie Ward?