Rehawk Reverse 2 Game System........interesting numbers

I know I have posted two other systems up here and quit after a few days. Not because they were doing so bad, but I got bored to the 3-4 game systems. Sorry if I am annoying anyone for posting so many systems up, but I'm just trying to create new ideas and hopefully hit one. I have been playing the system for about two weeks and I this system the best out of any I've seen, tried, created. It is a 2 game system and I gathered info for the past 4 seasons(spreadsheets attached).

Reason I like this system because there is some logic behind it which I will explain another day if you can't figure it out. I also like it because you don't have to put so much juice on it like most other systems.

The System: If a team loses consecutive games by 1 run in each game, bet on their next game for Game 1. In Game 1, bet on the underdog and fade the favorite (all plays are 1 unit). If Game 1 is a loser, go to Game 2. In Game 2, do the exact opposite, meaning bet on the favorite and fade the underdog (all plays are 2 units).
I just have one filter for the system: don't play any favorites in Game 2 if they are over -200.

example:
Atlanta loses previous 2 games 1-2 and 7-8.
Play next game Atl vs LAD.
Atl(-135) vs LAD (120) so play LAD to win 1.2 unit.
If Atl win that game(meaning loss for system), then play next Atl game.
Atl(120) vs LAD (-135) so play LAD to win 2 Units.


here are the numbers:
2004:
<table x:str="" style="border-collapse: collapse; width: 144pt;" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="192"><col style="width: 48pt;" span="3" width="64"> <tbody><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl25" style="height: 12.75pt; width: 48pt;" align="right" height="17" width="64">Game 1</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none; width: 48pt;" align="right" width="64">Game 2</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none; width: 48pt;" align="right" width="64">Total</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17">-26.55</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" align="right">43.44</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" x:fmla="=SUM(A2:B2)" align="right">16.89</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl25" style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">W</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">L</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">Percent</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17">62</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" align="right">18</td> <td class="xl26" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="0.77500000000000002" x:fmla="=A5/(B5+A5)" align="right">78%</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl25" style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">1st Half</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">2nd Half</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">Total</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17">20.7</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" align="right">-3.81</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" x:fmla="=SUM(A8:B8)" align="right">16.89</td> </tr> </tbody></table>
2005:
<table x:str="" style="border-collapse: collapse; width: 144pt;" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="192"><col style="width: 48pt;" span="3" width="64"> <tbody><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl25" style="height: 12.75pt; width: 48pt;" align="right" height="17" width="64">Game 1</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none; width: 48pt;" align="right" width="64">Game 2</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none; width: 48pt;" align="right" width="64">Total</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17">-15.89</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" align="right">39.65</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" x:fmla="=SUM(A2:B2)" align="right">23.76</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl25" style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">W</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">L</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">Percent</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17">96</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" align="right">25</td> <td class="xl26" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="0.79338842975206614" x:fmla="=A5/(B5+A5)" align="right">79%</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl25" style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">1st Half</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">2nd Half</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">Total</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17">16.99</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" align="right">6.77</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" x:fmla="=SUM(A8:B8)" align="right">23.76</td> </tr> </tbody></table>
2006:
<table x:str="" style="border-collapse: collapse; width: 144pt;" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="192"><col style="width: 48pt;" span="3" width="64"> <tbody><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl25" style="height: 12.75pt; width: 48pt;" align="right" height="17" width="64">Game 1</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none; width: 48pt;" align="right" width="64">Game 2</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none; width: 48pt;" align="right" width="64">Total</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; height: 12.75pt;" x:num="9.550000000000006" align="right" height="17">9.55</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" align="right">32.22</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" x:fmla="=SUM(A2:B2)" align="right">41.77</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl25" style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">W</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">L</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">Percent</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17">77</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" align="right">17</td> <td class="xl26" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="0.81914893617021278" x:fmla="=A5/(B5+A5)" align="right">82%</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl25" style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">1st Half</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">2nd Half</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">Total</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17">25.72</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" align="right">16.05</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" x:fmla="=SUM(A8:B8)" align="right">41.77</td> </tr> </tbody></table>
2007 YTD:
<table x:str="" style="border-collapse: collapse; width: 144pt;" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="192"><col style="width: 48pt;" span="3" width="64"> <tbody><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl25" style="height: 12.75pt; width: 48pt;" align="right" height="17" width="64">Game 1</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none; width: 48pt;" align="right" width="64">Game 2</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none; width: 48pt;" align="right" width="64">Total</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17">4.25</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" align="right">8.46</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" x:fmla="=SUM(A2:B2)" align="right">12.71</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl25" style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">W</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">L</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">Percent</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17">30</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" align="right">6</td> <td class="xl26" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="0.83333333333333337" x:fmla="=A5/(B5+A5)" align="right">83%</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> <td align="right">
</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl25" style="height: 12.75pt;" align="right" height="17">1st Half</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">2nd Half</td> <td class="xl25" style="border-left: medium none;" align="right">Total</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17">12.71</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" align="right">0</td> <td class="xl24" style="border-top: medium none; border-left: medium none;" x:num="" x:fmla="=SUM(A8:B8)" align="right">12.71</td> </tr> </tbody></table>


It is interesting that there has been an increase each year with he units and winning percentage. Also 1st half of each season has done a lot better than the 2nd half, however the difference has decreased each year.
More on the numbers. Largest losing stretch is 5 individual games -8 units, largest winning stretch is 8 individual games 11.4 units.

What do you guys think? I will be tracking this system for the rest of the year. It may continue the trend and improve or it may just hit rock bottom, but we will have to see.

Very interesting. I believe I will tag along. Keep posting please.

Thanks!!

win yesterday brings ytd record to 31-6 +14.06


7/1:

No Plays

Thanks for taking the time to post.

Travis

no problem. i just hope everything stays on track for the rest of this year.

loss yesterday no problem though

7/3:

Bos(-200) to win 2.00

Can't figure out the logic behind this strategy. Can you share?

rehawk said:

loss yesterday no problem though

7/3:

Bos(-200) to win 2.00

Click to expand...

Sorry to be an ass but are you risking $400 to win $200?

yes. it is the maximum bet in this system.

So the bet is on the winner of the 1st game (BOS), not on LAA which will play TEX tonight?

play is on the team that originally lost 2 games by 1 run.

win yesterday brings ytd record to 32-6 +15.06.

7/4:

No Plays

interesting system, Rehawk ... when you have the time, I would appreciate the logic behind the "system" ... why bet the dog on step 1 and the fav on step 2?

i was just thinking one day that if a worst team losing a couple of close game in a row they would have a good chance to win the next game. didnt think too much of the 2nd game, but it just works out that the fav usually win the 2nd game. i came up with a couple of theories in my head but not sure i can make sense of it right now.

loss bring system ytd to 32-7 +11.2

7/8:

STL(even) to win 1.00