<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">4</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+7.24 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">43</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">44</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+21.74 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since April 2007)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">127</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">146</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+22.65 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o
></o>
Oakland +1.24 over NY YANKEES
If Andy Pettitte pitched for any one of the other 29 teams in the majors he and that team would be a pooch in this game, or at the very least, a pick’em. Once again the Yankees are ridiculously overpriced against one of the top three pitchers in the game, All Dan Haren has done so far is compile a 9-2 record and a 1.91 ERA. He ranks fourth in the majors with nine wins, he’s eighth with 93 K’s, he’s second with a 0.94 WHIP, his ERA is first in the AL and he’s pitched 117 innings, which ranks him third. Amazingly enough, Haren has not allowed more then three earned runs in a single game all year in 17 starts. It does not matter whether he’s on the road or at home, Dan Haren is the most reliable and consistent starter the game has to offer. Meanwhile, the Yanks continue to lose and they continue to be favored. They’ve won just twice in their past 10 games and they’ve scored two runs or fewer in five of their last six games. The Yanks are three games under .500 and they have just four more wins then the Devil Rays, two more wins then the Orioles and three more wins then the Kansas City Royals yet they’re still favored every day and not just a small favorite. This line is just plain stupid, period. Play: Oakland +1.24 (Risking 2 units). <o></o>
<o></o>
BALTIMORE +1.26 over L.A. Angels
In a grueling 162-game schedule every team will suffer a rough stretch and this is the first one of the year for the Angels. They’ve now dropped four of five after losing three in a row to the Royals and splittling the first two of this series. However, it could very easily be a five-game losing streak had they not made ninth inning comeback on Friday night. Nonetheless, the Angels are slumping and the anticipation of public money has them overpriced again. John Lackey is the straight goods, make no mistake about that, however, he’s been laboring a bit himself over his last four starts in which he’s allowed 14 earned runs in 25 innings over that stretch. Overlooked perhaps is the work of the O’s Jeremy Guthrie, who came out of nowhere to be a dominating force in the rotation. Guthrie has been brilliant since being inserted into the rotation on May 8. Since then he’s made nine starts and has pitched seven full innings or more in all of his last eight starts. The league is hitting just .211 off him and he seldom walks a batter. Guthrie leads the league with a 0.92 WHIP and his 2.45 ERA is second. Guthrie has been pure gold and it’s been a long time, a very long time since a pitcher has gone so deep into games consistently. Now we get the hottest pitcher in the game with a tag no less, facing a laboring intruder. Wrong side favored. Play: Baltimore +1.26 (Risking 2 units).<o></o>
<o></o>
Texas +1.61 over BOSTON
The Red Sox too are almost always overpriced but the difference between them and the Yanks is that Boston has the most wins in the majors. Boston and New York are the center of the baseball universe and these two teams get more public support then the rest of the teams combined or pretty damn close to it. This afternoon we find another big overlay on a Red Sox team that’s struggling and on a pitcher that should never be a 1.70 favorite. First, Boston has dropped five of seven and their two big boppers, Man-Ram and David Ortiz are seeing BB’s. Ramirez has just two singles in the last seven games while Ortiz has just seven singles in his last eight games in 32 AB’s. Ortiz hasn’t gone yard at Fenway since late April. Julian Tavarez was smoked in his last start at Seattle and comes in with an ERA of 4.60. At Fenway his ERA is 4.94. The Rangers have always hit him well as his 2-4 lifetime record and lifetime 6.20 ERA against Texas would attest to. The Rangers torched Tavarez on May 27 of this year. Meanwhile, the Rangers are hot having won 10 of 15 and scoring 56 runs over an eight-game stretch at one point. Kameron Loe has found a groove and in fact, has won three straight, posting a very impressive 2.08 ERA covering 21.2 innings over that stretch. That includes a seven-inning, seven-hit, two-run gem over the Tigers in his last start. Yeah, we’d say the Rangers are worth some attention here. Overlay. Play: Texas +1.61 (Risking 2 units).
<o></o>
Colorado +1.20 over HOUSTON
We mentioned yesterday that the Astros are one of the least appealing favorites in the business and that sentiment hasn’t changed today. These Astros are capable of coming up lame against any pitcher in the league and they’re just so much more appealing as a pooch then they are as the chalk. The Astros are ahead 2-1 in this series but in reality, they should be down 3-0 and would be had they not rallied twice in the ninth for two dramatic comeback. Now that the talented Rockies got the proverbial weight off their backs yesterday we’ll come right back on them today for a number of reasons. One, they’re so much better then Houston in every department and two, they’re getting a price. There’s no denying that Rodrigo Lopez possesses some nasty stuff and is very capable of throwing a gem. In fact, aside from a rough outing at Wrigley (wind blowing out) in his last start, Lopez has been very efficient in every one of his other eight starts. In fact, he did not allow more then three earned runs in any of them and that includes six starts at Coors Field. The man can pitch. Wandy Rodriguez has been very good at Minute Maid but the fact remains that he seldom pitches deep into games and has pitched past the fifth inning in just three of his last 10 starts. Play: Colorado +1.20 (Risking 2 units).
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o></o>Oakland +1.24 over NY YANKEES
If Andy Pettitte pitched for any one of the other 29 teams in the majors he and that team would be a pooch in this game, or at the very least, a pick’em. Once again the Yankees are ridiculously overpriced against one of the top three pitchers in the game, All Dan Haren has done so far is compile a 9-2 record and a 1.91 ERA. He ranks fourth in the majors with nine wins, he’s eighth with 93 K’s, he’s second with a 0.94 WHIP, his ERA is first in the AL and he’s pitched 117 innings, which ranks him third. Amazingly enough, Haren has not allowed more then three earned runs in a single game all year in 17 starts. It does not matter whether he’s on the road or at home, Dan Haren is the most reliable and consistent starter the game has to offer. Meanwhile, the Yanks continue to lose and they continue to be favored. They’ve won just twice in their past 10 games and they’ve scored two runs or fewer in five of their last six games. The Yanks are three games under .500 and they have just four more wins then the Devil Rays, two more wins then the Orioles and three more wins then the Kansas City Royals yet they’re still favored every day and not just a small favorite. This line is just plain stupid, period. Play: Oakland +1.24 (Risking 2 units). <o
></o><o
></o>BALTIMORE +1.26 over L.A. Angels
In a grueling 162-game schedule every team will suffer a rough stretch and this is the first one of the year for the Angels. They’ve now dropped four of five after losing three in a row to the Royals and splittling the first two of this series. However, it could very easily be a five-game losing streak had they not made ninth inning comeback on Friday night. Nonetheless, the Angels are slumping and the anticipation of public money has them overpriced again. John Lackey is the straight goods, make no mistake about that, however, he’s been laboring a bit himself over his last four starts in which he’s allowed 14 earned runs in 25 innings over that stretch. Overlooked perhaps is the work of the O’s Jeremy Guthrie, who came out of nowhere to be a dominating force in the rotation. Guthrie has been brilliant since being inserted into the rotation on May 8. Since then he’s made nine starts and has pitched seven full innings or more in all of his last eight starts. The league is hitting just .211 off him and he seldom walks a batter. Guthrie leads the league with a 0.92 WHIP and his 2.45 ERA is second. Guthrie has been pure gold and it’s been a long time, a very long time since a pitcher has gone so deep into games consistently. Now we get the hottest pitcher in the game with a tag no less, facing a laboring intruder. Wrong side favored. Play: Baltimore +1.26 (Risking 2 units).<o
></o><o
></o>Texas +1.61 over BOSTON
The Red Sox too are almost always overpriced but the difference between them and the Yanks is that Boston has the most wins in the majors. Boston and New York are the center of the baseball universe and these two teams get more public support then the rest of the teams combined or pretty damn close to it. This afternoon we find another big overlay on a Red Sox team that’s struggling and on a pitcher that should never be a 1.70 favorite. First, Boston has dropped five of seven and their two big boppers, Man-Ram and David Ortiz are seeing BB’s. Ramirez has just two singles in the last seven games while Ortiz has just seven singles in his last eight games in 32 AB’s. Ortiz hasn’t gone yard at Fenway since late April. Julian Tavarez was smoked in his last start at Seattle and comes in with an ERA of 4.60. At Fenway his ERA is 4.94. The Rangers have always hit him well as his 2-4 lifetime record and lifetime 6.20 ERA against Texas would attest to. The Rangers torched Tavarez on May 27 of this year. Meanwhile, the Rangers are hot having won 10 of 15 and scoring 56 runs over an eight-game stretch at one point. Kameron Loe has found a groove and in fact, has won three straight, posting a very impressive 2.08 ERA covering 21.2 innings over that stretch. That includes a seven-inning, seven-hit, two-run gem over the Tigers in his last start. Yeah, we’d say the Rangers are worth some attention here. Overlay. Play: Texas +1.61 (Risking 2 units).
<o
></o>Colorado +1.20 over HOUSTON
We mentioned yesterday that the Astros are one of the least appealing favorites in the business and that sentiment hasn’t changed today. These Astros are capable of coming up lame against any pitcher in the league and they’re just so much more appealing as a pooch then they are as the chalk. The Astros are ahead 2-1 in this series but in reality, they should be down 3-0 and would be had they not rallied twice in the ninth for two dramatic comeback. Now that the talented Rockies got the proverbial weight off their backs yesterday we’ll come right back on them today for a number of reasons. One, they’re so much better then Houston in every department and two, they’re getting a price. There’s no denying that Rodrigo Lopez possesses some nasty stuff and is very capable of throwing a gem. In fact, aside from a rough outing at Wrigley (wind blowing out) in his last start, Lopez has been very efficient in every one of his other eight starts. In fact, he did not allow more then three earned runs in any of them and that includes six starts at Coors Field. The man can pitch. Wandy Rodriguez has been very good at Minute Maid but the fact remains that he seldom pitches deep into games and has pitched past the fifth inning in just three of his last 10 starts. Play: Colorado +1.20 (Risking 2 units).
