<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">2</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">2</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+1.72 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">44</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">43</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+25.44 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since April 2007)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">129</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">148</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+24.37 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
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Florida +1.23 over SAN DIEGO
The Padres return home after a very decent trip 4-2 trip but the problem for Padre backer is they’ve lost seven of their past nine games at home and three straight series. The other problem is David Wells and as the season progresses and weeks become months, don’t expect Wells to get sharper. Wells is too out-of-shape and too old to be effective in every start and he can get smoked on any given day. He’s been hit hard more often then not this year. The league is hitting .310 off him and earlier in the year when he faced the Marlins they tore him a new you-know-what. When Wells is favored the opposition is always worth a look. The Marlins have been playing better on the road all year, as their 21-19 record will attest to. Sergio Mitre has a road ERA of 2.95 and this is a park he can excel at because he seldom walks a batter and comes right after hitters. Mitre has walked just 16 batters in 75 innings. Overall, his ERA is 2.75 and his 2-3 record is one of the more misleading in the game. Mitre can pitch but a lack of run support has hurt his record. The same fate does not await him here. Play: Florida +1.23 (Risking 2 units).
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Minnesota +1.80 over NY YANKEES
The world just keeps getting better. It sounds like a broken record but one that we’re not about to throw away. Once again the Pinstripes are way overpriced and once again we’re all over this ludicrous number. Roger Clemens, the guy who has a permit to crap in the streets, will go again with his 5.32 ERA. Over his last two starts, covering just 10 innings, Clemens has allowed eight earned runs. In his last start against the Orioles he did not strike out a single hitter while walking three. Overall, in 23 frames, Rocket Roger has allowed 14 earned runs, 27 hits and four jacks. Clemens will be 45 years old in August and plays for a team that has dropped nine of 11 and has scored two runs or less in five of seven. They were down 8-0 yesterday before they scored a run. The bullpen stinks, the offense is slumping and this is a squad that has just two more wins then Pittsburgh, the Giants, the Orioles, the Astros and one more win then the Cardinals. Those teams are never favored by this much but the Yanks regularly come in as huge favorites. It’s no surprise at all that the Yankees own the worst ROI (return on investment) in the majors and that’s why they’re a must play against. Big overlay. Play Minnesota +1.80 (Risking 2 units).
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Texas +1.50 over BOSTON
The Red Sox had more chances yesterday then Pac-Man Jones but managed only one run and that’s been the story for the past couple of weeks for Boston. The Red Sox have scored just seven runs in the three games against the juggernaut pitching staff of the Rangers and Manny Ramirez and David Ortiz are right in the middle of it. Ortiz still hasn’t gone yard at Fenway since April 27 and Ramirez is 3 for 27 in his last eight games, all singles. Brandon McCarthy will go for the Rangers after missing six weeks with a nagging blister. A blister, not arm trouble and that’s significant because McCarthy is a definite keeper. He has great stuff and every team in the majors inquired about when he was with the White Sox. Current Red Sox players are a combined 6-for-37 (.162) against him, including 1-for-24 by Ortiz, Ramirez, Kevin Youkilis and Jason Varitek. McCarthy went 3-0 with a 2.31 ERA in four starts before suffering the injury and there’s a very good chance he’ll be just as tough here. Besides, there’s nothing on Kason Gabbard’s resumé that suggests he should be this big a price over anyone. Gabbard has walked seven batters in eight innings, while allowing 12 hits. He’d still be in the minors if the Red Sox weren’t forced to use him due to injuries. The fact that he’s –160 favorite here makes the Rangers as live a pooch as any on the board today. Play: Texas +1.50 (Risking 2 units).
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o></o>Florida +1.23 over SAN DIEGO
The Padres return home after a very decent trip 4-2 trip but the problem for Padre backer is they’ve lost seven of their past nine games at home and three straight series. The other problem is David Wells and as the season progresses and weeks become months, don’t expect Wells to get sharper. Wells is too out-of-shape and too old to be effective in every start and he can get smoked on any given day. He’s been hit hard more often then not this year. The league is hitting .310 off him and earlier in the year when he faced the Marlins they tore him a new you-know-what. When Wells is favored the opposition is always worth a look. The Marlins have been playing better on the road all year, as their 21-19 record will attest to. Sergio Mitre has a road ERA of 2.95 and this is a park he can excel at because he seldom walks a batter and comes right after hitters. Mitre has walked just 16 batters in 75 innings. Overall, his ERA is 2.75 and his 2-3 record is one of the more misleading in the game. Mitre can pitch but a lack of run support has hurt his record. The same fate does not await him here. Play: Florida +1.23 (Risking 2 units).
<o
></o>Minnesota +1.80 over NY YANKEES
The world just keeps getting better. It sounds like a broken record but one that we’re not about to throw away. Once again the Pinstripes are way overpriced and once again we’re all over this ludicrous number. Roger Clemens, the guy who has a permit to crap in the streets, will go again with his 5.32 ERA. Over his last two starts, covering just 10 innings, Clemens has allowed eight earned runs. In his last start against the Orioles he did not strike out a single hitter while walking three. Overall, in 23 frames, Rocket Roger has allowed 14 earned runs, 27 hits and four jacks. Clemens will be 45 years old in August and plays for a team that has dropped nine of 11 and has scored two runs or less in five of seven. They were down 8-0 yesterday before they scored a run. The bullpen stinks, the offense is slumping and this is a squad that has just two more wins then Pittsburgh, the Giants, the Orioles, the Astros and one more win then the Cardinals. Those teams are never favored by this much but the Yanks regularly come in as huge favorites. It’s no surprise at all that the Yankees own the worst ROI (return on investment) in the majors and that’s why they’re a must play against. Big overlay. Play Minnesota +1.80 (Risking 2 units).
<o
></o>Texas +1.50 over BOSTON
The Red Sox had more chances yesterday then Pac-Man Jones but managed only one run and that’s been the story for the past couple of weeks for Boston. The Red Sox have scored just seven runs in the three games against the juggernaut pitching staff of the Rangers and Manny Ramirez and David Ortiz are right in the middle of it. Ortiz still hasn’t gone yard at Fenway since April 27 and Ramirez is 3 for 27 in his last eight games, all singles. Brandon McCarthy will go for the Rangers after missing six weeks with a nagging blister. A blister, not arm trouble and that’s significant because McCarthy is a definite keeper. He has great stuff and every team in the majors inquired about when he was with the White Sox. Current Red Sox players are a combined 6-for-37 (.162) against him, including 1-for-24 by Ortiz, Ramirez, Kevin Youkilis and Jason Varitek. McCarthy went 3-0 with a 2.31 ERA in four starts before suffering the injury and there’s a very good chance he’ll be just as tough here. Besides, there’s nothing on Kason Gabbard’s resumé that suggests he should be this big a price over anyone. Gabbard has walked seven batters in eight innings, while allowing 12 hits. He’d still be in the minors if the Red Sox weren’t forced to use him due to injuries. The fact that he’s –160 favorite here makes the Rangers as live a pooch as any on the board today. Play: Texas +1.50 (Risking 2 units).
