You are betting a bad team with a bad pitcher starting against a hot team with a top pitcher starting. Plus the dog is steaming! "Smart" money clearly agrees with you.
If I were to do a 'chase system' of any kind, it would be with the Royals agains the M's the next three games. I'd be shocked for the M's to sweep even the Royals with the manager change.
There is a method to my madness I follow the system it tells me the games to take. I don't like this series either that is why I bet only half of my normal bet. In the long run you will make money from this system.