Tuesday Service Plays 7/3

Larry Ness
(**Blowout of the Week**)
15* San Diego Padres

(**Terrific Tuesday Total**)
Braves/Dodgers Over

Marc Lawrence
Game: Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox
Jul 3 2007 8:10PM

Prediction: Chicago White Sox

Reason: Chicago White Sox w/Vazquez over Baltimore:
Javier Vazquez is back in solid current KW form (4 walks and 2 strikeouts) in his last three starts, and also his his last three home starts (4 walks and 22 strikeouts). With the Orioles just 3-10 on Tuesdays and 4-9 away in Game Two of a series this season, look for Vazquez and the White Sox to even things up in this series here tonight.

The Wunderdog
Game: Tampa Bay at Boston (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay +180

It is not our way to play on a team like the D-Rays who are on an extensive losing streak, but the value is hard to resist here. Kazmir has dominated this Red Sox lineup throughout his young career, as the D-Rays have won 6 of his 9 starts over Boston. The six starts for Kazmir that resulted in wins have revealed some eye-popping numbers. He has worked 38.1 innings allowing just 17 hits and two earned runs while striking out 47! The biggest reason he has had success is his ability to dominate the heart of the Bo Sox order. Career numbers against Kazmir are as follows: Lowell 3-11, Ortiz 5-26, Ramirez 4-29, Varitek 3-15 and Youkilis 1-13. The five players in the middle of the Sox lineup are a combined .170 against Kazmir. He will catch the Red Sox at a good time as the offense has really struggled. In their last 25 games the Sox have scored two runs or less over half the time. This is too hard to pass up with the way Kazmir has handled this lineup.

Hondo
HONDO

July 3, 2007 -- Hondo plunged deeper into the abyss last night when the Rangers and Pirates failed to perform to expectations, causing the deficit to mushroom to 250 murtaughs.

Tonight, he'll go with the Native Americans in Detroit -

10 units on Byrd.


Sports Gambling Hotline
LA Angels (-130) at TEXAS

Tonight we side with the Angels to outslug the Rangers. We realize Ervin Santana has been a bust on the road this season at 1-6 with a 7.53 ERA, but the fact remains the Angels are a West Division leading 51-31 this season, and they have beat up the Texas Rangers in a big way.
The Halos are 6-1 this year in the season series, including handing tonight's starter Kevin Millwood a pair of losses in his 2 starts against them. Millwood has given up 7 runs in 7 innings of work against LA, and for the season Millwood is a sub-par 4-7 with an over 7 ERA.
The Angels stand at 32-13 since 2005 in the season series against the Rangers, and we see another win happening tonight for Los Angeles.

Play on the Halos!

4♦ ANGELS

Karl Garrett
Arizona at ST. LOUIS (+130)

Underdog play tonight on the Cardinals, as St. Louis continues to own Arizona. Last night the Cards trounced the D-Backs 11-3 to make it 5-2 in the Gateway City against the snakes since 2005.
'Zona is limping to the All-Star break with losses in their last 3, and 6 of their last 8. Randy Johnson's first start back from the DL was a suspect 3 innings of 3 earned run ball, and the G-Man feels the aging lefty is vunerable tonight to a Cardinals team that has plated 22 runs the last 2 nights!
Wellemeyer has picked up no decisions his last 2 starts, but has pitched well, allowing only 3 runs in 11 innings of work. I like the way St. Louis is getting a little momentum heading to the break, as the Redbirds have won their last pair, and 4 of their last 6.
Go with the underdog Cards to get another win over the slumping Diamondbacks.

3♦ ST. LOUIS

Chris Jordan
N.Y. Mets at COLORADO

For Tuesday night, we roll with the Rockies at home against the Mets.
How solid was Aaron Cook in his last start? Seriously, he near-perfect in a no-decision road stint against the Astros, as his sinker was downright nasty, stifling Houston to one run on seven hits over seven innings.
With this one being at home, I like the Rockies to continue their recent domination at home, where they've won seven of eight. Remember, this is a team that battled the Mets in extra innings at Shea back in April, and closed the series with an 11-5 romp. This marks New York's fifth straight on the road.
The Rockies, albeit in a nasty losing skid, have looked terrible – I know this. But this homecoming will be huge for Mile High boys. Take the home team here.

1♦ ROCKIES

Bobby Maxwell
The Phillies have taken two of three from the Astros this season, inclduing when Philadelphia starter Adam Eaton got a win over the Astros 11-4.
Eaton (7-5, 5.75 ERA) is 4-2 on the road this season and has always seemed to have the Astros' number. While with the Padres he was 3-1 against them and then beat them earlier this season with the Phillies.
Philadelphia has won six of Eaton's last nine starts and two of his last three on the road.
Roy Oswalt (7-5, 3.42 ERA) is pitching for the Astros and they are just 3-6 in his last nine starts. And he's allowed three or more runs in six of his last seven outings and the Phillies got to him for six runs on seven hits over five innings back on April 13.
Look for more of the same from the Phillies offense as they lit up Oswalt once this season and should do it again today. Play the plus-money Phillies in this one.

2♦ PHILADELPHIA

Dave Cokin
Take "(967) CLE Indians"

Paul Byrd continues to do his thing for Cleveland. He's seldom sensational, but definitely consistent in that he usually gives his team a reasonable chance to win. Nate Robertson goes for Detroit, and the lefty looked good in his first start after a DL stint due to arm fatigue. But Robertson has had issues with the Indians, and the road team is playing the better baseball right now. I'm taking the price with the Indians this time

Jim Feist
Take "(958) HOU Astros"

Philadelphia heads into a good hitter's park and they have very hittable Adam Eaton on the mound. Eaton has a 5.75 ERA and the last 3 starts has a 7.13 ERA. Houston plays its best ball at home and just took 3 of 4 at home to Colorado. Ace Roy Oswalt (3.42 ERA)goes here, and the team is 3-1 his last four starts. He's 5-1 with a sizzling 2.63 career ERA against Philly. Play the Astros!

MADDUX SPORTS
Today's Free Pick is Arizona -135

BANKROLL SPORTS
2* Baltimore Orioles +120 (MLB)

JEFF ALLEN

Take Cincinnati Reds
Other than the fact that he\'s stayed healthy and eaten up innings, Barry Zito has been a complete flop for the Giants. The lefty is 6-8 on the year with 4.61 ERA and 0-2 with 7.27 in L3. Harang has been super for the Reds at 8-2 and Cinncy has won his last four starts scoring 34 runs. The Giants are 3-8 as road dog at this price and 1-10 on the road when posted total is 9+ ..... take the Reds.

JOHN ANTHONY
MLB Chicago (N) vs. Washington []
Take Chicago (N) Cubs
Sure it\'s a big price but you don\'t pay juice when you win. Carlos Zambrano is the zone. When the weather gets hot, so does he, 4-1 with 1.67 ERA in L5. The game he lost, he had non-no thru seven and lost 1-0 on opposite field homer in ninth. Tim Redding makes first MLB start since 2005 and is 21-34 in his journeyman career which tells you just how bad injuries are for the Nats right now. The Blue Bears are 9-1 in L10 while Nats are 2-7 the other way. Take the Cubs.

GEORGE SMEADER
WNBA Los Angeles vs. Seattle []
Take Over
We will play the OVER 155. The over falls into our NBA Totals system with a solid 6.0 rating. Our system is based on several years of experience, practice and fine tuning with solid year over year returns. Ratings are not multipliers on base unit betting. Our ratings system is on a 1-8 scale, but we will never release a play lower than a 5.9. Winning is our business and businss is good.
MLB San Francisco vs. Cincinnati []
Take Cincinnati Reds
We will play on the moneyline at -119. The Reds stack up in our MLB system with a 5.9 rating. Our system is based on several years of experience, practice and fine tuning with solid year over year returns. Ratings are not multipliers on base unit betting. Our ratings system is on a 1-8 scale, but we will never release a play lower than a 5.9. Winning is our business and businss is good.

Rocco Spacamuro
100* Reds

Lou Diamondz
50 Units A's

Mike Rose

Cleveland Indians @ Detroit Tigers o10.0 (-115)
Tue Jul 3 '07 7:05p

I'm not sure what's gotten into the AL Champs of late, but they haven't been playing good ball whatsoever. Sunday's 1-0 win over Minnesota salvaged one game of that series for them, and now they have to take on the surging Cleveland Indians (winners in 8 of 10) who are coming off a four game home sweep of Tampa. The Tribe's taken five of their first seven meetings this season, and that most definitely won't sit well with the home team. That being said, they're going to have to score some runs tonight in order to win this one considering the Tribes been smashing left-handed pitching at a .320 clip of late, and Nate Robertson would never be confused with one of the more dominant south paws this league has to offer. In fact, he's been downright putrid this season ringing in with a 4.82 ERA and allowing 89 hits in 71 innings of work. He's been even worse of late evidenced by his 9.28 ERA, and he looks very ripe for a shellacking at the hands of Cleveland's sticks. However, Paul Byrd has been knocked around this season as well (4.67 ERA and 120 hits in 86.2 innings of work) and the Tigers owe him a beating after he and the Tribe got the best of them back in May by a 7-4 final count. He's coming off one of his best efforts of the season against Oakland, but I would be shocked if he were still bringing it in the 7th inning this time around. Detroit would love nothing more than to get a hold of the division lead during this three game set, but they'll have to break out their sticks in order to do so. I foresee them getting fat tonight off Byrd, but they'll need to keep the pressure on offensively all night because I'm not a believer in Robertson regardless of how well he looked in his first start off the DL last week. Hit the 'Over' as it improvers to 7-1 ATS between these clubs this year.

St. Louis Cardinals (124)
Tue Jul 3 '07 8:10p

It almost seems laughable to me to see the Cardinals as home pups in this one regardless of the fact that it's the "Big Unit" Randy Johnson squaring off against the much lesser known Todd Wellemeyer in Game 2 of this four game set. I can't with good intentions back Johnson here knowing full well that his first start since coming off the DL was a complete debacle. He only managed to go three innings against the Dodgers then, but has been given the thumbs up to increase his output to around 100 pitches this evening. That being said, the Cardinals have fared well against lefties at home this year hitting at a .274 clip, and they've had relative success over the "Big Unit" the last couple times they've seen him. On top of that, Todd Wellemeyer is a perfect 2-0 in the red and white this season, and the Red Birds are yet to lose a game he's started this season (6-0). Todd has benefited from the tutelage of pitching coach Dave Duncan, and he actually ranks out high according to my pitcher power ratings. He has shown to be wild on occasion, but he's only surrendered 16 earned runs and struck out 30 in 35 innings of work. With Arizona sputtering of late losing two of their L/3 series', this looks to be excellent position to grab the home club as underdogs. Look for the Cardinal bats to get to Johnson once again, and for Wellemeyer to pick up his third victory of the season as the Cardinals improve to 7-0 with him leading the way.

Sports Gambling Hotline

LA Angels (-130) at TEXAS

Tonight we side with the Angels to outslug the Rangers. We realize Ervin Santana has been a bust on the road this season at 1-6 with a 7.53 ERA, but the fact remains the Angels are a West Division leading 51-31 this season, and they have beat up the Texas Rangers in a big way.
The Halos are 6-1 this year in the season series, including handing tonight's starter Kevin Millwood a pair of losses in his 2 starts against them. Millwood has given up 7 runs in 7 innings of work against LA, and for the season Millwood is a sub-par 4-7 with an over 7 ERA.
The Angels stand at 32-13 since 2005 in the season series against the Rangers, and we see another win happening tonight for Los Angeles.

Play on the Halos!

4♦ ANGELS

CAPPER ACCESS
Tue) MLB Tigers Indians 130 Tigers
(Tue) MLB Angels Rangers 130 Rangers

Tony Onio

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200♦WHITE SOX
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MATT F@RGO

The Braves have been very streaky this season and despite a five-game winnings streak in the mix, they are in a huge slump. They have lost two straight since then and are now only 19-28 over their last 47 games going back to mid-May. Los Angeles has a modest two-game winning streak going to push its home record to eight games over .500. The Dodgers are hitting .297 over their last 10 games while the pitching has posted a 3.46 ERA over that span including a solid 2.81 ERA from the bullpen.

Randy Wolf struggled with control in his last start but that was an aberration so we should not expect a similar performance tonight. He has walked more than three hitters only once in his previous 16 starts so he will rebound here. Despite that, he still pitched a quality outing while six of his 10 starts at home have been quality as well. The Dodgers are 7-3 in his 10 home starts and the Braves have not had a lot of success against southpaws as they are 16-20 against left-handed starters this season.

Kyle Davies is coming off a quality start against the Tigers but that is where it ends. He had thrown four other quality outings this year and those were all followed up with non-quality performances as he went 0-3 with a 9.83 ERA in those four games. Davies pitched against the Dodgers once already this season and the Braves won that game but he allowed four runs in 6.2 innings of work. The Braves are 3-11 in his last 14 road starts going back to last year including 2-5 this season.

Unlike the Dodgers, the Braves bullpen is struggling and with Davies, who does not go deep into games, that means trouble. Play against National League road teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.45 to 1.55 on the season and with a bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last five games. This situation is 53-22 against the moneyline (70.7 percent) since 1997 including win in 17 of the last 22 spots the last five seasons.

Play Los Angeles Dodgers 1 Unit


<HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1> <!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->The Experts Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, July 03, 2007
$35.00 Guaranteed: We are now 42-14 PLUS $3210 - PLAYING JUST $100 PER GAME - in Baseball for the season! Tonight it does not get any STRONGER than our ULTIMATE EXPERTS NL GAME OF THE YEAR! You can get this Guaranteed Winner tonight for just $35 and you are Guaranteed to win or there will be no charge! This is by far our strongest baseball game so far this season so join us for another easy winner!!! 7/3/2007

ULTIMATE EXPERTS NL GAME OF THE YEAR
LA Dodgers w/Wolf -142 10:10 EST


Larry Ness' 15* MLB Blowout GOW (66-19 TY!) (Write-Ups)

Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness

Game: Florida Marlins at San Diego Padres Jul 3 2007 10:05PM
Prediction: San Diego Padres
Reason: Just about everything lines up on the San Diego side of the column when comparing the 'numbers' surrounding this game. SD beat Florida last 3-1, as the Padres remained on top of the NL West after winning for the fifth time in six games, despite managing only three hits. Florida fell for the seventh time in nine games. Tonight's pitching matchup has Greg Maddux facing off against Scott Olsen. Maddux dominated the Marlins for most of his career, going 15-5 with a 1.83 ERA in his first 27 outings against the club. However, it's been a different story lately, as he's 4-7 with a 5.29 ERA in his last 12 outings against the Marlins. That being said, his recent form is outstanding, as he improved to 4-1 with a 3.07 ERA in his last seven outings after allowing one run and five hits over seven innings in a 4-2 victory at San Francisco last Wednesday. Also note that Maddux has 2.78 ERA at home in his seven starts, compared to 4.42 in his eight road starts (LY his home ERA was 3.41 and his road ERA was 5.20). As for Florida lefty Olsen, he's made eight road starts this year, allowing 55 hits in 42 innings, while posting a 5.58 ERA. He will try to win for the first time in six road starts tonight. Olsen is 0-3 with a 5.46 ERA and a .327 opponents' batting average in his last five outings away from home. He'll be facing a SD team that's 16-9 (plus-$620) vs left-handed starters this year, averaging 5.0 RPG. In seven night home games vs lefties, the Padres are 6-1! MLB Blowout of the Week 15* SD Padres.




Larry Ness' Terrific Tuesday Total (15-4 80% TY!)

Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness

Game: Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers Jul 3 2007 10:10PM
Prediction: over
Reason: The Braves have struggled vs lefties this year going 16-21 (minus-$740) while averaging only 4.0 RPG. However, they will take dead-aim at Randy Wolf tonight, as this Dodgers lefty has allowed at least four ERs in four of his last six starts, posting an ERA of 6.15 during that span. As for LA, now 17-9 at home vs right-handers in night games after Monday's 8-2 win, they will face a struggling righty in Atlanta's Kyle Davies. Davies made 14 starts for Atlanta last year, posting an 8.38 ERA and after a fairly decent start to 2007, has fallen apart. He' allowed 15 ERs in 20.1 innings over his last four outings (all losses), for an ERA of 6.64. Davies hasn't pitched since June 23 against Detroit, when he left after 6.1 innings with a strained left oblique. This total is WAY too low. Terrific Tuesday Total on Atl/LAD Over.


Stan Sharp - Double Dime
Angels -122

charlies sports <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->charlie has lost his last 4 top plays
tuesday july 3, 2007

mlb. philadelphia @ houston under 9 runs (500*)

mlb. seattle @ kansas city over 10 runs (30*)

mlb. arizona-130 (20*)

mlb. detroit-130 (20*)

mlb. la angels-125 (10*)

mlb. cincinnati-120 (10*) Bonus Play


Tuesday Comps <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Sebastian-Oakland
Winner Line-Dodgers
Rick Parker????-Oakland
OTM-Angels
Computer Boys-Houston
Kevin Kennedy-Oakland


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Thanks!

Billy Coleman

MLB
4* San Fran
4* Seattle
3* White Sox
3* St Louis
3* Under Florida

Tuesday 7/3 MLB Hot/Cold Report

Hot Pitchers
-- Zambrano is 4-1, 1.67 in his last five starts.
-- Reds won last four Harang starts, scoring 34 runs.
-- Astros are 9-2 with Oswalt if they score three or more runs.
-- Johnson is 4-1, 2.48 in his last six starts. Cardinals are 6-0 in Wellemeyer starts, scoring 48 runs.
-- Marlins won four of last five Olsen starts. Maddux is 5-1, 2.25 in his last six home starts.
-- Bronx won six of last eight Wang starts.
-- Matsuzaka is 2-2, 1.59 in his last five starts. Devil Rays won four of last five Kazmir starts.
-- Vazquez is 1-0, 1.29 in his last couple starts.
-- Blanton is 3-1, 1.58 in his last six starts.
Cold Pitchers
-- Capuano was 0-5, 6.89 in his last six starts before going on the DL; this is his first start off the DL. Youman is 4-6, 4.60 in fifteen AAA starts. Hitters there are hitting .290 against him.
-- Redding is making 80th big league start, first since '05; he was 21-34, 5.19 while pitching for Astros, Padres.
-- Zito is 0-3, 8.02 in his last four starts.
-- Eaton is 0-1, 7.13 in his last three starts.
-- Cook is 0-4, 6.28 in his last six starts. Vargas allowed five runs in seven IP vs Cubs in his only '07 start, a game Mets later won 6-5 at home.
-- Davies is 0-4, 7.53 in his last four starts. Wolf is 2-3, 5.97 in his last five starts.
-- Byrd is 1-2, 6.91 in his last five starts. Tigers lost nine of last eleven Robertson starts.
-- Minnesota lost four of Silva's last five road starts.
-- Feierabend is 1-2, 7.06 in four starts this season. de la Rosa has 12.27 RA in his last five home starts.
-- Orioles are 8-0 with Cabrera if they score 5+ runs, 0-8 if they don't; he is 2-2, 5.73 in his last five starts.
-- ESantana is 0-2, 6.27 in his last three starts. Millwood is 2-4 in his last seven starts, with a 9.36 RA.
-- Litsch is 1-3, 6.62 in four starts this season.
Totals
-- Over is 6-2 in Brewers' last eight road games.
-- Five of last seven Cub road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 10-5-1 in last sixteen Harang starts.
-- Over is 13-2 in Houston's last fifteen home games.
-- Eight of last eleven Colorado games went over the total.
-- Over is 13-3-1 in last seventeen Diamondback games.
-- Seven of last nine Florida games went over the total.
-- Last five Atlanta games all went over the total.
-- Under is 8-2 in last ten Cleveland road games.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Minnesota road games.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten games at Fenway Park.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Kansas City games.
-- Eight of last eight Baltimore road games went over the total, but under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen White Sox games.
-- Four of last five Angel road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 15-5 in last twenty Oakland home games.
Hot Teams
-- Cubs won nine of their last ten games.
-- Pirates won five of their last seven games.
-- Milwaukee won fourteen of its last eighteen games.
-- Astros won seven of their last eight home games.
-- Cardinals won three of their last four games.
-- Mets won eight of their last eleven games. Colorado won ten of last twelve home games.
-- Padres won five of their last six games.
-- Braves won five of their last seven games. Dodgers won last two games by combined score of 13-2.
-- Twins are 8-5 in their last thirteen games.
-- Indians won seven of their last eight games.
-- Rangers are 11-6 in last seventeen games. Angels won nine of their last twelve road games.
-- White Sox won six of their last eight games.
-- Royals won six of last eight games, allowing 19 runs. Seattle is 8-1 in its last nine games.
-- Oakland won eight of its last twelve home games.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost six of their last seven games.
-- Arizona lost six of its last eight games.
-- Cincinnati lost six of its last eight games. Giants lost eight of their last nine road games.
-- Phillies lost four of their last five games.
-- Marlins lost seven of their last nine games.

-- Detroit lost six of its last eight home games.
-- Bronx lost nine of its last twelve games.
-- Devil Rays are 0-8 on this road trip, outscored 44-20.
-- Red Sox lost five of their last seven games.
-- Orioles are 5-8 in last thirteen road games.
-- Blue Jays lost five of their last seven games


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Tips and Trends
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Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Boston Red Sox (7:05 PM ET)

Tampa Bay’s Scott Kazmir is a sparkling 5-2 with a 2.60 ERA in 11 career starts against Boston. The young left-hander has allowed just 48 hits in 65 2/3 innings against them. EDGE: D-RAYS
Kazmir has collected all five of his victories away from Tropicana Field this season, posting a 4.47 ERA in seven starts. EDGE: D-RAYS
Red Sox right-hander Daisuke Matsuzaka was an even 2-2 in June despite notching an incredible 1.59 ERA in five starts. EDGE: RED SOX & UNDER
Matsuzaka has tallied a 4-2 record and Fenway Park in seven starts, but carries a 4.81 ERA – nearly two runs higher than his earned-run-average on the road. EDGE: RED SOX & OVER
The Devil Rays are 2-7 in Kazmir’s last nine starts versus the AL East.



Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers (7:05 PM ET)

Indians starter Paul Byrd has allowed double-digit hits in four of his last five starts, with three of those starts coming at Jacobs Field. He’s 5-2 with a 5.63 ERA in eight home starts this season. EDGE: INDIANS & OVER
After going 6-1 with a 3.55 ERA during the first two months of the season, Byrd fell off to a dismal 1-2 with a 6.91 ERA in five June starts. EDGE: TIGERS
Detroit’s Nate Robertson was blasted for five runs and 10 hits in 5 2/3 innings of work in his last start against Cleveland. The left-hander is 2-4 with a 5.24 ERA in 12 career starts against them. EDGE: INDIANS
Robertson has a 20-24 career record at Comerica Park with a 4.32 ERA. He’s 3-2 with a 4.47 ERA in eight home starts this season. SLIGHT EDGE: TIGERS
The Tigers are 1-7 in Robertson’s last eight starts versus the Indians.



Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

Minnesota’s Carlos Silva is an even 1-1 in three career starts against New York, allowing 13 earned runs and 25 hits in 16 innings against them. EDGE: OVER
Silva has won consecutive starts over Florida and Toronto coming into this start, allowing six runs and 10 hits over 14 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: TWINS
New York right-hander Chien-Ming Wang is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in two career starts against Minnesota. He’s issued just one walk and fanned nine in 14 innings versus the Twins. EDGE: YANKEES
The Yankees have picked up two straight home victories with Wang on the mound, outscoring opponents 12-3 in the process. EDGE: YANKEES
The Yankees are 13-3 in Wang’s last 16 starts versus the AL Central.



New York Mets at Colorado Rockies (8:05 PM ET)

Mets left-handed starter Oliver Perez is an even 3-3 with a 5.04 ERA in 12 career outings against the Rockies. He’s struggled with his control in 60 2/3 innings against them, issuing 45 free passes. EDGE: ROCKIES
New York has lost four of Perez’s last five starts, including his last two against Minnesota and St. Louis. Perez finished the month of June with a 1-3 record and 4.06 ERA over that span. EDGE: ROCKIES
Rockies starter Aaron Cook is a perfect 1-0 with a 2.52 ERA in five career games against the Mets. He’s walked just four batters and struck out eight in 25 innings against them. EDGE: ROCKIES
Colorado has lost four straight starts with Cook on the hill, being outscored 28-16 in the process. BIG EDGE: METS
The OVER is 10-3-1 in Cook’s last 14 home starts.



Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros (8:05 PM ET)

Philadelphia’s Adam Eaton picked up a victory in his last start against Houston, giving up four runs and seven hits in six innings of work. He’s 3-1 with a 4.41 ERA in five career starts against them. SLIGHT EDGE: PHILLIES
Eaton was an even 2-2 with a 5.79 ERA in six June starts. The right-hander allowed 21 runs and 35 hits in 32 2/3 innings. EDGE: OVER
Astros starter Roy Oswalt is an impressive 5-1 with a 2.63 ERA in seven career games against the Phillies. The dominant right-hander has struck out 40 batters and walked just 15 in 37 2/3 innings against them. BIG EDGE: ASTROS
Oswalt is once again one of the best home pitchers in baseball, posting a 5-1 record and 2.11 ERA in 11 starts. BIG EDGE: ASTROS
The Astros are 4-0 in Oswalt’s last four starts versus the Phillies.


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MLB Betting Notes
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Tuesday’s MLB betting notes


Bucs backup joins rotation

An elbow injury to pitcher Zach Duke has forced the Pittsburgh Pirates to place the lefty on the 15-day DL and call up Triple-A arm Shane Youman from Indianapolis. The 27-year-old southpaw will get the nod on Tuesday when the Pirates host the Milwaukee Brewers as +144 home dogs.

"He's been throwing well of late," manager Jim Tracy told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. "He's throwing as competitively as anyone (at Indianapolis). We want the best available, and he's the best available.

"He's a very capable guy. He has a good mound presence."

Youman turned heads during spring training and during his cup-of-coffee stop with the Pirates last fall. In 15 minor league starts this season he is 4-6 with a 4.70 ERA but has allowed one or no earned runs in three of his last four starts.

In his brief MLB work in 2006, Youman was 0-2 in three starts and two relief appearances while posting an ERA below 3.00. Tuesday's total is set at 9 1/2.

Closer by committee

Baltimore Orioles interim manager Dave Trembley is trying to keep struggling closer Chris Ray from losing his marbles after the right-hander reliever suffered through one of the toughest stretches of his career.

Trembley may decide to go with a closer-by-committee approach to take pressure off Ray, who cost the Orioles wins in two games this past week. He has blown four saves this season along with six losses and posts an ERA above 5.00.

"It's a nice mental break," Ray told the Washington Post after getting a day off on Saturday. "Instead of going out there and being mentally prepared to go in the ballgame, you can go out there and just relax."

Baltimore is leaning towards righty Paul Shuey and recovering reliever Danys Baez (who'll return after the All-Star break) to help Ray with the closer roll. Shuey has only pitched six innings this year, recording one save. Baez was 0-4 with an ERA above 6.00 before being placed on the DL with tendonitis in his forearm.

Books list the O's as +119 underdogs when they visit the White Sox and have set the total at 9 runs.

Same old song

North side baseball fans are having their patience tested once again by Chicago Cubs manager Lou Piniella. While desperate Cubs backers want results, the veteran skip is asking for more time – again.

Piniella has pleaded with the Chicago faithful to be patient with the team since spring training and was at it again on Sunday, telling fans to wait until August for a turnaround. The Cubs are 40-40 heading into Monday and sit 6 ½ games behind the NL Central-leading Milwaukee Brewers.

''I think our club will continue to play respectable baseball, and we'll see where we are on Aug. 1,” Piniella told the Chicago Sun Times. “That's when you start looking at this thing in earnest. That's when you start jockeying for position and these series start becoming more important.”

Chicago has a favorable schedule before the All-Star break, currently facing Washington Tuesday as -164 faves and then Pittsburgh before the three-day vacation. Piniella told reporters the team’s goal is to head into the break above .500.

A.J. back on DL

It was only a matter of time before Toronto Blue Jays pitcher A.J. Burnett returned to the disabled list. The right-hander was scheduled to start Tuesday against Oakland but instead was placed on the 15-day DL for the 10th time in the last nine years.

"His shoulder's still bothering him a little bit," Toronto manager John Gibbons told MLB.com. "So, he has to go get it checked out. That's all I know. I don't know anything more than that."

Burnett’s shoulder held up long enough for the Minnesota Twins to take advantage of the hobbled hurler last Thursday when he gave up five runs on five hits in only four innings.

Toronto has called up minor league pitcher Jesse Litsch from Syracuse to replace Burnett in the rotation and he will take Burnett's place when the Jays face the Athletics Tuesday as +151 road dogs. The young right-hander made four starts for the Jays back in May. He was impressive during his MLB debut on May 15 but pitched horribly in his following three starts.

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Injuries
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MLB Infirmary Report

Baseball's wounded will get some extra recovery time when the league breaks for the All-Star Game next week. In the meantime, here is this week's MLB Infirmary Report.

Baltimore - Steve Trachsel P 15-Day Disabled List
The Orioles will have to dip into their minor-league system to replace Trachsel in the rotation. The righthander, who was placed on the disabled list with a 'strained gluteus', was knocked around by the Angels in his last outing and definitely could use the break.

Boston - Curt Schilling P 15-Day Disabled List
Schilling wasn't able to throw last week, which means he'll likely stay on the disabled list with his shoulder injury through the All-Star Break. Kason Gabbard is his replacement.

Chi Cubs - Ryan Dempster P 15-Day Disabled List
The Cubs decided to bite the bullet and put closer Dempster onto the disabled list last week (retroactive to June 23). The righthander's strained oblique will keep him out of action through the break; Bob Howry has been tabbed as the closer in the meantime.

Chi White Sox - Darin Erstad OF 15-Day Disabled List
Erstad (ankle injury) isn't expected to return to the White Sox lineup until the middle of July - at which point the team might have already gutted its roster. The ChiSox could have used the veteran over the past few weeks with the nagging injuries in its outfield.

LA Dodgers - Jason Schmidt P 15-Day Disabled List
The Dodgers won't be getting their money's worth out of Schmidt this year - the righthander has undergone season-ending shoulder surgery. The best-case scenario for Los Angeles now is for Schmidt to be 100% healthy in time for spring training in 2008.

NY Mets - Oliver Perez P Day-to-Day (sore back)
Perez is the Mets' scheduled starter for Tuesday night's game, but he's likely to be scratched due to a sore lower back. Jason Vargas will probably get the start in his spot.

NY Yankees - Phil Hughes P 15-Day Disabled List
The Yankees could get Hughes back into the rotation by the end of July. The young righthander is almost ready to go on a rehab assignment after throwing in the bullpen.

Oakland - Mike Piazza DH 15-Day Disabled List
The Athletics would like to return Piazza to catching duties when he is finally activated from the disabled list - but the veteran's shoulder is still so sore that he can't throw. If Piazza proves that he can't play in the field, Oakland will be forced to keep him as DH.

Philadelphia - Freddy Garcia P 15-Day Disabled List
The Phillies still have no idea if or when they'll get Garcia back in the rotation this season. The righthander has avoided surgery on his shoulder so far, but he hasn't been able to throw since the beginning of June. Garcia might test out the shoulder this week.

Pittsburgh - Salomon Torres P 15-Day Disabled List
The Pirates could have their closer back on the mound just after the All-Star break - if his sore elbow has healed enough to allow him to throw. Torres went on the DL June 9.

San Diego - Milton Bradley OF 15-Day Disabled List
Bradley's first act as a member of the Padres was to be placed on the disabled list. The outfielder's strained oblique will now keep him out the lineup through the All-Star Break.

St. Louis - Chris Carpenter P 15-Day Disabled List
The good news for the Cardinals is that ace Carpenter has been throwing in simulated games, and could start a rehab assignment in the minor leagues at some point this week. The bad news for the Cardinals is that they're way out of first place in the Central.

Toronto - A.J. Burnett P 15-Day Disabled List
Look who's back on the disabled list? The MLB Infirmary Report staple went back on the DL last week with his shoulder injury, and there's no timetable set for him to return.


Dunkel Index:

Today's MLB Picks

LA Angels at Texas

Texas opens a six-game homestand having won six of its last nine at Rangers Ballpark. Angels' starter Ervin Santana is 1-6 with a 7.53 ERA in eight road starts this season. Texas looks like a good home underdog (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+135). Here are all of today's games.
<TABLE cellSpacing=4 cellPadding=4 width=537><TBODY><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>TUESDAY, JULY 3
Time Posted: 9:30 a.m. EST</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 951-952: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Capuano) 16.700; Pittsburgh (Youman) 14.617
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-170); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 17.326; Washington (Redding) 13.252
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 4; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 955-956: San Francisco at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 15.466; Cincinnati (Harang) 14.808
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+140); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 957-958: Philadelphia at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Eaton) 14.617; Houston (Oswalt) 16.852
Dunkel Line: Houston by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Houston (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-165); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 959-960: NY Mets at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Vargas) 16.127; Colorado (Cook) 16.525
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 961-962: Arizona at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Johnson) 14.963; St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 16.041
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+140); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 963-964: Florida at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Olsen) 14.039; San Diego (Maddux) 17.483
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 3 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Diego (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-155); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 965-966: Atlanta at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Davies) 15.691; LA Dodgers (Wolf) 17.689
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-150); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 967-968: Cleveland at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Byrd) 16.355; Detroit (Robertson) 16.234
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 10
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+135); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 969-970: Minnesota at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Silva) 16.220; NY Yankees (Wang) 16.935
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-215); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-215); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 15.495; Boston (Matsuzaka) 16.217
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-200); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 973-974: Seatttle at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Feierabend) 16.827; Kansas City (De La Rosa) 17.469
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-125); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+125); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 975-976: Baltimore at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Cabrera) 16.204; White Sox (Vazquez) 14.835
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+145); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 977-978: LA Angels at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 15.970; Texas (Millwood) 17.251
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+135); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 979-980: Toronto at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Litsch) 14.760; Oakland (Blanton) 17.327
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Oakland (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-170); Over</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

IC Report: July 3rd

Tuesday's research:
*Likely to be some typing errors and gramatical errors as I type my raw thoughts.

Mlb:

There are a lot of upsets that continue to go in the league including the mets getting drilled by the rockies with hirsh on the mound yesterday, or webb getting rocked by the cards, or woody beating moyer.

Brewers vs. Pitt

Brewers rocked Pitt yesterday and won as fairly small chalk. New kid subbing on for Zach Duke tomorrow in Youmans. In Indy where he was in the minors he was 4-6 with a 4.70 ERA according to mlb.com but has pitched well of late but seems to have control problems. Brewers have won 10 out of 12 and still are playing well, while the Pirates have dropped their last 2 and have played in a decent amount of overs lately while the brewers have played in 3 of 4 overs. Be wary though Cap has lost his last 5 and the brewers have lost his last 6 that he's started. Cap hasn't been getting too much offensive help as before the ranger game he was getting just 6 runs of support in his last 5 starts. This game all depends on the control that cap shows as he has been giving up some walks of late, 7 in his last 2 games, so a small lean on the over especially with a newbie for the pirates.

Cubs vs. Nats

Up front, I like the Cubs tomorrow with zambrano. The guy has been lights out since the Barrett trade to the Pads. Probably one of the better decisios the cubs have made in a while. However, give the cubs some credit, they picked up some solid pitching over the off-season and most of their trades are panning out as they look to bypass their prior/wood age. Zambrano is 4-1 with a 1.43 ERA of late. Redding at triple-a went 9-5 with a 5 plus era and hasn't pitched in the majors for a few years. I don't think his lifetime numbers vs. the cubs matter as this is a new cubs team. Zambrano has given up 6 earned runs in his last 5 starts. He faced them earlier this year and gave up 4 runs to the nats and beat bergmann 6-4. Cubs rolled 7-2 yesterday as wash still finds trouble scoring. Lean on the cubs run-line.

Giants vs. Reds

Giants actually took 2/3 from the Dbacks. Zito is 0-3 in his last 4 starts although he did have a good start against Peavy and the pads. The Reds have won Harang's last 4 starts, and a lean on the under here given that he is likely to have a good bounce-back and zito is likely to put another good start to put another good start. Cincy had a breakout game against Maroth, trust me I Know, I was on the under, but they had played in several unders before that. Lean on the under here, but no lean on the actual game.

Phillies vs. Astros

Value is probably on Eaton and the phils on the bounce-back here. Astros are starting to swing the bat well and have hit 4/5 overs. They have also now won 4/5. Last time eaton matched up with sampson, 15 runs were scored. He has given up 11 runs in his last 2 starts and 4 runs to the stros in his last start. Oswalt pitched a gem against the rockies in his last start but did get hit hard by the phils in his last start for 6 runs. He has also given up 29 hits in his last 3 starts. Probably decent value with the phils as solid dogs, but mainly a lean on the over here.

Mets vs. Rockies

Not often you find the Mets as dogs. Not sure who is going to start, mlb notes Sele while Pinnacle notes Vargas. Either way, I'm not touching this game. Tough to go against a mets team on a bounce-back and although cook and the rockies have lost their last 4 together, he went 7 inns, 6 hits and 0 er against the mets last time around. I think anything can happen in this game.

Dbacks vs. Cards

Dbacks are losers of 3 straight including losing with their ace on the mound yesterday as they let brandon looper beat them. Just another crazy day on the diamond. This team has only put up 4 runs in their last 3 games as well which isn't helping. When Wellemeyer starts, the cards are 6-0 if I'm not mistaken. They are playing good baseball and well has given up 5 runs in his last 3 starts. Johonson and the dbacks had won 5 in a row before losing to the dodgers badly. However, the dbacks 3 errors in his last game didn't help either. The Cards and the astros are very fickle teams and you can throw the rockies into the mix there as well. No lean here, although I wouldn't be surprised if this went under. Getting well given that he is 6-0 with the cards is not a bad idea either.

Marlins vs. Padres

I think the Padres surprised some folks with wells pitching as well as he did yeserday as I write this they are up 3-0 late in the ballgame. Florida is now 6 games below .500 pending this game, which could make it 7 and they have lost their last 6/8 which could be 7/9 after tonight. They are not playing well right now. Pads have won 4/5 going into this game, and give them some credit, they find ways to win ballgames, although they are still highly unpredictable as well. They have played in 8/9 unders and tonight's game is likely to go under as well to make it 9/10. Marlins have won olsen's last 2 starts but he was hit hard by the pirates but held the padres to 1 run in his last start going down 1-3 to peavy. He gave up 1 run to them last year as well. Maddux has given up 6 runs in his last 3 starts and 3 runs to the marlins earlier this year although the final score of that game was 4-5. Given olsen's success against the pads, and the pads playing lots of unders, lean on the under here.

Braves vs. Dodgers

Currently, last night's matchup between lowe/smoltz is in fact, turning into a pitcher's duel. Braves had won 5 in a row before losing their last game to the marlins and their game tonight is pending. They had played in 4 straight unders although tonight, they are going to the under. Dodgers are exchanging wins/losses of late. Davies has lost his last 4 straight but did beat wolf in a no-decison 6-4 last time out as he gave up 4 runs. Wolf's averaging around 3-4 runs every 5 innings or so and honestly this game is a tossup, so the value here is on the braves and davies. Wolf has been giving up a little more than a hit an inning so I think 8.5 is fairly low considering both teams come off some tough pitchers yesterday and they can get some pitches to hit today. Lean on the over.

Indians vs. Tigers

This is going to be a great series as both of these teams vie for their top spots in the divison. Indians have won 5 straight coming in has lost 4/6 after they were on a huge win streak. Detroit has also dipped below the 6 run per game average for the first time in quite some time. Last time these 2 pitchers hooked up 11 runs were scored and byrd has given up at least 10 hits in 4/5 his last starts. However, he has managed to go under in 4/5. Robertson is 0-3 in his last 4 starts with the tigers but came back strong against texas after a tough outing, but the tigers still managed to goof up that game late as well due to their fab bullpen. If anything, a lean on the over, but likely to be a fan here for this game.

Twins vs. Yankees

Twins have dropped their last 2 but they are still hot when compared to their results their last few weeks. Yankees finally took a game down with clemens on the hill as he managed to win with on the r-line. Silva has won back to back starts and he is good on the bounce-back going 2,1,7,0,4,1,5 with respect to earned runs of late and wang is 5-1 in his last 7 starts. Decent value here with the twins, but I think the yanks win with wang on the mound as I think this is going to be a 6-4 or a 5-6 type of game.

Devil Rays vs. Red Sox

Tampa has now lost 8 straight and facing dice-k probably will not make it any easier in picking up a win. Boston has now played in 5 straight unders. Dice is getting it together as he has played in 5 straight unders and given up 6 runs in his last 5 starts. Lean on the red sox run-line here given how well dice k has been playing, but tough to pull the trigger as the sox aren't putting up too many runs on the board right now.

Mariners vs. Royals

3-2 ballgame as the royals upset the mariners as gil meche gives credence to the theory, you can't beat a pitcher or a team 3 times. Seattle has still won 8/9 and the royals have won 6/8 as they have the same number of wins as the white sox this year. You would think fei is a bad pitcher given his numbers, but he gave up 4,4,9 earned runs only to give up none to the red sox getting a no-decision in a ballgame that ended 0-1. De La Rossa is an odd character. He has a 6.34 ERA at home, lost to the m's earlier this year giving up 5 runs in just over 6 inns, and has given up 13 hits, 13 hits and 10 hits in his last 3 starts, and 7,7,0 runs in his last 3 starts, as he someone managed to throw a shutout against the angels who got 10 hits in 6 innings but coudn't drive a single run. Lol, unreal. Very tempted to pull the trigger on the M's at +100 on the bounce-back here given how much de la rossa has struggled with giving up hits of late but just not too sure about Feierabend.

Orioles vs. White Sox

Talk about a collapse by the white sox against the o's for the o's to end up winning that game. O's have won 8 of their last 12 as they continue to do well under their interim manager and actually have the same number of wins as the white sox. Cabrera is as unpredictable as it comes as his er's give a perfect example of that: 5,4,3,4,7,5,1. He is 5-1-1 to the over in his last 7. Vasquez picked up a win against tampa bay and has pitched solid in his last 2 starts giving up 1 run each time - and one of those starts was against a cubs team that was hot. Lean on the pale hose here given vasquez pitching well of late and looking to bounce-back from a terrible collapse late.

Angels vs. Rangers

Trap? First thing that comes to mind seeing this line and who is the headliner starters. Angels continue their road trip here as they took 2/3 from baltimore but it was a hard fought 2/3. Texas is 11-6 of late and has been playing better now than most of the season. Their pitching has also shored up as they have played in 5 straight unders. Santana's 2 results against the rangers are a 5-3 win and 6-7 loss this year. He has gotten hit for 9 hits in both of his last 2 starts by the astros and royals so the rangers should be able to get some runs here. Millwood has had 2 rough go's at it against the angels this season, once not even lasting into the 2nd inning, losing 1-4 and 2-7. This could turn out to be a slugfest given both pitcher's prior track records. Lean on the over.

Blue jays vs. A's

Jays had lost 4 straight before finally jumping out on Dinardo last night. They had only scored 7 runs in their last 3 games before their offensive burst yesterday. Litsch has over a 7 ERA which ofcoure means he will pitch like an all-star tomorrow. His recent start against the yankees he didn't even make it out of the first inning compiling an era over 60 for that start. Blanton has pitched in 5/6 unders and the a's should bounce-back nicely as he has given up 8 runs in his last 6 starts. Lean on the a's or the a's run-line in this game although the over is not too far out of reach given the a's should get their runs and the jays have a capable offense.


WNBA Research:

SA vs. Washington

Becky Harmon and Ruth Riley are both listed as doubtful for this game. Of course, Hammon essentially runs this team so those are both big losses for the stars. However, this means nothing as the stars beat the best team in the league in the shock - on the road - without either of those players. go figure. Washington has played in back to back unders after playing in 5 overs. They faced 2 defensive teams and struggled to put up 70. Lean on the under here.

Lynx vs. Mercury

Last time these 2 teams met, the lynx actually upset the mercury on the road as 175 points were scored. The total here resides at at 168. It will be tough to score this track meet at the Lynx place as the last 3 in minny have gone under as your essentially forcing both teams to put up 84 points a peice. Lean on the under here but also a lean on the lynx here as well but more of a lean on the under.

Sparks vs. Storm

The Storm won by 12 last time out at L.A. and now find themselves a 11 point favorite in some places after a 9.5 opening. That is a lot of points, but didn't seem to both this team when they blew out the liberty at home by 31. Los Angeles has lost 3/4 straight up and ats while seattle has won 3 of their last 4 su and ats. The storm are a different beast at home except againt the shock at home, but have covered their last 4 straight. Lean on the storm as well as the under here as I don't think the sparks are going to score too many points here.



Leans that are 58% significant on the card:

Brewers
Dodgers/Braves Over
Cubs Run-Line
Stros/Phillies Over
Pads/Marlins Under
Mariners
White Sox
Angels/Rangers Over
A's/A's Run-Line


Monarchs/Mystics under
Storm
Lynx/Mercury Under
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__________________
Indiancowboy
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Hot-Locks $port$ Investments:
Games rated 1-5 units, 5 highest:

Cleveland +1216:05 pm
4 units!

We are not huge Paul Byrd fans but he has done well against this tiger lineup. Detroit is 1-7 in Nate's last 8 starts against the Tribe and he is sporting a 9.28 ERA L 3 starts. Detroit has stubbed their toe lately as they trail the Indians by 2 games in the AL central. Detroit is 6-4 L 10 while Cleveland is 8-2 and have won 5 straight. We will take the small road dog here.


Seattle/KC OVER 107:10 pm
3 units!

Both Pitchers are 4-2 to the OVER L 6 starts and are carrying in huge ERA's. KC is off yesterday's 3-2 win and we see the fireworks going today. Vs Lefties the Royals are 6-16 while Seattle is 15-6. We will take the OVER

LAA/Texas UNDER 10.5
7:35 pm
3 units!

What can we say, both these pitchers have big ERA's which leads to many taking the OVER! Both offenses have been hot as well. We are taking the UNDER here: Millwood's L 2 starts against Texas have gone under while Santana has split going 1-1. We have said it before, these two pitchers are NOT this bad and these things do level out. We thing so right here in this spot! We are taking the under 10.5. Call it more of a hunch but we smell an UNDER!
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Master Sports

5* La Angels

Master Sports

5* La Angels
4* A's
3* Marlins OVER
3* Indians

Brandon Lang

15 Dime
Rockies

5 Dime
Cubs -1.5 runs
A's -1.5 runs

Bonus Play Texas/LAA Over

BB i want to thank you for all the hardwork you have put in this season.. you are a good influence to everyone here.. keep up the good work, thank you once again

Thanks nikeaix,

Thanks goes out to all that help and I hope we can all win some money.

GL,

BB

Gator Report

MLB (Tuesday): Play Against MLB (AL) teams who average <=4.2 runs per game facing a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.70 during the second half of the season.
(38-11 last 5 seasons.) (77.6%) PLAY: Baltimore +125


MLB (Tuesday): Play On MLB road favorites with a money line of -125 or more with a team who averages 0.9 or less homeruns per game on the year and coming in off a one run win.
(66-19 since 1997.) (77.6%) PLAY: Los Angeles Angels -135
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Does anyone have cannon?

Or Karl Garretts 40 dimer... Wayne Root please....

BLACK MAGIC SPORTS
JOHN MARTIN

5 Unit Black Magic NL Mismatch of the Month on Colorado -128

(Listing Cook and Vargas)

Colorado will roll tonight with Aaron Cook on the mound. Jason Vargas has just pitched in 1 games this season and will not be ready for this dangerous Rockies' line-up. Colorado is hitting .280 at home. The Rockies have won their last 2 meetings with New York 11-6 and 6-2 respectively. Aaron Cook pitched a gem earlier this year as he gave up 6 hits in 7 innings of work and didn't allow a run. Look for similar success tonight when he takes the hill. Colorado has come to play against the toughest opponents in all of baseball recently. The Rockies are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. Cash in with Colorado today.

3 Unit Sharp Play on Tampa Bay +180

(Listing Kazmir)

Tampa Bay gives this Red Sox team fits, especially with Scott Kazmir on the mound. Kazmir is Tampa Bay's best starter and won a 3-0 pitcher's duel over Josh Beckett in his last start against Boston. The Devil Rays are 6-3 in their last 9 meetings with Boston, so you can see why they are getting unbelievable value for us today. The Devil Rays are 6-0 in Kazmir's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Devil Rays are 8-1 in Kazmir's last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. This 14-1 System favoring Kazmir looks great on paper and will also look great in your pockets as +180 dogs today. The Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games against a left-handed starter also. Cash in with Tampa Bay.

3 Unit Sharp Play on Florida +138
(Listing Olsen)

We will take Florida and their young, dangerous hitters to beat Greg Maddux and the Padres today. Florida is hitting .271 on the road while San Diego is hitting just .231 at home. The Padres are hitting only .212 over their last 10 games. The Marlins are 11-4 in their last 15 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Marlins are 4-1 in Olsen's last 5 starts as well. The Padres are just 3-7 in their last 10 home games. The Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 Tuesday games. Cash in with Florida.


Bob Balfe
YTD = 78-66

MLB
Minnesota +180
-----------------------------------
Panhandle Sports
YTD = 62-33

MLB
NY Mets Over 10.5 +100
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Lovell Ariz,Atl.,Fl, all 5*,

Leiner 25* Over 9 Min/NYY, 5* Mets

Untouchable Dime Players
White Sox for 1 unit
La Angels Under 10.5 for 1 unit
MLB = 15-8 (+11.70 units)

Fast Eddie
Cleveland for 5 units (comp)
MLB = 217-235 (-76.60 units)

Dr G Spot
Cincy for 5 units (comp)
MLB = 310-279 (-165.70 units)

Dr G also released 8 other picks today. Absolutely ridiculous!
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Scott Rickenbach
Record Since Sunday 2-5

July 3 Plays
Mets Over
Seattle Over
Rangers Over

FPBE Free Picks <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Marc Lawrence - CHW -130
Ethan Law - TB +185
Matty O'Shea - LAD -147
Ben Burns - SEA/KC over 10.5
Rocky Atkinson - BOS -1.5, -105
Bryan Leonard - BAL/CHW over 8.5
Jeff Bonds - LAA/TEX over 10.5
Greg Shaker - TEX +114
Larry Ness - LAA/TEX over 10.5
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Great Lakes Sports...4* White Soxs
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Tuesday July 3, 2007
Eddie McKinney
Fast Eddie Sports

MLB

10* $200 TOP Play -

Cleveland Indians + 120
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Tampa Bay @ Boston 7:05 PM EST
Play On: 1* Boston -1 1/2 +105 (Kazmir/Matsuzak) Listed

Boston is 27-6 last 3 years as a home favorite of -175 to -200 including 7-1 this year. Tampa Bay is 0-8 their last 8 games overall. Tampa Bay is scoring only 4.5 rpg against Righty Starters this year. Tampa Bay bullpen is very poor with a 5.81 ERA overall and a 7.04 ERA on the road this year. On the other hand, Boston bullpen has been very good with a 2.87 ERA overall and a 3.49 ERA at home this season. Matsuzak has a 3.80 ERA overall this year and he is 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA his last 3 starts. Boston is 16-3 at home vs Tampa Bay last 3 years. We'll recommend a small play on Boston on the Runline to blow out Tampa Bay tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Rocketman Sports


C-Star Sports
MLB
1 Unit
White Sox -130
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Prime Sports Picks
*** TUESDAY'S Bonus Play: Oakland (Blanton) -155
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Tuesday

3* on Kansas City -109

(Action)



The Royals have been playing their best ball of the season. They are 6-2 in their last 8 games after picking up a nice home win over Seattle last night. Ryan Fejerabend is 1-2 with a 6.46 ERA as a starter for the Mariners. The Mariners are 0-6 in their last 6 road games and 0-6 in their last 6 road games against a team with a losing record. The Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West. The Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. We are getting the right value on Kansas City here. Bet the Royals.


OTM
Angels

Computer Boys
Astros

Kevin Kennedy
Oakland
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Winner Line
Dodgers
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Brian James

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Free Pick for Tuesday, July 3rd:

Florida Marlins -130

This game poses a great situational trend that has cashed in at a rate of 74.5% winners over the last 10 years! Play against home teams with a money line of -100 to -150, the Padres, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games. It is getting to the point in the year when Maddux will start to get tired and you can expect to see the losses start rolling in. This happened when he came back and pitched for the Cubs going 7-0 then droping 7 straight games. This year Maddux has been off to a stellar season, however the trends and statistics don't lie and they certainly don't favor a pitcher of his age with as many pitches as he has this season this late in the year. This dog has great value and I expect to see the Padres give up big runs early.

Culver baseball Tuesday (7/3/07) Part I

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Pirates +135