early ness

Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness

Game: Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees Jul 4 2007 1:05PM
Prediction: Minnesota Twins
Reason: Mike Mussina and Johan Santana square off this afternoon at Yankee Stadium. Mussina (4-5, 4.63 ERA) is 10-0 with a 2.82 ERA in 13 home starts against the Twins. He's 20-5 with a 3.14 ERA in 29 career starts against them BUT he's 0-3 with a 5.84 ERA in his last five. He's also lost two playoff starts while opposing Santana. Santana is a modest 2-0 with a 2.49 ERA in four starts against the Yankees, not including his 1-1 mark with a 3.20 ERA in four playoff outings. However, Santana is putting together his best stretch of the season, going 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in his last four outings (team is 4-0). Santana has won three straight starts on the road, where he's 6-2 in nine starts with a 1.77 ERA, the second-best mark in the AL. Mussina has also pitched well lately, going 2-2 with a 2.56 ERA in his last five starts. However, the team is minus-$751 in his starts in 2007, ranking him 229th among 236 starting pitchers. While admittedly most of New York's trouble vs left-handers has come away from Yankee Stadium, the fact remains that the Yankees are 9-13 (minus-$1,060) vs lefties this season and in Santana, face MLB's best left-hander! Daytime Delight on the Min Twins.

rza said:

Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness

Game: Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees Jul 4 2007 1:05PM
Prediction: Minnesota Twins
Reason: Mike Mussina and Johan Santana square off this afternoon at Yankee Stadium. Mussina (4-5, 4.63 ERA) is 10-0 with a 2.82 ERA in 13 home starts against the Twins. He's 20-5 with a 3.14 ERA in 29 career starts against them BUT he's 0-3 with a 5.84 ERA in his last five. He's also lost two playoff starts while opposing Santana. Santana is a modest 2-0 with a 2.49 ERA in four starts against the Yankees, not including his 1-1 mark with a 3.20 ERA in four playoff outings. However, Santana is putting together his best stretch of the season, going 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in his last four outings (team is 4-0). Santana has won three straight starts on the road, where he's 6-2 in nine starts with a 1.77 ERA, the second-best mark in the AL. Mussina has also pitched well lately, going 2-2 with a 2.56 ERA in his last five starts. However, the team is minus-$751 in his starts in 2007, ranking him 229th among 236 starting pitchers. While admittedly most of New York's trouble vs left-handers has come away from Yankee Stadium, the fact remains that the Yankees are 9-13 (minus-$1,060) vs lefties this season and in Santana, face MLB's best left-hander! Daytime Delight on the Min Twins.

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Larry Ness

Weekly Wipeout Winner (13-4 run since May 6!)

My Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Det Tigers at 7:05 ET.

The Indians (51-32) have won six straight and extended their lead over the Tigers in the AL Central to three games Tuesday with a 5-4 win in 11 innings. However, Cleveland will have to get past Kenny Rogers tonight. The Tigers went 24-9 in Rogers' regular season starts last year and at plus-$1,363, Rogers was the third-biggest 'moneymaker' among starters in 2006. Rogers then went 3-0 in the postseason, without allowing a run! Rogers already appears to be in midseason form after missing three months following the removal of a blood clot in his throwing shoulder. He had off-season surgery but the 42-year-old has shown no signs of wear in winning his first two starts, conceding just one run and six hits in 12 innings while walking only one batter (0.75 ERA). Cleveland will counter with Jake Westbrook. Westbrook has made just four road starts this year, posting an ERA of 9.15. In three starts vs Detroit in '06, Westbrook allowed 28 hits and 17 ERs in 18.1 innings for an 8.35 ERA. Cleveland's winning streak gets snapped tonight.


Weekly Wipeout Winner
Detroit Tigers