Thursday Service Plays (7/5/07)

Larry Ness

Larry Ness' Daytime Delight-Early start (3-0 Weds now 134-65 TY!)
My Daytime Delight is on the Mil Brewers at 12:35 ET. The Brewers won the first game of this four-game set with the Pirates (10-3) but then dropped the next two (6-2 and 5-3). That's actually not new, as Milwaukee is just 13-39 in PNC Park since it opened in 2001, including losses in 11 of its last 15 visits. Meanwhile, the Pirates have now won six of their last nine games after a five-game losing streak. Still, I'll back the first-place Brewers in this one with Sheets facing Gorzelanny. Sheets won 7-1 on Opening Day but then went a four-start stretch without winning (team was 0-4). Since then however, he's 9-1 with a 2.70 ERA over his last 12 starts (team is 10-2), including a 6-0 run over his last seven (team is 7-0). As for Gorzelanny (a lefty), he is 8-4 with a 3.05 ERA in 17 starts this season. However, the Pirates are 0-5 in his five no-decisions, leaving the team just 8-9 on the year with him on the mound. In six June starts, he's 2-1 with a 4.24 ERA but the team is only 2-4 in the six games. Milwaukee is 18-11 (plus-$575) vs left-handers this year (averaging 5.4 RPG), while the Pirates have not done well in day games in '07, going 7-13 (minus-$460). Afternoon Delight on the Mil Brewers.

Good Luck...Larry

Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider (17-6 or 74% winners since May 21!)
My Las Vegas Insider is on the LA Dodgers at 10:10 ET. LA's 5-2 loss last night to the Braves coupled with the Padres' 1-0 win over the Marlins, saw the Dodgers fall one game behind SD in the NL West. The Dodgers will turn to staff ace Brad Penny to get back on track tonight. Penny started last year's All Star game, as he finished the first half of the '06 season with a 10-2 record and a 2.91 ERA. He's been better than that this year, as he enters his final start before the break at 10-1 with a 2.00 ERA (tied with Chris Young for MLB's best!). He's 4-0 in nine home starts (team is 7-2) with a 1.37 ERA. LA is 14-3 in his 17 starts this year and at plus-$1,020, he's MLB's biggest moneymaker. It should also be noted that Penny allowed eight of his 25 ERs this year in one start (at the Angels), meaning in his 16 other starts in 2007, his ERA is 1.42! Tim Hudson has not been the pitcher for Atlanta that he was with the Oakland A's From 1999-2004. Hudson went 92-39 (.702) in those years but in '05 and '06 with the Braves, he's gone just 27-21 (.563), including a career-high ERA of 4.86 in the '06 season. He's gone 8-5 with a 3.18 ERA in 18 starts this year (team is 11-7) and is 5-1 with a 3.27 ERA in eight career starts against the Dodgers but he's no match for Penny here. Las Vegas Insider on the LA Dodgers.

Good Luck...Larry

Larry Ness' Terrific Thursday Total-Day game (16-4 or 80% winners TY!)
My Terrific Thursday Total is on Cle/Det Over at 1:05 ET. Two All Star pitchers meet this afternoon in Detroit, as the Indians' CC Sabathia squares off against the Tigers' Justin Verlander. However, expect this game to top double digits in runs scored. Sabathia (12-2, 3.20 ERA) leads the majors in victories and innings pitched (129.1), plus has won each of his last three starts. He is 12-7 with a 4.14 ERA in 22 career starts against the Tigers and has won both of his outings against them this season despite allowing eight runs in 14.1 innings (5.02 ERA). Both of those starts came against Verlander (9-3, 3.18), who has allowed nine runs in 11 innings against the Indians this season while going 0-1. He is 2-3 with a 5.97 ERA in six career starts against them. Verlander is coming off a rough outing last Friday in which he allowed six runs in five innings of an 11-1 loss to Johan Santana and the Twins. These are two high scoring teams, with the Indians averaging 5.39 RPG and The Tigers getting 5.88 per. Detroit has also been great vs lefties in '07, going 16-7 (plus-$930), while averaging 6.4 RPG. In five daytime games against a left-handed starter, the Tigers have scored 39 runs, an average of 7.8 RPG. Terrific Thursday Total on Cle/Det Over.

Good Luck...Larry

charlie

<!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> lost his top play again on san diego over.

thursday july 5, 2007

mlb. la angels @ texas over 10' runs (500*)

mlb. white sox-115 (30*)

mlb. atlanta+120 (20*)

mlb. cincinnati-130 (20*)

mlb. detroit-110 (10*)

mlb. st.louis-125 (10*) Bonus Play


EZ Winners

He added a late play on LA under last night and I was not able to post it but he had a great day on Wednesday.

These are Thursday's plays.....


3 STAR: (951) MILWAUKEE (-$127) over Pittsburgh
(Listing Sheets only)
(Risking $381 to win $300)

3 STAR: (961) NY METS (-$113) over Houston
(Listing Maine and Jennings)
(Risking $339 to win $300)

1 STAR: (953) FLORIDA (+$220) over San Diego
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $220)


Gator's MLB 70% Situational Report:

MLB (Thursday): Play On MLB favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better this season and starting a pitcher who gave up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 starts.
(16-4 this season) (80%) PLAY: Los Angeles Dodgers -140


Trev Rogers
July 5, 2007

47-34-1 Last 43 days
86-55-3 Last 144 selections

1. Twins vs. Yankees Over 10.5
2. LA Dodgers -136 @ BetJamaica
3. Angels vs. Rangers Under 10.5 @ BetUS


Thursday's Comps

<!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> Sebastian-OVER Arizona
Jack Maxwell(House Coffee)-Oakland
Winner Line-Dodgers
Computer Boys-Mets
OTM-OVER Dodgers
Kevin Kennedy-Oakland


CAPPERSACCESS

(Thur) MLB Cubs Nationals 130 Cubs
(Thur) MLB Yankees Twins 155 Twins


Bobby Maxwell

N.Y. Mets (-120) at HOUSTON

New York finished June by winning eight of nine but have been outscored 39-15 in the first four games of July during a four-game losing streak. Both the Mets and Astros got beat easily on Wednesday with New York falling to The Rockies 17-7 and the Astros losing to the Phillies 8-3.
The Mets' John Maine (9-4, 2.74 ERA) is on the mound today and you know he's going to want a dominating outing after getting left off the NL All-Star team. He held the Phillies to one run on four his in eight innings of a 5-2 win Friday and has a 1.61 ERA in his last three outings.
Against the Astros Maine is 2-0 and has allowed just two runs on six hits in 15 1/3 innings against Houston.
Jason Jennings (1-3, 3.69) starts for the Astros and is coming off back-to-back losses.
Maine is pitching angry and wants to shut down the Astros in this one - and he will. Play New York in this matchup.

3? N.Y. METS




Michael Cannon

Milwaukee (-125) at PITTSBURGH

Take the Brewers this afternoon at PNC Park for the win.
Milwaukee will turn to Ben Sheets in an attempt to salvage a split of their four-game series with the Bucs.
Sheets has been the true ace of the Brewers staff this year, going 10-3 with a 3.19 ERA. The right-hander is 9-1 with a 2.70 ERA in 11 starts since May 1 and has won six straight decisions. He is also 3-1 with a 1.83 ERA in his last six starts against Pittsburgh.
The Pirates have turned it around a bit lately, but I don't think they have what it takes to grab the win today against Sheets.
Take Milwaukee for the road win this afternoon.

3? MILWAUKEE


Dave Cokin

Take "(967) MIN Twins"

Injuries, shaky starting pitching, an overworked bullpen and frequently uninspired play have come together to render the Yankees as a monster underachiever this season. Yet they keep on laying the big prices, even when a really mediocre guy like Kei Igawa takes the hill. The NY offense should do its share of damage against Minnesota's Kevin Slowey, who has great control but average command. But the thought of taking generous odds against Igawa is the overriding factor that gets me to the Twins side here.


Jim Feist

Take "Over"

JP Howell looking for his first road win of the season will have a tough time going against one of the best in baseball this season, Josh Beckett. The D'Rays have lost the last five starts that Howell has made. And, to make matters worse, Howell is 0-3 on the road with a 9.21 ERA. Beckett is 11-2 this year for the Red Sox and his ERA is a respectable 3.38. However, Beckett's ERA is 4.67 and both of his losses have come at home this year. Beckett is coming off his worst outing of the season last weeek when he went just five innings against Texas and gave up 10 hits and five earned runs in the loss. Sox should have little trouble figuring out Howell and with a shaky bullpen, we wouldn't be surprised if the Red Sox almost got this game over by themselves.

Tony Onio

<TABLE id=HB_Mail_Container height="100%" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0 UNSELECTABLE="on"><TBODY><TR height="100%" UNSELECTABLE="on" width="100%"><TD id=HB_Focus_Element vAlign=top width="100%" background="" height=250 UNSELECTABLE="off">1500♦ LINEMAKERS ERROR HOMERUN - DODGERS

500♦CUBS
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Rocky Atkinson Comp

Tampa Bay @ Boston 7:05 PM EST
Play On: 1* Boston -1 1/2 -110 (Howell/Beckett) Listed
Boston is 8-1 this year when playing on Thursday. Boston is 41-11 since 1997 as a home favorite of -225 to -250. Tampa Bay has lost 10 in a row. Tampa Bay is scoring only 4.5 rpg against Righty Starters this year. Tampa Bay bullpen has a 5.70 ERA overall and a 6.71 ERA on the road this year. Boston bullpen has a 2.90 ERA overall and a 3.53 ERA at home this season. Howell is 0-1 with a 9.21 ERA on the road this year and 0-1 with a 7.37 ERA his last 3 starts. Beckett is 11-2 with a 3.37 ERA overall this year 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA his last 3 starts. Boston is 18-3 at home vs Tampa Bay last 3 years. Howell has a 7.71 ERA overall vs Boston since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Boston on the Runline tonight. Thanks and good luck, Rocky




WUNDERDOG COMP MLB PICK
Game: Minnesota at New York Yankees (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Minnesota +144

You won't find many teams under .500 as we approach the All-Star break with their worst pitcher on the mound favored by this much. That is, unless your the NY Yankees. Kei Igawa has not been anything like a pitcher that cost over 40 million dollars, as he has given up 11 HR's in just 41 innings and his 20 BB's ensures plenty of men on base, which are all part of his 7 ERA. Kevin Slowey hasn't exactly pitched well either, but the Twins are 5-1 in his starts, and in no game has he allowed more than four runs. This is a bullpen game and the Twins have the advantage there as well. The Yankee bats have struggled, and that has left them in their latest in a long season of slides, and the Twins will close this one out with the win.
_________________



Alex Smart
Game: Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Jul 5 2007 12:35PM
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers
Reason: Ace hurler Ben Sheets goes to the hill today for the visiting Milwaukee Brewers , against the Pittsburgh Pirates, trying to end his teams two game losing streak. Actually the Brew crew have a recent history of poor efforts against the Bucks losing 11 of the L/15 meetings in this series in Pittsburgh, so stopping the bleeding will not come easy. But with starter Sheets in red hot form as is evident by a 9-1 record and a stingy 2.70 ERA in his L/11 starts, I think Milwaukee will get the proverbial monkey off their backs and notch the much needed victory. Final notes & Key Trends: Sheets is 3-1 along while garnering a tight 1.83 ERA in his L6 starts vs the Pirates. Grozelanny the Bucks starter has seen his team go just 1-5 L/6 against the moneyline as underdogs, when he takes to the hill. Play on the Milwaukee




JEFF ALEXANDER
St. Louis -123 (listing Davis and Wainwright)

Davis is 1-11 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. He is just 4-20 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game since 1997. He is just 2-7 in road starts this season. Davis is clearly a weak spot in this staff. Take the Cards.

Ben Burns

Game: Montreal Alouettes at Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Jul 5 2007 8:00PM

Prediction: Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Reason:
It's never wise to read too much into one game but last week's home loss to Saskatchewan showed that Montreal has some serious issues. While the revamped defense played reasonably well, the offense was ineffective. Quarterback Anthony Calvillo had three interceptions and no touchdowns. In fact, with the exception of a "single" on a missed field goal, all of Montreal?s points came off conceded safeties by the Roughriders. The offense is bound to be somewhat better this week. However, will it really improve enough to match points with a Blue Bombers' offense which scored 39 points on the road last week? Winnipeg running back Charles Roberts had four rushing touchdowns last week and receiver Milt Stegall will surely break the record and officially become the CFL?s all-time touchdown king. Stegall currently is tied for the All-Time lead in touchdowns with 137. In addition to having home field advantage, the Bombers have had an extra day of preparation time as they played last Thursday while Montreal played on Friday. This is a chance for the Bombers to put some distance between themselves and their guests. They should be able to seize the opportunity with a win and cover. Consider a play on WINNIPEG

Jimmy The Moose

Game: Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics
Jul 5 2007 10:05PM

Prediction: Oakland Athletics

Reason: Seattle has lost 7 of their kast 8 road games. The Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 as a road underdog. Tonight Batista takes the mound vs. an A's team he's struggled vs. In his last 6 starts vs. Oaklnad his team's record is 2-4. The A's are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. teams with winning records. The A's are 9-2 in Gaudin's last 11 starts. Oakland is 4-1 in his last 5 home starts. In his last 7 games as a home favorite the A's are 5-2. In the last 52 meetings overall between the clubs the Mariners are 18-34. The A's are 23-8 vs. Seattle in their last 31 meetings in Oakland. Play on the A's -.


JOHN ANTHONY

MLB San Francisco vs. Cincinnati

Take Over

The Giants are feating on Reds pitching are have gone over in their last three. Everyone feasts on Cinn pitching (6.9 rpg, .298 L7) and the Reds have avgd 5.9 rpg themselves in L7. SF starter Matt Morris has given up 37 baserunners with 7.02 ERA in his L15+ innings. The Reds Bronson Arroyo is 0-7 with 8.10 ERA in his L10 starts. A numbers play that makes sense.


jeff allen
Arizona vs. Saint Louis []
Take Saint Louis Cardinals
Arizona has been a pretty good road team but is a solid go against here. Here\'s why. The Cards are 9-2 when they give LY\'s closer and WS hero Adam Wainright 3+ runs of support. They figure to get that and more here. Doug Davis is 1-1 with 7.31 ERA in L3 and has allowed 93 baserunners in 53 innings on the road. Wainright\'s overall numbers are not much but if he keeps this manageable the Card bats will do their damage ...... St Louis

dennis macklin
Chicago (N) vs. Washington []
Take Chicago (N) Cubs
The Cubs had won 10 of 11 before getting whitewashed by Matt Chico last night. No big deal, right back with the Blue Bears tonight with Sean Marshall. The Cubs have won six of his last seven starts and the southpaw has a nifty 2.70 ERA in his five road starts. Jason Bergman deserves better than his 1-5 with 3.47 ERA. That number is somewhat deceiving though as he is 0-2 with 7.88 ERA in two starts off the DL. The Nats just don't hit and prior to last night's 6-0 win had scored three or less runs in ten straight games while batting .201 in previous seven. The Nats are unbievable 5-21 this year in games where posted total opened 8 or 8.5 and just 1-5 versus the Northsiders this year. Take the Cubs.

underdog sports
MLB Montreal vs. Winnipeg []

Take Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Take the Bombers at home

ROCCO SPACAMURO
100* BREWERS -124

hot tipper
BEL / RACE 9 Lhotse Quality / Tobruk*
HOL / RACE 1 Warren's Appeal / Catinthepinkhat (MEX)

ROBERT ROSS
Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals
Thursday, July 5th, 7:05 P.M. EST EST

Coming back with the Cubs in this spot after they lost yesterday to a bad Washington team by six runs.wiseguysportsforum It was only the Cubs second loss in their last dozen games while the Nats won for just the second time in nine. The CUBS are also 11-1 against the money line in road games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons while WASHINGTON is 4-18 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Good Luck. - Robert Ross

KingKongPicks Milwaukee Brewers/B Sheets R at Pittsburgh Pirates/T Gorzelanny L money line Milwaukee Brewers 5

Sportslynx.com-Jim Simpson 1:05:00 PM Minnesota Twins/K Slowey R at New York Yankees/K Igawa L run line Minnesota Twins/none +1.5 5

Winning Angle Sports MLB 7/5/2007 at 3:35:00 PM Florida Marlins/B H Kim R at San Diego Padres/J Peavy R money line San Diego Padres 5

Mensapicks MLB 7/5/2007 at 7:05:00 PM Chicago Cubs/S Marshall L at Washington Nationals/J Bergmann R money line Chicago Cubs 5

HarvestPicks.com MLB 7/5/2007 at 7:10:00 PM San Francisco Giants/M Morris R at Cincinnati Reds/B Arroyo R overunder San Francisco Giants/Cincinnati Reds u10 5

Hot-Locks.com MLB 7/5/2007 at 7:15:00 PM Arizona Diamondbacks/D Davis L at St Louis Cardinals/A Wainwright R money line St Louis Cardinals 3

Global Handicapping MLB 7/5/2007 at 8:05:00 PM New York Mets/J Maine R at Houston Astros/J Jennings R money line New York Mets 5

JerseySteveWins.com MLB 7/5/2007 at 8:10:00 PM Baltimore Orioles/B Burres L at Chicago White Sox/J Danks L money line Chicago White Sox 5

MustWinSportsPicks.com MLB 7/5/2007 at 10:05:00 PM Seattle Mariners/M Batista R at Oakland Athletics/C Gaudin R money line Seattle Mariners 5

INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
Cleveland/Detroit (MLB) UNDER 8

Wise Owl Syndicate- Brewers

Straley Group - Angels Over 10.5

LOCKSMITH SPORTS
LA Angels -158 (listing Escobar)

Plays against home underdogs with losing records with a money line of +125 to +175 after having won 4 of their last 5 games are 138-56 (71.1%) over the last 10 seasons. The Angels are 11-4 against the ML in Escobar's 15 starts this season and he is a very strong 3-1 in his road starts. We'll back this system and the better pitcher in this matchup tonight.

Mike Rose

Chicago Cubs (-130)
Thu Jul 5 '07 7:05p

The Cubbies were served up a cold dish of revenge yesterday afternoon, as Chico and the Nats blanked the visitors by a 6-0 final count. Nats pitching combined for a five-hitter, and lone Nats All Star representative Dmitri Young clubbed a grand salami that put the game away early. It was great to be a Washington fan on the 4th, but I foresee it being a completely different story tonight when Sean Marshall takes the bump for the Cubbies. With a series win in their sights, I expect the Cubs to pounce on this opportunity to get a couple more games over the Mendoza line and take it to the much lesser Nats. Since coming off the DL, Jason Bergmann has lost both of his starts, and is coming off one of his worst performances of the season when he allowed the Pittsburgh Pirates to clobber him for 8 hits and 6 ER's in only four innings of work. The Cubs prefer right-handed pitching, and that's exactly what they'll get tonight as they look to improve their mark against the Nats to 6-1 this season. Washington's pretty much allergic to southpaws (save for Rich Hill), and Marshall's been one of the Cubs better road pitchers this season (3-1). Chicago just can't allow teams like the Nats to split series' against them the rest of this season if they're serious about getting back in the NL Central race. Look for "Sweet Lou's" men to come out hungry tonight after getting thoroughly embarrassed yesterday afternoon.


BIG AL
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees (MLB) - Jul 5, 2007 1:05 PM EDT

Now that it is pretty clear that Roger Clemens won't be the Yankees' savior this season, it will be interesting to see what moves, if any, the Yankees make in the coming weeks prior to the trade deadline. Will they try and bolster their pitching staff, or will they simply pack it in and focus on next year with some free agent signings during the off-season? They are after all, not getting any younger, and with age comes an increase of injuries, as the Bronx Bombers can certainly attest to. The vaunted Yankee offense is only a shell of what it has been in years past (including last season). In the recently concluded three game series against the A's, New York only scored a total of seven runs, and in the three game series before that (vs. the lowly Orioles) New York only managed ten runs total. Yankee starter Kei Igawa's numbers certainly are nothing to get excited about, but he is a lefthander, and Minnesota has had some real problems hitting against southpaws this season (.255 team BA). With yet another loss on Independence Day dropping their record to 39-42, the Yankees are in danger of heading into the All-Star break with a losing record for the first time since 1995. These two teams have only broken double-digit totals (i.e., greater than 9 runs) twice in the last nine times they've faced each other.

Take the 'under'. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISOR
Baltimore @ Chicago
Time : 8:10 PM EST
Pick: OVER 9

lockoftheday
mil. brewers

game day
Arizona @ St Louis
Pick: UNDER 9
Time: 7:15 PM EST

JEFF ALEXANDER
St. Louis -123 (listing Davis and Wainwright)

Davis is 1-11 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. He is just 4-20 against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game since 1997. He is just 2-7 in road starts this season. Davis is clearly a weak spot in this staff. Take the Cards.

VEGAS SPORTS INSIDER
NY Mets @ Houston
Picks: UNDER 9
Time: 8:10 PM EST

Tom Freese

Game: Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers
Jul 5 2007 8:35PM

Prediction: Los Angeles Angels

Reason: La Angels starter Kelvim Escobar has a 6 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 road starts. The Angels are 11-4 behind Escobar this year. Texas starter Robinson Tejeda is in terrible KW form with more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts. Tejeda has allowed 17 runs in his last 15.1 innings of work in his last 3 home starts. Play On La Angels - (Escobar vs. Tejeda)

WUNDERDOG
Game: Minnesota at New York Yankees (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Minnesota +144



You won't find many teams under .500 as we approach the All-Star break with their worst pitcher on the mound favored by this much. That is, unless your the NY Yankees. Kei Igawa has not been anything like a pitcher that cost over 40 million dollars, as he has given up 11 HR's in just 41 innings and his 20 BB's ensures plenty of men on base, which are all part of his 7 ERA. Kevin Slowey hasn't exactly pitched well either, but the Twins are 5-1 in his starts, and in no game has he allowed more than four runs. This is a bullpen game and the Twins have the advantage there as well. The Yankee bats have struggled, and that has left them in their latest in a long season of slides, and the Twins will close this one out with the win

priceless picks
san Francisco +111 (listing Morris and Arroyo)

This one has everything to do with the starting pitchers. The Reds are 4-13 against the ML in Arroyo's 17 starts this season. He has been at his worst at home evidenced by his 6.25 ERA. Morris is quietly having a good year with a 7-4 record and a 3.25 ERA. San Fran has dominated the Reds over the last 3 seasons winning 6 of 9 games at Cincinnati and 11 of 17 overall. The Giants take the rubber match tonight

Rocky Atkinson

Tampa Bay @ Boston 7:05 PM EST
Play On: 1* Boston -1 1/2 -110 (Howell/Beckett) Listed
Boston is 8-1 this year when playing on Thursday. Boston is 41-11 since 1997 as a home favorite of -225 to -250. Tampa Bay has lost 10 in a row. Tampa Bay is scoring only 4.5 rpg against Righty Starters this year. Tampa Bay bullpen has a 5.70 ERA overall and a 6.71 ERA on the road this year. Boston bullpen has a 2.90 ERA overall and a 3.53 ERA at home this season. Howell is 0-1 with a 9.21 ERA on the road this year and 0-1 with a 7.37 ERA his last 3 starts. Beckett is 11-2 with a 3.37 ERA overall this year 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA his last 3 starts. Boston is 18-3 at home vs Tampa Bay last 3 years. Howell has a 7.71 ERA overall vs Boston since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Boston on the Runline tonight. Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Culver baseball Thursday (7/5/07) Part I

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Pirates +116
Marlins +220
Indians +103

Root 7/5;

Chairman - Dodgers

Millionaire - Nationals

Thursday's Comps

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Sebastian-OVER Arizona
Jack Maxwell(House Coffee)-Oakland
Winner Line-Dodgers
Computer Boys-Mets
OTM-OVER Dodgers
Kevin Kennedy-Oakland

Dunkel Index

Today's MLB Picks

Milwaukee at Pittsburgh

The Brewers have dropped two straight in Pittsburgh and are now just 19-39 against the Pirates at PNC Park since it opened in 2001, including losing 11 of their last 15. Milwaukee will look to turn it around behind starter Ben Sheets, who has won six straight decisions for the first time since his rookie season. But as good as Sheets has been, he'll face a tough matchup against Tom Gorzelanny, who is 2-0 with a 3.10 ERA in his last three starts and handcuffed the Brew Crew in a 4-2 win back on May 3. Pittsburgh looks like a decent home underdog (+140) in this one according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored straight up by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+140). Here are all of today's games.
<TABLE cellSpacing=4 cellPadding=4 width=537><TBODY><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>THURSDAY, JULY 5
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 951-952: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Sheets) 15.828; Pittsburgh (Gorzelanny) 16.119
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+140); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 953-954: Florida at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Kim) 14.294; San Diego (Peavy) 17.617
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 3 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-260); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-260); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 955-956: Chicago Cubs at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Marshall) 15.665; Washington (Bergmann) 16.154
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+150); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 957-958: San Francisco at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Morris) 16.346; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.357
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2; 11
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-150); 10
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+150); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 959-960: Arizona at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Davis) 16.317; St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.474
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 961-962: NY Mets at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Maine) 16.609; Houston (Jennings) 14.663
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-120); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 963-964: Atlanta at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 15.887; LA Dodgers (Penny) 17.778
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-140); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 965-966: Cleveland at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sabathia) 16.723; Detroit (Verlander) 15.933
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+125); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 967-968: Minnesota at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 17.063; NY Yankees (Igawa) 15.987
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-155); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+155); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 969-970: Tampa Bay at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Howell) 13.817; Boston (Beckett) 18.024
Dunkel Line: Boston by 4; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-265); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-265); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 971-972: Baltimore at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Burres) 16.882; White Sox (Danks) 16.171
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+115); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 973-974: LA Angels at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Escobar) 16.503; Texas (Tejeda) 16.141
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-180); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-180); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 975-976: Seattle at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Batista) 17.373; Oakland (Gaudin) 15.403
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Oakland (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+150); Over</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

BIG AL'S AMERICAN LEAGUE GOW

At 8:35 pm, our American League Game of the Week is on the Los Angeles Angels with Kelvim Escobar over Texas. Escobar is having perhaps his best season, as he may be named to the All-Star team later today (if he wins the Fan vote), and he's won his last 3 decisions to move his record to 9-3 this year. Escobar didn't win his last start (against Baltimore on Friday), but he did enter that game with the 4th best earned run average in the American League. Escobar's mound opponent will be Robinson Tejeda, who looks to lead Texas to its 11th win in its last 15 games. But that will be difficult, as Tejeda has a 6.69 ERA this season, and has lasted more than 4 innings in just one of his last 4 starts (while giving up at least 4 runs in all 4 of those outings). Texas is a dreadful 13-32 as a home dog over the last two years. Take the Angels. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. And don't miss my Getaway Day Total of the Month, as we've cashed 69% of our Totals here this season.

July 05, 2007

Hondo's Ray Of Hope

Hondo's day with the dozen 'dogs was truly a minor failure as he finished seven down and five up to go from 190 ruffings in the hole to 195. Culprits included the Yankees, D-Rays, Reds, 'Stros, Indians, D'backs and Marlins. Performing heroically, meanwhile, were the Nats, Jays, Orioles, Rangers and Rockies.

Tonight, he's going to bang the D-Ray drum one more time - 10 units on Howell over the Bosawx.

Hey Bookie, Do you ever get Tony Franklin who is listed on the Monitoring site for baseball? He is suppose to be 44-20 and claims to have won 34K.

I will look tommorrow.

any one have pick from Paul Leiner?

what are some other good forums/sites to find free service plays? What methods do you all use?

easy_money said:

what are some other good forums/sites to find free service plays? What methods do you all use?

Click to expand...

i use the method called....cut and paste....:modemman: