MistaFlava's MLB THURSDAY ***Power Trends Debut*** (Writeups & Analysis)

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MistaFlava's 2007 MLB Record: 55-57 (-18.36 Units)

Power Trends: 0-0 (+0.00 Units)


My record includes all the whacky plays I made this season and all the parlays and just about anything I posted. I am back to my old style of baseball capping and betting it seems to be paying off in some ways. I am going to try and keep things as simple as possible and I pretty already know I can turn my season around and end up in the plus side of things. The Power Trends are something I used very succesfully in sports the last few years and they are back. Alright, lets get down to business.

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Thursday, July 5


Boston Red Sox -230 (1 Unit) 81% Power Trend

Not much needs to be said about the Red Sox in this spot. Tampa Bay has lost 10 straight games and now they have to face the top pitcher in the American League in Josh Beckett. End of story, my writeup should end there right? Not only is Beckett on the mound against the worst team in the AL but on the mound for the Devil Rays is JP Howell who is a left handed pitcher. Well the Red Sox are batting .318 at Fenway Park this season against lefties and this could be a very long night for a pitcher who has an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 2.25 in his last three starts having allowed 25 hits in 14.2 innings of work. That is just horrendous and there is a very slim chance of the Red Sox not taking this guy out in the first few innings of this game. It's not like earlier in the year when the D-Rays bailed out their pitchers with good pitching. Nowadays the D-Rays are batting a pathetic .202 in their last 10 games so the offense is just as much to blame as the starting pitching. Right now the Red Sox are not in a position to lose ball games at home against much weaker teams and with such strong trend marks pointing to this game, I have no problem betting a few units on this game. Red Sox to the bank.



Chicago White Sox -111 (10 Units) ***91% Power Trend***

This is my largest play this month and I am going to pound it a Pinnacle in just a few minutes. Not only do the trend Gods point to the White Sox as a big winner tonight but I feel they are going to have a breakout game of some sorts and come out with the big bats swinging. I know its tough to bet on these guys knowing they have lost two games in this series against a shitty Baltimore team but the White Sox have had success with John Danks on the mound in recent games and I have every reason to believe this is going to keep up tonight. The team is 2-1 in Danks last three starts and although he has not pitched all that well, he has made the big pitches when called upon and I expect much of the same tonight. On the mound for the Orioles is Brian Burres who has done a great job for the O's even though the team has lost two of the last three games he has started (two courtesy of his bullpen). It's almost suicide to bet on the White Sox when they face left handed pitchers or vice versa when the Orioles take on left handed pitchers but the spot is right seeing how Burres is coming off his first road shaky start of the year in Arizona two weeks ago. The White Sox have an urgency here to win this game and since the trends point to the White Sox, im jumping on board for them to win this big. Danks deserve to get a home win (the team has lost his last two home starts) and I think he can pitch well like he did against Oakland and the Yankees at home, two wins earlier this season and the last two times he won at home (against American League teams nonetheless). The White Sox are the right side to be on tonight.



Los Angeles Dodgers -130 (1 Unit) 82% Power Trend

Well its that time of the week again...time to bet on the Dodgers and make some big cash. I usually go on these guys once a week just to keep the cash cow flowing and I think with two good pitchers on the mound tonight, the opportunity is perfect for another cash money situation. The Dodgers beat the Braves in Atlanta earlier this year with Tim Hudson on the mound and I don't see why they can't get the job done at home. Brad Penny doesn't come at this price too often and had it not been for Hudson on the other side of the mound, I think we would be talking about a -180 price tag for Penny which might not be worth it. Regardless, the Braves finally won a game in this series last night and one might think that the win was what they needed to get going. Well they are still not getting the kind of bullpen work that most teams need to win on the road and I don't know that they can get enough off Brad Penny to make it worth their while tonight. I have to admit that Atlanta is better suited to hit right handed pitchers (both starters are righties) but Penny has been more lights out than Hudson in their last three starts combined and I have no problem backing him at this price seeing how he is coming off a home loss to the San Diego Padres. The Dodgers offense is not about to hang him out to dry two home starts in a row.




:toast:
 

Uno

Ban Teddy
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Apr 22, 2006
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good luck man... i love the dodgers play... i have been wondering why others do not see thru this horrible braves squad.
 

SportsOptions/Line up with the pros
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Laying -230 sums up why you are down 18 units with a 55-57 record


Yeah it's tough to lay that kind of chalk and win long term, not many can do that. The SD play bit him in the ass but I do think his Boston play is golden. Big difference between beating a big chalk that can't hit and one that both pitches and hits well. If you get SD down than you got a great chance to win, a little tougher to do against the Red Sox.


Good luck Flava, I'm thinking 3-0 tonight.
 

SportsOptions/Line up with the pros
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I didn't even notice it was a 10 unit play on White Sox, thought he was getting away from that kind of stuff. Either way good luck guys, Boston already up 6-0 in the first inning.
 

New member
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Jun 7, 2007
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Im with you whit the WHITE SOX tonite ...... gOod luck FLAVA !!
 

New member
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i pounded cws+over and the cubbies today.
I call it the good ol windy city classic.

Great call on that cws game flava, although its not over and we know what happened 2 nights ago
 

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