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_____________________________________________________________
Ben Burns
PERSONAL FAVORITE
Toronto Blue Jays
Michael Cannon
Money Train
15 Dime
BLUE JAYS
5 Dime
PIRATES
DODGERS
Hondo
July 6, 2007 -- The evildoers known as the Devil Rays came up a whisker short last night in Fenway, which caused Hondo's deficit to expand to a smooth 245 blairs.
Tonight, here's the Loe-down on the Orioles-Rangers game: Go with Guthrie - 10 units on the Birds.
Bobby Maxwell
Boston (+110) at DETROIT
We're going with the Red Sox in this one as Boston is 27-10 in the last 37 contests with Detroit. The Red Sox just own the Tigers and will continue that today at a very nice price.
An early underdog in this one, Julian Tavarez (5-6, 4.39 ERA) is on the mound for Boston while Andrew Miller (3-2, 3.81) is on the hill for the Tigers.
Tavarez is just 1-2 in his last three starts, but his ERA is an impressive 2.12. He's held the opposition to three runs or less in eight of his last 10 outings and six straight. Last time out he allowed just one earned run on seven hits in 5 2/3 innings but the Red Sox fell to the Rangers 2-1.
He beat Detroit earlier this season when he held the Tigers to one run on four hits in seven innings of a 2-1 victory.
Miller got hammered in his last start, giving up six runs on six hits in five innings of an 8-5 loss to the Twins on Saturday. His ERA is 4.24 in his last three starts and he's never seen an offensive lineup like the Red Sox. They will be able to get to this young lefty and put some runs on the board.
Both teams got big wins on Thursday, and look for the offense to continue tonight for the Sox. Detroit will not be able to keep up. Play Boston.
3? BOSTON
Michael Cannon
Philadelphia at COLORADO (-150)
Take the Rockies as the home chalk for the win tonight over the Phillies.
Colorado is surging right now, having swept the Mets in a three-game home series and winning four of their last five.
The Rockies will send Jeff Francis to the mound and the left-hander has been on fire recently. He's won three straight decisions and is 7-1 with a 2.28 ERA in 11 starts since May 7. Francis is 4-0 with a 1.70 ERA in five home starts over that span.
The Phillies will start rookie Kyle Kendrick tonight. He suffered a groin strain in a start on June 19 and aggravated the injury on Sunday.
Coors Field is not the venue for a gimpy starting pitcher.
Take the Rockies as they grab the home win tonight.
4? COLORADO
Dave Cokin
Take "(924) KC Royals"
James Shields is pitching some impressive ball for Tampa Bay. That 19-110 BB/K ratio is astounding and in his last three starts the ledger reads 0/25. But Shields is mired in a losing streak, as is the entire Tampa Bay squad. This team has now lost 11 in a row and yet they're favored tonight. The TB bullpen is a disaster area right now, particularly with closer Al Reyes shelved with an injury and I give the Royals a considerable edge in the late innings if this one's close. I think it will be as Odalis Perez has been okay his last three starts, and that gets me to the Kansas City side in this contest.
Jim Feist
Take "Under"
The Brewers Dave Bush is still trying to get his 5-7 record back to .500. However, Bush has pitched much better of late. The righthander has allowed just 10 earned runs in his last 23 1/3 innings. In fact, the last four starts Bush have made have all gone UNDER the total. Mike Bascik gets the start for the Nationals. Even though Bascik is just 2-5 on the season, he has a respectable ERA at 4.65. Bascik is not only coming off a six inning, one run effort his last time out but he's allowed over three earned runs in just two of his last seven starts. Two pitchers who could easily have better records then they do, but both should keep their teams close and the score low. Go with the UNDER!!
Today's MLB Picks
Seattle at Oakland
Oakland's Dan Haren has been the best pitcher in the American League during the first half of the season and has gone 16 consecutive games without a loss. Seattle's Jeff Weaver was just the opposite, posting a putrid 14.32 ERA while losing his first six starts of the season. But since a month stint on the DL with shoulder tendinitis, Weaver has arguably been the best pitcher in the A.L. over the last few weeks as he has recorded a 2-0 record and 1.65 ERA in his last five starts (with Seattle going 4-1 in those games). Those numbers make the Mariners a decent road underdog pick (+210) tonight according to Dunkel, which has Seattle favored straight up by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+210). Here are all of today's games.
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width=521 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>FRIDAY, JULY 6
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Marquis) 15.774; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 14.499
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-120); Under
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Bush) 14.510; Washington (Bacsik) 12.931
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-150); Under
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 905-906: Arizona at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Owings) 13.347; Cincinnati (Lohse) 14.031
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-130); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 907-908: NY Mets at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 14.380; Houston (Rodriguez) 14.026
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+140); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 909-910: San Francisco at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lowry) 14.525; St. Louis (Maroth) 13.814
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+115); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 911-912: Philadelphia at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 14.227; Colorado (Francis) 15.453
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-165); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-165); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 913-914: Atlanta at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Carlyle) 15.387; San Diego (Germano) 14.488
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+145); Under
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 915-916: Florida at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Willis) 13.716; LA Dodges (Billingsley) 15.779
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-125); Under
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 917-918: Boston at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Tavarez) 15.838; Detroit (Miller) 15.170
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+135); Under
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 919-920: LA Angels at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Colon) 14.166; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 13.796
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+145); Under
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 921-922: Cleveland at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Lee) 14.518; Toronto (Halladay) 15.366
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-150); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 11.874; Kansas City (Perez) 14.481
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 925-926: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 15.277; White Sox (Garland) 16.035
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-130); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 927-928: Baltimore at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 15.047; Texas (Loe) 15.252
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+115); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 929-930: Seattle at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Weaver) 15.222; Oakland (Haren) 14.765
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-210); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+210); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 931-932: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Garza) 14.788; White Sox (Floyd) 13.365
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
MADDUX SPORTS
Cincinnati -126
charlie
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
friday july 6, 2007
mlb. minnesota @ chisox under 9 runs (500*)
mlb. detroit-115 (30*)
mlb. tampa bay-115 (20*)
mlb. cincinnati-115 (20*)
mlb. cubs-120 (10*)
mlb. houston-120 (10*) Bonus Play
John Ryan
Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies
Jul 6 2007 9:05PM
Prediction: Colorado Rockies
Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Colorado ? Two teams with nearly identical records square off this weekend in Colorado. The big difference in this game is the starting pitching and that favors the Rockies Steve Francis. The LH Francis is a very good starter with a 3.32 ERA for the season and is 2-0 with a 3.32 ERA over his last 3 starts. Francis has pitched once agaist Philly on July 31, 2005 with very good results. FRANCIS is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.833. Since being called up from AA Reading, Kyle Kendrick has been a largely effective starter for the Phillies. He has not given up more than 4 ER in any of his first 4 starts and is coming off a 6.7 inning, 2 ER outing against the Mets. He has won his last 3 starts, but did not record a K against the Mets. The Rockies are a hot hitting club right now batting 337 and scoring 7.4 RPG over the past 7 games. One of those games was a 17 run outburst against the Mets and even if you factor out that anomaly they are still hitting a ton. Rockies are batting 290 at home and 275 against RH starters this season. Phils batting just 252 over their past 7 games and only 246 against LH starters. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 46-13 and has made 29 units since 1997. Play on NL home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 team with a low on-base percentage at <=.350 and is now facing a team with a bad bullpen sporting a WHIP >=1.550, with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season. Phils are just 6-14 -10.8 units after scoring 8 or more runs this season. Phils are just 4-10 -8.5 units after a game where they had 6 or more extra base hits. Francis loves pitching against the NL East sporting a 9-2 record making 8.1 units in profits.
Take the Rockies.
Brian Gabrielle
Florida Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Take the Florida Marlins behind Dontrelle Willis (7-7, 4.65 ERA) over the Los Angeles Dodgers (Chad Billingsley, 5-0, 3.44)
I like the D-train against Billingsley, a converted reliever who’s done pretty well, especially after coming off seven strong innings in his first start. But Willis is coming off two solid starts and he’s backed by a young, defensive scrappy team who can hit and hit for power, mostly in the form of Hanley Ramirez, Dan Uggla and All-Star Miguel Cabrera. The Marlins are exciting and are always poised for an upset: strong defense up the middle and they’re young and talented and cocky---a perfect recipe for an upset with their ace on the hill. After a tough stretch, the Marlins have won three of their last five.
Gator's MLB 70% Situational Report:
MLB (Friday): Play Over MLB home teams when the total is 9 to 9.5 with a bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season facing an opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5+ starts.
(43-13 since 1997.) (76.8%)
PLAY: New York / Houston OVER 9.5 (-105)
CAPPERS ACCESS
(Fri) MLB W. Sox
(Fri) MLB Cardinals
(Fri) MLB Padres
LOCKSMITH SPORTS
Chicago Cubs -114 (listing Marquis)
The Cubs are rolling right now, so we won't think twice about laying a little juice to back them here. Chicago has dominated Pittsburgh the last 3 seasons on the road posting an 11-6 mark against the Bucs. Marquis is 11-1 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. Take the Cubs with Marquis on the hill as they keep streaking tonight.
WUNDERDOG
BELMONT PARK Race #FOUR (4:30 PM Eastern)
(# 7) SARAH SUNSHINE - Filly was progressing nicely and her figures were headed in the right direction when trainer Del Carroll put blinkers on her last out. A complete disaster ensued, so they are removed probably forever. She's rebounded with a series of three works, highlighted by a bullet on June 27. Cuts-back to a middle distance and faces the usual weak crew at the level. Looking for a big try.
(# 12) Carrs and Stripes - She moves to the best post for her style and this distance. Had the rail last out at seven furlongs - a very tricky place to be regardless of the surface. Fits on numbers and has beaten many of these in the past. I just wish her figure would go forward just a tad. Still, she's a very logical selection.
(# 5) Patti Tiff - Makes what is essentially her third try of the season, as second of the year is a toss because her saddle slipped. Had some promise at one time, but she never moved forward after mid 2006. Should offer her best shot today. Johnny V. is riding for his father-in-law (Leo O'Brien).
(# 's 2 and 9) Luna Laura and Greeley's Girl - Either could make the exacta in this poor field. They both are improving slightly.
Jeff Bonds | MLB Money Line
triple-dime bet912 COL (-150) vs 911 PHI
Analysis:
***All selections will be in by 11 AM PST on Friday***
This is an extremely tough spot for Philadelphia rookie starter Kyle Kendrick. He suffered a right groin strain in a June 19 start against Cleveland and aggravated it in a start against the Mets on Sunday.
Now he's going into the most intimidating park in baseball and making just his third road start of his rookie campaign. Not only that, but the Rockies just finished off a sweep of the Mets - scoring 34 runs in three games.
The Rockies are hitting an incredible .311 against right-handers in their last 10 games and .291 against them at Coors Field. Colorado is 10-1 in their last 11 games and 9-0 at home against righties in their last nine.
When looking at Jeff Francis - you can throw out his June 25th start at Wrigley Field. The weather conditions were absolutely brutal for pitchers that night.
Francis has enjoyed tremendous success at home over his last five starts, going a perfect 4-0 with a 1.70 ERA. He's also thrown six shutout innings against the Phillies in his career - walking just one and striking out eight.
The Phillies have struggled against lefties all season - goind 3-8 in their last 11 games versus southpaws. The key to the Phillies lineup is getting Howard and Utley and Francis has limited left-handers to a .219 batting average - allowing just three home runs.
Francis also comes in with full rest and the Rockies are a sparkling 9-3 when he has five days in between starts.
The Rockies are a very streaky team and we're riding them tonight
Paul Leiner
10* Over 9 TB/KC
5* Brewers -135
5* Cubs -115
JEFF ALEXANDER
San Diego -136 (listing Germano)
Germano has been a big surprise for the Padres this season with his 5-2 mark and 3.12 ERA to bolster a staff that is already among the best in baseball. We have seen his best stuff at home this season and we'll expect to see some more of it tonight.wiseguysportsforum We'll side with the betting starter in his home ballpark in this one. Chalk up this no-brainer.
PRICELESS PICKS
St. Louis -111 (listing Lowry and Maroth)
Lowry is 0-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. He is just 1-9 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and 6-16 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record period over the last 2 seasons. Maroth is 17-7 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. Take the Maroth and the Cards tonight.
Will Cover 4* - LAD ML
DAVE PRICE
MLB San Francisco vs. Saint Louis []
Take Saint Louis Cardinals
on St. Louis -111 (listing Lowry and Maroth) Lowry is 0-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. He is just 1-9 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and 6-16 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record period over the last 2 seasons. Maroth is 17-7 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. Take the Maroth and the Cards tonight.
JIMMY BOYD
MLB Chicago (N) vs. Pittsburgh []
Take Chicago (N) Cubs
Chicago Cubs -114 (listing Marquis) The Cubs are rolling right now, so we won't think twice about laying a little juice to back them here. Chicago has dominated Pittsburgh the last 3 seasons on the road posting an 11-6 mark against the Bucs. Marquis is 11-1 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. Take the Cubs with Marquis on the hill as they keep streaking tonight.
Vegas Experts Tip of the Day
Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres
Friday, July 6th, 10:05 P.M. EDT
Braves should have trouble with San Diego rightie Germano here at pitcher friendly Petco Park. Braves starter Carlyle has pitched okay in two road starts. Padres are 25-15 Under at home and 34-20 Under vs. RHPs. ATLANTA is 105-70 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better since 1997. SAN DIEGO is 57-40 UNDER vs. an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 over the last 2 seasons and 62-39 UNDER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.
Play on: Under
Totals4U
FRIDAY'S FREE WINNER:
SEATTLE/OAKLAND OVER 8
MAX PROPHET
Atlanta vs. San Diego []
Take San Diego Padres
Take the moneyline on the Padres
Chuck Franklin
The Yankees are facing Bartolo Colon. He has gone 0-2 in his last three starts and is 4-5 lifetime against the Yankees with a 5.32 ERA, beating them only once in his last five starts against them. The Indians are facing Andy Pettitte. He has gone 0-2 in his last three starts, but he is 11-6 lifetime against the Angels, including 6-2 in nine starts against them at home, including four in a row wins.
New York has won 12 of the last 15 home games when listed as the favorite and they have won seven of the last nine home games against a right-handed starter. The Angels are 2-7 the last nine games when listed as an underdog in this price range.
I say that Colon gets into trouble early and the Yankees win easily at home tonight.
3? NY YANKEES
Alex Smart
Los Angeles Angels (145)
Fri Jul 6 '07 7:05p
: Underdogs with a winning predigree don't get much better than this. The Angels have a winning record while New York has struggled all season long and are two games under .500 heading in to their last home series before the All-Star break. The Angels have had their way with the Pinstripes over recent years and are 25-18 at Yankee Stadium the last 6 years, good for +29.15 units. The Angels have already visited the Yankees for a three games series this season and came away with the sweep, winning at +120, +165 and +120. Pettitte goes for the Pinstripes and is coming off the worst outing of his season. He lasted less than two innings back on the first of this month. That start was made after Pettitte publically commented about the Pinstripes lacking any stomach for a fight. Pettitte was lit up brighter than a christmas tree allowing seven earned runs on nine hits against the soft bats of Oakland. Key Tech Trends: MLB teams have performed solidly as a mid range underdog in the first game of a series. In fact, MLB teams are 34-26 as a +140 o more dog in the first game of a series when they are off a win in which they never trailed, making 28.45 units. That fits the Angels exactly.wiseguysportsforum Play on the Angels
SPORTS PREVUE
Florida Marlins (40-46) at Los Angeles Dodgers (48-38)
Starting pitchers: Dontrelle Willis (7-7, 4.65) vs. Chad Billingsley (5-0, 3.44)
The Marlins are coming off a 3-2 victory over the Padres on Thursday.
The Marlins won as +215 underdogs, while the five runs fell under the
posted total of 7.5.
The Dodgers fell 8-6 to the Braves on Thursday as -130 favorites.
The combined 14 runs sailed over the posted total of 7.
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -135
mca sports
Los Angeles Angels +135
tom stryker
New York Mets vs. Houston Astros (MLB) - 8:05 PM EDT Premium Play
Play: Money Line: -114 New York Mets Play Title: Tom Stryker's National League Crusher of the Week Win
Click Here to View Play Analysis
It's hard to believe that New York's John Maine isn't on the National League All-Star team. This kid has thrown the ball incredibly well this season.
With 102.0 innings in the books, Maine has been touched for only 31 earned runs and 79 hits. That shakes down to a solid 2.74 ERA. His work on the road has been impressive too. John has pitched in eight games on foreign soil and posted a 6-1 record. The big right-hander allowed only 13 earned runs and 32 hits in 52.1 frames. That adds up to a brilliant 2.24 ERA and a WHIP of 1.03.
Houston hasn't been a problem for Mr. Maine either. In two starts against the Astros, No. 33 owns a perfect 2-0 record and has surrendered just two earned runs and six hits in 15.1 innings. That translates into a sweet 1.17 ERA and a WHIP of 0.52!
In comparison, Astros hurler Jason Jennings hasn't done much in his last four starts. Facing the Rockies, Brewers, Angels and A's, Jennings has been slapped for 13 earned runs and 26 hits in 23.2 innings of work.
The Mets got absolutely embarrassed in their last series against the Rockies and they'll check into Houston focused on the task at hand. Take New York with Maine. Thank you and best of luck,
MR A
Friday, July 6th, 2007, 10:05 PM EST.
Oakland's (R) Danny Haren
Seattle Mariners (46-36) at Oakland Athletics (44-41)
(R) Jeff Weaver (2-6) vs. (R) Danny Haren (10-2)
Seattle sends Jeff Weaver (2-6, 6.75) to the mound tonight. The right-hander allowed one run on seven hits over eight innings in a 2-1 win against Seattle on Sunday, but didn't factor in the decision. Weaver is 2-0 with a 1.65 ERA in his last five starts and is 3-3 with a 5.61 ERA in 10 career outings, including nine starts against the Athletics.
Oakland counters with Danny Haren (10-2, 2.20 ERA). The right-hander is 10-0 with a 2.37 ERA in his last 16 starts. Haren allowed five runs on eight hits over 5 1/3 innings in an 11-5 win against the Yankees on Sunday. He is 5-2 with a 2.54 ERA in eight career starts against Seattle. The Athletics are 13-3 in Haren's last 16 starts
Seattle has won nine of their last 12 games, but lost eight of its last 9 on the road and has been beaten in 11 of the last 13 games in Oakland, just 8-24 in the last 32 meetings at McAfee Coliseum since 2004.
Take the A’s at home with Danny Haren on the hill. The Athletics have won Haren’s last five starts at home, while Seattle has lost five of Weaver's last 6 road starts. The Mariners have had problems facing Oakland's' Danny Haren. They have lost six of the last seven versus Oakland when All-Star Haren is on the hill.
Oddsmakers:
Oakland as a -200 home favorite with the total listed at 8 'over'.
Oakland Athletics
GINA PICKS
Friday, July 6th, 2007, 8:10 p.m. est.
San Francisco Giants (36-47) at St. Louis Cardinals (39-43)
(L) Noah Lowry (8-6) vs. (L) Mike Maroth (0-0)
San Francisco's left-hander Noah Lowry (8-6, 3.46 ERA), allowed one run over 6 2/3 innings in a 4-1 win against Arizona in his last start on Saturday. Lowry is 7-1 with a 2.45 ERA at home but just 1-5, 4.66 on the road. He is 1-2 with a 4.05 ERA in three career starts against the Cardinals.
St. Louis' left-hander Mike Maroth (0-0, 5.23) makes his third start for St. Louis, first at home. Maroth allowed five runs in three innings, in an 11-7 win over Cincinnati on Sunday. He is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two career starts against the Giants, but has not faced San Francisco since 2005
St. Louis has won four of their last five games, 4-2 in its last 6 at home. Meanwhile, San Francisco has dropped 13 of their last 19 games and eight of its last 9 on the road.
Go with the Cardinals at home. The struggling Giants have been playing horrible on the road and haven’t been successful in St. Louis. San Francisco has lost five of the last 6 versus St. Louis at Busch Stadium.
St. Louis Cardinals - 115
BIG AL
Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) - Jul 6, 2007 7:05 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 131 Cleveland Indians Play Title: Big Al's Complimentary Indians/Blue Jays Winner.
At 7:05pm our complimentary selection is on the Cleveland Indians over the Toronto Blue Jays. A couple of years ago, it looked like Cleveland southpaw starter Cliff Lee was going to develop into one of the best lefthanders in the American League, if not the entire Majors. Then a forgetable 2006 and some nagging injuries put those plans on the shelf. But at only 28 years old, Lee is back in 2007 and perhaps better than ever now. And with CC Sabathia, Fausto Carmona, and Paul Byrd all pitching very well, Lee no longer has the spotlight or the pressure on him so he can relax and go out there under the radar. He is responding with some eye-opening numbers of late; 2-0 (team record of 3-0) with a 2.14 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in his last three starts. Once again Toronto's season is being devasted by injuries. wiseguysportsforumIt is certainly no surprise that AJ Burnett is on the DL again, but Troy Glaus has turned into a hitters version of Burnett this season with injuries to his hamstring, heel, and foot, and his latest injury on Wednesday night (foot) has him listed as doubtful for this one. Take Cleveland. As always, good luck...Al McMordie
Rocketman Sports
Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics (MLB) - Jul 6, 2007 10:05 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -1.5/106 Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 68-23 since 1997 as a home favorite of -175 to -200. Weaver is 2-6 with a 6.75 ERA overall this year and 0-4 with a 9.12 ERA on the road this year. Haren is 10-2 with a 2.20 ERA overall this season and 6-0 with a 2.11 ERA at home this year. Oakland is 31-12 overall vs Seattle last 3 years including 16-5 at home. Haren is 5-2 with a 2.54 ERA overall vs Seattle since 1997.wiseguysportsforum We'll recommend a small play on Oakland on the Runline tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Rocketman has two 2* MLB plays for Friday! 35-18 66% run in MLB last 44 days and 44-23 66% last 59 days in MLB!
Michael Alexander
San Francisco Giants vs. St Louis Cardinals (MLB) - Jul 6, 2007 8:10 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 103 San Francisco Giants San Francisco at St. Louis
Play on San Francisco w/ Lowry
The San Francisco Giants roll into St. Louis fresh off their series with the Cincinnati Reds that saw they lose two of three. Yesterday's loss dropped the Giants to 36-47 good for last place in the NL West a full 11 1/2 games in back of the front running San Diego Padres.
The Giants will try and stem the tide tonight with they send left-hander Noah Lowry to the hill. Lowry has had and up and down season this year and comes in at 8-6 overall with a respectable 3.46 ERA. In his last meeting against the Cardinals he went seven strong innings for the win giving up only 2 runs on 4 hits.
The Cardinals come into this one on a bit of a roll as they took two of three from Arizona and have now won 5 of their last 7. Yesterday's win got them closer to that .500 mark at 39-4, good for third place in the NL Central 7 1/2 games in back of the struggling Milwaukee Brewers.
The Cardinals will counter with their own left-hander tonight in newly acquired Mike Maroth. Maroth is 1-0 his last three starts but sports a rather hight 5.87 ERA. When pitching at home Maroth is winless at 0-2 with a 4.72 ERA. In his career versus the Giants he is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA.
Supporting Trends: ST LOUIS is 6-14 (-11.3 Units) against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. ST LOUIS is 5-12 (-10.4 Units) against the money line after a win by 2 runs or less this season. ST LOUIS is 7-16 (-11.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive home games this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 34-22 (+15.0 Units) against the money line vs. a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The Cardinals have already lost twice to the Giants in their only
floridabookybusters MLB 7/6/2007 at 2:05:00 PM Minnesota Twins/S Baker R at Chicago White Sox/J Garland R overunder Minnesota Twins/Chicago White Sox o9 5
DRGSPORTS MLB 7/6/2007 at 2:05:00 PM Minnesota Twins/S Baker R at Chicago White Sox/J Garland R overunder Minnesota Twins/Chicago White Sox u9 5
Fast Eddie Sports MLB 7/6/2007 at 7:05:00 PM Boston Red Sox/J Tavarez R at Detroit Tigers/A Miller L overunder Boston Red Sox/Detroit Tigers u10.5 3
Winning Angle Sports MLB 7/6/2007 at 7:05:00 PM Angels of Anaheim/B Colon R at New York Yankees/A Pettitte L money line New York Yankees 5
Sportslynx.com-Jim Simpson MLB 7/6/2007 at 7:05:00 PM Chicago Cubs/J Marquis R at Pittsburgh Pirates/P Maholm L run line Pittsburgh Pirates/none +1.5 5
MustWinSportsPicks.com MLB 7/6/2007 at 7:05:00 PM Milwaukee Brewers/D Bush R at Washington Nationals/M Bacsik L money line Milwaukee Brewers 5
HarvestPicks.com MLB 7/6/2007 at 7:10:00 PM Arizona Diamondbacks/M Owings R at Cincinnati Reds/K Lohse R money line Arizona Diamondbacks 5
Hot-Locks.com MLB 7/6/2007 at 7:10:00 PM Arizona Diamondbacks/M Owings R at Cincinnati Reds/K Lohse R money line Cincinnati Reds 4
Tony's Picks MLB 7/6/2007 at 8:10:00 PM San Francisco Giants/N Lowry L at St Louis Cardinals/M Maroth L money line St Louis Cardinals 5
Templer's Sports Picks MLB 7/6/2007 at 8:10:00 PM Tampa Bay Devil Rays/J Shields R at Kansas City Royals/O Perez L overunder Tampa Bay Devil Rays/Kansas City Royals o9.5 4
Global Handicapping MLB 7/6/2007 at 8:35:00 PM Baltimore Orioles/J Guthrie R at Texas Rangers/K Loe R money line Baltimore Orioles 5
The Sports Scholar MLB 7/6/2007 at 8:35:00 PM Baltimore Orioles/J Guthrie R at Texas Rangers/K Loe R money line Baltimore Orioles 5
KingKongPicks MLB 7/6/2007 at 10:40:00 PM Florida Marlins/D Willis L at Los Angeles Dodgers/C Billingsley R overunder Florida
CHRIS JORDAN
2? DODGERS
Matt Fargo
Pick: Kansas City Royals (Perez) +106
Reason: Tampa Bay continues its worst drought of the season as it has now dropped 11 straight games with most of those not being close as only three were one-run losses. The Devil Rays have lost nine straight games on the road and coming to Kansas City would normally mean a reversal is in order but that isn’t the case. The Royals are playing pretty good right now despite dropping three of five. They have gone 7-3 their last 10 games and are 17-14 since June 1st.
After a horrible start to the season, Odalis Perez has turned the corner. He has tossed three straight quality starts while achieving that in nine of his last 14 outings. He has started eight games at home this season and while his ERA sits at 6.34 at Kaufman Stadium, it was two bad games that have inflated that number. Take those out and his ERA drops to a more respectable 4.84. He is coming off one of his best starts of the season and carries that into tonight.
James Shields has been the ace of the Devil Rays but when your team is just 8-9 behind that ace, something is definitely wrong. Shields has been below average of late as he has a 6.66 ERA over his last four starts with three of those coming on the road. Tampa Bay has lost his last four outings and while bad pitching hasn’t helped, neither has the offense behind that has put up just 2.3 rpg in those contests. It isn’t getting better either as the Devil Rays arte hitting just .222 during this losing skid and averaging only 2.7 rpg.
The impotent offense has certainly contributed to the long losing streak and with that comes a very powerful situation favoring the Royals. Play against all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that are batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games and starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing. This situation is 50-24 against the moneyline (67.6 percent) over the last five seasons with the average run different
Zuman and I are putting massive amounts of time in to this to help everyone make money on this site.
Thanks for all those who make this possible and good luck to you and yours.
Bookie Buster. :toast:
_____________________________________________________________
Ben Burns
PERSONAL FAVORITE
Toronto Blue Jays
Michael Cannon
Money Train
15 Dime
BLUE JAYS
5 Dime
PIRATES
DODGERS
Hondo
July 6, 2007 -- The evildoers known as the Devil Rays came up a whisker short last night in Fenway, which caused Hondo's deficit to expand to a smooth 245 blairs.
Tonight, here's the Loe-down on the Orioles-Rangers game: Go with Guthrie - 10 units on the Birds.
Bobby Maxwell
Boston (+110) at DETROIT
We're going with the Red Sox in this one as Boston is 27-10 in the last 37 contests with Detroit. The Red Sox just own the Tigers and will continue that today at a very nice price.
An early underdog in this one, Julian Tavarez (5-6, 4.39 ERA) is on the mound for Boston while Andrew Miller (3-2, 3.81) is on the hill for the Tigers.
Tavarez is just 1-2 in his last three starts, but his ERA is an impressive 2.12. He's held the opposition to three runs or less in eight of his last 10 outings and six straight. Last time out he allowed just one earned run on seven hits in 5 2/3 innings but the Red Sox fell to the Rangers 2-1.
He beat Detroit earlier this season when he held the Tigers to one run on four hits in seven innings of a 2-1 victory.
Miller got hammered in his last start, giving up six runs on six hits in five innings of an 8-5 loss to the Twins on Saturday. His ERA is 4.24 in his last three starts and he's never seen an offensive lineup like the Red Sox. They will be able to get to this young lefty and put some runs on the board.
Both teams got big wins on Thursday, and look for the offense to continue tonight for the Sox. Detroit will not be able to keep up. Play Boston.
3? BOSTON
Michael Cannon
Philadelphia at COLORADO (-150)
Take the Rockies as the home chalk for the win tonight over the Phillies.
Colorado is surging right now, having swept the Mets in a three-game home series and winning four of their last five.
The Rockies will send Jeff Francis to the mound and the left-hander has been on fire recently. He's won three straight decisions and is 7-1 with a 2.28 ERA in 11 starts since May 7. Francis is 4-0 with a 1.70 ERA in five home starts over that span.
The Phillies will start rookie Kyle Kendrick tonight. He suffered a groin strain in a start on June 19 and aggravated the injury on Sunday.
Coors Field is not the venue for a gimpy starting pitcher.
Take the Rockies as they grab the home win tonight.
4? COLORADO
Dave Cokin
Take "(924) KC Royals"
James Shields is pitching some impressive ball for Tampa Bay. That 19-110 BB/K ratio is astounding and in his last three starts the ledger reads 0/25. But Shields is mired in a losing streak, as is the entire Tampa Bay squad. This team has now lost 11 in a row and yet they're favored tonight. The TB bullpen is a disaster area right now, particularly with closer Al Reyes shelved with an injury and I give the Royals a considerable edge in the late innings if this one's close. I think it will be as Odalis Perez has been okay his last three starts, and that gets me to the Kansas City side in this contest.
Jim Feist
Take "Under"
The Brewers Dave Bush is still trying to get his 5-7 record back to .500. However, Bush has pitched much better of late. The righthander has allowed just 10 earned runs in his last 23 1/3 innings. In fact, the last four starts Bush have made have all gone UNDER the total. Mike Bascik gets the start for the Nationals. Even though Bascik is just 2-5 on the season, he has a respectable ERA at 4.65. Bascik is not only coming off a six inning, one run effort his last time out but he's allowed over three earned runs in just two of his last seven starts. Two pitchers who could easily have better records then they do, but both should keep their teams close and the score low. Go with the UNDER!!
Today's MLB Picks
Seattle at Oakland
Oakland's Dan Haren has been the best pitcher in the American League during the first half of the season and has gone 16 consecutive games without a loss. Seattle's Jeff Weaver was just the opposite, posting a putrid 14.32 ERA while losing his first six starts of the season. But since a month stint on the DL with shoulder tendinitis, Weaver has arguably been the best pitcher in the A.L. over the last few weeks as he has recorded a 2-0 record and 1.65 ERA in his last five starts (with Seattle going 4-1 in those games). Those numbers make the Mariners a decent road underdog pick (+210) tonight according to Dunkel, which has Seattle favored straight up by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+210). Here are all of today's games.
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width=521 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>FRIDAY, JULY 6
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Marquis) 15.774; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 14.499
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-120); Under
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Bush) 14.510; Washington (Bacsik) 12.931
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-150); Under
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 905-906: Arizona at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Owings) 13.347; Cincinnati (Lohse) 14.031
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-130); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 907-908: NY Mets at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 14.380; Houston (Rodriguez) 14.026
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+140); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 909-910: San Francisco at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lowry) 14.525; St. Louis (Maroth) 13.814
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+115); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 911-912: Philadelphia at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 14.227; Colorado (Francis) 15.453
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-165); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-165); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 913-914: Atlanta at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Carlyle) 15.387; San Diego (Germano) 14.488
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+145); Under
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 915-916: Florida at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Willis) 13.716; LA Dodges (Billingsley) 15.779
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-125); Under
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 917-918: Boston at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Tavarez) 15.838; Detroit (Miller) 15.170
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+135); Under
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 919-920: LA Angels at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Colon) 14.166; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 13.796
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+145); Under
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 921-922: Cleveland at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Lee) 14.518; Toronto (Halladay) 15.366
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-150); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 11.874; Kansas City (Perez) 14.481
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 925-926: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 15.277; White Sox (Garland) 16.035
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-130); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 927-928: Baltimore at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 15.047; Texas (Loe) 15.252
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+115); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 929-930: Seattle at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Weaver) 15.222; Oakland (Haren) 14.765
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-210); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+210); Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=center height=17>Game 931-932: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Garza) 14.788; White Sox (Floyd) 13.365
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
MADDUX SPORTS
Cincinnati -126
charlie
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
friday july 6, 2007
mlb. minnesota @ chisox under 9 runs (500*)
mlb. detroit-115 (30*)
mlb. tampa bay-115 (20*)
mlb. cincinnati-115 (20*)
mlb. cubs-120 (10*)
mlb. houston-120 (10*) Bonus Play
John Ryan
Game: Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies
Jul 6 2007 9:05PM
Prediction: Colorado Rockies
Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Colorado ? Two teams with nearly identical records square off this weekend in Colorado. The big difference in this game is the starting pitching and that favors the Rockies Steve Francis. The LH Francis is a very good starter with a 3.32 ERA for the season and is 2-0 with a 3.32 ERA over his last 3 starts. Francis has pitched once agaist Philly on July 31, 2005 with very good results. FRANCIS is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.833. Since being called up from AA Reading, Kyle Kendrick has been a largely effective starter for the Phillies. He has not given up more than 4 ER in any of his first 4 starts and is coming off a 6.7 inning, 2 ER outing against the Mets. He has won his last 3 starts, but did not record a K against the Mets. The Rockies are a hot hitting club right now batting 337 and scoring 7.4 RPG over the past 7 games. One of those games was a 17 run outburst against the Mets and even if you factor out that anomaly they are still hitting a ton. Rockies are batting 290 at home and 275 against RH starters this season. Phils batting just 252 over their past 7 games and only 246 against LH starters. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 46-13 and has made 29 units since 1997. Play on NL home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 team with a low on-base percentage at <=.350 and is now facing a team with a bad bullpen sporting a WHIP >=1.550, with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season. Phils are just 6-14 -10.8 units after scoring 8 or more runs this season. Phils are just 4-10 -8.5 units after a game where they had 6 or more extra base hits. Francis loves pitching against the NL East sporting a 9-2 record making 8.1 units in profits.
Take the Rockies.
Brian Gabrielle
Florida Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Take the Florida Marlins behind Dontrelle Willis (7-7, 4.65 ERA) over the Los Angeles Dodgers (Chad Billingsley, 5-0, 3.44)
I like the D-train against Billingsley, a converted reliever who’s done pretty well, especially after coming off seven strong innings in his first start. But Willis is coming off two solid starts and he’s backed by a young, defensive scrappy team who can hit and hit for power, mostly in the form of Hanley Ramirez, Dan Uggla and All-Star Miguel Cabrera. The Marlins are exciting and are always poised for an upset: strong defense up the middle and they’re young and talented and cocky---a perfect recipe for an upset with their ace on the hill. After a tough stretch, the Marlins have won three of their last five.
Gator's MLB 70% Situational Report:
MLB (Friday): Play Over MLB home teams when the total is 9 to 9.5 with a bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season facing an opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5+ starts.
(43-13 since 1997.) (76.8%)
PLAY: New York / Houston OVER 9.5 (-105)
CAPPERS ACCESS
(Fri) MLB W. Sox
(Fri) MLB Cardinals
(Fri) MLB Padres
LOCKSMITH SPORTS
Chicago Cubs -114 (listing Marquis)
The Cubs are rolling right now, so we won't think twice about laying a little juice to back them here. Chicago has dominated Pittsburgh the last 3 seasons on the road posting an 11-6 mark against the Bucs. Marquis is 11-1 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. Take the Cubs with Marquis on the hill as they keep streaking tonight.
WUNDERDOG
BELMONT PARK Race #FOUR (4:30 PM Eastern)
(# 7) SARAH SUNSHINE - Filly was progressing nicely and her figures were headed in the right direction when trainer Del Carroll put blinkers on her last out. A complete disaster ensued, so they are removed probably forever. She's rebounded with a series of three works, highlighted by a bullet on June 27. Cuts-back to a middle distance and faces the usual weak crew at the level. Looking for a big try.
(# 12) Carrs and Stripes - She moves to the best post for her style and this distance. Had the rail last out at seven furlongs - a very tricky place to be regardless of the surface. Fits on numbers and has beaten many of these in the past. I just wish her figure would go forward just a tad. Still, she's a very logical selection.
(# 5) Patti Tiff - Makes what is essentially her third try of the season, as second of the year is a toss because her saddle slipped. Had some promise at one time, but she never moved forward after mid 2006. Should offer her best shot today. Johnny V. is riding for his father-in-law (Leo O'Brien).
(# 's 2 and 9) Luna Laura and Greeley's Girl - Either could make the exacta in this poor field. They both are improving slightly.
Jeff Bonds | MLB Money Line
triple-dime bet912 COL (-150) vs 911 PHI
Analysis:
***All selections will be in by 11 AM PST on Friday***
This is an extremely tough spot for Philadelphia rookie starter Kyle Kendrick. He suffered a right groin strain in a June 19 start against Cleveland and aggravated it in a start against the Mets on Sunday.
Now he's going into the most intimidating park in baseball and making just his third road start of his rookie campaign. Not only that, but the Rockies just finished off a sweep of the Mets - scoring 34 runs in three games.
The Rockies are hitting an incredible .311 against right-handers in their last 10 games and .291 against them at Coors Field. Colorado is 10-1 in their last 11 games and 9-0 at home against righties in their last nine.
When looking at Jeff Francis - you can throw out his June 25th start at Wrigley Field. The weather conditions were absolutely brutal for pitchers that night.
Francis has enjoyed tremendous success at home over his last five starts, going a perfect 4-0 with a 1.70 ERA. He's also thrown six shutout innings against the Phillies in his career - walking just one and striking out eight.
The Phillies have struggled against lefties all season - goind 3-8 in their last 11 games versus southpaws. The key to the Phillies lineup is getting Howard and Utley and Francis has limited left-handers to a .219 batting average - allowing just three home runs.
Francis also comes in with full rest and the Rockies are a sparkling 9-3 when he has five days in between starts.
The Rockies are a very streaky team and we're riding them tonight
Paul Leiner
10* Over 9 TB/KC
5* Brewers -135
5* Cubs -115
JEFF ALEXANDER
San Diego -136 (listing Germano)
Germano has been a big surprise for the Padres this season with his 5-2 mark and 3.12 ERA to bolster a staff that is already among the best in baseball. We have seen his best stuff at home this season and we'll expect to see some more of it tonight.wiseguysportsforum We'll side with the betting starter in his home ballpark in this one. Chalk up this no-brainer.
PRICELESS PICKS
St. Louis -111 (listing Lowry and Maroth)
Lowry is 0-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. He is just 1-9 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and 6-16 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record period over the last 2 seasons. Maroth is 17-7 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. Take the Maroth and the Cards tonight.
Will Cover 4* - LAD ML
DAVE PRICE
MLB San Francisco vs. Saint Louis []
Take Saint Louis Cardinals
on St. Louis -111 (listing Lowry and Maroth) Lowry is 0-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. He is just 1-9 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and 6-16 against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record period over the last 2 seasons. Maroth is 17-7 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. Take the Maroth and the Cards tonight.
JIMMY BOYD
MLB Chicago (N) vs. Pittsburgh []
Take Chicago (N) Cubs
Chicago Cubs -114 (listing Marquis) The Cubs are rolling right now, so we won't think twice about laying a little juice to back them here. Chicago has dominated Pittsburgh the last 3 seasons on the road posting an 11-6 mark against the Bucs. Marquis is 11-1 against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. Take the Cubs with Marquis on the hill as they keep streaking tonight.
Vegas Experts Tip of the Day
Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres
Friday, July 6th, 10:05 P.M. EDT
Braves should have trouble with San Diego rightie Germano here at pitcher friendly Petco Park. Braves starter Carlyle has pitched okay in two road starts. Padres are 25-15 Under at home and 34-20 Under vs. RHPs. ATLANTA is 105-70 UNDER vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better since 1997. SAN DIEGO is 57-40 UNDER vs. an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 over the last 2 seasons and 62-39 UNDER in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.
Play on: Under
Totals4U
FRIDAY'S FREE WINNER:
SEATTLE/OAKLAND OVER 8
MAX PROPHET
Atlanta vs. San Diego []
Take San Diego Padres
Take the moneyline on the Padres
Chuck Franklin
The Yankees are facing Bartolo Colon. He has gone 0-2 in his last three starts and is 4-5 lifetime against the Yankees with a 5.32 ERA, beating them only once in his last five starts against them. The Indians are facing Andy Pettitte. He has gone 0-2 in his last three starts, but he is 11-6 lifetime against the Angels, including 6-2 in nine starts against them at home, including four in a row wins.
New York has won 12 of the last 15 home games when listed as the favorite and they have won seven of the last nine home games against a right-handed starter. The Angels are 2-7 the last nine games when listed as an underdog in this price range.
I say that Colon gets into trouble early and the Yankees win easily at home tonight.
3? NY YANKEES
Alex Smart
Los Angeles Angels (145)
Fri Jul 6 '07 7:05p
: Underdogs with a winning predigree don't get much better than this. The Angels have a winning record while New York has struggled all season long and are two games under .500 heading in to their last home series before the All-Star break. The Angels have had their way with the Pinstripes over recent years and are 25-18 at Yankee Stadium the last 6 years, good for +29.15 units. The Angels have already visited the Yankees for a three games series this season and came away with the sweep, winning at +120, +165 and +120. Pettitte goes for the Pinstripes and is coming off the worst outing of his season. He lasted less than two innings back on the first of this month. That start was made after Pettitte publically commented about the Pinstripes lacking any stomach for a fight. Pettitte was lit up brighter than a christmas tree allowing seven earned runs on nine hits against the soft bats of Oakland. Key Tech Trends: MLB teams have performed solidly as a mid range underdog in the first game of a series. In fact, MLB teams are 34-26 as a +140 o more dog in the first game of a series when they are off a win in which they never trailed, making 28.45 units. That fits the Angels exactly.wiseguysportsforum Play on the Angels
SPORTS PREVUE
Florida Marlins (40-46) at Los Angeles Dodgers (48-38)
Starting pitchers: Dontrelle Willis (7-7, 4.65) vs. Chad Billingsley (5-0, 3.44)
The Marlins are coming off a 3-2 victory over the Padres on Thursday.
The Marlins won as +215 underdogs, while the five runs fell under the
posted total of 7.5.
The Dodgers fell 8-6 to the Braves on Thursday as -130 favorites.
The combined 14 runs sailed over the posted total of 7.
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -135
mca sports
Los Angeles Angels +135
tom stryker
New York Mets vs. Houston Astros (MLB) - 8:05 PM EDT Premium Play
Play: Money Line: -114 New York Mets Play Title: Tom Stryker's National League Crusher of the Week Win
Click Here to View Play Analysis
It's hard to believe that New York's John Maine isn't on the National League All-Star team. This kid has thrown the ball incredibly well this season.
With 102.0 innings in the books, Maine has been touched for only 31 earned runs and 79 hits. That shakes down to a solid 2.74 ERA. His work on the road has been impressive too. John has pitched in eight games on foreign soil and posted a 6-1 record. The big right-hander allowed only 13 earned runs and 32 hits in 52.1 frames. That adds up to a brilliant 2.24 ERA and a WHIP of 1.03.
Houston hasn't been a problem for Mr. Maine either. In two starts against the Astros, No. 33 owns a perfect 2-0 record and has surrendered just two earned runs and six hits in 15.1 innings. That translates into a sweet 1.17 ERA and a WHIP of 0.52!
In comparison, Astros hurler Jason Jennings hasn't done much in his last four starts. Facing the Rockies, Brewers, Angels and A's, Jennings has been slapped for 13 earned runs and 26 hits in 23.2 innings of work.
The Mets got absolutely embarrassed in their last series against the Rockies and they'll check into Houston focused on the task at hand. Take New York with Maine. Thank you and best of luck,
MR A
Friday, July 6th, 2007, 10:05 PM EST.
Oakland's (R) Danny Haren
Seattle Mariners (46-36) at Oakland Athletics (44-41)
(R) Jeff Weaver (2-6) vs. (R) Danny Haren (10-2)
Seattle sends Jeff Weaver (2-6, 6.75) to the mound tonight. The right-hander allowed one run on seven hits over eight innings in a 2-1 win against Seattle on Sunday, but didn't factor in the decision. Weaver is 2-0 with a 1.65 ERA in his last five starts and is 3-3 with a 5.61 ERA in 10 career outings, including nine starts against the Athletics.
Oakland counters with Danny Haren (10-2, 2.20 ERA). The right-hander is 10-0 with a 2.37 ERA in his last 16 starts. Haren allowed five runs on eight hits over 5 1/3 innings in an 11-5 win against the Yankees on Sunday. He is 5-2 with a 2.54 ERA in eight career starts against Seattle. The Athletics are 13-3 in Haren's last 16 starts
Seattle has won nine of their last 12 games, but lost eight of its last 9 on the road and has been beaten in 11 of the last 13 games in Oakland, just 8-24 in the last 32 meetings at McAfee Coliseum since 2004.
Take the A’s at home with Danny Haren on the hill. The Athletics have won Haren’s last five starts at home, while Seattle has lost five of Weaver's last 6 road starts. The Mariners have had problems facing Oakland's' Danny Haren. They have lost six of the last seven versus Oakland when All-Star Haren is on the hill.
Oddsmakers:
Oakland as a -200 home favorite with the total listed at 8 'over'.
Oakland Athletics
GINA PICKS
Friday, July 6th, 2007, 8:10 p.m. est.
San Francisco Giants (36-47) at St. Louis Cardinals (39-43)
(L) Noah Lowry (8-6) vs. (L) Mike Maroth (0-0)
San Francisco's left-hander Noah Lowry (8-6, 3.46 ERA), allowed one run over 6 2/3 innings in a 4-1 win against Arizona in his last start on Saturday. Lowry is 7-1 with a 2.45 ERA at home but just 1-5, 4.66 on the road. He is 1-2 with a 4.05 ERA in three career starts against the Cardinals.
St. Louis' left-hander Mike Maroth (0-0, 5.23) makes his third start for St. Louis, first at home. Maroth allowed five runs in three innings, in an 11-7 win over Cincinnati on Sunday. He is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two career starts against the Giants, but has not faced San Francisco since 2005
St. Louis has won four of their last five games, 4-2 in its last 6 at home. Meanwhile, San Francisco has dropped 13 of their last 19 games and eight of its last 9 on the road.
Go with the Cardinals at home. The struggling Giants have been playing horrible on the road and haven’t been successful in St. Louis. San Francisco has lost five of the last 6 versus St. Louis at Busch Stadium.
St. Louis Cardinals - 115
BIG AL
Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) - Jul 6, 2007 7:05 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 131 Cleveland Indians Play Title: Big Al's Complimentary Indians/Blue Jays Winner.
At 7:05pm our complimentary selection is on the Cleveland Indians over the Toronto Blue Jays. A couple of years ago, it looked like Cleveland southpaw starter Cliff Lee was going to develop into one of the best lefthanders in the American League, if not the entire Majors. Then a forgetable 2006 and some nagging injuries put those plans on the shelf. But at only 28 years old, Lee is back in 2007 and perhaps better than ever now. And with CC Sabathia, Fausto Carmona, and Paul Byrd all pitching very well, Lee no longer has the spotlight or the pressure on him so he can relax and go out there under the radar. He is responding with some eye-opening numbers of late; 2-0 (team record of 3-0) with a 2.14 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in his last three starts. Once again Toronto's season is being devasted by injuries. wiseguysportsforumIt is certainly no surprise that AJ Burnett is on the DL again, but Troy Glaus has turned into a hitters version of Burnett this season with injuries to his hamstring, heel, and foot, and his latest injury on Wednesday night (foot) has him listed as doubtful for this one. Take Cleveland. As always, good luck...Al McMordie
Rocketman Sports
Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics (MLB) - Jul 6, 2007 10:05 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -1.5/106 Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 68-23 since 1997 as a home favorite of -175 to -200. Weaver is 2-6 with a 6.75 ERA overall this year and 0-4 with a 9.12 ERA on the road this year. Haren is 10-2 with a 2.20 ERA overall this season and 6-0 with a 2.11 ERA at home this year. Oakland is 31-12 overall vs Seattle last 3 years including 16-5 at home. Haren is 5-2 with a 2.54 ERA overall vs Seattle since 1997.wiseguysportsforum We'll recommend a small play on Oakland on the Runline tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Rocketman has two 2* MLB plays for Friday! 35-18 66% run in MLB last 44 days and 44-23 66% last 59 days in MLB!
Michael Alexander
San Francisco Giants vs. St Louis Cardinals (MLB) - Jul 6, 2007 8:10 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 103 San Francisco Giants San Francisco at St. Louis
Play on San Francisco w/ Lowry
The San Francisco Giants roll into St. Louis fresh off their series with the Cincinnati Reds that saw they lose two of three. Yesterday's loss dropped the Giants to 36-47 good for last place in the NL West a full 11 1/2 games in back of the front running San Diego Padres.
The Giants will try and stem the tide tonight with they send left-hander Noah Lowry to the hill. Lowry has had and up and down season this year and comes in at 8-6 overall with a respectable 3.46 ERA. In his last meeting against the Cardinals he went seven strong innings for the win giving up only 2 runs on 4 hits.
The Cardinals come into this one on a bit of a roll as they took two of three from Arizona and have now won 5 of their last 7. Yesterday's win got them closer to that .500 mark at 39-4, good for third place in the NL Central 7 1/2 games in back of the struggling Milwaukee Brewers.
The Cardinals will counter with their own left-hander tonight in newly acquired Mike Maroth. Maroth is 1-0 his last three starts but sports a rather hight 5.87 ERA. When pitching at home Maroth is winless at 0-2 with a 4.72 ERA. In his career versus the Giants he is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA.
Supporting Trends: ST LOUIS is 6-14 (-11.3 Units) against the money line after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. ST LOUIS is 5-12 (-10.4 Units) against the money line after a win by 2 runs or less this season. ST LOUIS is 7-16 (-11.5 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive home games this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 34-22 (+15.0 Units) against the money line vs. a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The Cardinals have already lost twice to the Giants in their only
floridabookybusters MLB 7/6/2007 at 2:05:00 PM Minnesota Twins/S Baker R at Chicago White Sox/J Garland R overunder Minnesota Twins/Chicago White Sox o9 5
DRGSPORTS MLB 7/6/2007 at 2:05:00 PM Minnesota Twins/S Baker R at Chicago White Sox/J Garland R overunder Minnesota Twins/Chicago White Sox u9 5
Fast Eddie Sports MLB 7/6/2007 at 7:05:00 PM Boston Red Sox/J Tavarez R at Detroit Tigers/A Miller L overunder Boston Red Sox/Detroit Tigers u10.5 3
Winning Angle Sports MLB 7/6/2007 at 7:05:00 PM Angels of Anaheim/B Colon R at New York Yankees/A Pettitte L money line New York Yankees 5
Sportslynx.com-Jim Simpson MLB 7/6/2007 at 7:05:00 PM Chicago Cubs/J Marquis R at Pittsburgh Pirates/P Maholm L run line Pittsburgh Pirates/none +1.5 5
MustWinSportsPicks.com MLB 7/6/2007 at 7:05:00 PM Milwaukee Brewers/D Bush R at Washington Nationals/M Bacsik L money line Milwaukee Brewers 5
HarvestPicks.com MLB 7/6/2007 at 7:10:00 PM Arizona Diamondbacks/M Owings R at Cincinnati Reds/K Lohse R money line Arizona Diamondbacks 5
Hot-Locks.com MLB 7/6/2007 at 7:10:00 PM Arizona Diamondbacks/M Owings R at Cincinnati Reds/K Lohse R money line Cincinnati Reds 4
Tony's Picks MLB 7/6/2007 at 8:10:00 PM San Francisco Giants/N Lowry L at St Louis Cardinals/M Maroth L money line St Louis Cardinals 5
Templer's Sports Picks MLB 7/6/2007 at 8:10:00 PM Tampa Bay Devil Rays/J Shields R at Kansas City Royals/O Perez L overunder Tampa Bay Devil Rays/Kansas City Royals o9.5 4
Global Handicapping MLB 7/6/2007 at 8:35:00 PM Baltimore Orioles/J Guthrie R at Texas Rangers/K Loe R money line Baltimore Orioles 5
The Sports Scholar MLB 7/6/2007 at 8:35:00 PM Baltimore Orioles/J Guthrie R at Texas Rangers/K Loe R money line Baltimore Orioles 5
KingKongPicks MLB 7/6/2007 at 10:40:00 PM Florida Marlins/D Willis L at Los Angeles Dodgers/C Billingsley R overunder Florida
CHRIS JORDAN
2? DODGERS
Matt Fargo
Pick: Kansas City Royals (Perez) +106
Reason: Tampa Bay continues its worst drought of the season as it has now dropped 11 straight games with most of those not being close as only three were one-run losses. The Devil Rays have lost nine straight games on the road and coming to Kansas City would normally mean a reversal is in order but that isn’t the case. The Royals are playing pretty good right now despite dropping three of five. They have gone 7-3 their last 10 games and are 17-14 since June 1st.
After a horrible start to the season, Odalis Perez has turned the corner. He has tossed three straight quality starts while achieving that in nine of his last 14 outings. He has started eight games at home this season and while his ERA sits at 6.34 at Kaufman Stadium, it was two bad games that have inflated that number. Take those out and his ERA drops to a more respectable 4.84. He is coming off one of his best starts of the season and carries that into tonight.
James Shields has been the ace of the Devil Rays but when your team is just 8-9 behind that ace, something is definitely wrong. Shields has been below average of late as he has a 6.66 ERA over his last four starts with three of those coming on the road. Tampa Bay has lost his last four outings and while bad pitching hasn’t helped, neither has the offense behind that has put up just 2.3 rpg in those contests. It isn’t getting better either as the Devil Rays arte hitting just .222 during this losing skid and averaging only 2.7 rpg.
The impotent offense has certainly contributed to the long losing streak and with that comes a very powerful situation favoring the Royals. Play against all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that are batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games and starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing. This situation is 50-24 against the moneyline (67.6 percent) over the last five seasons with the average run different
