Post 6/27/07 record:
Favorites: 9-5 for +2.78 units.
Underdogs: 13-11 for +4.95 units.
ML Total: 18-13 for +7.73 units.
Totals: 3-2-1 for +1.04 units.
Run lines: 0-1 for -0.5 units.
Pre 6/27/07 record:
Favorites: 156-106 for +5.61 units.
Underdogs: 63-71 for +11.82 units.
Total: 219-177 for +17.43 units.
Totals: 5-2 for +3.33 units.
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Had a decent day yesterday and hope to finish up with another before the All Star Break.
Red Sox -133: I'm not thrilled about betting the Sox without Manny today. But this Sox team doesn't rely on Manny as much as it did in years past. With the way Boston has hit Robertson, and the way Robertson has struggled lately, I think the Red Sox will still find ways to score some runs. On the other side, Matsuzaka has been money lately and I'll stick with him until he falters. 1.33 units to win 1.
Blue Jays +122: Just about everyone is on the Tribe today, but I can't bring myself to do it. Too many times this year have I laid small juice on the Indians on the road only to watch them come out looking horrible. Paul Byrd takes the hill today for Cleveland and if his past at the Rogers Centre is any indication, it could be a long day. In his only 2 career starts in the Rogers Centre, he's 0-2 with a 6.55 ERA and a .304 BAA. On the other side, Josh Towers will be throwing for Toronto, and will be shooting for his 3rd straight win. Towers has never been anything special, but not much worse than Byrd, all things considered. The biggest difference between the two is about a run in the ERA department (4.71 v. 5.71 for Towers). They have nearly identical WHIPs, low walk totals, higher than average HRs allowed, and a high BAA.
So after all this, for me it comes down to the fact that Cleveland is much worse on the road and Toronto is much better at home. So far this year, the Tribe is 2 games under .500 on the road, while Toronto is 6 games over .500 at home. Toronto has also won 7 of their last 11 at home while the Indians have only won 3 of their last 8 on the road. I'm done asking myself why I continue to back this Cleveland team on the road. I'll take the home doggie here and hopefully not end up asking why I went against so many good cappers here on the Rx. 1 unit to win 1.22.
Devil Rays -120: Kazmir hasn't pitched great against KC in his career, but I still can't resist getting him at this price. De la Rosa is so inconsistent and Tampa, despite yesterday's loss, has won 12 of their last 16 against KC. With signs of life in TB's lineup yesterday, I feel pretty safe laying juice on a bad Devil Rays team on the road. 1.20 units to win 1.
Diamondbacks +140: Despite Harang's solid performances lately, and in the past against Arizona, I have to back the dogs here. Arizona is a much better team and I really like the young kid they have starting today. Yusmeiro Petit has overpowering stuff and I like his chances against the Reds today, despite their recent success. I know Harang has been nasty lately and at home this year, but tis Reds team is just too bad to be favored at this number IMO. 1 unit to win 1.4.
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Will probably be back in a few with a couple more. BOL to everyone today.
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Favorites: 9-5 for +2.78 units.
Underdogs: 13-11 for +4.95 units.
ML Total: 18-13 for +7.73 units.
Totals: 3-2-1 for +1.04 units.
Run lines: 0-1 for -0.5 units.
Pre 6/27/07 record:
Favorites: 156-106 for +5.61 units.
Underdogs: 63-71 for +11.82 units.
Total: 219-177 for +17.43 units.
Totals: 5-2 for +3.33 units.
________________________________________________________
Had a decent day yesterday and hope to finish up with another before the All Star Break.
Red Sox -133: I'm not thrilled about betting the Sox without Manny today. But this Sox team doesn't rely on Manny as much as it did in years past. With the way Boston has hit Robertson, and the way Robertson has struggled lately, I think the Red Sox will still find ways to score some runs. On the other side, Matsuzaka has been money lately and I'll stick with him until he falters. 1.33 units to win 1.
Blue Jays +122: Just about everyone is on the Tribe today, but I can't bring myself to do it. Too many times this year have I laid small juice on the Indians on the road only to watch them come out looking horrible. Paul Byrd takes the hill today for Cleveland and if his past at the Rogers Centre is any indication, it could be a long day. In his only 2 career starts in the Rogers Centre, he's 0-2 with a 6.55 ERA and a .304 BAA. On the other side, Josh Towers will be throwing for Toronto, and will be shooting for his 3rd straight win. Towers has never been anything special, but not much worse than Byrd, all things considered. The biggest difference between the two is about a run in the ERA department (4.71 v. 5.71 for Towers). They have nearly identical WHIPs, low walk totals, higher than average HRs allowed, and a high BAA.
So after all this, for me it comes down to the fact that Cleveland is much worse on the road and Toronto is much better at home. So far this year, the Tribe is 2 games under .500 on the road, while Toronto is 6 games over .500 at home. Toronto has also won 7 of their last 11 at home while the Indians have only won 3 of their last 8 on the road. I'm done asking myself why I continue to back this Cleveland team on the road. I'll take the home doggie here and hopefully not end up asking why I went against so many good cappers here on the Rx. 1 unit to win 1.22.
Devil Rays -120: Kazmir hasn't pitched great against KC in his career, but I still can't resist getting him at this price. De la Rosa is so inconsistent and Tampa, despite yesterday's loss, has won 12 of their last 16 against KC. With signs of life in TB's lineup yesterday, I feel pretty safe laying juice on a bad Devil Rays team on the road. 1.20 units to win 1.
Diamondbacks +140: Despite Harang's solid performances lately, and in the past against Arizona, I have to back the dogs here. Arizona is a much better team and I really like the young kid they have starting today. Yusmeiro Petit has overpowering stuff and I like his chances against the Reds today, despite their recent success. I know Harang has been nasty lately and at home this year, but tis Reds team is just too bad to be favored at this number IMO. 1 unit to win 1.4.
____________________________________
Will probably be back in a few with a couple more. BOL to everyone today.
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