AT&T Park really plays to right handed hitters, unless they're hit down the line, which is a shame because three of my four favorite to win the contest are left handed. That said two of the left handers are big pop power guys, who can really crank them out.
Left Handed
Prince Fielder
Ryan Howard
Justin Morneau
Right Handed
Vlad Guerrero
Alex Rios
Alber Pujols
Magglio Ordonez
Matt Holiday
Notes
- Bit concerned that Prince had to settle for his third choice in who's pitching to him, but his former Single A coach (still currently in the system) took two days off to "serve up steak" to Prince. Although it's Prince's first time in the Derby, he got to experience this event many times on the field with his father Cecil.
- Similar in build to Prince, Ryan Howard should not be effected too much by the deeper left field as they both hit bombs. He proved last season that he could win it, and I expect him to show he belongs in the All Star game.
- Worried about Justin Morneau having Gardenhire as the person tossing to him. Heard all morning that Gardenhire can't throw a ball that doesn't curve on ESPN. Add in the fact he's a lefty and I don't think he does well. More of a line drive hitter and I think the field will really effect him.
- Vlad Guerrero wants to put on a show for the 3 million people who voted him into the All Star game. He participated in the event in 2000 and was bounced in the first round. He'll have his normal batting practice coach pitching to him. My dark horse to win.
- "I'm more nervous than excited, but I'm going to enjoy it," said Alex Rios. More of a line drive/gap hitter. Expect him to be eliminated in the first round.
- The TV talking heads are predicting Pujols. I think he just shows up and goes through the motions. The downtown San Francisco ballpark has been one of Pujols' worst throughout his career. He's a lifetime .253 hitter at AT&T Park with two home runs. Additionally, Pujols finds himself in the longest stretch without a home run he's ever endured.
- Magglio Ordonez is in such a hitting groove right now I'm afraid he'll be taking the balls to the gaps. With that said he'll have an easier job hitting it into the right field power alley than some of these other guys. See him as 4th or 5th after the first round.
- Don't have much to say about Holliday. He really is the most over looked star in baseball.
1st Round Prediction
Ryan Howard 13
Prince Fielder 12
Vlad Guerrero 10
Magglio Ordonez 9
-----------------
Matt Holiday 7
Alber Pujols 6
Justin Morneau 5
Alex Rios 5
First Round Match ups
$50 Howard -145 over Pujols
$50 Howard -290 over Rios
$50 Prince -120 over Pujols
$50 Prince -260 over Rios
$20 Prince +100 over Howard (fun wager for me)
$100 Vlad -140 over Rios
$60 Vlad -125 over Holliday
$40 Vlad +115 over Pujols
$40 Ordonez +160 over Morneau
$40 Ordonez -120 over Rios
$20 Ordonez +160 over Pujols
Longest home run in 1st round
$20 Prince +325
$20 Howard +250
Will reach 2nd round
$100 Vlad +120
$100 Ordonez +160
Will reach final round
$20 Vlad +350
$20 Ordonez +475
$20 Howard +110
$20 Prince +140
Home Run Champion
$40 Vlad +850
$20 Ordonez +1200
$50 Howard +265
$50 Prince +400
Left Handed
Prince Fielder
Ryan Howard
Justin Morneau
Right Handed
Vlad Guerrero
Alex Rios
Alber Pujols
Magglio Ordonez
Matt Holiday
Notes
- Bit concerned that Prince had to settle for his third choice in who's pitching to him, but his former Single A coach (still currently in the system) took two days off to "serve up steak" to Prince. Although it's Prince's first time in the Derby, he got to experience this event many times on the field with his father Cecil.
- Similar in build to Prince, Ryan Howard should not be effected too much by the deeper left field as they both hit bombs. He proved last season that he could win it, and I expect him to show he belongs in the All Star game.
- Worried about Justin Morneau having Gardenhire as the person tossing to him. Heard all morning that Gardenhire can't throw a ball that doesn't curve on ESPN. Add in the fact he's a lefty and I don't think he does well. More of a line drive hitter and I think the field will really effect him.
- Vlad Guerrero wants to put on a show for the 3 million people who voted him into the All Star game. He participated in the event in 2000 and was bounced in the first round. He'll have his normal batting practice coach pitching to him. My dark horse to win.
- "I'm more nervous than excited, but I'm going to enjoy it," said Alex Rios. More of a line drive/gap hitter. Expect him to be eliminated in the first round.
- The TV talking heads are predicting Pujols. I think he just shows up and goes through the motions. The downtown San Francisco ballpark has been one of Pujols' worst throughout his career. He's a lifetime .253 hitter at AT&T Park with two home runs. Additionally, Pujols finds himself in the longest stretch without a home run he's ever endured.
- Magglio Ordonez is in such a hitting groove right now I'm afraid he'll be taking the balls to the gaps. With that said he'll have an easier job hitting it into the right field power alley than some of these other guys. See him as 4th or 5th after the first round.
- Don't have much to say about Holliday. He really is the most over looked star in baseball.
1st Round Prediction
Ryan Howard 13
Prince Fielder 12
Vlad Guerrero 10
Magglio Ordonez 9
-----------------
Matt Holiday 7
Alber Pujols 6
Justin Morneau 5
Alex Rios 5
First Round Match ups
$50 Howard -145 over Pujols
$50 Howard -290 over Rios
$50 Prince -120 over Pujols
$50 Prince -260 over Rios
$20 Prince +100 over Howard (fun wager for me)
$100 Vlad -140 over Rios
$60 Vlad -125 over Holliday
$40 Vlad +115 over Pujols
$40 Ordonez +160 over Morneau
$40 Ordonez -120 over Rios
$20 Ordonez +160 over Pujols
Longest home run in 1st round
$20 Prince +325
$20 Howard +250
Will reach 2nd round
$100 Vlad +120
$100 Ordonez +160
Will reach final round
$20 Vlad +350
$20 Ordonez +475
$20 Howard +110
$20 Prince +140
Home Run Champion
$40 Vlad +850
$20 Ordonez +1200
$50 Howard +265
$50 Prince +400
GOOD LUCK!!!
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