Post 6/27/07 record:
Favorites: 10-8 for +0.56 units.
Underdogs: 15-13 for +5.99 units.
ML Total: 18-13 for +6.55 units.
Totals: 3-3-1 for +0.04 units.
Run lines: 0-1 for - 0.5 units.
Pre 6/27/07 record:
Favorites: 156-106 for +5.61 units.
Underdogs: 63-71 for +11.82 units.
Total: 219-177 for +17.43 units.
Totals: 5-2 for +3.33 units.
______________________________<WBR>__________________________
Work is crazy these days and I don't have as much time to do writeups unfortunately, so I'll have to leave some things out. Not as many dogs as I've been playing lately, but I think there's good value in the favs I took.
Red Sox -112: The Sox are 14 games over .500 at home this year while the Jays are 8 games under .500 on the road. The Sox have also played great against the East this year and I think that trend will continue against Halladay, who the Sox have already seen 3 times this year. The Sox have always had some success against Halladay, and he gave up 13 runs and 25 hits over 17.2 IPs in his last 3 starts before the break. Wakefield has started turning it around and has won 4 straight at home. I'll gladly take the small amount of juice here. 1.12 units to win 1.
Yankees -136: Shields hasn't had much success against the Yankees, and the D-Rays are playing horrible baseball these days, having lost 13 of 14 before the break. Pettitte has owned TB over his career, going 11-1 with a 3.19 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .265 BAA against the D-Rays in 17 career starts (6-1 with a 3.09 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, and .262 in Tropicana).
Orioles -122: Jeremy Guthrie has quitely had an extremely solid season, putting up an impressive 2.74 ERA, a 0.91 WHIP, and a .207 BAA to go along with 72 Ks against only 18 BBs. And I think that will continue against a weak Chicago offense. Garland played great in the first half, but I can't help but think he'll start to come back to earth as the second half gets under way.<SCRIPT><!--D(["mb","1.22 units to win 1.\u003c/div\>\n\u003cdiv\>*\u003c/div\>\n\u003cdiv\>\u003cstrong\>Tigers +126: \u003c/strong\>I see this one as a coin flip at worst, and think we're getting*a much better team as the dog here. Seattle had a great run, but they are going to have trouble with the coaching transition. It's hard for teams not to. Felix has not been all that solid at home this year (in 2 of his 4 starts at home he's allowed 12+ baserunners in \n5.2 IPs), and Miller is the real deal. He's not a top of the line ace, but he should put up a solid performance tonight against an M's team that has never seen him. And we never quite know which Felix will show up. 1 unit to win \n1.26.\u003c/div\>\n\u003cdiv\>*\u003c/div\>\n\u003cdiv\>I'm considering the Reds tonight but want to see what happens with the line first. BOL to everyone. \u003c/div\>\n",0]);D(["ce"]);//--></SCRIPT> 1.22 units to win 1.
Tigers +126: I see this one as a coin flip at worst, and think we're getting a much better team as the dog here. Seattle had a great run, but they are going to have trouble with the coaching transition. It's hard for teams not to. Felix has not been all that solid at home this year (in 2 of his 4 starts at home he's allowed 12+ baserunners in 5.2 IPs), and Miller is the real deal. He's not a top of the line ace, but he should put up a solid performance tonight against an M's team that has never seen him. And we never quite know which Felix will show up. 1 unit to win 1.26.
I'm considering the Reds tonight but want to see what happens with the line first. BOL to everyone.
Favorites: 10-8 for +0.56 units.
Underdogs: 15-13 for +5.99 units.
ML Total: 18-13 for +6.55 units.
Totals: 3-3-1 for +0.04 units.
Run lines: 0-1 for - 0.5 units.
Pre 6/27/07 record:
Favorites: 156-106 for +5.61 units.
Underdogs: 63-71 for +11.82 units.
Total: 219-177 for +17.43 units.
Totals: 5-2 for +3.33 units.
______________________________<WBR>__________________________
Work is crazy these days and I don't have as much time to do writeups unfortunately, so I'll have to leave some things out. Not as many dogs as I've been playing lately, but I think there's good value in the favs I took.
Red Sox -112: The Sox are 14 games over .500 at home this year while the Jays are 8 games under .500 on the road. The Sox have also played great against the East this year and I think that trend will continue against Halladay, who the Sox have already seen 3 times this year. The Sox have always had some success against Halladay, and he gave up 13 runs and 25 hits over 17.2 IPs in his last 3 starts before the break. Wakefield has started turning it around and has won 4 straight at home. I'll gladly take the small amount of juice here. 1.12 units to win 1.
Yankees -136: Shields hasn't had much success against the Yankees, and the D-Rays are playing horrible baseball these days, having lost 13 of 14 before the break. Pettitte has owned TB over his career, going 11-1 with a 3.19 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .265 BAA against the D-Rays in 17 career starts (6-1 with a 3.09 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, and .262 in Tropicana).
Orioles -122: Jeremy Guthrie has quitely had an extremely solid season, putting up an impressive 2.74 ERA, a 0.91 WHIP, and a .207 BAA to go along with 72 Ks against only 18 BBs. And I think that will continue against a weak Chicago offense. Garland played great in the first half, but I can't help but think he'll start to come back to earth as the second half gets under way.<SCRIPT><!--D(["mb","1.22 units to win 1.\u003c/div\>\n\u003cdiv\>*\u003c/div\>\n\u003cdiv\>\u003cstrong\>Tigers +126: \u003c/strong\>I see this one as a coin flip at worst, and think we're getting*a much better team as the dog here. Seattle had a great run, but they are going to have trouble with the coaching transition. It's hard for teams not to. Felix has not been all that solid at home this year (in 2 of his 4 starts at home he's allowed 12+ baserunners in \n5.2 IPs), and Miller is the real deal. He's not a top of the line ace, but he should put up a solid performance tonight against an M's team that has never seen him. And we never quite know which Felix will show up. 1 unit to win \n1.26.\u003c/div\>\n\u003cdiv\>*\u003c/div\>\n\u003cdiv\>I'm considering the Reds tonight but want to see what happens with the line first. BOL to everyone. \u003c/div\>\n",0]);D(["ce"]);//--></SCRIPT> 1.22 units to win 1.
Tigers +126: I see this one as a coin flip at worst, and think we're getting a much better team as the dog here. Seattle had a great run, but they are going to have trouble with the coaching transition. It's hard for teams not to. Felix has not been all that solid at home this year (in 2 of his 4 starts at home he's allowed 12+ baserunners in 5.2 IPs), and Miller is the real deal. He's not a top of the line ace, but he should put up a solid performance tonight against an M's team that has never seen him. And we never quite know which Felix will show up. 1 unit to win 1.26.
I'm considering the Reds tonight but want to see what happens with the line first. BOL to everyone.
