cappersaccess
(Thur) MLB Orioles W. Sox 120 Orioles
(Thur) MLB Twins A's 115 Twins
brian gabrielle
At this week’s John Deere Classic, take Zach Johnson (14-1), 1/6 unit in the outright: Illinois is as close to Iowa as Johnson is going to get this year on Tour, geographically. The PGA Championship is in Oklahoma, which is two states away from Illinois by stretch, but the Memorial in Ohio was closer in terms of mileage. Point is, Johnson’s done real well this year with two wins. He’s coming off a MC at The Travelers but he’s the best short bet this week. Take Anthony Kim (25-1), 1/6 unit: Four top-10s and nine top-25s, this guy’s having what will be a breakout year if he can win. A birdie machine, he just needs to make more putts. Take Carl Pettersson (33-1), 1/6 unit: He got off to a slow start but he’s coming off T17 and T15 at the U.S. Open and Travelers, respectively.Pettersson’s sort of the definition of workmanlike, but he’s managed a win in each of the last two years.
maddux sports
NY Yankees -145
Marc Lawrence
Game: Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins
Jul 12 2007 8:10PM
Prediction: Oakland Athletics
Reason: Oakland w/Gaudin over Minnesota w/Baker:
Athletics send Chad Gaudin up against Scott Baker and the Twins tonight knowing Oakland is 13-5 in his team starts this season. With Baker in off an 'inside-out' win (5 innings, 9 hits, 7 runs) in his last start, look for the A's to get the win here this evening.
priceless picks
Detroit +122 (listing Miller and Hernandez)
Hernandez runs into a lineup that is just too good here tonight. He is just 2-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Tigers entered the All-Star break on a red hot 5-game winning streak. Detroit is 21-8 against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Take the Tigers as they stay hot tonight
DAVE PRICE
MLB Detroit vs. Seattle
Take Detroit Tigers
1 Unit on Detroit +122 (listing Miller and Hernandez) Hernandez runs into a lineup that is just too good here tonight. He is just 2-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Tigers entered the All-Star break on a red hot 5-game winning streak. Detroit is 21-8 against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Take the Tigers as they stay hot tonight
John Ryan
Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins (MLB)
Jul 12, 2007 8:10 PM EDT
Play: Oakland Athletics
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Oakland – Seems this is that time of year again for that huge winning A's run. A's are at 44-44 and 9 games out of the Al West and are 8 games out in the Wild Card. That is a whole lot of ground to cover, but it is quite possible for this team to achieve that goal. They arguably have the best starting rotation in the AL, but they must get the bats going as well. Oakland has scored just 380 runs ranking 13th in the AL ranks. Only the CWS are worse and Detroit leads with 580 runs scored. Despite this anemic offense the A's are at 500 and I think if they simply get an average of 3+ more hits per game they will make a great run at the Wild Card. Minnesota bats 268, which matches the AL average and were not hitting well coming into the break. OAKLAND is 22-10 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in road games after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span over the last 2 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 34-16 and has made 25.2 units since 1997. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, playing on Thursday. GAUDIN is 6-0 (+6.7 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. (Team's Record)
HONDO
July 12, 2007 -- Bill Smith showed Hondo and everyone else why he's known as Harness Racing's Guru To The Stars last night when he nailed the eighth race at the Big M with Hard Shoe Hannah ($7.80).
The glorious victory not only offset an earlier loss with Cut Loose Hanover but also negated the annual dismal effort by Anthony Affrunti. The Post's Puny Pony Picker (if the diet works) came up thin at Bel mont with an exacta-box bust of Higher Incentive, Ap pealing Mystery and Inca is Calling in the fifth.
So here's the math: Plus 35 for the day and a re duced deficit of 340 abbatiellos.
Tonight, he'll get busy again with baseball - 10 units apiece on the Reds, Blue Jays and Orioles.
locksmith sports
NY Yankees -138 (listin Pettitte and Shields)
Pettitte is 11-1 when starting against Tampa Bay with an ERA of 3.29 in his last 17 starts. We couldn't have found a better pitcher to go against the Rays with here tonight. Shields is yet to beat the Yanks in 3 tries in his career and has been roughed up pretty good as evidenced by his 5.68 ERA. Tampa Bay is ice cold right now and playing below .500 ball against lefty starters and at home. We'll take the Yankees who looked solid heading into the break winning 5 of their last 7.
Charlies Sports
thursday july 12, 2007
mlb. detroit @ seattle under 8' runs (500*)
mlb. yankees-140 (30*)
mlb. cincinnati+150 (20*)
mlb. baltimore-120 (20*)
mlb. minnesota-115 (10*)
mlb. toronto+105 (10*) Bonus Play
Big Al Mcmordie
Game: Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox
Jul 12 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: over
Tim Wakefield will get the start for Terry Francona's Red Sox, and he has been up-and-down this season. Overall, the veteran knuckleballer has a 4.39 ERA, but he has not pitched well over his last 10 starts. The Blue Jays will counter with Roy Halladay. Halladay also is having an up-and-down season, and his 4.46 ERA is definitely one of his worst in his stellar career. But Toronto has scored runs for him, as evidenced by his 10-3 record. Last Friday, Halladay surrendered five runs and nine hits in 5 2/3 innings, yet Toronto prevailed 8-6 over Cleveland. Halladay has struggled vs. Boston in his career (4.67 ERA), and has a 5.31 ERA in three starts against the Red Sox this season. Take the 'over'. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISOR
Oakland @ Minnesota
Time : 8:10 PM EST
Pick: OVER 9
MR A
New York's (L) Andy Pettitte
New York Yankees (42-43) at Tampa Bay Devil Rays (34-53)
(L) Andy Pettitte (4-6) vs. (R) James Shields (7-4)
Tampa Bay sends James Shields (7-4, 3.82 ERA) to the mound. The right-hander allowed four runs over 7 2/3 innings in a 6-5 victory against Kansas City on Friday. He has lost four of his last five starts and is 0-2 with a 5.68 ERA in three career starts against the Yankees.
New York counters with Andy Pettitte (4-6, 4.25). The left-hander allowed eight runs and 10 hits in five-plus innings in a 14-9 win against the Angels on Friday. Pettitte is 11-1 with a 3.19 ERA in 18 career games, including 17 starts against the Devil Rays.
New York is 5-2 in their last 7 games.
New York is 1-7 in their last 8 games on the road.
Tampa Bay is 1-13 in its last 14 games.
Tampa Bay is 1-4 in its last 5 games at home.
Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings.
The Yankees have been tormented by the lifeless Devil Rays. New York has lost five of their last six battles with Tampa Bay and four of the last five in Tampa. However, the Devil Rays struggles continue, they have lost 13 of its last 14 and will be facing lefty Andy Pettitte tonight, who is 11-1 in 18 career games against them. The Yankees have won ten of Petite’s last 12 starts versus the Devil Rays and six of his last 7 on the road. Take the Yankees.
Oddsmakers:
New York as a -150 road favorite with the total listed at 9½ 'over'.
New York Yankees
WUNDERDOG
Game: Toronto at Boston (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Toronto +105
The Blue Jays have a 49-18, 73.1% record whenever Roy Halladay takes the mound. It is unusual to see him as an underdog, as since the 2005 season, this will be just the fifth time. The Jays are 4-0 in those games! Tim Wakefield has not been pitching well. Wakefield had a 1.79 ERA in his first seven starts and has since made 10 starts to a 6.34 ERA. The Red Sox limped into the break losing three straight and have had offensive problems that have been on-going since June. We will take the dog with the pedigree in this one
LT Profits
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox u9.5 (-120)
Thu Jul 12 '07 7:05p
Blue Jays, Red Sox to go Under 9.5 (-120)
While both Roy Halladay of the Toronto Blue Jays and Tim Wakefield of the Boston Red Sox have been erratic, we believe that both hurlers will keep the opposing batters relatively quiet tonight.
Wakefield has always been streaky, and his knuckleball has given the Blue Jays fits in the past. In fact, he has allowed three earned runs or less in eight of his last nine career starts against Toronto, and he is a perfect three for three in Quality Starts against them this season, allowing just four earned runs in 20 innings. In fact, the Under is 8-0-1 in those last nine career starts, including 3-0 this season.
Now Halladay has been a disappointment, but do not forget that he is a former Cy Young winner, and maybe the extra day or rest he is getting here may be just what he needs to get back on track. The Blue Jays are still 7-3 as a team in his last 10 career starts vs. the Red Sox, and he has had success here in Fenway Park in the past.
Finally, the Under is now 11-4 in the last 15 head-to-head meetings between these clubs, and we look for that pattern to continue tonight.
Blue Jays, Red Sox Under 9.5 (-120)
Minnesota Twins (-120)
Thu Jul 12 '07 8:10p
Twins & Baker -120 to cool off Gaudin, A’s
Chad Gaudin of the Oakland Athletics shocked the baseball world by posting a 2.88 ERA over the first half of the season, while Scott Baker was at 5.71.
Truth be told though, these pitchers are really not that far apart in terms of ability. In fact, you may be surprised to know that they current have an identical 1.37 WHIP despite the huge disparity in ERA. Yes Baker was shelled in his last start despite getting the win in that wild 20-14 game against the White Sox last week, but he had allowed two runs or less in each of his previous three starts against some good lineups (Detroit, Mets, Toronto). He also allowed just three runs and five hits in his only career appearance against the Athletics. The bottom line is that we are actually high on Baker, despite the few shellackings he has absorbed to skew his ERA somewhat.
Now Gaudin has been outstanding no doubt, but can he keep this up in the second half? After all, it is not as if he is a youngster, and he has never demonstrated this kind of ability before at any level. Now it could very well be that Gaudin has matured to the point where he really is as good as he has looked, but we still have our doubts and will fade him his first few starts after the break to see if he comes back down to earth. If he continues to pitch at his insane first-half level, so be it and we will tip our hat to him.
Finally the Twins are 5-1 in the last six regular season meetings between these clubs here in Minnesota, and the Twins have gone 7-1 the last eight times they were favored while Oakland is 3-7 as an underdog, so we will lay the small price at home here.
Twins -120
Rocco Spacamuro
100 * Red Sox ML
PAUL LEINER
5* Orioles -125
john anthony
MLB Chicago (A) vs. Baltimore []
Take Under
This is a nice spot to cash a total full of value because of some misleading numbers from today\'s starters. The White Sox John Garland saw his overall ERA go from 3.27 to 3.92 in one fell swoop after giving up 12 runs in 3+ innings of 20-14 shellacking in Twin double-header. The WSox are 10-5 under in His 15 starts and 13-6 under as a road dog of less than 25 cents. Jeremy Guthrie is 3-2 with stingy 2.16 ERA in his 13 starts, the O\'s 9-4 to the the under. Runswill be tough to come by here. Play the under.
joe phillips
MLB Toronto vs. Boston []
Take Boston Red Sox
Boston is 28-14 at Fenway Park and has Tim Wakefield on the mound who's making his 4th start this season vs Toronto. The knuckleballer has won 2 of 3 and has a 1.80 era vs Blue Jays. Take the Boston Red Sox at home - and do'nt forget to check back each day for winning selections, and upcoming news from the college and NFL football camps. Good luck.
larry cook
MLB Oakland vs. Minnesota []
Take Oakland Athletics
3* on Oakland +117 (Listing Gaudin) Chad Gaudin is one of the most underrated pithers on his team, if not in all of baseball. Gaudin is 8-3 with a 2.88 ERA on the year. He takes on Scott Baker for the Twins and his ridiculously high 5.71 ERA. Oakland hitters should have a field day against Baker tonight. Oakland uses their rest well in recent years. The A’s are 24-8 in their last 32 games following at least one day off. The Athletics are 10-2 in Gaudin's last 12 starts. The Athletics are 7-0 in Gaudin's last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Twins are 0-5 in Baker's last 5 starts vs. American League West opponents. Bet Oakland as a solid underdog today.
jimmy boyd
MLB New York (A) vs. Tampa Bay []
Take New York (A) Yankees
1 Unit on NY Yankees -138 (listing Pettitte and Shields) Pettitte is 11-1 when starting against Tampa Bay with an ERA of 3.29 in his last 17 starts. We couldn't have found a better pitcher to go against the Rays with here tonight. Shields is yet to beat the Yanks in 3 tries in his career and has been roughed up pretty good as evidenced by his 5.68 ERA. Tampa Bay is ice cold right now and playing below .500 ball against lefty starters and at home. We'll take the Yankees who looked solid heading into the break winning 5 of their last 7.
Chuck Franklin
Believe me, the Yankees are happy to be facing the Devil Rays right now. Heading into the all star break they were surging, having won five of their last seven games. They are looking to make a charge toward post-season play in this second half, and getting to play the worst team in the league fresh off the mid-season break is lucky for them, as they should roll right through this series and improve on their less than .500 record.
Starting for the Yankees tonight is lefty Andy Pettitte. I know he's not having his best season but his career record vs. the Devil Rays is a very impressive 11-1. Starting for this lowly Tampa Bay team is James Shields. He has a losing career record vs. the Yankees and has lost four of his last five starts. The Devil Rays have been losers at home, against left-handers, and as underdogs, and with all of these situations presenting themselves in this match-up, I see no reason to believe they will have any success tonight. Take the Yankees in an easy win in Tampa Bay.
3? NY YANKEES
Michael Cannon
Take the Reds at a nice plus return tonight over the Mets.
Cincinnati headed into the All-Star break as the hottest team in the National League, having won four straight under interim manager Pete Mackanin.
They are turning it around thanks in large part to better pitching. The Reds have posted a 3.70 team ERA and .237 opponent batting average since Mackanin took over for the fired Jerry Narron on July 3.
The Reds will turn to Bronson Arroyo tonight and he's coming off his first win in nearly two months. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 4.40 career ERA against the Mets, with both wins being complete games at Shea.
Orlando Hernandez will start for the Mets and he's coming off one of his worst starts of the season. El Duque was pounded for six runs and six hits, and tied a career high with six walks in four innings of a 17-7 loss to the Rockies.
Hernandez lost both of his only career starts against the Reds last season, posting a 7.11 ERA.
Take the Reds at a nice plus return as they resume their hot streak to start the second half of the season.
2? CINCINNATI
info plays
3* on Oakland +106
(Listing Gaudin)
Chad Gaudin is one of the most underrated pithers on his team, if not in all of baseball. Gaudin is 8-3 with a 2.88 ERA on the year. He takes on Scott Baker for the Twins and his ridiculously high 5.71 ERA. Oakland hitters should have a field day against Baker tonight. Oakland uses their rest well in recent years. The A’s are 24-8 in their last 32 games following at least one day off. The Athletics are 10-2 in Gaudin's last 12 starts. The Athletics are 7-0 in Gaudin's last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Twins are 0-5 in Baker's last 5 starts vs. American League West opponents. Bet Oakland as a solid underdog today.
vegas sports insider
Detroit @ Seattle
Picks: UNDER 8.5
Time: 10:10 PM EST
Brandon Lang
15 DIME
Oakland A's - Specify Pitchers - Gaudin vs Baker
5 DIME
Red Sox - Specify Pitchers - Halladay vs Wakefield
Tigers - Specify Pitchers - Miller vs Hernandez
HotLocks
5 units: Oakland +109 - Gaudin carries a 2.18 ERA L 3 starts and the A's are 13-5 18 starts for him. He was knocked around a little bit but has rebounded strong lately and the break will do him good. We look for Gaudin to carry the A's today and help them go on a nice 2nd half run. We will take them out of the gate here!
5 units - NYY -138 - NY is 10-2 in Pettite's L 12 starts vs TB. Yes, TB does get up for the Yanks and they know it now. The Yanks are on life support and will NOT make the playoffs however they will have their spots in the second half. This is one of them.
5 units - Seattle-129 - Felix goes today and he is off a solid performance..again. The Tigers had cooled abit before the break while the M's are 16-5 L 21 at home. Ichiro is red hot and we look for Seattle to continue their winning ways at home here against a tough opponent, but we will back the home team to take care of business.
IC like's:
Tigers/Mariners Over 8.5
Felix and Miller both have not pitched decent back to back starts at all this year. Tigers have won 5 straight and they are swinging their bats well and these teams as mentioned in the research are essentially even when it comes to their records and getting a 8.5 total on a tigers game is tough to pass up for a few reasons including the tigers offense, the tigers questionable bullpen late and I remember when Miller struggled against Moyer and the phillies earlier this year. Felix is a great talent, but this is a fade off his great start at Oakland as the Tigers can hit any pitcher in the league and if Felix/Verlander can go to 10 last year, I will take my chances with Felix/Miller to over 8.5. The last 4 meetings between these 2 have gone over, the over is 21-7-2 overall when the total is set around this mark for the tigers and the over is 8-3 in Mariners last 11 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
black widow sports
Tigers/Mariners Under 8.5
(List Miller and Hernandez)
Andrew Miller has really shined in is rookie season for the Tigers. He is 4-2 with a 3.21 ERA. He will have great success in a pitcher’s ballpark in Seattle tonight. Felix Hernandez is a standout pitcher for the Mariners and has stepped up his game recently. Hernandez has just a 2.91 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Under is 37-15-1 in Tigers last 53 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games following an off day. The Under is 4-0 in Hernandez's last 4 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 5-1 in Hernandez’ last 6 starts overall. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between the Tigers and Mariners in Seattle. Take the Under Thursday.
Sports Gambling Hotline
Detroit (+130) at SEATTLE
We see no reason why we shouldn't take the plus money with Detroit tonight in Seattle, as the Tigers really amped it up a notch just before the break sweeping Boston in the Motor City.
The Tigers enter Safeco riding a 5-game winning streak, and they are a very respectable 27-15 on the road this year. Seattle has been a surprise team this year, but we doubt they will be able to put up their dukes against last year's AL champion tonight.
Detroit has won 2 of the first 3 meetings against Seattle this year, and they did go 5-1 at Safeco Field last year.
Felix Hernandez has been throwing well of late, but so has Andrew Miller, and we are not going to pass up this chance to get Detroit in the underdog role.
Play on the Tigers.
3? DETROIT
(Thur) MLB Orioles W. Sox 120 Orioles
(Thur) MLB Twins A's 115 Twins
brian gabrielle
At this week’s John Deere Classic, take Zach Johnson (14-1), 1/6 unit in the outright: Illinois is as close to Iowa as Johnson is going to get this year on Tour, geographically. The PGA Championship is in Oklahoma, which is two states away from Illinois by stretch, but the Memorial in Ohio was closer in terms of mileage. Point is, Johnson’s done real well this year with two wins. He’s coming off a MC at The Travelers but he’s the best short bet this week. Take Anthony Kim (25-1), 1/6 unit: Four top-10s and nine top-25s, this guy’s having what will be a breakout year if he can win. A birdie machine, he just needs to make more putts. Take Carl Pettersson (33-1), 1/6 unit: He got off to a slow start but he’s coming off T17 and T15 at the U.S. Open and Travelers, respectively.Pettersson’s sort of the definition of workmanlike, but he’s managed a win in each of the last two years.
maddux sports
NY Yankees -145
Marc Lawrence
Game: Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins
Jul 12 2007 8:10PM
Prediction: Oakland Athletics
Reason: Oakland w/Gaudin over Minnesota w/Baker:
Athletics send Chad Gaudin up against Scott Baker and the Twins tonight knowing Oakland is 13-5 in his team starts this season. With Baker in off an 'inside-out' win (5 innings, 9 hits, 7 runs) in his last start, look for the A's to get the win here this evening.
priceless picks
Detroit +122 (listing Miller and Hernandez)
Hernandez runs into a lineup that is just too good here tonight. He is just 2-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Tigers entered the All-Star break on a red hot 5-game winning streak. Detroit is 21-8 against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Take the Tigers as they stay hot tonight
DAVE PRICE
MLB Detroit vs. Seattle
Take Detroit Tigers
1 Unit on Detroit +122 (listing Miller and Hernandez) Hernandez runs into a lineup that is just too good here tonight. He is just 2-11 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Tigers entered the All-Star break on a red hot 5-game winning streak. Detroit is 21-8 against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Take the Tigers as they stay hot tonight
John Ryan
Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins (MLB)
Jul 12, 2007 8:10 PM EDT
Play: Oakland Athletics
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Oakland – Seems this is that time of year again for that huge winning A's run. A's are at 44-44 and 9 games out of the Al West and are 8 games out in the Wild Card. That is a whole lot of ground to cover, but it is quite possible for this team to achieve that goal. They arguably have the best starting rotation in the AL, but they must get the bats going as well. Oakland has scored just 380 runs ranking 13th in the AL ranks. Only the CWS are worse and Detroit leads with 580 runs scored. Despite this anemic offense the A's are at 500 and I think if they simply get an average of 3+ more hits per game they will make a great run at the Wild Card. Minnesota bats 268, which matches the AL average and were not hitting well coming into the break. OAKLAND is 22-10 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in road games after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span over the last 2 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 34-16 and has made 25.2 units since 1997. Play on all underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, playing on Thursday. GAUDIN is 6-0 (+6.7 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. (Team's Record)
HONDO
July 12, 2007 -- Bill Smith showed Hondo and everyone else why he's known as Harness Racing's Guru To The Stars last night when he nailed the eighth race at the Big M with Hard Shoe Hannah ($7.80).
The glorious victory not only offset an earlier loss with Cut Loose Hanover but also negated the annual dismal effort by Anthony Affrunti. The Post's Puny Pony Picker (if the diet works) came up thin at Bel mont with an exacta-box bust of Higher Incentive, Ap pealing Mystery and Inca is Calling in the fifth.
So here's the math: Plus 35 for the day and a re duced deficit of 340 abbatiellos.
Tonight, he'll get busy again with baseball - 10 units apiece on the Reds, Blue Jays and Orioles.
locksmith sports
NY Yankees -138 (listin Pettitte and Shields)
Pettitte is 11-1 when starting against Tampa Bay with an ERA of 3.29 in his last 17 starts. We couldn't have found a better pitcher to go against the Rays with here tonight. Shields is yet to beat the Yanks in 3 tries in his career and has been roughed up pretty good as evidenced by his 5.68 ERA. Tampa Bay is ice cold right now and playing below .500 ball against lefty starters and at home. We'll take the Yankees who looked solid heading into the break winning 5 of their last 7.
Charlies Sports
thursday july 12, 2007
mlb. detroit @ seattle under 8' runs (500*)
mlb. yankees-140 (30*)
mlb. cincinnati+150 (20*)
mlb. baltimore-120 (20*)
mlb. minnesota-115 (10*)
mlb. toronto+105 (10*) Bonus Play
Big Al Mcmordie
Game: Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox
Jul 12 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: over
Tim Wakefield will get the start for Terry Francona's Red Sox, and he has been up-and-down this season. Overall, the veteran knuckleballer has a 4.39 ERA, but he has not pitched well over his last 10 starts. The Blue Jays will counter with Roy Halladay. Halladay also is having an up-and-down season, and his 4.46 ERA is definitely one of his worst in his stellar career. But Toronto has scored runs for him, as evidenced by his 10-3 record. Last Friday, Halladay surrendered five runs and nine hits in 5 2/3 innings, yet Toronto prevailed 8-6 over Cleveland. Halladay has struggled vs. Boston in his career (4.67 ERA), and has a 5.31 ERA in three starts against the Red Sox this season. Take the 'over'. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISOR
Oakland @ Minnesota
Time : 8:10 PM EST
Pick: OVER 9
MR A
New York's (L) Andy Pettitte
New York Yankees (42-43) at Tampa Bay Devil Rays (34-53)
(L) Andy Pettitte (4-6) vs. (R) James Shields (7-4)
Tampa Bay sends James Shields (7-4, 3.82 ERA) to the mound. The right-hander allowed four runs over 7 2/3 innings in a 6-5 victory against Kansas City on Friday. He has lost four of his last five starts and is 0-2 with a 5.68 ERA in three career starts against the Yankees.
New York counters with Andy Pettitte (4-6, 4.25). The left-hander allowed eight runs and 10 hits in five-plus innings in a 14-9 win against the Angels on Friday. Pettitte is 11-1 with a 3.19 ERA in 18 career games, including 17 starts against the Devil Rays.
New York is 5-2 in their last 7 games.
New York is 1-7 in their last 8 games on the road.
Tampa Bay is 1-13 in its last 14 games.
Tampa Bay is 1-4 in its last 5 games at home.
Over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings.
The Yankees have been tormented by the lifeless Devil Rays. New York has lost five of their last six battles with Tampa Bay and four of the last five in Tampa. However, the Devil Rays struggles continue, they have lost 13 of its last 14 and will be facing lefty Andy Pettitte tonight, who is 11-1 in 18 career games against them. The Yankees have won ten of Petite’s last 12 starts versus the Devil Rays and six of his last 7 on the road. Take the Yankees.
Oddsmakers:
New York as a -150 road favorite with the total listed at 9½ 'over'.
New York Yankees
WUNDERDOG
Game: Toronto at Boston (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Toronto +105
The Blue Jays have a 49-18, 73.1% record whenever Roy Halladay takes the mound. It is unusual to see him as an underdog, as since the 2005 season, this will be just the fifth time. The Jays are 4-0 in those games! Tim Wakefield has not been pitching well. Wakefield had a 1.79 ERA in his first seven starts and has since made 10 starts to a 6.34 ERA. The Red Sox limped into the break losing three straight and have had offensive problems that have been on-going since June. We will take the dog with the pedigree in this one
LT Profits
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox u9.5 (-120)
Thu Jul 12 '07 7:05p
Blue Jays, Red Sox to go Under 9.5 (-120)
While both Roy Halladay of the Toronto Blue Jays and Tim Wakefield of the Boston Red Sox have been erratic, we believe that both hurlers will keep the opposing batters relatively quiet tonight.
Wakefield has always been streaky, and his knuckleball has given the Blue Jays fits in the past. In fact, he has allowed three earned runs or less in eight of his last nine career starts against Toronto, and he is a perfect three for three in Quality Starts against them this season, allowing just four earned runs in 20 innings. In fact, the Under is 8-0-1 in those last nine career starts, including 3-0 this season.
Now Halladay has been a disappointment, but do not forget that he is a former Cy Young winner, and maybe the extra day or rest he is getting here may be just what he needs to get back on track. The Blue Jays are still 7-3 as a team in his last 10 career starts vs. the Red Sox, and he has had success here in Fenway Park in the past.
Finally, the Under is now 11-4 in the last 15 head-to-head meetings between these clubs, and we look for that pattern to continue tonight.
Blue Jays, Red Sox Under 9.5 (-120)
Minnesota Twins (-120)
Thu Jul 12 '07 8:10p
Twins & Baker -120 to cool off Gaudin, A’s
Chad Gaudin of the Oakland Athletics shocked the baseball world by posting a 2.88 ERA over the first half of the season, while Scott Baker was at 5.71.
Truth be told though, these pitchers are really not that far apart in terms of ability. In fact, you may be surprised to know that they current have an identical 1.37 WHIP despite the huge disparity in ERA. Yes Baker was shelled in his last start despite getting the win in that wild 20-14 game against the White Sox last week, but he had allowed two runs or less in each of his previous three starts against some good lineups (Detroit, Mets, Toronto). He also allowed just three runs and five hits in his only career appearance against the Athletics. The bottom line is that we are actually high on Baker, despite the few shellackings he has absorbed to skew his ERA somewhat.
Now Gaudin has been outstanding no doubt, but can he keep this up in the second half? After all, it is not as if he is a youngster, and he has never demonstrated this kind of ability before at any level. Now it could very well be that Gaudin has matured to the point where he really is as good as he has looked, but we still have our doubts and will fade him his first few starts after the break to see if he comes back down to earth. If he continues to pitch at his insane first-half level, so be it and we will tip our hat to him.
Finally the Twins are 5-1 in the last six regular season meetings between these clubs here in Minnesota, and the Twins have gone 7-1 the last eight times they were favored while Oakland is 3-7 as an underdog, so we will lay the small price at home here.
Twins -120
Rocco Spacamuro
100 * Red Sox ML
PAUL LEINER
5* Orioles -125
john anthony
MLB Chicago (A) vs. Baltimore []
Take Under
This is a nice spot to cash a total full of value because of some misleading numbers from today\'s starters. The White Sox John Garland saw his overall ERA go from 3.27 to 3.92 in one fell swoop after giving up 12 runs in 3+ innings of 20-14 shellacking in Twin double-header. The WSox are 10-5 under in His 15 starts and 13-6 under as a road dog of less than 25 cents. Jeremy Guthrie is 3-2 with stingy 2.16 ERA in his 13 starts, the O\'s 9-4 to the the under. Runswill be tough to come by here. Play the under.
joe phillips
MLB Toronto vs. Boston []
Take Boston Red Sox
Boston is 28-14 at Fenway Park and has Tim Wakefield on the mound who's making his 4th start this season vs Toronto. The knuckleballer has won 2 of 3 and has a 1.80 era vs Blue Jays. Take the Boston Red Sox at home - and do'nt forget to check back each day for winning selections, and upcoming news from the college and NFL football camps. Good luck.
larry cook
MLB Oakland vs. Minnesota []
Take Oakland Athletics
3* on Oakland +117 (Listing Gaudin) Chad Gaudin is one of the most underrated pithers on his team, if not in all of baseball. Gaudin is 8-3 with a 2.88 ERA on the year. He takes on Scott Baker for the Twins and his ridiculously high 5.71 ERA. Oakland hitters should have a field day against Baker tonight. Oakland uses their rest well in recent years. The A’s are 24-8 in their last 32 games following at least one day off. The Athletics are 10-2 in Gaudin's last 12 starts. The Athletics are 7-0 in Gaudin's last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Twins are 0-5 in Baker's last 5 starts vs. American League West opponents. Bet Oakland as a solid underdog today.
jimmy boyd
MLB New York (A) vs. Tampa Bay []
Take New York (A) Yankees
1 Unit on NY Yankees -138 (listing Pettitte and Shields) Pettitte is 11-1 when starting against Tampa Bay with an ERA of 3.29 in his last 17 starts. We couldn't have found a better pitcher to go against the Rays with here tonight. Shields is yet to beat the Yanks in 3 tries in his career and has been roughed up pretty good as evidenced by his 5.68 ERA. Tampa Bay is ice cold right now and playing below .500 ball against lefty starters and at home. We'll take the Yankees who looked solid heading into the break winning 5 of their last 7.
Chuck Franklin
Believe me, the Yankees are happy to be facing the Devil Rays right now. Heading into the all star break they were surging, having won five of their last seven games. They are looking to make a charge toward post-season play in this second half, and getting to play the worst team in the league fresh off the mid-season break is lucky for them, as they should roll right through this series and improve on their less than .500 record.
Starting for the Yankees tonight is lefty Andy Pettitte. I know he's not having his best season but his career record vs. the Devil Rays is a very impressive 11-1. Starting for this lowly Tampa Bay team is James Shields. He has a losing career record vs. the Yankees and has lost four of his last five starts. The Devil Rays have been losers at home, against left-handers, and as underdogs, and with all of these situations presenting themselves in this match-up, I see no reason to believe they will have any success tonight. Take the Yankees in an easy win in Tampa Bay.
3? NY YANKEES
Michael Cannon
Take the Reds at a nice plus return tonight over the Mets.
Cincinnati headed into the All-Star break as the hottest team in the National League, having won four straight under interim manager Pete Mackanin.
They are turning it around thanks in large part to better pitching. The Reds have posted a 3.70 team ERA and .237 opponent batting average since Mackanin took over for the fired Jerry Narron on July 3.
The Reds will turn to Bronson Arroyo tonight and he's coming off his first win in nearly two months. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 4.40 career ERA against the Mets, with both wins being complete games at Shea.
Orlando Hernandez will start for the Mets and he's coming off one of his worst starts of the season. El Duque was pounded for six runs and six hits, and tied a career high with six walks in four innings of a 17-7 loss to the Rockies.
Hernandez lost both of his only career starts against the Reds last season, posting a 7.11 ERA.
Take the Reds at a nice plus return as they resume their hot streak to start the second half of the season.
2? CINCINNATI
info plays
3* on Oakland +106
(Listing Gaudin)
Chad Gaudin is one of the most underrated pithers on his team, if not in all of baseball. Gaudin is 8-3 with a 2.88 ERA on the year. He takes on Scott Baker for the Twins and his ridiculously high 5.71 ERA. Oakland hitters should have a field day against Baker tonight. Oakland uses their rest well in recent years. The A’s are 24-8 in their last 32 games following at least one day off. The Athletics are 10-2 in Gaudin's last 12 starts. The Athletics are 7-0 in Gaudin's last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Twins are 0-5 in Baker's last 5 starts vs. American League West opponents. Bet Oakland as a solid underdog today.
vegas sports insider
Detroit @ Seattle
Picks: UNDER 8.5
Time: 10:10 PM EST
Brandon Lang
15 DIME
Oakland A's - Specify Pitchers - Gaudin vs Baker
5 DIME
Red Sox - Specify Pitchers - Halladay vs Wakefield
Tigers - Specify Pitchers - Miller vs Hernandez
HotLocks
5 units: Oakland +109 - Gaudin carries a 2.18 ERA L 3 starts and the A's are 13-5 18 starts for him. He was knocked around a little bit but has rebounded strong lately and the break will do him good. We look for Gaudin to carry the A's today and help them go on a nice 2nd half run. We will take them out of the gate here!
5 units - NYY -138 - NY is 10-2 in Pettite's L 12 starts vs TB. Yes, TB does get up for the Yanks and they know it now. The Yanks are on life support and will NOT make the playoffs however they will have their spots in the second half. This is one of them.
5 units - Seattle-129 - Felix goes today and he is off a solid performance..again. The Tigers had cooled abit before the break while the M's are 16-5 L 21 at home. Ichiro is red hot and we look for Seattle to continue their winning ways at home here against a tough opponent, but we will back the home team to take care of business.
IC like's:
Tigers/Mariners Over 8.5
Felix and Miller both have not pitched decent back to back starts at all this year. Tigers have won 5 straight and they are swinging their bats well and these teams as mentioned in the research are essentially even when it comes to their records and getting a 8.5 total on a tigers game is tough to pass up for a few reasons including the tigers offense, the tigers questionable bullpen late and I remember when Miller struggled against Moyer and the phillies earlier this year. Felix is a great talent, but this is a fade off his great start at Oakland as the Tigers can hit any pitcher in the league and if Felix/Verlander can go to 10 last year, I will take my chances with Felix/Miller to over 8.5. The last 4 meetings between these 2 have gone over, the over is 21-7-2 overall when the total is set around this mark for the tigers and the over is 8-3 in Mariners last 11 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
black widow sports
Tigers/Mariners Under 8.5
(List Miller and Hernandez)
Andrew Miller has really shined in is rookie season for the Tigers. He is 4-2 with a 3.21 ERA. He will have great success in a pitcher’s ballpark in Seattle tonight. Felix Hernandez is a standout pitcher for the Mariners and has stepped up his game recently. Hernandez has just a 2.91 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Under is 37-15-1 in Tigers last 53 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games following an off day. The Under is 4-0 in Hernandez's last 4 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 5-1 in Hernandez’ last 6 starts overall. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between the Tigers and Mariners in Seattle. Take the Under Thursday.
Sports Gambling Hotline
Detroit (+130) at SEATTLE
We see no reason why we shouldn't take the plus money with Detroit tonight in Seattle, as the Tigers really amped it up a notch just before the break sweeping Boston in the Motor City.
The Tigers enter Safeco riding a 5-game winning streak, and they are a very respectable 27-15 on the road this year. Seattle has been a surprise team this year, but we doubt they will be able to put up their dukes against last year's AL champion tonight.
Detroit has won 2 of the first 3 meetings against Seattle this year, and they did go 5-1 at Safeco Field last year.
Felix Hernandez has been throwing well of late, but so has Andrew Miller, and we are not going to pass up this chance to get Detroit in the underdog role.
Play on the Tigers.
3? DETROIT
