Handicapper World
(*Underdog Game of the Year*)
Houston @ Cubs
Jennings vs Zambrano
Pick: Houston +155
Yankees @ Tampa Bay
Clemens vs Kazmir
Pick: Over 9
Michael Cannon
Money Train
15 Dime
Pittsburgh Pirates
5 Dime
Arizona D'Backs
LA Angels -1- Run line
Hondo
10 units: Orioles
10 units: Yankees
July 13, 2007 -- Hondo's feeling very flushed today after taking three trips down the drain last night with the Reds, Blue Jays and Orioles to fall just below the Hondoza Line with a debt of 505 motas.
Tonight, Mr. Aitch will play his new ace, Bedard, and try an old one, Clemens. Ten units apiece on the Orioles and Yanks.
Mighty ! Quinn
Atlanta Braves
Big Al Mcmordie
Game: Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins
Prediction: Minnesota Twins
Reason: At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Twins with Johan Santana over Oakland. Santana has struggled at home this year, going just 3-4 in the 1st half, but he's dominated hitters of late (whether home or away), as he's compiled a 1.29 ERA over his last four starts. Santana's also OWNED the 2nd half, as he's an eye-popping 32-3 over the last 3 seasons after the All-Star Break! Look for Oakland to lose its 5th straight game, as the A's have hit just .146 over their last four contests, and have been outscored 24-6, with their starters giving up 8.05 runs per game. Lenny DiNardo will fill in once again and, although he's had some decent outings, and has an ERA of 3.74 as a starter, there's no room for error when your mound opponent is Johan Santana. Take the Twins. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Sports Gambling Hotline
NY Yankees (-140) at TAMPA BAY
Our suggestion tonight is to lay the chalk with the Yankees against the slumping Devil Rays.
Tampa Bay had won 3 of 4 from New York in the first half of the season, but last night things in this series returned to normal, as the Yankees pounded the Devil Rays and handed them their 14th loss in their last 15 games.
Roger Clemens has been very stingy lately, as the Rocket has worked 16 innings of 2 run ball his last 2 trips to the mound, while Scott Kazmir is mired in a 3-game losing streak that has seen him allow 11 earned runs in just over 16 innings of work.
Kazmir is also winless at home this season at 0-3.
New York went 13-5 in the season series last year, and with the Yanks starting to catch a fire having won 6 of their last 8, we have no qualms with laying the road juice tonight.
Play on the Yanks.
4♦ NY YANKEES
Michael Cannon
Colorado at MILWAUKEE (-145)
Lay the chalk with the Brewers at home tonight over the Rockies.
Milwaukee will send their ace, Ben Sheets, to the mound tonight. Sheets is 6-1 with a 2.64 ERA in nine home starts this year. He has won four straight starts at Miller Park. The right-hander is 3-1 with a 1.71 ERA against the Rockies in Milwaukee.
Colorado may have been streaking before the All-Star break, but that came at Coors Field. The Rockies are 1-9 in their last 10 road games. They haven't won in Milwaukee since 2004. Colorado has been outscored 42-11 in suffering consecutive three-game sweeps there over the last two seasons.
Take the Brewers as the heavy home favorite as they grab the win.
3♦ MILWAUKEE
Bobby Maxwell
Cincinnati (+145) at N.Y. METS
Normally you'd almost guarantee the Mets in this one but we're taking a shot with the Reds as they've got one of our favorites on the hill and getting big plus-money. So much we just can't pass them up.
It's Aaron Harang (9-2, 3.67 ERA) on the mound for Cincinnati and the Reds are 9-2 in his last 11 road outings and 14-5 when he's started this season. They have won his last six outings including Sunday when he held the D'Backs to one run on six hits over eight innings of a 4-3 victory.
John Maine (10-4, 2.71) is pitching for the Mets and he is just 3-3 at home with a 3.26 ERA. The Mets have lost four of his last six home starts but he did hold Houston to two runs on six hits over 7 2/3 innings in his last start on July 5.
The Reds had won four straight before the All-Star break but lost a tight one in New York Thursday, 3-2.
The Mets had lost six of eight before the break and weren't looking sharp with the bats. If the offense isn't going well tonight, Harang is going to make them look silly.
Play the Reds and Harang to win this one and cash in a big plus-money ticket.
2♦ CINCINNATI
Dave Cokin
Take "(964) ARI D'backs"
One of the most inexplicable stats in the game comes into play tonight as the Padres face the D-Backs. Greg Maddux is 1-9 vs. 'Zona. That's an amazing record for sure! Bizarre or not, it is what it is. So is the fact that the home team is 14-4 in all Doug Davis starts this season. The Padres loom as the team to beat in the NL West in my opinion, particularly with the addition of talented but enigmatic Milton Bradley, who could really fortify their popgun attack. And I really don't see the Diamondbacks hanging tough for the duration. But in a one game setting, I'm going to take my chances with the pitching numbers and give Arizona a roll tonight.
MADDUX SPORTS
San Diego -110
Friday Wise Owl- Red Sox over 11
Straley - Brewers
CAPPERS ACCESS
(Wed) MLB Orioles
(Wed) MLB Twins
LARRY COOK / INFO PLAYS
3* on Cleveland -173
(Listing Westbrook and Perez)
Cleveland may be a heavy favorite here, but they are worth every penny today. The Indians are hitting .289 at home this season. They will get the best of Odalis Perez and his 4-8 record with a 5.68 ERA on the season. Royals hitters are batting just .248 on the road. K.C. will even make Jake Westbrook look like and Ace today. The Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 home games against the Royals. The Indians are 37-14 in their last 51 home games overall. The Indians are 11-3 in Westbrook's last 14 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Bet Cleveland
dennis macklin
MLB Washington vs. Florida []
Take Florida Marlins
This is a matchup of two pitchers desperately needing a win. Washington\'s Jason Bergmann deserves better than his current 1-5 marker with his 3.47 ERA. He\'s 0-3 3.66 on the road but roughed up some (6.80) in his last two. The guy just doesn\'t get any run support but then again, none of the Nats pitchers do. Dontrelle Willis is 0-4 with a 4.97 ERA in his L7 but has owned Washington to the tune of 10-4 with a 3.22 ERA. He beat the Nats 9-2 in his only start against them this year giving up a run on 7 hits in 7 innings work. Washington has scored more than three runs in just three of their L16 games and are an abysmal 5-23 when Vegas posts 8/8.5 totals on their games. The Fish are 9-4 in L13 as a home fave of 25-50 cents so they have taken care of business against this kind. Play the Florida Marlins.
billy young
MLB San Diego vs. Arizona []
Take San Diego Padres
1* on San Diego -101 (List Maddux) Greg Maddux just keeps overachieving as a starter for San Diego. A winning record on the season has been nothing new for this proven veteran. He will take on Doug Davis today who is 5-10 on the season for Arizona. The Padres have seemed to bounce back every time they endure a defeat. The Padres are 37-17 in their last 54 games following a loss. The Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss. The Diamondbacks are 2-8 in Davis' last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game. You can kind of see where we are going with this. Take the Padres to bounce back today.
Larry Cook
10* InfoPlay AL East Game of the Month on Boston -145
(Listing Tavarez and Marcum)
Julian Tavarez has struggled in recent games, but today we are taking Tavarez to shine against a struggling Blue Jays team. Toronto is hitting just .253 over their last 10 games while Boston is batting .278 during the same span. The Red Sox are 42-18 in their last 60 games as a favorite. The Blue Jays are 0-4 in Marcum's last 4 starts and 0-4 in Marcum's last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Red Sox are 5-1 in Tavarez's last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Red Sox are 79-30 in their last 109 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Boston has outscored the Blue Jays 32-9 in four straight wins over Toronto. Bet the Red sox.
3* on Cleveland -173
(Listing Westbrook and Perez)
Cleveland may be a heavy favorite here, but they are worth every penny today. The Indians are hitting .289 at home this season. They will get the best of Odalis Perez and his 4-8 record with a 5.68 ERA on the season. Royals hitters are batting just .248 on the road. They will even make Jake Westbrook look like and Ace today. The Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 home games against the Royals. The Indians are 37-14 in their last 51 home games overall. The Indians are 11-3 in Westbrook's last 14 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Bet the Indians.
* MAJOR NL Dog of the Day on Cincinnati +147
(Listing Harang)
Cincinnati gets unreal value today with Aaron Harang on the hill. Harang is the most consistent starter, by far, for this Reds squad. Harang has an outstanding 9-2 record with a 3.67 ERA and we will be putting our money on him with comfort tonight. The Reds are 10-1 in Harang's last 11 starts as an underdog. The Reds are 17-5 in Harangs last 22 starts overall. The Mets are just 2-6 in their last 8 games overall and arent good enough right now to be favored this heavily. Bet Cincinnati behind Aaron Harang today.
7* MAJOR on Pittsburgh +140
(Listing Snell)
This is another really solid value play for us today. Ian Snell has pitched better than Tim Hudson all season long and home field advantage is very minimal in this sport. Snells 2.93 ERA on the season stacks up very nicely against Hudsons 3.54 ERA. Both starters have pitched over 115 innings this season. In Snells only start against Atlanta this year, Ian and the Pirates earned a 13-2 win back in May. Look for Snell to have the same success today. The Pirates are 12-4 in Snell's last 16 starts as a road underdog. The Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Bet the Pirates.
John Martin
5 Unit Black Magic NL East Game of the Year on Florida -147
(Listing Willis and Bergmann)
3 Unit Sharp Play on Orioles/White Sox Over 7.5
(Action)
3 Unit Sharp Play on New York Yankees -140
(Listing Clemens)
1 Unit on Milwaukee -146
(Listing Sheets)
WUNDERDOG
BELMONT PARK Race #THREE (4:00 PM Eastern)
(# 4) DASHBOARD DRUMMER - Tricky little field on view, but the distance (6.5 furlongs) combined with the outside draw favor this runner. He can stalk whatever pace develops and make a run from his stalking position whenever the jockey calls upon him. Cannot afford to let the No. 2 and No. 3 runners get away too far and more importantly, the half has to be below :45.4, or those two quality rivals will win the kick down the stretch.
(# 3) Bound Notebook - His only poor races this season have been in his seasonal debut (a pretty tough affair in which Flashy Bull ran second) and a wide post (9) try at Gulfstream. Defeated a pair of very quick individuals (Rondo and Abraaj) two back, was then nostrilled by Nar in latest. Likes this surface (4-1-1-2) is lightly raced and appears to be coming into his own.
(# 2) Praying For Cash - Graded Stakes Winner (Long Branch Grade III) also ran second in the Haskell to Bluegrass Cat. Makes seasonal and four-year-old debut today. McLaughlin doesn't waste many runs, so I'll assume off his fine series of works at Saratoga, that he's ready to go
LOCKSMITH SPORTS
Milwaukee -146 (listing Sheets)
The Rockies are 4-19 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. They are 0-10 against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons and 7-34 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons. Milwaukee is 35-14 against the money line in home games vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. Jimmy's extensive research will pay off here tonight.
PRICELESS PICKS
Florida -147 (listing Willis)
Willis is 44-18 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 since 1997 and 8-0 against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. The Marlins are 8-1 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive road games this season. The Nats are just 80-150 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997. We'll take the Marlins.
BLACK MAGIC SPORTS
Milwaukee -146
(Listing Sheets)
Ben Sheets was an All-Star for a reason and he will prove it today for the Milwaukee Brewers. Sheets is 10-4 on the year with a 3.41 ERA. Milwaukee has won 3 straight over the Colorado Rockies, all coming at home. Sheets won 7-1 over the Rockies in his last start against Colorado. The Brewers are 12-3 in their last 15 contests against Colorado overall. The Rockies are 1-9 in their last 10 road games. The Brewers are 6-0 in Sheets' last 6 home starts. The Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 home meetings with Colorado. Cash in with the Brewers.
BLACK WIDOW
San Diego -101
(List Maddux)
Greg Maddux just keeps overachieving as a starter for San Diego. A winning record on the season has been nothing new for this proven veteran. He will take on Doug Davis today who is 5-10 on the season for Arizona. The Padres have seemed to bounce back every time they endure a defeat. The Padres are 37-17 in their last 54 games following a loss. The Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss. The Diamondbacks are 2-8 in Davis' last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game. You can kind of see where we are going with this. Take the Padres to bounce back today.
INFO PLAYS
Cleveland -173
(Listing Westbrook and Perez)
Cleveland may be a heavy favorite here, but they are worth every penny today. The Indians are hitting .289 at home this season. They will get the best of Odalis Perez and his 4-8 record with a 5.68 ERA on the season. Royals hitters are batting just .248 on the road. K.C. will even make Jake Westbrook look like and Ace today. The Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 home games against the Royals. The Indians are 37-14 in their last 51 home games overall. The Indians are 11-3 in Westbrook's last 14 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Bet Cleveland.
EZ Winners
Friday:
3 STAR PARLAY: (968) CLEVELAND (-$175) & (980) LA ANGELS (-$191)
(Listing Westbrook, Perez, Weaver and Millwood)
(Risking $300 to win $418)
1 STAR: (951) HOUSTON (+$163) over Chicago
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $163)
1 STAR: (957) CINCINNATI (+$146) over NY Mets
(Listing Harang and Maine)
(Risking $100 to win $146)
JEFF ALEXANDER
Florida Marlins -147 (listing Bergmann and Willis)
The Marlins are an impressive 18-6 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. So the Marlins are beating the teams they are supposed to beat. Willis is due, we know that, and tonight's the night for him. He is 8-0 against the ML in his Friday starts the past 2 seasons. Bergmann is just 1-5 this season and 0-3 in his road starts. He is just 3-8 against the ML in all starts this season. Take the Marlins
(*Underdog Game of the Year*)
Houston @ Cubs
Jennings vs Zambrano
Pick: Houston +155
Yankees @ Tampa Bay
Clemens vs Kazmir
Pick: Over 9
Michael Cannon
Money Train
15 Dime
Pittsburgh Pirates
5 Dime
Arizona D'Backs
LA Angels -1- Run line
Hondo
10 units: Orioles
10 units: Yankees
July 13, 2007 -- Hondo's feeling very flushed today after taking three trips down the drain last night with the Reds, Blue Jays and Orioles to fall just below the Hondoza Line with a debt of 505 motas.
Tonight, Mr. Aitch will play his new ace, Bedard, and try an old one, Clemens. Ten units apiece on the Orioles and Yanks.
Mighty ! Quinn
Atlanta Braves
Big Al Mcmordie
Game: Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins
Prediction: Minnesota Twins
Reason: At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Twins with Johan Santana over Oakland. Santana has struggled at home this year, going just 3-4 in the 1st half, but he's dominated hitters of late (whether home or away), as he's compiled a 1.29 ERA over his last four starts. Santana's also OWNED the 2nd half, as he's an eye-popping 32-3 over the last 3 seasons after the All-Star Break! Look for Oakland to lose its 5th straight game, as the A's have hit just .146 over their last four contests, and have been outscored 24-6, with their starters giving up 8.05 runs per game. Lenny DiNardo will fill in once again and, although he's had some decent outings, and has an ERA of 3.74 as a starter, there's no room for error when your mound opponent is Johan Santana. Take the Twins. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Sports Gambling Hotline
NY Yankees (-140) at TAMPA BAY
Our suggestion tonight is to lay the chalk with the Yankees against the slumping Devil Rays.
Tampa Bay had won 3 of 4 from New York in the first half of the season, but last night things in this series returned to normal, as the Yankees pounded the Devil Rays and handed them their 14th loss in their last 15 games.
Roger Clemens has been very stingy lately, as the Rocket has worked 16 innings of 2 run ball his last 2 trips to the mound, while Scott Kazmir is mired in a 3-game losing streak that has seen him allow 11 earned runs in just over 16 innings of work.
Kazmir is also winless at home this season at 0-3.
New York went 13-5 in the season series last year, and with the Yanks starting to catch a fire having won 6 of their last 8, we have no qualms with laying the road juice tonight.
Play on the Yanks.
4♦ NY YANKEES
Michael Cannon
Colorado at MILWAUKEE (-145)
Lay the chalk with the Brewers at home tonight over the Rockies.
Milwaukee will send their ace, Ben Sheets, to the mound tonight. Sheets is 6-1 with a 2.64 ERA in nine home starts this year. He has won four straight starts at Miller Park. The right-hander is 3-1 with a 1.71 ERA against the Rockies in Milwaukee.
Colorado may have been streaking before the All-Star break, but that came at Coors Field. The Rockies are 1-9 in their last 10 road games. They haven't won in Milwaukee since 2004. Colorado has been outscored 42-11 in suffering consecutive three-game sweeps there over the last two seasons.
Take the Brewers as the heavy home favorite as they grab the win.
3♦ MILWAUKEE
Bobby Maxwell
Cincinnati (+145) at N.Y. METS
Normally you'd almost guarantee the Mets in this one but we're taking a shot with the Reds as they've got one of our favorites on the hill and getting big plus-money. So much we just can't pass them up.
It's Aaron Harang (9-2, 3.67 ERA) on the mound for Cincinnati and the Reds are 9-2 in his last 11 road outings and 14-5 when he's started this season. They have won his last six outings including Sunday when he held the D'Backs to one run on six hits over eight innings of a 4-3 victory.
John Maine (10-4, 2.71) is pitching for the Mets and he is just 3-3 at home with a 3.26 ERA. The Mets have lost four of his last six home starts but he did hold Houston to two runs on six hits over 7 2/3 innings in his last start on July 5.
The Reds had won four straight before the All-Star break but lost a tight one in New York Thursday, 3-2.
The Mets had lost six of eight before the break and weren't looking sharp with the bats. If the offense isn't going well tonight, Harang is going to make them look silly.
Play the Reds and Harang to win this one and cash in a big plus-money ticket.
2♦ CINCINNATI
Dave Cokin
Take "(964) ARI D'backs"
One of the most inexplicable stats in the game comes into play tonight as the Padres face the D-Backs. Greg Maddux is 1-9 vs. 'Zona. That's an amazing record for sure! Bizarre or not, it is what it is. So is the fact that the home team is 14-4 in all Doug Davis starts this season. The Padres loom as the team to beat in the NL West in my opinion, particularly with the addition of talented but enigmatic Milton Bradley, who could really fortify their popgun attack. And I really don't see the Diamondbacks hanging tough for the duration. But in a one game setting, I'm going to take my chances with the pitching numbers and give Arizona a roll tonight.
MADDUX SPORTS
San Diego -110
Friday Wise Owl- Red Sox over 11
Straley - Brewers
CAPPERS ACCESS
(Wed) MLB Orioles
(Wed) MLB Twins
LARRY COOK / INFO PLAYS
3* on Cleveland -173
(Listing Westbrook and Perez)
Cleveland may be a heavy favorite here, but they are worth every penny today. The Indians are hitting .289 at home this season. They will get the best of Odalis Perez and his 4-8 record with a 5.68 ERA on the season. Royals hitters are batting just .248 on the road. K.C. will even make Jake Westbrook look like and Ace today. The Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 home games against the Royals. The Indians are 37-14 in their last 51 home games overall. The Indians are 11-3 in Westbrook's last 14 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Bet Cleveland
dennis macklin
MLB Washington vs. Florida []
Take Florida Marlins
This is a matchup of two pitchers desperately needing a win. Washington\'s Jason Bergmann deserves better than his current 1-5 marker with his 3.47 ERA. He\'s 0-3 3.66 on the road but roughed up some (6.80) in his last two. The guy just doesn\'t get any run support but then again, none of the Nats pitchers do. Dontrelle Willis is 0-4 with a 4.97 ERA in his L7 but has owned Washington to the tune of 10-4 with a 3.22 ERA. He beat the Nats 9-2 in his only start against them this year giving up a run on 7 hits in 7 innings work. Washington has scored more than three runs in just three of their L16 games and are an abysmal 5-23 when Vegas posts 8/8.5 totals on their games. The Fish are 9-4 in L13 as a home fave of 25-50 cents so they have taken care of business against this kind. Play the Florida Marlins.
billy young
MLB San Diego vs. Arizona []
Take San Diego Padres
1* on San Diego -101 (List Maddux) Greg Maddux just keeps overachieving as a starter for San Diego. A winning record on the season has been nothing new for this proven veteran. He will take on Doug Davis today who is 5-10 on the season for Arizona. The Padres have seemed to bounce back every time they endure a defeat. The Padres are 37-17 in their last 54 games following a loss. The Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss. The Diamondbacks are 2-8 in Davis' last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game. You can kind of see where we are going with this. Take the Padres to bounce back today.
Larry Cook
10* InfoPlay AL East Game of the Month on Boston -145
(Listing Tavarez and Marcum)
Julian Tavarez has struggled in recent games, but today we are taking Tavarez to shine against a struggling Blue Jays team. Toronto is hitting just .253 over their last 10 games while Boston is batting .278 during the same span. The Red Sox are 42-18 in their last 60 games as a favorite. The Blue Jays are 0-4 in Marcum's last 4 starts and 0-4 in Marcum's last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Red Sox are 5-1 in Tavarez's last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Red Sox are 79-30 in their last 109 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Boston has outscored the Blue Jays 32-9 in four straight wins over Toronto. Bet the Red sox.
3* on Cleveland -173
(Listing Westbrook and Perez)
Cleveland may be a heavy favorite here, but they are worth every penny today. The Indians are hitting .289 at home this season. They will get the best of Odalis Perez and his 4-8 record with a 5.68 ERA on the season. Royals hitters are batting just .248 on the road. They will even make Jake Westbrook look like and Ace today. The Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 home games against the Royals. The Indians are 37-14 in their last 51 home games overall. The Indians are 11-3 in Westbrook's last 14 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Bet the Indians.
* MAJOR NL Dog of the Day on Cincinnati +147
(Listing Harang)
Cincinnati gets unreal value today with Aaron Harang on the hill. Harang is the most consistent starter, by far, for this Reds squad. Harang has an outstanding 9-2 record with a 3.67 ERA and we will be putting our money on him with comfort tonight. The Reds are 10-1 in Harang's last 11 starts as an underdog. The Reds are 17-5 in Harangs last 22 starts overall. The Mets are just 2-6 in their last 8 games overall and arent good enough right now to be favored this heavily. Bet Cincinnati behind Aaron Harang today.
7* MAJOR on Pittsburgh +140
(Listing Snell)
This is another really solid value play for us today. Ian Snell has pitched better than Tim Hudson all season long and home field advantage is very minimal in this sport. Snells 2.93 ERA on the season stacks up very nicely against Hudsons 3.54 ERA. Both starters have pitched over 115 innings this season. In Snells only start against Atlanta this year, Ian and the Pirates earned a 13-2 win back in May. Look for Snell to have the same success today. The Pirates are 12-4 in Snell's last 16 starts as a road underdog. The Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Bet the Pirates.
John Martin
5 Unit Black Magic NL East Game of the Year on Florida -147
(Listing Willis and Bergmann)
3 Unit Sharp Play on Orioles/White Sox Over 7.5
(Action)
3 Unit Sharp Play on New York Yankees -140
(Listing Clemens)
1 Unit on Milwaukee -146
(Listing Sheets)
WUNDERDOG
BELMONT PARK Race #THREE (4:00 PM Eastern)
(# 4) DASHBOARD DRUMMER - Tricky little field on view, but the distance (6.5 furlongs) combined with the outside draw favor this runner. He can stalk whatever pace develops and make a run from his stalking position whenever the jockey calls upon him. Cannot afford to let the No. 2 and No. 3 runners get away too far and more importantly, the half has to be below :45.4, or those two quality rivals will win the kick down the stretch.
(# 3) Bound Notebook - His only poor races this season have been in his seasonal debut (a pretty tough affair in which Flashy Bull ran second) and a wide post (9) try at Gulfstream. Defeated a pair of very quick individuals (Rondo and Abraaj) two back, was then nostrilled by Nar in latest. Likes this surface (4-1-1-2) is lightly raced and appears to be coming into his own.
(# 2) Praying For Cash - Graded Stakes Winner (Long Branch Grade III) also ran second in the Haskell to Bluegrass Cat. Makes seasonal and four-year-old debut today. McLaughlin doesn't waste many runs, so I'll assume off his fine series of works at Saratoga, that he's ready to go
LOCKSMITH SPORTS
Milwaukee -146 (listing Sheets)
The Rockies are 4-19 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. They are 0-10 against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons and 7-34 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons. Milwaukee is 35-14 against the money line in home games vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. Jimmy's extensive research will pay off here tonight.
PRICELESS PICKS
Florida -147 (listing Willis)
Willis is 44-18 against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 since 1997 and 8-0 against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. The Marlins are 8-1 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive road games this season. The Nats are just 80-150 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997. We'll take the Marlins.
BLACK MAGIC SPORTS
Milwaukee -146
(Listing Sheets)
Ben Sheets was an All-Star for a reason and he will prove it today for the Milwaukee Brewers. Sheets is 10-4 on the year with a 3.41 ERA. Milwaukee has won 3 straight over the Colorado Rockies, all coming at home. Sheets won 7-1 over the Rockies in his last start against Colorado. The Brewers are 12-3 in their last 15 contests against Colorado overall. The Rockies are 1-9 in their last 10 road games. The Brewers are 6-0 in Sheets' last 6 home starts. The Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 home meetings with Colorado. Cash in with the Brewers.
BLACK WIDOW
San Diego -101
(List Maddux)
Greg Maddux just keeps overachieving as a starter for San Diego. A winning record on the season has been nothing new for this proven veteran. He will take on Doug Davis today who is 5-10 on the season for Arizona. The Padres have seemed to bounce back every time they endure a defeat. The Padres are 37-17 in their last 54 games following a loss. The Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss. The Diamondbacks are 2-8 in Davis' last 10 starts following a team loss in their previous game. You can kind of see where we are going with this. Take the Padres to bounce back today.
INFO PLAYS
Cleveland -173
(Listing Westbrook and Perez)
Cleveland may be a heavy favorite here, but they are worth every penny today. The Indians are hitting .289 at home this season. They will get the best of Odalis Perez and his 4-8 record with a 5.68 ERA on the season. Royals hitters are batting just .248 on the road. K.C. will even make Jake Westbrook look like and Ace today. The Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 home games against the Royals. The Indians are 37-14 in their last 51 home games overall. The Indians are 11-3 in Westbrook's last 14 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Bet Cleveland.
EZ Winners
Friday:
3 STAR PARLAY: (968) CLEVELAND (-$175) & (980) LA ANGELS (-$191)
(Listing Westbrook, Perez, Weaver and Millwood)
(Risking $300 to win $418)
1 STAR: (951) HOUSTON (+$163) over Chicago
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $163)
1 STAR: (957) CINCINNATI (+$146) over NY Mets
(Listing Harang and Maine)
(Risking $100 to win $146)
JEFF ALEXANDER
Florida Marlins -147 (listing Bergmann and Willis)
The Marlins are an impressive 18-6 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. So the Marlins are beating the teams they are supposed to beat. Willis is due, we know that, and tonight's the night for him. He is 8-0 against the ML in his Friday starts the past 2 seasons. Bergmann is just 1-5 this season and 0-3 in his road starts. He is just 3-8 against the ML in all starts this season. Take the Marlins