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Thread: Bookie Buster Saturday Service Plays 7/14

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  1. #1 Bookie Buster Saturday Service Plays 7/14 
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    BLACK NINES POCKET PAIR PICKS

    SATURDAY 7/14:

    Phillies -1.5 +120 (Maroth and Hamels listed)

    Cubs -120

    WAS/FLA over 8.5 -120 (Chico and Mitre listed)

    Twins -110 (Silva listed)

    (all plays are for one unit unless otherwise specified)

    YESTERDAY: 2-2 -0.25 UNITS

    YTD: 3-4 -1.60 UNITS

    This is Jim Feist.
    My free pick of the day is the game between (903) HOU Astros and (904) CHI Cubs. Take "(904) CHI Cubs". The Cubbies look to finally be grasping what Lou Pinella has been teaching. Lou wanted this club going back to basics, fielding, throwing and keeping those errors down. The first half of the season it wasn't looking too good, but now things are jellin'. The Cubs have won 13 of their last 17 games, including a shutout of the Astros on Friday, 6-0. Lilly gets the start for the Cubs. The lefty is 3-0 in his last three starts and has allowed just six earned runs in 20 1/3 innings. As for the Astros, Roy Oswalt gets the nod and he's been less than stellar on the road. Oswalt is just 2-4 with a 5.68 era in seven road starts this season. We're going with the hot team here on Saturday. Go Cubbies!!!!

    This is Dave Cokin.
    My free pick of the day is the game between (905) LA Dodgers and (906) SF Giants. Take "(906) SF Giants". Dave had a huge Friday night highlighted by a TOP LEVEL winner on the Tigers and including another FREE PLAY score with the Diamondbacks. Dave has both his NL and AL Games of the Week going Saturday, and both big plays are yours for just $25 at his Solid Gold Club!... "The Dodgers rotation is a bit out of synch with Brad Penny getting bumped to Monday with a blister issue. That means Derek Lowe is going in a day game, and Lowe has been much more effective under the lights this season. I like the fact that Matt Morris has had nine days between starts to get some rest and expect he'll be tougher since he's fresher here. I had the Under the Hat winner with LA Friday night, but here I'm opting to go the other way and snare the home dog price with the Giants."

    Today's MLB Picks
    Washington at Florida
    Yesterday the usually anemic Washington offense lit up Dontrelle Willis and the Florida bullpen for 14 runs and 17 hits. Even a fraction of that production should go a long way in support of today's starter, Matt Chico, who has allowed just one run over his last three outings and thrown 13 consecutive scoreless innings. The Nats look like a good underdog pick (+175) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Washington favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+175). Here are all of today's games.
    SATURDAY, JULY 14
    Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

    Game 901-902: St. Louis at Philadelphia
    Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Maroth) 14.210; Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.267
    Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 10 1/2
    Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-185); 9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-185); Over
    Game 903-904: Houston at Chicago Cubs
    Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 14.295; Cubs (Lilly) 15.482
    Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8 1/2
    Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); No Run Line
    Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-125); N/A
    Game 905-906: LA Dodgers at San Francisco
    Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Lowe) 15.328; San Francisco (Morris) 13.540
    Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 9
    Vegas Line: No Line
    Dunkel Pick: N/A
    Game 907-908: Washington at Florida
    Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Chico) 15.404; Florida (Mitre) 13.973
    Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
    Vegas Line: Florida (-175); 9
    Dunkel Pick: Washington (+175); Over
    Game 909-910: Colorado at Milwaukee
    Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Lopez) 14.547; Milwaukee (Sheets) 15.281
    Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 10
    Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-185); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-185); Over
    Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at Atlanta
    Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Gorzelanny) 14.943; Atlanta (James) 14.769
    Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9 1/2
    Vegas Line: Atlanta (-150); 9
    Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+150); Over
    Game 913-914: Cincinnati at NY Mets
    Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Belisle) 13.904; NY Mets (Glavine) 14.222
    Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 8 1/2
    Vegas Line: NY Mets (-200); 9
    Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-200); Under
    Game 915-916: San Diego at Arizona
    Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Young) 15.597; Arizona (Hernandez) 13.675
    Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 8
    Vegas Line: San Diego (-140); 9
    Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-140); Under
    Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore
    Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Vazquez) 15.636; Baltimore (Cabrera) 14.064
    Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
    Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+120); Under
    Game 919-920: Kansas City at Cleveland
    Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Meche) 14.832; Cleveland (Sabathia) 15.226
    Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 10
    Vegas Line: Cleveland (-235); 9
    Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-235); Over
    Game 921-922: Toronto at Boston
    Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (McGowan) 14.556; Boston (Matsuzaka) 15.383
    Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 10 1/2
    Vegas Line: Boston (-230); 9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Boston (-230); Over
    Game 923-924: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay
    Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Wang) 15.295; Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 12.513
    Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2 1/2; 9
    Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-210); 10
    Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-210); Under
    Game 925-926: Oakland at Minnesota
    Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Blanton) 14.013; Minnesota (Silva) 15.080
    Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 1/2
    Vegas Line: Oakland (-115); 9
    Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Over
    Game 927-928: Texas at LA Angels
    Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Loe) 15.318; LA Angels (Lackey) 14.780
    Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 7 1/2
    Vegas Line: LA Angels (-230); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Texas (+230); Under
    Game 929-930: Detroit at Seattle
    Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Rogers) 18.091; Seattle (Batista) 15.116
    Dunkel Line: Detroit by 3; 7
    Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 9
    Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-125); Under


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  2. #2  
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    Saturday Horse Racing Spot Picks

    SPOT PLAYS

    For Saturday

    TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

    Arlington Park (3rd) Rushbuckler, 4-1
    (7th) Coach Elbe There, 10-1

    Belmont Park (1st) Harvest Lisa, 5-1
    (7th) Codeword (Ire), 3-1

    Calder Race Course (9th) Archer Fleet, 3-1
    (10th) Our Destiny, 3-1

    Canterbury Park (5th) Duke Deluxe, 4-1
    (8th) Big Tex, 3-1

    Charles Town (1st) Excommunicated, 3-1
    (5th) Make Me Smile, 8-1

    Colonial Downs (5th) Just Say Boo, 6-1
    (9th) Marabunta, 5-1

    Delaware Park (4th) Fit for a Fight, 9-2
    (5th) Casual, 3-1

    Ellis Park (8th) Daring Don, 9-2
    (9th) Hayburner, 5-1

    Emerald Downs (2nd) Corona's Party, 7-2
    (3rd) Mary's Legacy, 5-1

    Evangeline Downs (7th) De Quincy, 7-2
    (10th) Lone Star Bandit, 3-1

    Finger Lakes (2nd) Forluvof Thegame, 7-2
    (9th) Fixed Ops, 5-1

    Fort Erie (6th) Untouched, 7-2
    (7th) Duckey, 6-1

    Great Lakes Downs (2nd) Faster Prospect, 7-2
    (8th) Wanna Make It, 4-1

    Hastings Park (1st) Sideline, 7-2
    (8th) Classic Show, 4-1

    Hollywood Park (6th) Fifth Base, 9-2
    (7th) Cheese Face, 3-1

    Lone Star Park (4th) Alleged Hug, 7-2
    (9th) She's Got Thefever, 4-1

    Louisiana Downs (9th) Mr Bubba, 7-2
    (11th) Welsh Connection, 5-1

    Monmouth Park (2nd) Fortunate Slew, 9-2
    (7th) Ismus, 5-1

    Mountaineer (5th) Detour Express, 7-2
    (7th) Glows Sunshine, 8-1

    Northlands (6th) Jammin Jazz, 7-2
    (8th) Excludem Pal, 8-1

    Philadelphia Park (7th) Royal Brandy, 9-2
    (8th) Dune Drive Avalon, 6-1

    Prairie Meadows (4th) Miz Moody Blues, 9-2
    (5th) Lady's Opportunity, 6-1

    River Downs (5th) D. J. Tyler, 6-1
    (7th) I'll Do More, 5-1

    Suffolk Downs (8th) Kemosabi's Pride, 9-2
    (9th) Polkadot, 4-1

    Thistledown (4th) Crown Reserve, 7-2
    (10th) Huntin for Bear, 5-1

    Woodbine (1st) Can B Valid, 7-2
    (4th) Ascot Annie, 3-1

    DELAWARE OAKS (G2), 8TH-DEL, $500,000, 3YO, F, 1 1/16M, 3:54 P.M. EDT, 7-14

    PP HORSE TRAINER JOCKEY WT
    1 WINNING POINT GAUDET EDMOND D DOMINGUEZ R A 116
    2 HIGH HEELS HARTLAGE GARY G JOHNSON J M 122
    3 COTTON BLOSSOM PLETCHER TODD A VELAZQUEZ J R 122
    4 BEAR NOW BAKER READE RAMSAMMY E 122
    5 DAWN AFTER DAWN HAWLEY WESLEY PINO M G 116
    6 MOON CATCHER RITCHEY TIM F MARQUEZ C H JR 120
    7 GREENSTREET TAGG BARCLAY ROSE J 116
    8 TOUGH TIZ'S SIS BAFFERT BOB GOMEZ G K 122

    Saturday's $500,000 Delaware Oaks (G2) has drawn a competitive field of eight, and the 1 1/16-mile test will allow recent Acorn S. (G1) victress COTTON BLOSSOM (Broken Vow) a chance to turn the tables on rival HIGH HEELS (E Dubai).

    The pair first met in the Fantasy S. (G2) at Oaklawn Park in April, with High Heels easily taking the win by 6 3/4 lengths while Cotton Blossom finished best of the rest. Next out in the Kentucky Oaks (G1), High Heels ran third while her adversary eventually crossed under the line in ninth. The two went separate ways for their next race, with High Heels running seventh in her turf debut in the Regret S. (G3) and Cotton Blossom scoring in the Acorn. Based on past performances, though, we think that High Heels will return to her winning ways in this spot, once again holding off her rival. The Gary Hartlage-trained bay earned triple-digit BRIS Speed ratings for her Fantasy and Oaks performances and will keep regular rider Joe Johnson aboard while returning to the dirt.

    Cotton Blossom will definitely be tough to deny, but the Todd Pletcher charge has shown her best form while going shorter distances. She did capture the 8 1/2-furlong Florida Oaks in her seasonal bow, but was racing against lesser on that occasion. The bay lass earned a career-best 105 Speed figure for her Acorn score, and could be stepping up to a new level, but we'll try to beat her. John Velazquez has the call.

    TOUGH TIZ'S SIS (Tiznow) is a consistent performer, taking an allowance/optional claimer for trainer Bob Baffert before adding black-type to her record in the Sunland Park Oaks. She was thrown to the wolves off that win when trying the Kentucky Oaks next out, finishing seventh, then was brought back for her synthetic track debut in the Hollywood Breeders' Cup Oaks (G2) last out. The bay filly took the lead soon after the start of that 1 1/16-mile test and led all the way home to record a 3 1/2-length victory. Tough Tiz's Sis earned a nice 101 BRIS E2 Pace rating for that win and could try to set all the pace once again here. She'll be difficult to run down under Garrett Gomez.

    BEAR NOW (Tiznow) is something of a question mark. The Reade Baker miss has spent most of her career running on Woodbine's Polytrack, earning four wins and two thirds, and her three tries on a normal surface resulted in off-the-board finishes. The dark bay lass has shown marked improvement of late, though, taking her past two races -- the Selene S. (Can-G3) and Hill 'n' Dale S. -- by a combined 17 3/4 lengths. If Bear Now can handle the dirt at Delaware, she'll challenge for the win. Emile Ramsammy travels south for the ride.

    WINNING POINT (Point Given) was second in the Susan's Girl Breeders' Cup S. over the track last out after filling that same spot in the Black-Eyed Susan S. (G2) and Comely S. (G2) in her prior two. The Edmond Gaudet trainee has never finished worse than second in her six-race career and deserves consideration for the exotics in this spot. MOON CATCHER's (Malibu Moon) only off-the-board finish came in her stakes debut in mid-May when she ran fourth in the Black-Eyed Susan. She returned a month later to take the Susan's Girl by a front-running two lengths and has recorded some nice bullet moves of late at Delaware. The bay might earn a check if she runs back to that form.

    GREENSTREET (Street Cry [Ire]) won the Polly's Jet S. here before running third to Moon Catcher last out in the Susan's Girl. She seems to be a step below that one, so we'll let her beat us. DAWN AFTER DAWN (Successful Appeal) hasn't been able to handle graded rivals in her past five races and we don't think she'll do so here either.

    TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: 1st-HIGH HEELS
    2nd-COTTON BLOSSOM
    3rd-TOUGH TIZ'S SIS

    SWAPS BREEDERS' CUP S. (G2), 8TH-HOL, $350,000, 3YO, 1 1/8M, 4:50 P.M. PDT, 7-14

    PP HORSE TRAINER JOCKEY WT
    1 AUGMENT GALLAGHER PATRICK SOLIS A 112
    2 ALBERTUS MAXIMUS MANDELLA GARY FLORES D R 112
    3 TIAGO SHIRREFFS JOHN SMITH M E 122
    4 DESERT CODE HOFMANS DAVID MIGLIORE R 118
    5 AWESOME GAMBLER DOMINGUEZ CAESAR F ESPINOZA V 112
    6 SOUVENIR SLEW DOLLASE CRAIG BAZE M C 112

    Three of the top four finishers in the Affirmed H. (G3) will return for Saturday's $350,000 Swaps Breeders' Cup S. (G2), but the top draw is TIAGO (Pleasant Tap). Winner of the Santa Anita Derby (G1), the sophomore colt finished well for seventh in the Kentucky Derby (G1) and grabbed third in the Belmont S. (G1) last out, 5 1/2 lengths back of Rags to Riches (A.P. Indy). His class edge is evident, but Tiago has never raced over a synthetic surface.

    DESERT CODE (E Dubai) is the speed, and we'll tab him for a wire-to-wire victory. Winner of the Affirmed on the engine, the chestnut colt won't face any speed***** in the Swaps. He recorded a 100 BRIS E2 Pace rating last time as well as a 99 BRIS Speed number, which is better than all his rivals but Tiago. Perhaps more importantly, the David Hofmans trainee likes Hollywood Park's Cushion Track, posting a 2-0-1 mark in three starts, with the lone setback coming around one turn. Desert Code shouldn't have any trouble handling nine furlongs, and they'll have to catch him to beat him.

    Tiago could be up to the task, but he's shown the tendency to leave himself too much to do. His run style worked well in the Santa Anita Derby, when the leaders were gassed by midstretch, but the late runner will likely have a tedious pace to run down here. Conditioner John Shirreffs probably won't have his charge fully cranked, with bigger goals like the Travers S. (G1) up ahead, and Tiago won't disgrace himself with a runner-up showing.

    ALBERTUS MAXIMUS (Albert the Great) is a promising three-year-old from the Gary Mandella stable. A maiden winner three starts back, the bay colt rolled to an easy score over allowance opponents on the Cushion Track next out and then made his stakes debut in the Affirmed. Albertus Maximus rallied to be a good second last time, 1 3/4 lengths behind Desert Code, and he's a threat to turn the tables on his rival. He owns more tactical speed than Tiago and has shown an affinity for the Cushion Track, and we wouldn't be shocked to see Albertus Maximus keep moving forward with a winning performance.

    AWESOME GAMBLER (Coronado's Quest) faltered as the Affirmed favorite, dead-heating for fourth, but he had run very well in his two previous attempts on Cushion Track, winning a maiden special weight event and the Alydar S. The late-running colt will probably appreciate the added sixteenth of a mile here, but he might get hurt by a lack of pace once again. Awesome Gambler still merits serious respect for a top-three placing.

    AUGMENT (Aptitude) will make his stakes bow off a May 27 allowance score at Hollywood. He was no match for Albertus Maximus two starts back, and we're prepared to give the Paddy Gallagher pupil at least one race at this level. SOUVENIR SLEW (Souvenir Copy) found a home on the turf three starts back and exits a third in the Colonial Turf Cup S. (G3). Turf horses are always a threat switching to a synthetic surface, but Souvenir Slew faces a difficult task here.

    TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: 1st-DESERT CODE
    2nd-TIAGO
    3rd-ALBERTUS MAXIMUS

    POKER H. (G3), 8TH-BEL, $100,000, 3YO/UP, 1MT, 4:45 P.M. EDT, 7-14

    PP HORSE TRAINER JOCKEY WT
    1 ART MASTER FRANKEL ROBERT J GOMEZ G K 116
    2 JET PROPULSION HURTAK DANIEL NUNEZ E O 116
    3 CLASSIC CAMPAIGN MOTT WILLIAM I DESORMEAUX K J 115
    4 YATE'S BLACK CAT ROMANS DALE ROJAS R I 113
    5 GIMME CREDIT HILLS TIMOTHY A VELASQUEZ CORNE 116
    6 LEADWITHYOURCHIN HUSHION MICHAEL E BRIDGMOHAN S X 113
    7 HOST (CHI) PLETCHER TODD A DECARLO C P 119
    8 WOODLANDER CONTESSA GARY C LUZZI M J 114
    9 CARNERA MCLAUGHLIN KIARAN P COA E M 114
    10 ELECTRIC LIGHT REYNOLDS PATRICK J CHAVEZ J F 115
    11 INDIAN WAR DANCE CONTESSA GARY C LUZZI M J 114

    Eleven horses, including a main-track only runner, are entered in Saturday's $100,000 Poker H. (G3), and the one-mile turf event looks wide open. ART MASTER (Royal Academy) will be making his second start of the season for Bobby Frankel, and we'll give the six-year-old top billing.

    A multiple Group 3 victor in France, Art Master made his U.S. debut last September in the Kelso Breeders' Cup H. (G2) and rallied from the back of the pack for third-place honors, 2 1/2 lengths behind Ashkal Way (Ire) (Ashkalani). He made only one more start last year, a failed attempt at nine furlongs, and re-surfaced this season in a May 17 dirt allowance/optional claiming event at Belmont Park, finishing a creditable second behind an impressive Harlington (Unbridled). Art Master is eligible to move forward significantly off that tightener. His BRIS numbers are good enough, and the lightly raced individual has won three of six starts at a mile on the turf. We'll look for him to earn his first U.S. stakes win.

    JET PROPULSION (Double Honor), who is cross-entered at Delaware Park on Sunday, is a win threat in the Poker. Winner of the Miami Mile Breeders' Cup H. (G3) in wire-to-wire fashion last out, he'll flash to the front from his inside post and could prove impossible to reel in. Based in South Florida, the four-year-old gelding appears to be finding his best form presently for trainer Danny Hurtak, and Eddie Nunez will travel in for the ride.

    HOST (Chi) (Hussonet) can't be overlooked. Winner of the 2005 Shadwell Turf Mile S. (G1), the seven-year-old raced only twice last season, but he appears to be back in fine health with three efforts this season, including a victory in the one-mile Elkwood S. most recently. The Todd Pletcher runner typically records century-topping BRIS Late Pace ratings, and the late runner owns the class to come out on top.

    CLASSIC CAMPAIGN (Rahy) merits respect. Trained by Bill Mott, the five-year-old gelding owns a solid closing kick (Late Pace ratings of 97-109-106 in his last three starts) and has run well at Belmont before despite going winless in four attempts. Classic Campaign just missed last time versus allowance/optional claiming rivals going 1 1/8 miles, and Ashkal Way caught him by a head in an 8 1/2-furlong stakes at Belmont last summer. Classic Campaign will cut back to his preferred distance on Saturday, and we'll include him in some exotics.

    GIMME CREDIT (Artax) is another one to consider. The New York-bred turned in a sharp performance versus open rivals going seven furlongs last time and will be making his graded debut on Saturday. While impressed by his most recent effort, we didn't like Gimme Credit's sixth when traveling a mile two starts back at Belmont. That did follow a freshening, however, and the four-year-old gelding could prove tough to handle if able to duplicate his last showing.

    LEADWITHYOURCHIN (Dynaformer) returned from a lengthy layoff with a sharp victory over allowance/optional claiming rivals last out at Belmont. One-for-one at a mile, the five-year-old offers appeal for the gimmicks at long odds (20-1 morning line), but he might be more effective at longer distances. YATE'S BLACK CAT (Black Minnaloushe) will step up off a pair of fine allowance showings at Churchill Downs for Dale Romans. He may want a little more ground, and we'll just watch to see how the four-year-old handles this class check.

    CARNERA (Old Trieste) hasn't finished better than seventh in his last four turf starts. His form last year was good enough to challenge here, but we can't recommend based on his recent outings. ELECTRIC LIGHT (Silver Ghost) doesn't appear to be entering the Poker at the top of his game, and he's saddled with an outside post. We'll take a stand against.

    WOODLANDER (Forestry) is a three-time winner on the turf at Belmont, but he may need an easier spot. INDIAN WAR DANCE (Cherokee Run), coupled with Woodlander, is entered for the main track only.

    TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: 1st-ART MASTER
    2nd-JET PROPULSION
    3rd-HOST (Chi)

    Mike Superstein's Hollywood Park Analysis for July Saturday, 14
    RACE ONE

    JUSTINPLACE found allowance types a bit too difficult June 10, so he scampers back to a claimer. In his previous outing, against slightly softer, he tracked the leaders then powered home for an easy victory. OUR PARTNER comes off a hard fought loss just six days ago. His form makes him a threat, but 'Partner's recent race may have left him sapped. BALLESTERO ran well in his first start over this course, but the race was against cheaper company.

    RACE TWO

    ALPINE SPORT would be a standout were if not for the rail draw. As it is, his last race still makes him difficult to beat. 'SPORT gave class dropper Voracious all he could handle, finishing only a length back, and now returns at the same level. FRENCH SOUVENIR drops several floors and takes off the blinkers after stopping badly. Joe Talamo in the saddle suggests 'SOUVENIR may not be totally shot. SWISS LAD abandoned his form after being claimed by Steve Knapp. Maybe this drastic plunge will wake him up.

    RACE THREE

    GOLDEN VIA was claimed by Mike Puype for $12,500 at Golden Gate Fields May 23, then shipped south to register a romping win at the same level. Puype now protects the filly by stepping her up to $25,000. We're a big fan of sharp runners catapulting in class. MADERA ROYAL aired in her last two races on the main track. She's back on the Cushion today, a surface on which she defeated starter allowance foes May 3. HOLD THE GAME is a consistent check-getter for Ed Moger. She's been in the money 12 of 21 starts racing at or around this price.

    RACE FOUR

    CHANCELLOR got the opportunity to route on the grass and ran a bangup second, a scant nose back. With that experience and the inside post, he looms a short price to exit the maiden ranks. MONTE BAJO was a close fourth to repeat winner Frank the Barber despite being pushed extremely wide on the first turn. 'BAJO was coming off a nine week layoff, so improvement can be expected today. SENIOR competed in the Hollywood Futurity as a maiden last December. He's had ample time to regroup and obviously his connections think a lot of him.

    RACE FIVE

    I'M ALL OUT finally struck paydirt after four straight seconds with a powerful maiden victory June 23. The win was accomplished in fast time and the son of Include can come right back against winners. KRUGER PARK tried rating tactics after graduating in wire to wire fashion. He made a looping move to grab a brief lead entering the stretch before tiring the last sixteenth. He's still learning the game and can do better. ROBBOS COURAGE never got involved routing on the turf. He ran his best races going short, so this elongated sprint should be right up his alley.

    RACE SIX

    NOSEY BRITCHES faces a lackluster field after a year layoff. Anything resembling her runner-up effort when last seen should get the money. ALMOST A TEN was dueled into submission through some swift fractions July 4. She lost a tough photo after carving out the pace in her previous tart. This will mark her first race without blinkers. FIFTH BASE was fourth in a blanket finish in her first Cushion start and her first try against claimers. The negative is that she hasn't worked in a month.

    RACE SEVEN

    WONDROUS EVENT dominated maidens on turf at Calder in May. She now shows up in the Michael Machowsky barn and looks to have a bright future. WARREN'S ADVENTURE drew away late to defeat $40,000 maidens. Though this will be her first start going long and on grass, her style and pedigree suggest it will be no problem. DEVINE BY DESIGN bombed as the favorite sprinting June 9. She'll be part of the early pace and Talamo sticks with her.

    RACE EIGHT

    ALBERTUS MAXIMUS ran well against adverse conditions in the Affirmed Handicap June 17. Making his first stakes attempt, 'MAXIMUS tracked slow fractions, dropped back a bit on the turn, then closed sharply to miss by just over a length. With an extra sixteenth of a mile and the presence of SOUVENIR SLEW to put more pressure on DESERT CODE, 'MAXIMUS can turn the tables. DESERT CODE stole the Affirmed under a heady ride by Richard Migliore. Though this distance will be stretching his limits, 'DESERT is ultra game and will not go down without a fight. TIAGO, winner of the Santa Anita Derby and participant in the Kentucky Derby and Belmont Stakes, is a beatable favorite. The half-brother to Giacomo is void of early speed and is shortening up from a mile and one-half race.

    RACE NINE

    DOLLAR MOUNTAIN ran much better than the past performances indicate first time out. He angled to the inside entering the stretch, appeared to be full of run, then ran into a roadblock the last sixteenth. 'DOLLAR will be a much more experienced runner this time around. POLONIUS makes his first start following a series of strong drills. Though his trainer (Michael Pender) doesn't start many, his win percentage with newcomers is impressive (20%). DIXIELAND EASY raced evenly in his bow and has the look of a horse who will improve second time out.

    Best Bet-GOLDEN VIA (3)
    __________________

    Belmont
    By Dave Litfin

    BEST BET: My Man Lars (6th race)


    First Race


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    1. Western Sweep 2. Deep Dish Wildcat 3. Wakeup With Makeup

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    WESTERN SWEEP has been improving little by little all season long; only non-exacta finish at this distance occurred last out when chasing a sizzling pace in overnight stake. DEEP DISH WILDCAT drops from stakes on turf and dirt at Monmouth to begin form cycle; at her best with a clear lead at the pace call, but faces a potential wide trip as HARVEST LISA and WAKEUP WITH MAKEUP also vie for forward position into the turn. Wakeup With Makeup went well in latest at Monmouth vs. Holy Nova, who returned to win a first-level allowance here Wednesday.

    Second Race


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    1. Coastal Flare 2. El Medwar 3. My Michael

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    COASTAL FLARE is a half-brother to a handful of European turf stakes winners, including War Zone, who won a renewal of the Poker Handicap for these connections; likely to improve off three-way pace battle first out. EL MEDWAR won a pace duel when run down lte by wide-rallying MY MICHAEL in their June 21 matchup; eligible to turn the tables second time on turf. WILD WIZARD is a half-brother to Diadella, a multiple grass stakes winner in Canada; blinkers on after trouble at the start of both dirt tries.

    Third Race


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    1. Officer in Pursuit 2. Debbie Got Even 3. Street Sass

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OFFICER IN PURSUIT was a game winner of an overnight stake at Aqueduct back on Mar. 25, just a few days before the cut-off date in today's conditions; good try setting strong pace vs. the up-and-coming Mini Sermon last out. DEBBIE GOT EVEN received a perfect setup when two distance-challenged rivals engaged in a suicidal pace duel going seven furlongs last month; steps up a notch after a solid workout last week. STREET SASS also had a good pace scenario in her recent comeback, when she rallied from far back to win New York-bred stake going away, and has also trained well leading to this.

    Fourth Race


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    1. Posted 2. Charming Billy 3. Deb's Roof

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    You have to wonder about POSTED, a $350K yearling buy who didn't make it to the races until his 4-year-old season, but he did show some ability on Aqueduct's inner track despite racing greenly through an eventful trip; five workouts at regular intervals the past five weeks are an encouraging sign. CHARMING BILLY closed off a blistering half-mile to miss second by a neck in debut behind a runaway winner; added sixteenth of a mile should help. DEB'S ROOF is turf to dirt, after middle move in lone start this year vs. Pays to Dream, who came back to win two allowance races; haven't the foggiest about specifics of belated rally lone try on fast dirt.

    Fifth Race


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    1. Theatrical Glory 2. Pulpiteer 3. Mighty Gulch

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    THEATRICAL GLORY decisioned several of these earlier at the meet, the question now is whether he can hold form after three all-out drives in succession - the latter two just days apart; two aluminum pads on hardly inspires confidence, but he's a hard-trying sort that likes this track. PULPITEER a $900K yearling now in for a mere $10K, has settled into a routine of Beyering in the upper 70s all starts at the meet; likeliest alternative if the top one doesn't fire. MIGHTY GULCH and TRIPLETHEPLEASURE were respectable thirds behind the choice on June 23 and June 20, respectively, and project to be chasing early once again.

    Sixth Race


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    1. My Man Lars 2. Speaking Out 3. Sammy's Toy

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MY MAN LARS received "outfinished" comments for his last two starts while still earning the two best figures of his career; likely to appreciate the turnback to a mile. SPEAKING OUT has been running the same race on turf virtually every time for over a year now; finally gets a decent post position. SAMMY'S TOY has never taken a backward step in terms of the Beyer figures, capped by an improvement of several lengths first time wearing blinkers; likely to be in closest pursuit to HEIGHTS as he stretches out from six furlongs.

    Seventh Race


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    1. Ambassador 2. Codeword 3. Big Bold Place

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    AMBASSADOR was unable to finish with the promising Blazingg Dynamo, but continued on well to be a clear second when tried at 1 1/4 miles for the first time; should get an honest pace with OEDIPUS O'NEAL and THREE IN THE BAG in the field. CODEWORD comes off paired Beyers (85s) in his first two turf starts with blinkers on, a pattern that suggests a possible forward move; drops in class after meeting a couple of tigers in the Hill Prince, key is whether he can handle the added real estate. BIG BOLD PLACE failed to fire vs. the top pick last out, following a couple of better performances in shorter races earlier at the meet - one of them in a more advanced allowance condition; dangerous if he rebounds.

    Eighth Race


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    1. Classic Campaign 2. Gimme Credit 3. Art Master

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLASSIC CAMPAIGN has registered triple-digit figures in four of his last five starts, the lone exception from post 10 giving futile chase to loose-on-the-lead JET PROPULSION as the favorite in Calder stake; freshened since being thrust into the role of pacesetter vs. Shakis, who was subsequently beaten a head and nose in the Grade 1 Manhattan. GIMME CREDIT finished explosively to win overnight stake on this course in second start of the year; five straight wins while climbing the ladder in '06 indicate he can hold form off that lifetime top figure. ART MASTER had a useful tightener running a clear second to stakes winner Harlington on the main track first out this year; U.S. debut in Kelso on this course puts him in the hunt in wide-open Poker.

    Ninth Race


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    1. Yankee Thunder 2. Logic Way 3. In the Spotlight

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    YANKEE THUNDER ran his best race as a first-time starter here last summer, and has compiled a string of promising workouts for excellent layoff trainer; handles some give in the course. LOGIC WAY appears to prefer firm turf, judging from two races on that sort of footing that were far superior to his two races on "good" ground; should have ample conditioning as he shortens up from 1 1/4 miles. IN THE SPOTLIGHT has improved steadily since switched to the grass for his last two starts with blinkers removed; faces a loss of ground into the backstretch after breaking from the far outside.
    __________________

    Caldar

    Analysis:: by Ron Nicoletti
    12:50PM
    Race 1 -
    5 WP TOUR, a sharp winner on the dirt vs. 'two-lifetime' claiming competition on May 24, turns back after setting the pace and fading vs. $25K 'three-lifetime' foes in a 2-turn affair on the turf. 3 WESTERN PASTURES will try 'three-lifetime' competition after posting almost identical fourth place finishes vs. $16K conditioned claimers on sealed 'sloppy' tracks. 2 TRIPPENTY, third at this level on May 27, races without blinkers after showing speed and fading vs. better in consecutive sprints.

    5-3-2

    Race 2 -
    12 TOMOCHICHI may finally get to try the turf after hitting the board in pair vs. maiden special weight competition on wet tracks. Trainer Greg Griffith has leading jock Elvis Trujillo handling the surface switch. 2 GONE STRAIGHT, a sharp second on the Gulfstream turf (Apr. 22), renews the rivalry with Tomochichi after proving no match for him on the dirt on May 26. 10 MO'S LAST CALL second on the turf here vs. $32K maidens, returns to the lawn after showing speed and fading vs. $40K types on the main track. 6 CUPAKAUFY, fifth behind Mo's Last Call in his only previous turf race, returns to the grass after hitting the board in 1 of 2 $32K maiden events on wet tracks.

    12-2-10-6

    Race 3 -
    8 TURNPIKE TOMMY is hoping for a clean trip after ducking in at the start, checking on the turn, and still managing to finish third in his career debut at this level and distance. Manoel Cruz rides. 1 I'VE REPENTED is the obvious choice to score when stretching out to 5-furlongs after surrendering a late lead to finish second in his 4 1/2-furlong career debut. 6 INDEPENDENCE WAR is debuting locally in the Bill White barn after finishing a promising fourth on the Arlington Park Polytrack. 9 DR. W is expected to show more after losing his best chance when breaking poorly in his career debut.

    8-1-6-9

    Race 4 -
    4 LAYTON and 3 BARK DUST renew the rivalry at their best distance after dueling from the opening bell and finishing second & third, respectively, in a $12.5K claimer at 6 1/2 furlongs. Note that 10-pound apprentice J Ortiz picks up the mount on the former while 5-pound bug Sally Mitchellhill returns on the latter. 5 SINCERE MAN turns back to three-quarters after making a 4-wide bid and fading to finish fifth behind the top two at 6 1/2 furlongs.

    4-3-5

    Race 5 - THE DONTHELUMBERTRADER
    7 SPARKLING NOTION, sent off at 32-1 last out, gets the tepid call when he cuts back to 7 1/2 furlongs after just getting edged at the wire by 48-1 long shot 3 FEARLESS EAGLE in the mile and a sixteenth $50K Lord Juban. The latter, trained by Ed Plesa Jr., picks up 4 lbs. (122) after getting up in the final strides to win the Lord Juban on a 'good' turf. 5 VILLAINAGE, another from trainer Ed Plesa, who was second to classy Soldier's Dancer in the Appleton Juvenile Turf, returns to the lawn after a powerful 'three-lifetime' allowance score on the main track. 10 LATER GATER, sent off at 3-to-1 in the Lord Juban, is hoping for a clean trip after steadying on the backstretch and getting beat 3 1/4 lengths by the top two.

    7-3-5-10

    Race 6 -
    7 ALWAYS STYLISH makes her first start since fading to finish fourth, as the favorite, in a 'key' maiden race at Tampa that produced 3 next-out winners. 8 WINDY PRINCESS should take the lion's share of the betting action after posting the best last-race figure (49) when finishing third vs. similar in the slop. 2 BO'S DREAM CATCHER is turning back after setting the pace and fading to finish third vs. similar at 5 1/2 furlongs on a sealed 'sloppy' track. 4 RELIC TRILOGY will try five-eighths of a mile after hitting the board in 2 of 3 recent starts vs. similar going longer.

    7-8-2-4

    Race 7 -
    2 DEARDINNER and 3 LITTLE LUCIFER are stretching out to a mile after finishing second & third - separated by a length - at 7 1/2 furlongs on a 'good' turf. 5 UNFAIR, who beat Deardinner by a nose at Gulfstream, makes her first start since finishing a troubled fourth in a 'key' $25K claimer on May 12 that produced next-out winners Jilli's Cape & Big Shadow. 8 RUSHIN' RAHY, competitive on the turf vs. $16K optional claimers in Apr. & May, returns to the grass for the always-dangerous Marty Wolfson barn after a couple of clunkers on the main track.

    2-3-5-8

    Race 8 -
    3 FINAL CALL, a full brother to Desert Vixen runner up Family Favorite, drops with Lasix added after dueling for the lead and apparently bleeding when finishing fourth in his promising maiden special weight debut. 6 CLOSING NUMBER drops $10K after finishing a troubled third (steadied stretch) vs. $50K maidens at 4 1/2 furlongs. 2 BRIAN'S WONDER is stepping up after encountering early trouble (bumped, steadied) when finishing second vs. $32K maidens. 9 SPARKLE CITY, a full brother to Dream Of Angels, who won a pair of stakes at age 2, debuts for trainer Luis Olivares with 4 local workouts showing.

    3-6-2-9

    Race 9 -
    3 LOUIS LE GRANDE drops, and turns back to his best distance (5-2-0-1) after making a middle move and fading when facing $12.5K starter allowance foes at a mile and a sixteenth. 7 ARCHER FLEET is stretching out to seven-eighths after posting competitive figures when finishing second to repeat winner New Kid In Town in a pair of $5K sprints at 6 & 5 1/2 furlongs in the 'slop'. 4 FORTUNATE PRINCE is turning back to 7 furlongs (2-1-0-0) after hitting the board in 2 of 3 recent route races vs. similar competition. 10 L DA VINCI drops after showing speed and tiring vs. better in a pair of local sprints. Carlos Olivero rides for trainer Steve Towne.

    3-7-4-10

    Race 10 -
    9 SILVER ENVOY, who broke inward and stumbled & bumped at the start when finishing third in her first race back from a 9-month plus layoff, hopes to get away trouble free and score at 6 1/2 furlongs. 1 SECRET GIRLFRIEND will depart from the rail after losing all chance when she was jammed back at the start by Silver Envoy last out. 7 PLEASANT HONOREE will face allowance competition after drawing away to defeat next-out winners Marchesa & Eclectic Run in a fruitful $50K maiden test at 6 furlongs. 6 SYNERGY stretches out in her second start back from the layoff after getting bumped hard at the start in the chain reaction started by Silver Envoy.

    9-1-7-6

    Race 11 -
    8 GRANDE has trained sharply in preparation for the first start since his promising debut (May 27) in which he finished fifth behind repeat winner Brother Joey & next-out winner Big City Man. 7 URBANE PROSPECT is stretching out to 6 furlongs after recovering from a poor start to finish second in front of my 3rd race choice Turnpike Tommy. Note: Use the 3rd race as a handicapping guide before you wager on this son of Suave Prospect. 11 TINY MIRACLE is stretching out after closing well to finish third vs. similar at 5 1/2 & 4 1/2 furlongs, respectively. 1O SR. HENRY will be treated with Lasix after rallying to finish second vs. $40K maidens in his 5 1/2-furlong career debut.

    8-7-11-10

    Race 12 -
    2 IMAWILDANDCRAZYGUY is back home after an ambitious campaign in which he competed in two of the three legs of the Triple Crown. Trainer Bill Kaplan spots him perfectly vs. 'three-lifetime' allowance competition. 3 HOW SWEET IT IS makes his first start since his 2-race win streak on New York circuit ended when he finished eighth in the 'key' Gotham Stakes (G3) that produced 5 next-out winners - that's right 5 - including repeat winner Cowtown Cat. 6 LEGACY RESERVE is a candidate to rebound after following a good second vs. 'two-other-than' allowance runners on June 3 with a not so good effort at this level and distance on June 25.

    2-3-6

    Race 13 -
    4 LIZA ANN is turning back to a sprint after showing speed and tiring late in a pair of stamina tweaking outings vs. similar when racing around 2-turns. 7 KNOCK ME OUT will try 6 1/2 furlongs after earning a check vs. similar in a pair at 5 1/2 furlongs. 5 SPANGLER'S STORM is stretching out an additional furlong after rallying to finish fourth behind Knock Me Out in their recent clash at 5 1/2 furlongs.

    BEST BET: RACE 5 - SPARKLING NOTION

    LONG SHOT: RACE 8 - SPARKLE CITY



    4-7-5
    __________________


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  3. #3  
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    cappersaccess
    (Sat) MLB Cubs Astros 125 Astros
    (Sat) MLB Braves Pirates 135 Braves

    Brian Gabrielle
    FREE PLAY: Proposition 1 Special vs Proposition 2 Special
    At this week’s John Deere Classic, take Zach Johnson (14-1), 1/6 unit in the outright: Illinois is as close to Iowa as Johnson is going to get this year on Tour, geographically. The PGA Championship is in Oklahoma, which is two states away from Illinois by stretch, but the Memorial in Ohio was closer in terms of mileage. Point is, Johnson’s done real well this year with two wins. He’s coming off a MC at The Travelers but he’s the best short bet this week. Take Anthony Kim (25-1), 1/6 unit: Four top-10s and nine top-25s, this guy’s having what will be a breakout year if he can win. A birdie machine, he just needs to make more putts. Take Carl Pettersson (33-1), 1/6 unit: He got off to a slow start but he’s coming off T17 and T15 at the U.S. Open and Travelers, respectively.Pettersson’s sort of the definition of workmanlike, but he’s managed a win in each of the last two years.

    Bill Young
    FREE PLAY: Washington Nationals vs Florida Marlins
    1* on Florida -160 (List Mitre and Chico) Sergio Mitre has been a big bright spot on this terrible Marlins’ starting staff. Mitre has only a 2.85 ERA in over 88 innings of work. He has his team hitting the ball very well in support also. Washington is batting just .238 in their last 10 games despite a big run total from the Nationals last night. Mitre will deliver the goods tonight against a team that doesn’t hit righty pitching well at all. The Nationals are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Florida. The Nationals are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Take Florida

    Larry Cook
    FREE PLAY: Chicago (A) White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles
    3* on Chicago White Sox +100 (Listing Vasquez and Cabrera) Javier Vasquez has finally gotten his act together for the Chicago White Sox. Vasquez is 3-0 in his last 3 starts with a 1.80 ERA and just a 0.88 WHIP. Daniel Cabrera is winless in his last 3 starts for the Orioles with a 1.64 WHIP and a high 5.40 ERA. The White Sox have killed the Orioles staff, without counting Erik Bedard. The Sox have touched up the Orioles for at least 4 runs in 12 of their last 13 meetings. Chicago is batting .294 over their last 10 games. The White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 games at Baltimore. The Sox are 21-9 in their last 30 meetings with Baltimore overall. We have a big advantage on the mound today and we won’t hesitate to wager on Chicago. Bet the White Sox.
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    HONDO

    July 14, 2007 -- With only $1 million coming his way for the start, it was asking a little too much of Rawjah to shut down the mighty Rays last night, so Hondo ended up with a split as he scored with Bedard and the Birds to fall deeper into debt at 525 tidrows (which isn't far from skidrow).

    Today, he's hoping the firm of McGowan, Oswalt, Chico and Young can win him some cash. Ten units apiece on the Jays, 'Stros, Nats and Pods.


    Marc Lawrence

    Saturday 7/14
    Chicago w/Lilly over Houston w/Oswalt

    Cubbies send Ted Lilly to the hill against Roy Oswalt and the Astros this afternoon knowing Lilly's 3.25 ERA at home is nearly a full run better than his road ERA this season. On the flip side, Oswalt's 5.68 ERA is more than THREE RUNS higher than his home ERA. Look for Chicago to hammer Houston here today.


    BRIAN GABRIELLE

    GOLF

    At this week’s John Deere Classic, take Zach Johnson (14-1), 1/6 unit in the outright: Illinois is as close to Iowa as Johnson is going to get this year on Tour, geographically. The PGA Championship is in Oklahoma, which is two states away from Illinois by stretch, but the Memorial in Ohio was closer in terms of mileage. Point is, Johnson’s done real well this year with two wins. He’s coming off a MC at The Travelers but he’s the best short bet this week. Take Anthony Kim (25-1), 1/6 unit: Four top-10s and nine top-25s, this guy’s having what will be a breakout year if he can win. A birdie machine, he just needs to make more putts. Take Carl Pettersson (33-1), 1/6 unit: He got off to a slow start but he’s coming off T17 and T15 at the U.S. Open and Travelers, respectively.Pettersson’s sort of the definition of workmanlike, but he’s managed a win in each of the last two years.


    Big Al Mcmordie

    Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants
    Jul 14 2007 3:55PM

    Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers

    Reason: At 3:55pm our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the San Francisco Giants. After getting off to a very hot start, Giants starter Matt Morris is now pitching much more like you'd expect from an overpaid 33 year-old righthander. He has been particularly easy to hit in his last four starts where he's given up 39 hits in only 22 2/3 innings. And things probably won't get any easier for him against the Dodgers, a team that Morris has only beaten twice in the last 10 times he's faced them dating all the way back to 2002. The Dodgers have won an astounding 13 of 17 meetings between these two NL West rivals. Take the Dodgers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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  5. #5  
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    Brandon Lang

    20 Dime
    White Sox

    15 Dime
    Yankees -1.5 runs

    10 Dime
    Tigers

    5 Dimes
    Astros
    NATS
    Rangers

    FREE PLAY: Padres
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  6. #6 Big Al....this Date Always Brings Back Memories -714 
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    BIG AL'S FULL SERVICE CLIENTS
    saturday ALL 3* PLAYS
    Our 3 selections include the White Sox, the over in the White Sox game, and the 'under' in the Toronto/Boston game.

    White Sox/Orioles 'over' -- At 7:05pm our selection is on the Chicago White Sox and Baltimore Orioles 'over' the total. The Orioles have given up on several pitchers throughout the years who have then gone on to other teams only to be very productive, and in some cases, outright stars. Most notably within the last ten years there's been Armando Benitez, who has been one of the best closers in the league after departing the O's, and Arthur Rhodes, who developed into one of the best setup men. More recently there's been BJ Ryan and to some extent, Rodrigo Lopez. Current Orioles righthanded starter Daniel Cabrera fits this mode to a tee. There is no denying his talent, but he has been extremely frustrating and damaging as a regular member of the O's rotation. His numbers this season have actually regressed to the point where he may not make it through the season as a starter. If they give up on Cabrera, he is exactly the type of player who will get it together as soon as he finds a new home. But for now, count on him going out there and getting blown out, especially at home, where his numbers are particularly dreadful. He's given up an average of over five earned runs in each of his last four home starts. And if ever there was a matchup that produces runs, it's the Orioles and White Sox. In their last twelve games against each other, these two teams have scored a total of 156 runs, or an amazing thirteen runs per contest. And the over is 13-3 in Cabrera's last sixteen home starts. Take the 'over'.

    White Sox -- At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago White Sox. As I stated in our write up on the 'over' in this game, I fully expect Daniel Cabrera to get lit up tonight, and we'll play on Chicago.

    Toronto/Boston 'under' -- At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Toronto/Boston game with Matsuzaka and McGowan starting. Both pitchers are in spectacular form, with McGowan's WHIP at 0.90 over his last 3 starts and Matsuzaka's WHIP at 0.95. Matsuzaka has faced the Jays twice this year and held them to 3 runs in 13 innings with 18 strikeouts. Take the 'under'. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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  7. #7 Bookie Buster MLB 7/14 
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    Record from 7/13: 3-2 +74

    Only two offical plays: (lines bodog)

    929 detroit tigers -130

    915 san diego padres -135

    Other plays but too much chalk:

    920 cleveland indians -225

    923 new york yankees -200

    928 los angeles angels -220

    GL,

    BB
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  8. #8  
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    Saturday, July 14th

    National League

    St. Louis at Philadelphia, 3:55 EST FOX
    Mike Maroth (L) vs. Cole Hamels (L)
    Maroth: 8-2 TSR in road games
    Hamels: Phi 19-10 Over in day games

    Houston at Chicago Cubs, 3:55 EST FOX
    Roy Oswalt (R) vs. Ted Lilly (L)
    Oswalt: Hou 18-36 as a road underdog of +100 to +125
    Lilly: 3-0 TSR, 2.66 ERA L3 starts

    LA Dodgers at San Francisco, 3:55 EST FOX
    Brad Penny (R) vs. Matt Morris (R)
    Penny: 26-9 Over when the total is 7 to 8.5
    Morris: 8-1 TSR when the total is 8 to 8.5

    Washington at Florida, 7:05 EST
    Matt Chico (L) vs. Sergio Mitre (R)
    Chico: 9-5 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175
    Mitre: 1-9 TSR in home games

    Colorado at Milwaukee, 7:05 EST
    Rodrigo Lopez (R) vs. Ben Sheets (R)
    Lopez: Col 10-26 Away vs. NL Central
    Sheets: Mil 20-6 at home vs. NL West

    Pittsburgh at Atlanta, 7:05 EST
    Tom Gorzelanny (L) vs. Chuck James (L)
    Gorzelanny: Pit 18-7 Under vs. lefties
    James: Atl 28-5 Over in July

    Cincinnati at NY Mets, 7:30 EST
    Matt Belisle (R) vs. Tom Glavine (L)
    Belisle: Cin 15-6 Under after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7
    Glavine: 10-0 TSR at home when the total is 9 to 9.5

    San Diego at Arizona, 9:40 EST
    Chris Young (R) vs. Livan Hernandez (R)
    Young: 3-0 TSR, 0.90 ERA L3 starts
    Hernandez: Ari 2-7 in July


    American League

    Chicago White Sox at Baltimore, 7:05 EST WGN
    Javier Vazquez (R) vs. Daniel Cabrera (R)
    Vazquez: 14-5 Over working on 5 or 6 days rest
    Cabrera: 13-2 Over on Saturday

    Kansas City at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
    Gil Meche (R) vs. CC Sabathia (L)
    Meche: 0-7 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5
    Sabathia: Cle 29-9 as a home favorite of -110 or higher

    Toronto at Boston, 7:05 EST
    Dustin McGowan (R) vs. Daisuke Matsuzaka (R)
    McGowan: Tor 11-3 Over on Saturday
    Matsuzaka: Bos 14-2 Over at home vs. division opponents

    NY Yankees at Tampa Bay, 7:10 EST
    Chien-Ming Wang (R) vs. Andy Sonnanstine (R)
    Wang: 8-1 TSR in July
    Sonnanstine: TB 9-0 Over at home vs. division opponents

    Oakland at Minnesota, 7:10 EST
    Joe Blanton (R) vs. Carlos Silva (R)
    Blanton: 11-2 Under after a game where he did not walk a batter
    Silva: Min 8-0 Over at home with a money line of -100 to -125

    Texas at LA Angels, 9:05 EST
    Kameron Loe (R) vs. John Lackey (R)
    Loe: 17-5 Under as an underdog
    Lackey: 27-10 TSR working on 5 or 6 days rest

    Detroit at Seattle, 10:05 EST
    Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Miguel Batista (R)
    Rogers: 25-2 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5
    Batista: 20-10 Over as an underdog

    ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

    This weekend at Siena, there is a certified AAU tourney, last I heard, they had roughly 20 teams in two age groups with talented players signed up to play. So if you like to watch good basketball and don't mind being inside on a nice day, check out Siena all weekend long.

    At 2:25am Saturday, 54 players have at least a million chips at World Series of Poker Main Event, with the chip leader having 2,925,000. Very close tournament; there are still some recognizable names with chips.

    Six-pack for Saturday
    -- Matt Holliday's first game after Home Run Derby: four strikeouts and a home run. Uh-oh.
    -- A's minor league system is getting thin; four of the nine guys who started at AAA Sacramento Friday are catchers or converted catchers. More slow guys. Terrific.
    -- Arizona RF Jeff Salazar made a great catch Friday night, robbing Giles of a home run by bringing ball back in from over the rightfield fence. Tremendous play.
    -- San Francisco couldn't get Russell Martin out Friday, in 9-1 Dodger win. Martin was on base five times in five tries.
    -- Giant rookie Fred Lewis is an impressive prospect; so far this season, he is 4-for-4 as a pinch-hitter.
    -- Barry Bonds kills the Giants in leftfield; he has zero range so unless a ball is hit right at him, it drops in. Announcers on Giant games are choosing to ignore it, at least on the air.



    Hot Pitchers
    -- Phillies won twelve of last sixteen Hamels starts.
    -- Lilly is 4-0, 3.06 in five starts since he got tossed out a game on ESPN after 10 pitches, for trying to drill the batter. Astros won five of last six Oswalt starts, scoring 38 runs.
    -- Dodgers are 10-0 with Lowe if they score four or more runs.
    -- Chico is 1-0, 0.47 in his last three starts.
    -- Milwaukee is 10-3 in last thirteen Sheets starts.
    -- Atlanta is 9-0 with James if they give him four or more runs. Gorzelanny is 3-0, 3.29 in his last four starts.
    -- Glavine is 2-0, 1.29 in his last three home starts.
    -- Young is 4-0, 1.10 in his last nine starts.

    -- Vazquez is 3-0, 1.69 in his last four starts.
    -- Indians are 11-1 in Sabathia home starts. Royals are 9-4 with Meche if they score three or more runs.
    -- Matsuzaka is 3-3, 2.30 in his last seven starts. Toronto is 6-1 if it gives McGowan more than three runs to work with.
    -- Bronx won eight of last ten Wang starts; in his last couple of starts, he threw 13.1 scoreless innings.
    -- Blanton is 4-2, 2.23 in his last eight starts.
    -- Rangers won Loe's last five starts (4-0, 1.71). Angels are 11-3 in Lackey's last fourteen starts.
    -- Rogers is 3-0, 1.56 in his first three starts this year. Batista has a 2.84 RA in his last three starts.

    Cold Pitchers
    -- Maroth is 0-1, 5.87 in three starts for the Cardinals.
    -- Morris is 0-2, 8.34 in his last four starts, ever since he tossed a 110-pitch complete gane against the Blue Jays.
    -- Mitre is 1-2, 5.12 in his last five starts.
    -- Lopez is 1-2, 11.20 in his last three starts.
    -- Cincinnati lost last six Belisle starts (0-2, 7.71).
    -- Hernandez is 0-3, 6.21 in his last seven starts.

    -- Cabrera is 1-4, 5.84 in his last seven starts.
    -- Tampa Bay lost last five Sonnanstine starts (0-3, 5.81).
    -- Silva is 1-2, 8.31 in his last three starts.

    Totals
    -- Over is 10-3 in Phillies' last thirteen home games.
    -- Six of last eight games at Wrigley went over the total.
    -- Over is 12-4 in Dodgers' last sixteen games.
    -- Eight of last nine Florida home games went over the total.
    -- Nine of last eleven Colorado road games went over the total.
    -- Five of last seven Atlanta home games stayed under the total.
    -- Six of last eight Cincinnati road games went over the total.
    -- Nine of last eleven Arizona home games went over the total.


    -- Under is 9-2-1 in last twelve White Sox road games.
    -- Cleveland games
    -- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Boston games.
    -- Under is 7-3 in last ten games at Tampa Bay.
    -- Five of last six Oakland road games stayed under total.
    -- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Detroit road games.
    -- Over is 6-3-1 in Angels' last ten home games.

    Hot Teams
    -- Cubs won six of their last seven home games.
    -- Reds won five of last six games, but they're 5-11 in their last sixteen road games.
    -- Braves won five of their last six games. Pirates are 3-10 in last thirteen road games.
    -- Rockies won six of last seven games, but are 2-9 in their last 11 on road; home side is 17-3 in their last twenty games overall.
    -- Visitor is 7-0 in Dodger-Giant series this season.

    -- White Sox won seven of their last nine road games.
    -- Indians won nine of their last 11 home games. Royals are 9-5 in their last fourteen games.
    -- Red Sox won nine of their last twelve home games.
    -- Bronx won six of its last nine games, but is 2-8 in its last ten games on the road.
    -- Twins are 15-7 in their last twenty-two home games.
    -- Detroit won six of last seven games overall, are 12-3 in its last 15 games on foreign soil. Seattle won five of last seven games.
    -- Rangers are 12-7 in their last nineteen games.


    Cold Teams
    -- Astros are 5-20 in their last twenty-five road games.
    -- Phillies lost seven of their last eleven games. Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
    -- Marlins lost fourteen of last nineteen home games, Nats lost seven of their last ten road contests.
    -- Mets lost seven of their last ten games, are 6-2 in last eight home contests.
    -- Brewers lost six of last seven games, but are 8-2 in last nine at Miller Park.
    -- Arizona lost five of six and eight of last ten games. Padres lost four of their last five games.
    -- Dodgers lost four of their last six games.


    -- Orioles lost eleven of their last fifteen home games.
    -- Indians lost four of their last six games.
    -- Toronto is 6-9 in its last fifteen road games.
    -- Devil Rays lost fourteen of their last sixteen games.
    -- A's lost six of their last seven games.
    -- Angels are 5-8 in their last thirteen games.

    Umpires
    -- StL-Phil-- Seven of last eight Joyce games went over total.
    -- Hst-Chi-- Home side is 16-5 in last 21 Vanover games.
    -- LA-SF-- Favorite won eight of last nine Gorman games, with five of his last six staying under total.
    -- Wsh-Fla-- Eight of eleven Dowdy games went over the total.
    -- Col-Mil-- Underdog is 4-3 in last seven Guccione games.
    -- Pitt-Atl-- Favorite won four of last five Schrieber games.
    -- Cin-NY-- Eight of last eleven Wegner games went over total.
    -- SD-Az-- Seven of last nine Cuzzi games went over total.

    -- Chi-Balt-- Five of last seven Scott games went over the total.
    -- KC-Clev-- Favorite won five of last six Carlson games.
    -- Tor-Bos-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Bell games.
    -- NY-TB-- Underdog is 7-5 in last twelve Hickox games.
    -- A's-Min-- Five of last seven TWelke games went over total.
    -- Tex-LAA-- Ten of last twelve Reed games stayed under total.
    -- Det-Sea-- Eight of last ten Froemming games went over total.
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  9. #9  
    RX Senior sds23's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bookie Buster View Post
    Record from 7/13: 3-2 +74

    Only two offical plays: (lines bodog)

    929 detroit tigers -130

    915 san diego padres -135

    Other plays but too much chalk:

    920 cleveland indians -225

    923 new york yankees -200

    928 los angeles angels -220

    GL,

    BB
    BOL today buddy. I like them both.
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  10. #10  
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    Root 7/14;

    Chairman - Cubs

    Millionaire - Tigers
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  11. #11  
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    Quote Originally Posted by sds23 View Post
    BOL today buddy. I like them both.
    Thats sds

    I am trying to stay the course and only pick a few plays per day.

    GL to all.

    BB
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  12. #12  
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    EZ Winners

    5 STAR: (903) HOUSTON (+$102) over Chicago
    (Listing Oswalt only)
    (Risking $500 to win $510)

    3 STAR: (926) MINNESOTA (-$101) over Oakland
    (Listing Silva only)
    (Risking $303 to win $300)

    3 STAR: (929) DETROIT (-$117) over Seattle
    (Listing Rogers only)
    (Risking $351 to win $300)

    1 STAR: (901) ST. LOUIS (+$170) over Philadelphia
    (Listing Maroth only)
    (Risking $100 to win $170)

    1 STAR: (909) COLORADO (+$170) over Milwaukee
    (Listing Lopez only)
    (Risking $100 to win $170)

    1 STAR: (911) PITTSBURGH (+$131) over Atlanta
    (Listing Gorzelanny only)
    (Risking $100 to win $131)

    1 STAR: (913) CINCINNATI (+$168) over NY Mets
    (Action)
    (Risking $100 to win $168)

    1 STAR: (919) KANSAS CITY (+$192) over Cleveland
    (Listing Meche only)
    (Risking $100 to win $192)
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  13. #13  
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    BB, thanks so much for this service... was wondering if you have any AFL picks.. in the past threads there have been some AFL services that are usually dead on, wondering if you have them this morning. thanks in advance!
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  14. #14  
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    Karl Garrett

    30 Dime - Detroit
    10 Dime - Oak A's

    Free Pick - NYY Run Line
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  15. #15  
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    Burns Pers Fave - Milw ML

    Burns Total Play - Balt/CWS Over



    The poster on the other forum who posted Burns plays states they are not yesterdays plays. At your own risk.
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  16. #16  
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    Stan Sharp - Double Dime

    Milwaukee -1.5 +115
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  17. #17  
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    anybody have the Sports Oracle?
    question does this come from a newspaper like Hondo and Quinn?
    Thanks
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  18. #18  
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    Hope everyone has a great day and makes some money!

    I am going out on the boat today too enjoy some sun and fun.

    GL and have a great day,

    BB
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  19. #19  
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    Bookie Buster AFL Projections 7/14

    COLUMBUS 46 AT GEORGIA 57

    CHICAGO 49 AT SAN JOSE 54

    LINES 5DIMES:

    Arena Football SpreadMoney LineTotal PointsTeam Total Points
    Conference Championships
    Sat 7/14441 Columbus Destroyers+11½ -110 +385 Over 114 -110 Over 51½ -105 Under 51½ -115
    1:00PM (EST) 442Georgia Force-11½ -110 -485 Under 114 -110 Over 62½ -115 Under 62½ -105
    Sat 7/14443 Chicago Rush+3 -110 +125 Over 107 -110 Over 52 -110 Under 52 -110
    4:00PM (EST) 444San Jose SaberCats-3 -110 -145 Under 107 -110 Over 55 -110 Under 55 -110
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  20. #20  
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    Saturday Comps

    Sebastian-UNDER Florida
    Bill Connor(whoever the fu k he is)-Seattle
    Winner Line-Cubs
    Computer Boys-San Diego
    Kevin Kennedy-Seatle
    Stu(the unfit parent)Feiner-OVER White Sox


    Mti Boxing
    Guaranteed Pick: MTI Sports

    Game: Antonio Margarito at Paul Williams Jul 14 2007 10:00PM
    Prediction: Antonio Margarito
    Reason: Antonio Margarito and Paul Williams are both tall, lanky fighters that like to brawl. Margarito is a somewhat underrated fighter that has a lot of heart, power, and an unorthodox style (which is important especially for this bout). Once Margarito gets comfortable with his stinging left jabs, he’ll follow them with a large volume of middleweight dropping left hooks and right crosses. Paul Williams is a tough, tall, thin southpaw who can bring the pain. If Williams can maintain some separation by throwing lots of jabs followed by well-calculated power punches, he has a chance, but I believe that Margarito’s unorthodox (some would call “ugly”) style will confuse Williams and take him out of his game. Once this happens, which will happen early on, it will obviously be Margarito’s fight. Lay the money and you can expect Margarito to land big shots throughout the fight to go on and retain his championship status.



    Moose Total Of The Week
    Guaranteed Pick: Jimmy The Moose

    Game: New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Devil Rays Jul 14 2007 7:10PM
    Prediction: over
    Reason: The Yankees have played over the total in 5 of their last 6 games. The over is 21-6-2 in New York's last 29 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below 400. In the Yakees last 60 games played on Astro Turf the over is a money making 40-18-2. Wang is on the mound tonight and over his last 3 starts the Yankees are averaging 9.3 RPG for him. Tampa has now played over the total in 7 straight games. In the D'Rays last 25 games vs. AL East opponents the over is 16-7-2. TB has played the over in 5 of Sonnanstine's last 7 starts. The over is 7-0-1 in the last 8 meetings between the clubs and in their last 6 meetings in Tampa the over is 5-0-1. Look for the Yankees bats to come up big tonight in a high scoring game. Play the over.


    Burns Line Value Of The Week
    Guaranteed Pick: Ben Burns

    Game: Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins Jul 14 2007 7:10PM
    Prediction: Minnesota Twins
    Reason: I'm playing on MINNESOTA. Considering the recent play of these teams, I feel that we're getting excellent value with the home team. These pitchers faced each at Oakland six weeks ago and Blanton came away with a 1-0 win. The A's aren't playing as well now though, having lost five straight and six of seven. Additionally, Blanton isn't nearly as good on the road (4.48 ERA) while Silva is much better at home (3.71 ERA). Note that the Twins are 3-0 the last three times that Silva started against the A's here in Minnesota. Silva, who is supported by a Twins' bullpen that entered this series with a stellar 2.57 home ERA, pitched a minimum of seven innings in each of those starts, allowing two earned runs or less in two of them. Blanton, on the other hand, got rocked in two starts at Minnesota last season, giving up 12 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings. The A's lost those games by a combined score of 17-6. Blanton doesn't figure to get all that much run support as the A's score the second fewest runs and their .238 batting average with runners in scoring position is the worst in the American League. While the A's are averaging 3.9 runs per game vs. right-handed starters, the Twins are averaging 5.2 runs when they face a right-hander. Look for Oakland's struggles to continue for another day as they fall to 2-9 the last 11 times they played a road game on a Saturday

    Larry Ness Daytime Delight
    Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness

    Game: Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs Jul 14 2007 3:55PM
    Prediction: Chicago Cubs
    Reason: The Cubs made short work of the Astros yesterday afternoon behind Zambrano, 6-0. It was the team's 13th win in its last 17 games and with the Brewers' loss at home to the Rockies, the Cubs have closed to with 3 1/2 games of Milwaukee in the NL Central. As for the Astros, there is little postseason 'talk' in that clubhouse. The road loss dropped them to 15-29 (minus-$1,203) away from home this year. Roy Oswalt gets the start but the perennial All Star has struggled on the road as well this year, posting a 5.68 ERA in seven starts (team is 2-5, including losses in his last four!). He's allowed 56 hits in 44.1 innings with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of only 25-20. In four starts vs the Cubs last year, Oswalt got little run support, leaving him with a 1-3 mark despite a respectable 3.33 ERA. Ted Lilly goes for the Cubs. He signed a four-year, $40 million contract with the Cubs in December and has pitched well this year, going 8-4 with a 3.67 ERA. He's 4-0 with a 3.06 ERA in his last five starts since being ejected in the first inning for beaning Atlanta's Edgar Renteria on June 10, including allowing just two ERs in his last two starts (both wins) before the break (1.26 ERA). Here come the Cubs! Daytime Delight Chi Cubs.


    BIG AL'S FULL SERVICE CLIENTS
    saturday ALL 3* PLAYS
    Our 3 selections include the White Sox, the over in the White Sox game, and the 'under' in the Toronto/Boston game.

    White Sox/Orioles 'over' -- At 7:05pm our selection is on the Chicago White Sox and Baltimore Orioles 'over' the total. The Orioles have given up on several pitchers throughout the years who have then gone on to other teams only to be very productive, and in some cases, outright stars. Most notably within the last ten years there's been Armando Benitez, who has been one of the best closers in the league after departing the O's, and Arthur Rhodes, who developed into one of the best setup men. More recently there's been BJ Ryan and to some extent, Rodrigo Lopez. Current Orioles righthanded starter Daniel Cabrera fits this mode to a tee. There is no denying his talent, but he has been extremely frustrating and damaging as a regular member of the O's rotation. His numbers this season have actually regressed to the point where he may not make it through the season as a starter. If they give up on Cabrera, he is exactly the type of player who will get it together as soon as he finds a new home. But for now, count on him going out there and getting blown out, especially at home, where his numbers are particularly dreadful. He's given up an average of over five earned runs in each of his last four home starts. And if ever there was a matchup that produces runs, it's the Orioles and White Sox. In their last twelve games against each other, these two teams have scored a total of 156 runs, or an amazing thirteen runs per contest. And the over is 13-3 in Cabrera's last sixteen home starts. Take the 'over'.

    White Sox -- At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago White Sox. As I stated in our write up on the 'over' in this game, I fully expect Daniel Cabrera to get lit up tonight, and we'll play on Chicago.

    Toronto/Boston 'under' -- At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Toronto/Boston game with Matsuzaka and McGowan starting. Both pitchers are in spectacular form, with McGowan's WHIP at 0.90 over his last 3 starts and Matsuzaka's WHIP at 0.95. Matsuzaka has faced the Jays twice this year and held them to 3 runs in 13 innings with 18 strikeouts. Take the 'under'. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

    Reddog Sports
    5-0 in Arena FB (Newest capper at Northcoast Community Line)
    San Jose -3


    Ted Sevransky
    Georgia -10.5

    Doc Sports
    Col/Ga under 114
    Columbus +10.5
    San Jose -3


    Stan Sharp - Double Dime

    Milwaukee -1.5 +115

    Sat, 07/14/07 - 7:10 PMJeff Bonds | MLB RunLine
    triple-dime bet923 NYY -1.5 (-120) vs 924 TAM

    Analysis:
    ***All Saturday selections will be in by 10 AM PST***

    The Yankees had plenty of chances in last night's game - as the wild Scott Kazmir got the best of them. Today they get their true ace on the mound, as the Bronx Bombers have won seven of Wang's last eight starts.

    The key component of Wang's first start against Tampa Bay - it was his VERY FIRST start of the season, after coming off the disabled list.

    The Taiwanese right-hander was a very impressive 10-2 after the All-Star break in 2006 and the Yankees are 13-3 in his last 16 starts with five days of rest.

    Things set up even better with the D-Rays 3-14 record in their last 17 games versus a right-handed starter and 0-5 in Sonnanstine's last five starts.

    The Devil Rays are 2-14 in their last 16 games overall and the Yankees know they can ill-afford to drop any more games in this series


    Larry Ness' Spectacular Saturday Total (now 20-4 or 83% winners for the entire season!)
    My Spectacular Saturday Total is on Cin/NYM Over at 7:30 ET. Tom Glavine had hoped to reach the 300-win level in the first half but the veteran lefty went just 2-5 (5.37 ERA) over his last nine starts, including a 6.62 ERA over his last six outings. He's 26-12 all-time vs the Reds but just 1-3 with a 4.13 ERA against them in his five starts since 2004. The Reds got eight runs off the Mets last night (seven off John Maine in just 4.2 innings) and with Glavine not exactly "in the zone," expect more runs tonight. As for the Mets, their lineup should welcome the sight of Matt Belisle. He entered 2007 with just seven starts in his 96 career appearances but has been a regular part of the rotation this season with 17 starts. He was sharp early on, going 3-1 in his first five starts (team was 4-1), while allowing just a single ER in each of those three wins. However, over his last 12 starts, he's allowed four ERs or more EIGHT times, posting a 6.08 ERA (team went 2-10). That includes a "finishing run" heading into the break in which the Reds lost his last six starts, as Belisle allowed 27 ERs in 32.1 innings for an ERA of 7.52. Runs-a-plenty in this one. Spectacular Saturday Total on Cin/MYM Over. Larry Ness' 15* MLB Underdog of the Week (now 70-21 with 15* GOW plays TY!)

    My 15* play is on the Sea Mariners at 10:05 ET. The Mariners may not be taking much of a 'price' in this one but whatever they're getting, I'm taking! I'm already 2-0 in this series between Detroit and Seattle and the formula has been quite simple. Both teams 'kill' left-handed pitching and in each of the first two games, I've had Seattle against Detroit lefty Miller and Detroit against Seattle lefty Washburn. I'll ride that trend here and take Seattle vs Detroit's Kenny Rogers. I realize that the Tigers were 24-9 (plus-$1,363) in his regular season starts LY. I am also well aware that he went 3-0 in the postseason during '06, not allowing a run over 23 innings. It hasn't gone unnoticed that Rogers has opened 3-0 with 1.04 ERA in '07, either. However, let's NOT forget that Seattle is MLB's biggest 'moneymaker' this year, at plus-$1,899. Let's also not forget that last night's loss ended a nine-game home winning streak for the Mariners, giving the team a 28-16 (plus-$1,157) mark for the season. Throw in the fact that Rogers' mound opponent tonight is Miguel Batista. Batista has had some shaky starts in '07, allowing five ERs or more four times in 17 starts. However, in 12 of his 13 other starts, he's allowed three ERs or less. Batista is 1-3 in his last five outings despite a 2.51 ERA, as Seattle has given him just 10 runs of support in those contests. While Rogers is a tough "nut to crack," I'm relying on Seattle's 16-7 (plus-$1,165) mark vs lefties (averaging 5.1 RPG) plus a solid effort from Batista to carry the day. MLB Underdog of the Week 15* Sea Mariners.

    Good Luck...Larry




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  21. #21  
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    Quote Originally Posted by BAMA RED View Post
    anybody have the Sports Oracle?
    question does this come from a newspaper like Hondo and Quinn?
    Thanks
    Just google it.
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  22. #22  
    RX Senior nikeairx's Avatar
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    hey any Scott Spreitzer plays??
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  23. #23 Sports Oracle 
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    Oracle says Padres
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  24. #24  
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    Quote Originally Posted by BAMA RED View Post
    anybody have the Sports Oracle?
    question does this come from a newspaper like Hondo and Quinn?
    Thanks
    He/They are fairly new as far as i know they just do through the telephone and email but says they will have a website soon. They're on an amazing run huh? i wish they offered more then one pick a day

    BOL
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  25. #25  
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    My 15* play is on the Sea Mariners at 10:05 ET. The Mariners may not be taking much of a 'price' in this one but whatever they're getting, I'm taking! I'm already 2-0 in this series between Detroit and Seattle and the formula has been quite simple. Both teams 'kill' left-handed pitching and in each of the first two games, I've had Seattle against Detroit lefty Miller and Detroit against Seattle lefty Washburn. I'll ride that trend here and take Seattle vs Detroit's Kenny Rogers. I realize that the Tigers were 24-9 (plus-$1,363) in his regular season starts LY. I am also well aware that he went 3-0 in the postseason during '06, not allowing a run over 23 innings. It hasn't gone unnoticed that Rogers has opened 3-0 with 1.04 ERA in '07, either. However, let's NOT forget that Seattle is MLB's biggest 'moneymaker' this year, at plus-$1,899. Let's also not forget that last night's loss ended a nine-game home winning streak for the Mariners, giving the team a 28-16 (plus-$1,157) mark for the season. Throw in the fact that Rogers' mound opponent tonight is Miguel Batista. Batista has had some shaky starts in '07, allowing five ERs or more four times in 17 starts. However, in 12 of his 13 other starts, he's allowed three ERs or less. Batista is 1-3 in his last five outings despite a 2.51 ERA, as Seattle has given him just 10 runs of support in those contests. While Rogers is a tough "nut to crack," I'm relying on Seattle's 16-7 (plus-$1,165) mark vs lefties (averaging 5.1 RPG) plus a solid effort from Batista to carry the day. MLB Underdog of the Week 15* Sea Mariners.



    Larry Ness' Spectacular Saturday Total (now 20-4 or 83% winners for the entire season!)
    My Spectacular Saturday Total is on Cin/NYM Over at 7:30 ET. Tom Glavine had hoped to reach the 300-win level in the first half but the veteran lefty went just 2-5 (5.37 ERA) over his last nine starts, including a 6.62 ERA over his last six outings. He's 26-12 all-time vs the Reds but just 1-3 with a 4.13 ERA against them in his five starts since 2004. The Reds got eight runs off the Mets last night (seven off John Maine in just 4.2 innings) and with Glavine not exactly "in the zone," expect more runs tonight. As for the Mets, their lineup should welcome the sight of Matt Belisle. He entered 2007 with just seven starts in his 96 career appearances but has been a regular part of the rotation this season with 17 starts. He was sharp early on, going 3-1 in his first five starts (team was 4-1), while allowing just a single ER in each of those three wins. However, over his last 12 starts, he's allowed four ERs or more EIGHT times, posting a 6.08 ERA (team went 2-10). That includes a "finishing run" heading into the break in which the Reds lost his last six starts, as Belisle allowed 27 ERs in 32.1 innings for an ERA of 7.52. Runs-a-plenty in this one. Spectacular Saturday Total on Cin/MYM Over. Larry Ness' 15* MLB Underdog of the Week (now 70-21 with 15* GOW plays TY!)
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