Brandon Lang
15 Dime
St Louis Cardinals
5 Dime
NY Mets
San Francisco Giants
FRANK ROSENTHAL
952 MARLINS-110 SB
OVER 9.5 SB+
957 REDS+135 SB
963 NYM UNDER 7.5 SB+
968 INDIANS-150 SB
971 JAYS+120 SB
UNDER 9.5 SB+
973 ANGELS OVER 9 SB+
975 TIGERS+120 SB
Winning Points
**PREFERRED
UNDER 7
NY Mets at San Diego
Big ballpark, struggling visiting lineup, home lineup with the lowest NL batting average, two starters with WHIPs of 1.13 (El Kook-ay) and 1.06 (Peavy, second-best in the NL). And, a TMD qualifier. Gotta go this way with these teams again.
Other qualifiers:
SF CHC Zito Marshall -1.60 UNDER
TOR NYY Halladay Pettitte 1.90 OVER
Winning Points Online
LA DODGERS (Hendrickson) -135 over PHILADELPHIA (J. Durbin)
The Dodgers jumped all over veteran Jamie Moyer in
last night's series opener, and we expect more of the
same in tonight's contest. The Phillies will send an
inexperienced J.D. Durbin to the mound for the 2nd
time this year, and his first outing wasn't promising,
allowing seven runs in less than five innings. LA has
solid numbers in night games this year (+$635) and
Mark Hendrickson (3.60 ERA last two starts), matches
up well with a Phillies team that's only 11-19 (-$850)
vs. lefthanders this year. Another chance to take a
solid home team at a very reasonable price
Larry Ness
15* NL Game of the Week
Milwaukee Brewers
20* AL Total of the Month
Tor/NYY Over
Michael Cannon
Money Train
15 Dime
CARDINALS
PIRATES
5 Dime
REDS
CUBS
Ben Burns
Personal Favorite
Seattle Mariners
American League Total of the Month
Toronto/Yankees Under the Total
The Wunderdog
Game: Arizona at Milwaukee (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Milwaukee -136
Arizona is ice cold right now having lost seven of their last nine. Milwaukee has won three in a row. Both pitchers are suspect. Yusmeiro Petit has only thrown 17 innings. Claudio Vargas has been pretty bad his last three starts. But, we trust Vargas more. He's got a 4.52 ERA (4.15 at home) and a 6-2 overall record (perfect 4-0 at home). The Brewers are 12-3 this season when he takes the mound. Thanks to good run support, he doesn't lose often. The Brew Crew averages 5.1 runs per game and they are 33-14 at home this season. Arizona has no run support. They average a paltry 3.9 runs per game on the road on .239 hitting. They are averaging only 3.4 per game their last seven games. The Brewers have power (1.4 HRs per game) and that spells trouble for the D-Backs. Arizona is 9-24 the past two seasons vs. teams that hit 1.25+ home runs per game. Milwaukee also has the bullpen advantage, in case Vargas' slump isn't quite over. At home, their pen has a 3.10 ERA and 83% save percentage. It doesn't get much better than that. Milwaukee absolutely thrives against poor hitting opponents. This season they are 17-2 at home vs. NL teams batting .255 or worse and 19-3 at home vs. NL teams with an OBP under .330! Lots of ways for Milwuakee to win this one and few for Arizona.
EZ Winners
10 STAR: (955) HOUSTON (-$124) over Washington
(Listing Sampson and Redding)
(Risking $1240 to win $1000)
1 STAR: OVER 9.5 (-$105) St. Louis @ Florida
(Listing Thompson and Vanden Hurk)
(Risking $105 to win $100)
1 STAR: OVER 8.5 (-$125) Philadelphia @ LA Dodgers
(Listing Durbin and Hendrickson)
(Risking $125 to win $100)
1 STAR: (957) CINCINNATI (+$120) over Atlanta
(Listing Arroyo only)
(Risking $100 to win $120)
1 STAR: (959) ARIZONA (+$140) over Milwaukee
(Listing Petit only)
(Risking $100 to win $140)
Charlie Sports
white sox @ cleveland over 9' runs(500*)
colorado-110 (30*)
minnesota-115 (20*)
philadelphia+125 (20*)
atlanta-130 (10*)
san francisco+120 (10*) Bonus Play
Mighty ! Quinn
Colorado Rockies
Hondo
July 17, 2007 -- Hondo, who bagged a monster victory Sunday with the Rangers, kept the good vibe going last night with the Rockies and Dodgers to slash the deficit to a crisp 550 perranoskis.
Tonight, he'll go with Pet Peavy against the Metamucils. Ten units on the Padres.
Sports Gambling Hotline
San Francisco at CUBS (-140)
We cannot go against the Chicago Cubs right now, as there is definitely something in the water at Wrigley Field these days, as Chicago came back again last night for their 4th straight win, and their 16th win in their last 20 ballgames.
The Cubs just seem to be coming up with clutch hitting and quality pitching, and tonight the hitting should key the win, as Barry Zito just hasn't been worth the money the Giants dumped on him this past off-season.
Zito is only 6-9 for the year, and is 0-3 his last 3 trips to the mound with an ERA of 5.29. Expect Zito to be hitting the showers early tonight.
Sean Marshall gets the start for the Cubbies, and Chicago is 6-3 when Marshall starts this season.
The Giants have dropped 5 in a row, and are a dismal 17-28 on the highway this season.
Just too many positives going on for the Cubs right now, so lay the chalk and watch Sweet Lou's club win another!
2? CUBS
Karl Garrett
Colorado (-110) at PITTSBURGH
Last night these teams combined for 18 runs on 21 hits - no home runs! The teams also combined for a sloppy 5 errors which tells me there could be a repeat tonight at PNC Park.
Dating back to last season these teams have played OVER the posted price in 3 in a row, and 4 of the last 5.
Colorado has eclipsed the total in 6 of their last 9, while Pittsburgh has topped the total in 3 of their last 4.
The Rockies will go with Josh Fogg whose season ERA is over 5, while the Bucs send the youngster Shane Youman out to make his 3rd start of the season. 10 of Fogg's 15 starts this year have gone OVER the total, and the G-Man feels this one will as well.
Play the OVER in the Steel City tonight.
2? OVER
Bobby Maxwell
St. Louis (-110) at FLORIDA
Today St. Louis sends Brad Thompson (6-3, 5.10 ERA) to the mound and this young hurler is 4-2 on the road and 6-1 in night games. He'll go up against Rick Vanden Hurk (2-2, 8.38 ERA) who is an ugly 0-2 at home with a 12.27 ERA.
The Cardinals have won six of Thompson's last seven starts and he is getting great offensive support it seems every time he pitches. He last pitched on July 4 and gave up four runs on seven hits in seven innings of a 5-4 win over the Diamondbacks. St. Louis has scored at least four runs in all but two of his last 10 outings.
Vanden Hurk has been brutal. He has given up at least five runs in four of his last five starts and the opposition has scored no fewer than eight runs in four of his last five. Last time he pitched at home he gave up five runs on six hits in five innings of a 9-4 loss to the Devil Rays.
St. Louis has been pounding the ball lately hitting .287 against righies and .327 against southpaws over the last 10 games. Play the Cardinals to pound this young pitcher and light up the scoreboard and cruise to a victory.
3? ST. LOUIS
Dave Cokin
Take "(955) HOU Astros"
The Houston Astros really have the look of a team that's going through the motions right now. It's not a lack of effort, but it's clear that the squad isn't particularly focused presently, and they've been horrendous on the road virtually the entire season anyway. The Nationals got the Monday win and I can't see them as dogs for this contest. Value with Redding and the Nats on Tuesday night
Jim Feist
Take "Over"
To say the Rangers missed slugger Mark Teixeira is an understatement. Teixeira missed 27 games with a strained quad. The slugger made his presence known quickly with a game winning home run against the Angels on Sunday. Today, Robinson Tejeda gets the start and while his win/loss record isn't horrible at 5-8 overall and 3-4 on the road, his era is a very poor 6.70 overall and 7.17 away from home. Chad Guadin pitches for the A's. Guadin has been very consistent this year though the A's are more than 10 games back the division leading Angels. Can't really see Tejeda doing much to hold down the A's here on Tuesday. Combine that with a healthier hitting Rangers team and that's a recipe for OVER!!!
maddux sports
NY & San Diego Under 7.5
priceless picks
Braves -129 (listing Arroyo and Reyes)
Arroyo is 0-8 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. He is just 1-9 against the money line in road games this season period. The Braves lunch on righty starters going 31-19 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. Cincy really struggles against lefties at just 12-22 this season. We'll take the Braves today
.
Ben Burns Free Pick
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BEN BURNS/MTB TOTAL
968 CLE/967 CWS UNDER 9.5
ANALYSIS:
Yesterday's series opener was a wild affair which produced a whopping 21 runs. Today's game should be significantly lower-scoring. Garland has a 2.95 ERA on the road this season and has seen the UNDER go a solid 10-6-2 for the season. Byrd, who has also seen the UNDER go 10-6 for the season, has a 3.22 ERA his last three starts, all which stayed below the total. Byrd tossed six shutout innings when he faced the Sox earlier in the season. That game finished with a final score of 4-0. Including that result, the UNDER is a healthy 11-6 the last 17 times that the Sox traveled to Cleveland. Its also worth mentioning that the UNDER remains a profitable 66-40-4 (62%) the past three seasons when the Sox have faced a team with a winning record during the second half of the season. Consider a play on the UNDER
CAPPERS ACCESS
(Tue) MLB Indians
(Tue) MLB Astros
LT Profits
Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins u9.5 (-110)
Tue Jul 17 '07 8:10p
Tigers, Twins to slip Under 9.5
Matt Garza was very impressive in his 2007 debut for the Minnesota Twins, while Nate Robertson of the Detroit Tigers may have one of his better games tonight vs. a Twins team that struggles with southpaws.
Garza has always been highly touted, but he was probably rushed to the Major Leagues last season. The extra year of seasoning appears to have done him good however, as he was dominant in his return to the Twins last week while tossing six scoreless innings at Chicago vs. the White Sox.
Now Robertson has struggled this year after a breakout season in 2006, but perhaps seeing the Twins in the opposing dugout will help him turn things around. Robertson actually recorded one of his few Quality Starts this season in his only 2007 start against Minnesota, marking the fourth time in his last five career starts against the Twins that he has surrendered three earned runs or less.
The bottom line is that if Garza was not a mirage last week and if the Twins continue to struggle against Robertson like they do vs. most left-handers, we simply do not see this game getting out of single-digits.
Tigers, Twins Under 9.5 (-110)
Texas Rangers (145)
Tue Jul 17 '07 10:05p
Texas Rangers +145 to flunk the A’s
We successfully faded Chad Gaudin of the Oakland Athletics in his first start after the All-Star break, predicting that he would crash back to earth after pitching over his head the first half of the year.
Well, he proceeded to get roughed up for five earned runs in just four innings at Minnesota that night, and here he is turning up as a big favorite again tonight. Gaudin still has a nice 3.18 ERA for the season, but he has never demonstrated this ability before at any level, and we will stick with our prediction that his ERA will rise throughout the second half.
Now granted, Robinson Tejeda of the Texas Rangers is not much, but he may not have to be considering the recent struggles of the Oakland offense. The Athletics have now lost eight consecutive games, which in itself makes them very susceptible at this price, and they have failed to score more than three runs in any of their last 10 games.
Finally, the Rangers hold a distinct bullpen advantage here, as they are fourth in the American League with a 3.52 pen ERA, while the Oakland bullpen reports home at 4.37. All things considered, even with Tejeda on the mound, this looks like some nice value for a Texas team that is playing much better baseball lately.
Rangers +145
Lou Diamondz
25* Toronto +110
Marc Lawrence
Game: Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins
Jul 17 2007 8:10PM
Prediction: Minnesota Twins
Reason: Minnesota w/Garza vs Robertson:
Twins send promising right hander Matt Garza up against Tigers struggling southpaw Nate Robertson. Not only has Robertson cashed in just one of his road starts this season, he has failed to make it into the seventh inning in any of his previous 10 starts. Stay at home with Minnesota against Detroit here tonight.
dave price
MLB Cincinnati vs. Atlanta []
Take Atlanta Braves
1 Unit on Braves -129 (listing Arroyo and Reyes) Arroyo is 0-8 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. He is just 1-9 against the money line in road games this season period. The Braves lunch on righty starters going 31-19 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. Cincy really struggles against lefties at just 12-22 this season. We'll take the Braves today
george smeader
MLB Detroit vs. Minnesota []
Take Detroit Tigers
We will play on the Tigers on te Runline. The Tigers stack up in our MLB system with a 7.2 rating. Our system is based on several years of experience, practice and fine tuning with solid year over year returns. Ratings are not multipliers on base unit betting. Our ratings system is on a 1-8 scale, but we will never release a play lower than a 5.9. Winning is our business and businss is good
3 Game Executive Report
Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins
Wunderdog
Game: Arizona at Milwaukee (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Milwaukee -136
Arizona is ice cold right now having lost seven of their last nine. Milwaukee has won three in a row. Both pitchers are suspect. Yusmeiro Petit has only thrown 17 innings. Claudio Vargas has been pretty bad his last three starts. But, we trust Vargas more. He's got a 4.52 ERA (4.15 at home) and a 6-2 overall record (perfect 4-0 at home). The Brewers are 12-3 this season when he takes the mound. Thanks to good run support, he doesn't lose often. The Brew Crew averages 5.1 runs per game and they are 33-14 at home this season. Arizona has no run support. They average a paltry 3.9 runs per game on the road on .239 hitting. They are averaging only 3.4 per game their last seven games. The Brewers have power (1.4 HRs per game) and that spells trouble for the D-Backs. Arizona is 9-24 the past two seasons vs. teams that hit 1.25+ home runs per game. Milwaukee also has the bullpen advantage, in case Vargas' slump isn't quite over. At home, their pen has a 3.10 ERA and 83% save percentage. It doesn't get much better than that. Milwaukee absolutely thrives against poor hitting opponents. This season they are 17-2 at home vs. NL teams batting .255 or worse and 19-3 at home vs. NL teams with an OBP under .330! Lots of ways for Milwuakee to win this one and few for Arizona.
Karl Garrett
30 DIMER - CINCINNATI WITH ARROYO....10 DIMERS - CUBS WITH MARSHALL, & YANKEES WITH PETTITTE
30 DIMER - CINCINNATI REDS WITH ARROYO
Chris Jordan
Double Play action ...
400? YANKEES (LIST Pettitte and Halladay) - Analysis by 4 p.m. eastern
100? CARDINALS (LIST Thompson and Vanden Hurk) -
100? CUBS (LIST Marshall and Zito) -`
Tuesday Wise Owl - Indians
Straley- Boston Over 10.5
Larry Ness' 20* AL Total of the Month (1st TY!)
Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness
Game: Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Jul 17 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: over
Reason: The Yanks may never catch the Red Sox or even grab a wild card spot but I predicted in my mid-season report that they would play much better in the second half. The Yanks have an easy schedule in late July and early August and the team has gone 4-1 since returning from the break, after last night's 6-4 win. The Yanks have now won NINE of their last 12, averaging 7.2 RPG. Tonight New York faces Roy Halladay, who hasn't quite lived up to his billing as of late. Since returning from a three-week stint on the DL back on May 31, Halladay has allowed five ERs or more in FOUR of his nine starts. Over his last four, he's allowed 33 hits and 18 ERs in 23.2 innings for a 6.85 ERA. While he's been OK at the Rogers Centre this year (3.74 ERA in nine starts), his road ERA is 5.79 in eight starts (seven overs and one push!). The Yanks have been excellent vs right-handers this year, averaging 5.8 RPG in 66 games, which includes an average of 6.4 RPG in 19 home games vs righties at night. The Yanks will send lefty Andy Pettitte to the mound and he's really been off these days. He's allowed 42 hits and 26 ERs over his last five starts (26 innings), for an ERA of 9.00. How does this game stay under? AL Total of the Month 20* Tor/NYY Over
Larry Ness' 15* NL Game of the Week (71-22 TY!)
Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness
Game: Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Jul 17 2007 8:05PM
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers
Reason: The Brewers are sure feeling the heat from the Cubs but the team has "righted the ship" after heading into the All Star break off a 3-7 road trip. Milwaukee's 4-3 win last night makes them 3-1 since returning to play (all at home) and gives the Brewers an NL-best 33-14 home mark. At plus-$1,446 ($100/game), no team in MLB has been better to its backers than Milwaukee in its home park. Tonight's starter, Claudio Vargas, has also been a huge "moneymaker" in 2007. Milwaukee is 12-3 in his 15 starts this year and at plus-$974, he ranks third among starters in money won. That gaudy 12-3 mark includes a PERFECT 8-0 mark here at Miller Park. The D'backs' loss last night was their sixth straight on the road and their ninth in their last 10 games away from home. The team will turn to Yusmeiro Petit tonight and that's NOT encouraging. In 15 appearances (one start) last year for Florida, Petit allowed 46 hits and 28 ERs in 26.1 innings for a 9.57 ERA. He'll be making just his fourth appearance of '07 tonight (all starts) and while he's pitched better than last year (3.12 ERA), he's hardly the quality of pitcher the D'backs need in order to win here in Milwaukee. NL Game of the Week 15* Mil Brewers.
15 Dime
St Louis Cardinals
5 Dime
NY Mets
San Francisco Giants
FRANK ROSENTHAL
952 MARLINS-110 SB
OVER 9.5 SB+
957 REDS+135 SB
963 NYM UNDER 7.5 SB+
968 INDIANS-150 SB
971 JAYS+120 SB
UNDER 9.5 SB+
973 ANGELS OVER 9 SB+
975 TIGERS+120 SB
Winning Points
**PREFERRED
UNDER 7
NY Mets at San Diego
Big ballpark, struggling visiting lineup, home lineup with the lowest NL batting average, two starters with WHIPs of 1.13 (El Kook-ay) and 1.06 (Peavy, second-best in the NL). And, a TMD qualifier. Gotta go this way with these teams again.
Other qualifiers:
SF CHC Zito Marshall -1.60 UNDER
TOR NYY Halladay Pettitte 1.90 OVER
Winning Points Online
LA DODGERS (Hendrickson) -135 over PHILADELPHIA (J. Durbin)
The Dodgers jumped all over veteran Jamie Moyer in
last night's series opener, and we expect more of the
same in tonight's contest. The Phillies will send an
inexperienced J.D. Durbin to the mound for the 2nd
time this year, and his first outing wasn't promising,
allowing seven runs in less than five innings. LA has
solid numbers in night games this year (+$635) and
Mark Hendrickson (3.60 ERA last two starts), matches
up well with a Phillies team that's only 11-19 (-$850)
vs. lefthanders this year. Another chance to take a
solid home team at a very reasonable price
Larry Ness
15* NL Game of the Week
Milwaukee Brewers
20* AL Total of the Month
Tor/NYY Over
Michael Cannon
Money Train
15 Dime
CARDINALS
PIRATES
5 Dime
REDS
CUBS
Ben Burns
Personal Favorite
Seattle Mariners
American League Total of the Month
Toronto/Yankees Under the Total
The Wunderdog
Game: Arizona at Milwaukee (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Milwaukee -136
Arizona is ice cold right now having lost seven of their last nine. Milwaukee has won three in a row. Both pitchers are suspect. Yusmeiro Petit has only thrown 17 innings. Claudio Vargas has been pretty bad his last three starts. But, we trust Vargas more. He's got a 4.52 ERA (4.15 at home) and a 6-2 overall record (perfect 4-0 at home). The Brewers are 12-3 this season when he takes the mound. Thanks to good run support, he doesn't lose often. The Brew Crew averages 5.1 runs per game and they are 33-14 at home this season. Arizona has no run support. They average a paltry 3.9 runs per game on the road on .239 hitting. They are averaging only 3.4 per game their last seven games. The Brewers have power (1.4 HRs per game) and that spells trouble for the D-Backs. Arizona is 9-24 the past two seasons vs. teams that hit 1.25+ home runs per game. Milwaukee also has the bullpen advantage, in case Vargas' slump isn't quite over. At home, their pen has a 3.10 ERA and 83% save percentage. It doesn't get much better than that. Milwaukee absolutely thrives against poor hitting opponents. This season they are 17-2 at home vs. NL teams batting .255 or worse and 19-3 at home vs. NL teams with an OBP under .330! Lots of ways for Milwuakee to win this one and few for Arizona.
EZ Winners
10 STAR: (955) HOUSTON (-$124) over Washington
(Listing Sampson and Redding)
(Risking $1240 to win $1000)
1 STAR: OVER 9.5 (-$105) St. Louis @ Florida
(Listing Thompson and Vanden Hurk)
(Risking $105 to win $100)
1 STAR: OVER 8.5 (-$125) Philadelphia @ LA Dodgers
(Listing Durbin and Hendrickson)
(Risking $125 to win $100)
1 STAR: (957) CINCINNATI (+$120) over Atlanta
(Listing Arroyo only)
(Risking $100 to win $120)
1 STAR: (959) ARIZONA (+$140) over Milwaukee
(Listing Petit only)
(Risking $100 to win $140)
Charlie Sports
white sox @ cleveland over 9' runs(500*)
colorado-110 (30*)
minnesota-115 (20*)
philadelphia+125 (20*)
atlanta-130 (10*)
san francisco+120 (10*) Bonus Play
Mighty ! Quinn
Colorado Rockies
Hondo
July 17, 2007 -- Hondo, who bagged a monster victory Sunday with the Rangers, kept the good vibe going last night with the Rockies and Dodgers to slash the deficit to a crisp 550 perranoskis.
Tonight, he'll go with Pet Peavy against the Metamucils. Ten units on the Padres.
Sports Gambling Hotline
San Francisco at CUBS (-140)
We cannot go against the Chicago Cubs right now, as there is definitely something in the water at Wrigley Field these days, as Chicago came back again last night for their 4th straight win, and their 16th win in their last 20 ballgames.
The Cubs just seem to be coming up with clutch hitting and quality pitching, and tonight the hitting should key the win, as Barry Zito just hasn't been worth the money the Giants dumped on him this past off-season.
Zito is only 6-9 for the year, and is 0-3 his last 3 trips to the mound with an ERA of 5.29. Expect Zito to be hitting the showers early tonight.
Sean Marshall gets the start for the Cubbies, and Chicago is 6-3 when Marshall starts this season.
The Giants have dropped 5 in a row, and are a dismal 17-28 on the highway this season.
Just too many positives going on for the Cubs right now, so lay the chalk and watch Sweet Lou's club win another!
2? CUBS
Karl Garrett
Colorado (-110) at PITTSBURGH
Last night these teams combined for 18 runs on 21 hits - no home runs! The teams also combined for a sloppy 5 errors which tells me there could be a repeat tonight at PNC Park.
Dating back to last season these teams have played OVER the posted price in 3 in a row, and 4 of the last 5.
Colorado has eclipsed the total in 6 of their last 9, while Pittsburgh has topped the total in 3 of their last 4.
The Rockies will go with Josh Fogg whose season ERA is over 5, while the Bucs send the youngster Shane Youman out to make his 3rd start of the season. 10 of Fogg's 15 starts this year have gone OVER the total, and the G-Man feels this one will as well.
Play the OVER in the Steel City tonight.
2? OVER
Bobby Maxwell
St. Louis (-110) at FLORIDA
Today St. Louis sends Brad Thompson (6-3, 5.10 ERA) to the mound and this young hurler is 4-2 on the road and 6-1 in night games. He'll go up against Rick Vanden Hurk (2-2, 8.38 ERA) who is an ugly 0-2 at home with a 12.27 ERA.
The Cardinals have won six of Thompson's last seven starts and he is getting great offensive support it seems every time he pitches. He last pitched on July 4 and gave up four runs on seven hits in seven innings of a 5-4 win over the Diamondbacks. St. Louis has scored at least four runs in all but two of his last 10 outings.
Vanden Hurk has been brutal. He has given up at least five runs in four of his last five starts and the opposition has scored no fewer than eight runs in four of his last five. Last time he pitched at home he gave up five runs on six hits in five innings of a 9-4 loss to the Devil Rays.
St. Louis has been pounding the ball lately hitting .287 against righies and .327 against southpaws over the last 10 games. Play the Cardinals to pound this young pitcher and light up the scoreboard and cruise to a victory.
3? ST. LOUIS
Dave Cokin
Take "(955) HOU Astros"
The Houston Astros really have the look of a team that's going through the motions right now. It's not a lack of effort, but it's clear that the squad isn't particularly focused presently, and they've been horrendous on the road virtually the entire season anyway. The Nationals got the Monday win and I can't see them as dogs for this contest. Value with Redding and the Nats on Tuesday night
Jim Feist
Take "Over"
To say the Rangers missed slugger Mark Teixeira is an understatement. Teixeira missed 27 games with a strained quad. The slugger made his presence known quickly with a game winning home run against the Angels on Sunday. Today, Robinson Tejeda gets the start and while his win/loss record isn't horrible at 5-8 overall and 3-4 on the road, his era is a very poor 6.70 overall and 7.17 away from home. Chad Guadin pitches for the A's. Guadin has been very consistent this year though the A's are more than 10 games back the division leading Angels. Can't really see Tejeda doing much to hold down the A's here on Tuesday. Combine that with a healthier hitting Rangers team and that's a recipe for OVER!!!
maddux sports
NY & San Diego Under 7.5
priceless picks
Braves -129 (listing Arroyo and Reyes)
Arroyo is 0-8 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. He is just 1-9 against the money line in road games this season period. The Braves lunch on righty starters going 31-19 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. Cincy really struggles against lefties at just 12-22 this season. We'll take the Braves today
.
Ben Burns Free Pick
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BEN BURNS/MTB TOTAL
968 CLE/967 CWS UNDER 9.5
ANALYSIS:
Yesterday's series opener was a wild affair which produced a whopping 21 runs. Today's game should be significantly lower-scoring. Garland has a 2.95 ERA on the road this season and has seen the UNDER go a solid 10-6-2 for the season. Byrd, who has also seen the UNDER go 10-6 for the season, has a 3.22 ERA his last three starts, all which stayed below the total. Byrd tossed six shutout innings when he faced the Sox earlier in the season. That game finished with a final score of 4-0. Including that result, the UNDER is a healthy 11-6 the last 17 times that the Sox traveled to Cleveland. Its also worth mentioning that the UNDER remains a profitable 66-40-4 (62%) the past three seasons when the Sox have faced a team with a winning record during the second half of the season. Consider a play on the UNDER
CAPPERS ACCESS
(Tue) MLB Indians
(Tue) MLB Astros
LT Profits
Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins u9.5 (-110)
Tue Jul 17 '07 8:10p
Tigers, Twins to slip Under 9.5
Matt Garza was very impressive in his 2007 debut for the Minnesota Twins, while Nate Robertson of the Detroit Tigers may have one of his better games tonight vs. a Twins team that struggles with southpaws.
Garza has always been highly touted, but he was probably rushed to the Major Leagues last season. The extra year of seasoning appears to have done him good however, as he was dominant in his return to the Twins last week while tossing six scoreless innings at Chicago vs. the White Sox.
Now Robertson has struggled this year after a breakout season in 2006, but perhaps seeing the Twins in the opposing dugout will help him turn things around. Robertson actually recorded one of his few Quality Starts this season in his only 2007 start against Minnesota, marking the fourth time in his last five career starts against the Twins that he has surrendered three earned runs or less.
The bottom line is that if Garza was not a mirage last week and if the Twins continue to struggle against Robertson like they do vs. most left-handers, we simply do not see this game getting out of single-digits.
Tigers, Twins Under 9.5 (-110)
Texas Rangers (145)
Tue Jul 17 '07 10:05p
Texas Rangers +145 to flunk the A’s
We successfully faded Chad Gaudin of the Oakland Athletics in his first start after the All-Star break, predicting that he would crash back to earth after pitching over his head the first half of the year.
Well, he proceeded to get roughed up for five earned runs in just four innings at Minnesota that night, and here he is turning up as a big favorite again tonight. Gaudin still has a nice 3.18 ERA for the season, but he has never demonstrated this ability before at any level, and we will stick with our prediction that his ERA will rise throughout the second half.
Now granted, Robinson Tejeda of the Texas Rangers is not much, but he may not have to be considering the recent struggles of the Oakland offense. The Athletics have now lost eight consecutive games, which in itself makes them very susceptible at this price, and they have failed to score more than three runs in any of their last 10 games.
Finally, the Rangers hold a distinct bullpen advantage here, as they are fourth in the American League with a 3.52 pen ERA, while the Oakland bullpen reports home at 4.37. All things considered, even with Tejeda on the mound, this looks like some nice value for a Texas team that is playing much better baseball lately.
Rangers +145
Lou Diamondz
25* Toronto +110
Marc Lawrence
Game: Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins
Jul 17 2007 8:10PM
Prediction: Minnesota Twins
Reason: Minnesota w/Garza vs Robertson:
Twins send promising right hander Matt Garza up against Tigers struggling southpaw Nate Robertson. Not only has Robertson cashed in just one of his road starts this season, he has failed to make it into the seventh inning in any of his previous 10 starts. Stay at home with Minnesota against Detroit here tonight.
dave price
MLB Cincinnati vs. Atlanta []
Take Atlanta Braves
1 Unit on Braves -129 (listing Arroyo and Reyes) Arroyo is 0-8 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. He is just 1-9 against the money line in road games this season period. The Braves lunch on righty starters going 31-19 against the money line against right-handed starters this season. Cincy really struggles against lefties at just 12-22 this season. We'll take the Braves today
george smeader
MLB Detroit vs. Minnesota []
Take Detroit Tigers
We will play on the Tigers on te Runline. The Tigers stack up in our MLB system with a 7.2 rating. Our system is based on several years of experience, practice and fine tuning with solid year over year returns. Ratings are not multipliers on base unit betting. Our ratings system is on a 1-8 scale, but we will never release a play lower than a 5.9. Winning is our business and businss is good
3 Game Executive Report
Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins
Wunderdog
Game: Arizona at Milwaukee (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Milwaukee -136
Arizona is ice cold right now having lost seven of their last nine. Milwaukee has won three in a row. Both pitchers are suspect. Yusmeiro Petit has only thrown 17 innings. Claudio Vargas has been pretty bad his last three starts. But, we trust Vargas more. He's got a 4.52 ERA (4.15 at home) and a 6-2 overall record (perfect 4-0 at home). The Brewers are 12-3 this season when he takes the mound. Thanks to good run support, he doesn't lose often. The Brew Crew averages 5.1 runs per game and they are 33-14 at home this season. Arizona has no run support. They average a paltry 3.9 runs per game on the road on .239 hitting. They are averaging only 3.4 per game their last seven games. The Brewers have power (1.4 HRs per game) and that spells trouble for the D-Backs. Arizona is 9-24 the past two seasons vs. teams that hit 1.25+ home runs per game. Milwaukee also has the bullpen advantage, in case Vargas' slump isn't quite over. At home, their pen has a 3.10 ERA and 83% save percentage. It doesn't get much better than that. Milwaukee absolutely thrives against poor hitting opponents. This season they are 17-2 at home vs. NL teams batting .255 or worse and 19-3 at home vs. NL teams with an OBP under .330! Lots of ways for Milwuakee to win this one and few for Arizona.
Karl Garrett
30 DIMER - CINCINNATI WITH ARROYO....10 DIMERS - CUBS WITH MARSHALL, & YANKEES WITH PETTITTE
30 DIMER - CINCINNATI REDS WITH ARROYO
Chris Jordan
Double Play action ...
400? YANKEES (LIST Pettitte and Halladay) - Analysis by 4 p.m. eastern
100? CARDINALS (LIST Thompson and Vanden Hurk) -
100? CUBS (LIST Marshall and Zito) -`
Tuesday Wise Owl - Indians
Straley- Boston Over 10.5
Larry Ness' 20* AL Total of the Month (1st TY!)
Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness
Game: Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Jul 17 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: over
Reason: The Yanks may never catch the Red Sox or even grab a wild card spot but I predicted in my mid-season report that they would play much better in the second half. The Yanks have an easy schedule in late July and early August and the team has gone 4-1 since returning from the break, after last night's 6-4 win. The Yanks have now won NINE of their last 12, averaging 7.2 RPG. Tonight New York faces Roy Halladay, who hasn't quite lived up to his billing as of late. Since returning from a three-week stint on the DL back on May 31, Halladay has allowed five ERs or more in FOUR of his nine starts. Over his last four, he's allowed 33 hits and 18 ERs in 23.2 innings for a 6.85 ERA. While he's been OK at the Rogers Centre this year (3.74 ERA in nine starts), his road ERA is 5.79 in eight starts (seven overs and one push!). The Yanks have been excellent vs right-handers this year, averaging 5.8 RPG in 66 games, which includes an average of 6.4 RPG in 19 home games vs righties at night. The Yanks will send lefty Andy Pettitte to the mound and he's really been off these days. He's allowed 42 hits and 26 ERs over his last five starts (26 innings), for an ERA of 9.00. How does this game stay under? AL Total of the Month 20* Tor/NYY Over
Larry Ness' 15* NL Game of the Week (71-22 TY!)
Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness
Game: Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers Jul 17 2007 8:05PM
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers
Reason: The Brewers are sure feeling the heat from the Cubs but the team has "righted the ship" after heading into the All Star break off a 3-7 road trip. Milwaukee's 4-3 win last night makes them 3-1 since returning to play (all at home) and gives the Brewers an NL-best 33-14 home mark. At plus-$1,446 ($100/game), no team in MLB has been better to its backers than Milwaukee in its home park. Tonight's starter, Claudio Vargas, has also been a huge "moneymaker" in 2007. Milwaukee is 12-3 in his 15 starts this year and at plus-$974, he ranks third among starters in money won. That gaudy 12-3 mark includes a PERFECT 8-0 mark here at Miller Park. The D'backs' loss last night was their sixth straight on the road and their ninth in their last 10 games away from home. The team will turn to Yusmeiro Petit tonight and that's NOT encouraging. In 15 appearances (one start) last year for Florida, Petit allowed 46 hits and 28 ERs in 26.1 innings for a 9.57 ERA. He'll be making just his fourth appearance of '07 tonight (all starts) and while he's pitched better than last year (3.12 ERA), he's hardly the quality of pitcher the D'backs need in order to win here in Milwaukee. NL Game of the Week 15* Mil Brewers.
