Tuesday MLB (YTD: 74-60, +9.44)

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Oh boy!
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I've never seen so many games before with line movements. Almost every game. Hopefully I'll be able to pull out of my slump here.

All for listed pitchers. All risking 1 unit.

CWS +143 over Cle
Cin +128 over Atl
 

Oh boy!
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Hou -123 over Was
NYY -124 over Tor

I really like these the best out of the rest of the bets.

More later.
 

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We did WORSE than you last night! My partner has Stl +107, Col +109, Hou -119, Cin +129, Cws at +146, Nyy -118, and LAA -104. Will add SF at +136 or better and Det +118 or better. He says he'll pass on fading Peavy, after losing on Phi last night (fading the stud Penny). I have STL, Col, CWS, and SF. I bet NYM under 7 +120. All away teams! Good luck!
 

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Partner missed the Det peak, so will pass that game. This is unusual having all the steam on home favorites in baseball. the sharps usually pound the dogs. Things have changed since the All-Star break (and NOT for the better!).
 

Oh boy!
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We did WORSE than you last night! My partner has Stl +107, Col +109, Hou -119, Cin +129, Cws at +146, Nyy -118, and LAA -104. Will add SF at +136 or better and Det +118 or better. He says he'll pass on fading Peavy, after losing on Phi last night (fading the stud Penny). I have STL, Col, CWS, and SF. I bet NYM under 7 +120. All away teams! Good luck!

Let the good times roll!

I may stay away from the Mets as well for the same reason.

Good luck!
 

Oh boy!
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Partner missed the Det peak, so will pass that game. This is unusual having all the steam on home favorites in baseball. the sharps usually pound the dogs. Things have changed since the All-Star break (and NOT for the better!).

I noticed. I wondered why Det went from +121 to +105 in such a short time!

Notice also that NYY, StL, Hou, Cin and Col all got worse odds late after getting progressively better odds throughout the day. These are the games I'm going to be paying special attention to.
 

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Betting is a WAR between the books and the gamblers. The books adjust, and I fear they may have used the break to re-evaluate their opening line. Some opening lines (e.g., LAD, last night at -129) are clearly wrong. We took +170 and the game was never close.
 

Oh boy!
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Betting is a WAR between the books and the gamblers. The books adjust, and I fear they may have used the break to re-evaluate their opening line. Some opening lines (e.g., LAD, last night at -129) are clearly wrong. We took +170 and the game was never close.

I agree tos. This happens every year it seems.

I'm staying away from SF. I have them opening at +116 and it's now +140 which is more than a 20-point swing. Good luck though if you decide to go that way.

:toast:
 

Oh boy!
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Seems I can't win for losing. I lay off SF because it was too large of a swing and they win. Then the White Sux give up a 2-run homer in the bottom of the 9th and go on to lose. Then I laid off the Phils against the Dodgers and laid off the Mets against the Padres and both of those teams might win. I would have been 8-2 and +7.60 had I played all those and the White Sux won.

:discuss:

Today: 4-3, +0.96
YTD: 74-63, +10.40
 

Oh boy!
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OK, I've calmed down a little bit now. I should have realized I got lucky with the Yanks having the tying run balked in during the bottom of the 9th and Cin held off Atl to win by 1 run.

On another note, the teams that had increasingly favorable lines only to have the line go against them at the last minute were 4-1 (as mentioned above) with the StL being the only loser. Yesterday, there was only one of these games (StL) and that bet won. Since the All Star Game such teams have gone 7-2.
 

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We missed out on two big winners, Det and NYM. When there is takeback, it usually indicates that some sharp big money is also fading the steam. To do this right you have to monitor the lines 8 hours a day! My partner does that, but he got greedy on the Det game, and missed the peak due to the big correction. Lots of luck in all sports, and that is one reason why 2-5 % ROI is about the best that you can do in the long run (there WILL be losing streaks). As for tough losses and lucky wins, you are correct that everyone tends to remember unlucky losses (like my SD under 7, OK, a tie) while taking lucky wins for granted. It evens out in the long run!
 

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