If you want the Yankees today, lay the 1.5

Journeyman · Jul 19, 2007

All of Wang's wins(say that 5 times fast) have all been by more than 1 run (11-0)

When McGowan starts and Toronto loses they have lost 5/6 by more than a run.

16-1 in this scenario.

:thumbsup:

There is just one way to play NY today and that is laying the 1.5

The_Man · Jul 19, 2007

jays in the upset 6-5

Journeyman · Jul 19, 2007

The_Man said:
jays in the upset 6-5

D.N.A to your prediction...GL

HPark1 · Jul 19, 2007

Don't see value in the Yankees, Jays have self destructed to hand the Yankees the last couple games. Jays have been getting a ton of hits this series but are 3-30 with risp. McGowan has good stuff and is capable of containing the Yankees.

And short term stats mean donkey, Journey I expect better from you.

Journeyman · Jul 19, 2007

This isn't about value in NY.

If you want NY lay the 1.5, Wang's wins 11-0 they cover the 1.5 on the yr.

HPark1 · Jul 19, 2007

Journeyman said:
This isn't about value in NY.

If you want NY lay the 1.5, Wang's wins 11-0 they cover the 1.5 on the yr.

Unless you can provide a rational explanation as to why they win by 2+ with Wang on the mound the stat is meaningless. Just a short term anomaly.

SonnySixKill · Jul 19, 2007

1st inning and McGowan already in trouble, can he get out of this jam early.

Nevermind, 2-0 Stankees

PatrickMcIrish · Jul 19, 2007

Jman you got to be ready to come off the pine and start knocking some runs in around here. Just a hunch but you will tear it up this year once you start posting plays again......

Journeyman · Jul 19, 2007

HPark1 said:
Unless you can provide a rational explanation as to why they win by 2+ with Wang on the mound the stat is meaningless. Just a short term anomaly.

If you say so.:think2:

Journeyman · Jul 19, 2007

Patrick McIrish said:
Jman you got to be ready to come off the pine and start knocking some runs in around here. Just a hunch but you will tear it up this year once you start posting plays again......

I ve been of fire Pat, but don't really like posting because i spend half the time defending myself..

how's your season? :103631605

HPark1 · Jul 19, 2007

Journeyman said:
If you say so.:think2:

I don't understand why you think that statistic is meaningful. If there's no substance behind it then its just a fluke.

If I flip a coin (coin is perfectly fine/no variables here) and it lands on heads 16 times in a row do I pound heads on the 17th toss? Of course not.

Littledaddy · Jul 19, 2007

OMG. Can't somebody make a suggestion here without somebody jumping on there nuts like flys on shit.

TY for the info JM:aktion033

McCabe · Jul 19, 2007

HPark1 said:
I don't understand why you think that statistic is meaningful. If there's no substance behind it then its just a fluke.

If I flip a coin (coin is perfectly fine/no variables here) and it lands on heads 16 times in a row do I pound heads on the 17th toss? Of course not.

just read the part about it being a perfectly fine coin. No play for me on the coin flip. Carry on.

SonnySixKill · Jul 19, 2007

Journeyman, what other games are you on today

PatrickMcIrish · Jul 19, 2007

Journeyman said:
I ve been of fire Pat, but don't really like posting because i spend half the time defending myself..

how's your season?

Oh OK I hear ya, can't blame you for not posting if that is the case. Of course you could put them in the tracker forum without anyone being able to say anything. Just a thought, I value your opinion is why I mention it.

As for my season, nothing special, just hanging in there.

PatrickMcIrish · Jul 19, 2007

HPark1 said:
I don't understand why you think that statistic is meaningful. If there's no substance behind it then its just a fluke.

If I flip a coin (coin is perfectly fine/no variables here) and it lands on heads 16 times in a row do I pound heads on the 17th toss? Of course not.

HPark, I know what you are saying, not enough data to make any long-term conclusions, I don't disagree entirely. However comparing pitchers to coin flips is a little off base. Some guys pitch better when they get ahead, they get a lead and they relax, they start to trust their stuff more, perhaps they hold big leads better? Just a random example, not saying it is even true, but hard to dismiss this trend entirely without even trying to figure out if there could be some substance behind it. I agree, coins have no memory, players do however.

Journeyman · Jul 19, 2007

Okay first of all I like NY to win today, but I wasn't going to lay that kind of price...Wang is very capable of shutting out this Toronto team, the trend has been blowouts, I don't have time to or energy to defend my picks....

Journeyman · Jul 19, 2007

early card

Sonny SixKill said:
Journeyman, what other games are you on today

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="90%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=TrGameOdd><TD align=middle>Ticket #
Jul-19 1:05:00 PM</TD><TD>Internet/-1</TD><TD>Jul-19 12:28:23 PM</TD><TD>
MLB</TD><TD>STRAIGHT BET
[968] NYY -1½-125 ( D MCGOWAN -R / C WANG -R )</TD><TD>250/200</TD></TR><TR class=TrGameEven><TD align=middle>Ticket #
Jul-19 1:10:00 PM</TD><TD>Internet/-1</TD><TD>Jul-19 12:36:53 PM</TD><TD>
MLB</TD><TD>STRAIGHT BET
[970] MIN u9-115 ( BONDERMAN -R / S BAKER -R )</TD><TD>345/300</TD></TR><TR class=TrGameOdd><TD align=middle>Ticket #
Jul-19 2:05:00 PM</TD><TD>Internet/-1</TD><TD>Jul-19 12:46:48 PM</TD><TD>
MLB</TD><TD>STRAIGHT BET
[952] MIL u9-115 ( L HERNADEZ-R / Y GALLARDO-R )</TD><TD>345/300</TD></TR><TR class=TrGameEven><TD align=middle>Ticket #
Jul-19 1:10:00 PM</TD><TD>Internet/-1</TD><TD>Jul-19 12:53:51 PM</TD><TD>
MLB</TD><TD>STRAIGHT BET
[969] DET -127 ( ACTION )</TD><TD>381/300</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

HPark1 · Jul 19, 2007

Patrick McIrish said:
HPark, I know what you are saying, not enough data to make any long-term conclusions, I don't disagree entirely. However comparing pitchers to coin flips is a little off base. Some guys pitch better when they get ahead, they get a lead and they relax, they start to trust their stuff more, they more hold big leads better. Just a random example, not saying it is even true, but hard to dismiss this trend entirely without even trying to figure out if there could be some substance behind it.

I agree there could be something behind the numbers, as you mentioned some pitchers could be better frontrunners. However it would be important to investigate to see if possible factors for this trend are actually relevant.

My initial guess is the numbers are just a fluke. And there's no way I'm placing a wager just blindly following that stat.

Jlip9 · Jul 19, 2007

i rolled with yanks, tigers, angels this afternoon. GL to all

If you want the Yankees today, lay the 1.5

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