MistaFlava's 2007 MLB Record: 57-58 (-8.66 Units)
My record includes all the whacky plays I made this season and all the parlays and just about anything I posted. I am back to my old style of baseball capping and betting it seems to be paying off in some ways. I am going to try and keep things as simple as possible and I pretty already know I can turn my season around and end up in the plus side of things. Alright, lets get down to business.
----------------------------------------
Friday, July 20
Florida Marlins ML -140 (1 Unit)
I was this close to betting on the Marlins last night but boy am I glad I didnt touch those guys in an atrocious display of overall baseball. One night removed from that disaster, I think a lot of people are giving up on this team and the fact that 50.31% of wagerliners have picked the Reds instead tonight, is a clear reflection that my assumption is somewhere near correct. Well I don't have a problem betting on these guys in this spot because I trust Scott Olsen a lot more at home against than I trust Kyle Lohse on the road...that's for sure. Olsen is 5-2 at home this season with an ERA of 4.37 and a WHIP of 1.42 but the bottom line is he is getting the job done when they need him and I think he can do the same tonight. Olsen is 2-1 in his last three starts despite pitching only 11.2 innings and allowing 19 hits. Kyle Lohse has been on fire as of late allowing only 15 hits in 20.2 innings pitched in his last three starts but the betting public is probably putting a little too much into this. Two of those starts (the ones he won) were at home against pitiful offenses and why in the world would you bet on a guy who is 2-8 in 11 road starts this season with an ERA of 6.53 and WHIP of 1.56 away from home? I wouldn't. Give me the Marlins in a nice bounce back spot.
Toronto Blue Jays ML -109 (3 Units)
I don't consider myself a homer because I do fade the Jays once a in a while (a long while) but I do like to think I know my team better than some others do and I really like this spot tonight. The Jays have been heavily criticized in the local media for their lack of consistency over the years (only team in MLB that hasn't won six straight games since 1999) and just when you think they are making a run, they just shut things down and lose a few more games. Well a lot of people are fed up with it. After coming out of the All-Star break and having to play 7 games against the Red Sox and Yankees, the Jays are ready to return home and win where they are comfortable winning. Having beat the Yankees to avoid the sweep late yesterday afternoon, I think these guys carry a lot of momentum into tonight's game with youngster Jesse Litsch on the mound. Litsch should be confident too coming off his best start ever against the Red Sox where he went 6.2 innings allowing only 1 ER and winning 2-1. His last home start against the Yankees was a disaster but I think he can build on the win at Fenway and pitch like he did in his MLB debut. Miguel Batista returns to Toronto for the first time since his departure last year and he is pitching pretty well as of late. However, the Mariners have lost his last two road starts and there is too much value being put on a guy who has a 1.64 WHIP on the road and who has had problems pitching in night time games. Blue Jays for me!
Texas Rangers ML +122 (5 Units) ***PLAY OF THE NIGHT***
Yeah you heard it here first. I am fading the big bad Fausto Carmona because although he is one of the top pitchers in MLB baseball, this is not a daytime game and this is not at the Jake so if he's gonna lose a game, it's gonna be in Arlington. Anyone who watched that game last night knows how aggressive the Texas batters can be with or without Michael Young (who is out again tonigt). The Rangers got to CC Sabathia but it wasnt enough because their pitching was just as bad. Well on the mound tonight for the Rangers is Brandon McCarthy, who the books are overlooking big time. McCarthy does not have the best numbers in the world but he has been a victim of run-support shortage getting only 2.7 runs of support per game in his last three starts so it's only a matter of time before the bats come out and win one for him alone. Tonight could be the night and I say that because Texas managed 12 hits last night but still lost the game which means the bats are still red hot. Carmona has pitched a ton of daytime games this season and he loves it. In night time games he is 3-4 on the year in 9 starts with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.57. How many people, blind bettors, are aware of that anyways? McCarthy on the other hand is 3-1 career wise against the Indians and has given up only 2 HR's at home this season in 26.0 innings pitched which is good news against the Indians. It has been ages since the Indians strung together a set of wins and I wouldn't bank on them doing it tonight. McCarthy is being undervalued big time by the books because of his lack of run support while most people don't realize that Carmona has most of his wins during daytime games. GO RANGERS!
:toast:
My record includes all the whacky plays I made this season and all the parlays and just about anything I posted. I am back to my old style of baseball capping and betting it seems to be paying off in some ways. I am going to try and keep things as simple as possible and I pretty already know I can turn my season around and end up in the plus side of things. Alright, lets get down to business.
----------------------------------------
Friday, July 20
Florida Marlins ML -140 (1 Unit)
I was this close to betting on the Marlins last night but boy am I glad I didnt touch those guys in an atrocious display of overall baseball. One night removed from that disaster, I think a lot of people are giving up on this team and the fact that 50.31% of wagerliners have picked the Reds instead tonight, is a clear reflection that my assumption is somewhere near correct. Well I don't have a problem betting on these guys in this spot because I trust Scott Olsen a lot more at home against than I trust Kyle Lohse on the road...that's for sure. Olsen is 5-2 at home this season with an ERA of 4.37 and a WHIP of 1.42 but the bottom line is he is getting the job done when they need him and I think he can do the same tonight. Olsen is 2-1 in his last three starts despite pitching only 11.2 innings and allowing 19 hits. Kyle Lohse has been on fire as of late allowing only 15 hits in 20.2 innings pitched in his last three starts but the betting public is probably putting a little too much into this. Two of those starts (the ones he won) were at home against pitiful offenses and why in the world would you bet on a guy who is 2-8 in 11 road starts this season with an ERA of 6.53 and WHIP of 1.56 away from home? I wouldn't. Give me the Marlins in a nice bounce back spot.
Toronto Blue Jays ML -109 (3 Units)
I don't consider myself a homer because I do fade the Jays once a in a while (a long while) but I do like to think I know my team better than some others do and I really like this spot tonight. The Jays have been heavily criticized in the local media for their lack of consistency over the years (only team in MLB that hasn't won six straight games since 1999) and just when you think they are making a run, they just shut things down and lose a few more games. Well a lot of people are fed up with it. After coming out of the All-Star break and having to play 7 games against the Red Sox and Yankees, the Jays are ready to return home and win where they are comfortable winning. Having beat the Yankees to avoid the sweep late yesterday afternoon, I think these guys carry a lot of momentum into tonight's game with youngster Jesse Litsch on the mound. Litsch should be confident too coming off his best start ever against the Red Sox where he went 6.2 innings allowing only 1 ER and winning 2-1. His last home start against the Yankees was a disaster but I think he can build on the win at Fenway and pitch like he did in his MLB debut. Miguel Batista returns to Toronto for the first time since his departure last year and he is pitching pretty well as of late. However, the Mariners have lost his last two road starts and there is too much value being put on a guy who has a 1.64 WHIP on the road and who has had problems pitching in night time games. Blue Jays for me!
Texas Rangers ML +122 (5 Units) ***PLAY OF THE NIGHT***
Yeah you heard it here first. I am fading the big bad Fausto Carmona because although he is one of the top pitchers in MLB baseball, this is not a daytime game and this is not at the Jake so if he's gonna lose a game, it's gonna be in Arlington. Anyone who watched that game last night knows how aggressive the Texas batters can be with or without Michael Young (who is out again tonigt). The Rangers got to CC Sabathia but it wasnt enough because their pitching was just as bad. Well on the mound tonight for the Rangers is Brandon McCarthy, who the books are overlooking big time. McCarthy does not have the best numbers in the world but he has been a victim of run-support shortage getting only 2.7 runs of support per game in his last three starts so it's only a matter of time before the bats come out and win one for him alone. Tonight could be the night and I say that because Texas managed 12 hits last night but still lost the game which means the bats are still red hot. Carmona has pitched a ton of daytime games this season and he loves it. In night time games he is 3-4 on the year in 9 starts with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.57. How many people, blind bettors, are aware of that anyways? McCarthy on the other hand is 3-1 career wise against the Indians and has given up only 2 HR's at home this season in 26.0 innings pitched which is good news against the Indians. It has been ages since the Indians strung together a set of wins and I wouldn't bank on them doing it tonight. McCarthy is being undervalued big time by the books because of his lack of run support while most people don't realize that Carmona has most of his wins during daytime games. GO RANGERS!
:toast:
uppy:
