Bookie Buster Monday Service Plays 7/22

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Seattle (+105) at TEXAS

Tonight we will look for Seattle to snap a 2-game losing streak when they take on a Texas team that has lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Seattle is a nice 6-2 in this year's season series, and starter Horacio Ramirez owns an April win at Safeco over the Rangers.
Kevin Millwood will go for Texas, and the righty is just 4-3 at home this year with an ERA that is still over 6. Millwood is also 1-1 in 3 season starts against the M's, allowing 10 runs in 17 innings.
Seattle is still very much in the thick of things in the West Division, and we expect them to end their losing streak at 2 with the win tonight.

Play on the Mariners.

2♦ SEATTLE

Michael Alexander
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers

Pick: Texas w/ Millwood

The surprising Seattle Mariners roll into Texas tonight to take on the hapless Rangers. Seattle has been having a great year thus far and are in the hunt for the AL West title at 54-41 overall. The Mariners did have a tough weekend however as they lost two of three to the Toronto Blue Jays where they were shut out twice. The Seattle offense has struggled recently averaging only 3.4 runs per game and an anemic .229 hitting over their last seven ball games.

Texas on the other hand, is in the midst of a horrible season that sees them at the bottom of the AL West at 42-56 overall and 15 1/2 games in back of the Angels. While Texas is all but out of it, they have showed some life when at home this season scoring a respectable 5.0 runs per game on .265 hitting. They have been relatively successful scoring on the Mariners averaging 6.0 runs per game in the four contests this season.

Today's contest is all about the pitching matchup. Seattle sends left-hander, Haracio Ramirez, to toe the rubber. Ramirez has been terrible on the road where he is 0-2 with an out of sight 13.21 ERA. On the other hand, Texas sends a veteran right-hander, Kevin Millwood, to the hill. Millwood has had horrible run support this season as witnessed by his 1-1 mark over his last three and sparkling ERA of 1.42. Millwood has faced Seattle three times this season with Texas winning two of them.

SUPPORTING TRENDS: SEATTLE is 6-21 (-14.6 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. SEATTLE is 11-26 (-15.9 Units) against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. SEATTLE is 23-35 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Seattle is struggling at the plate right now and will be facing a formidable pitcher in Millwood. Texas has enough scoring ability to get to Ramirez. I'm taking Texas in this one

Mighty ! Quinn
Detroit Tigers

Alex Smart
Cincinnati Reds (-118)

Chris Capuano of the Brewers has been a sure fired disaster waiting to happen of late when he takes to the hill as the Brewers have lost his L/10 starts .The southpaw has also been his worst on the road, going just 2-4 starts while garnering a hefty 6 .44 ERA. His pitching opponent from the Reds Adam Harang (120-2,3.63) has been the most consistent hurler in his teams rotation this season, and has seen his team win 8 of his 9 starts against a winning team like the Brewers this season. Play on the Reds to bring home the cash

Hondo
July 23, 2007 -- Hondo can see why Al Gore III likes the J's so much. Toronto came through again for Mr. Aitch yesterday as they zipped past the Mariners to trim the deficit to 535 radatzes.

Tonight, go Westbrook, young man. Ten units on the Native Americans over the Bosawx

Big Al McMordie
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies

The Rockies must be saving all of their runs for lefthanded starter Jeff Francis. Colorado was embarassed in a four game series in Washington against the Nats in which they only won one game and were shut out in the final two games by identical 3-0 scores. None of these games featured Francis, which is obviously a good thing for the Nats. In his last three starts, Francis has an unsightly ERA of 7.41 but incredibly, the Rockies have won all three of these contests. That means there must be some pretty amazing run support! And in the start before that he put it all together and shut out Houston on the road over seven innings only giving up three hits in the process. In fact Colorado has now won nine of Francis' last eleven starts dating back to May 23. The same cannot be said for Padres veteran and future hall-of-famer Greg Maddux, who has really struggled, especially on the road where his record is 2-3 and his ERA and WHIP are a very un-Maddux-like 4.74 and 1.46 respectively. Maddux may finally be nearing the end of the line, but with San Diego obviously in a pennant race and without that much depth in their starting rotation, they will certainly take advantage of his veteran presence. Pitching isn't the problem for them anyway; what they really need is to get their bats going. Colorado is a sizzling 14-3 in its last 17 home games. Take the Rockies. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

Pick: Rockies

Vegas Experts
Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox
Monday, July 23rd, 8:10 P.M. EDT

Clubs have gone under 30 of the last 42 including 15-of-20 at this site. In addition, DETROIT is 72-45 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons, CHI WHITE SOX are 44-29 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons and BUEHRLE is 23-9 UNDER (+13.0 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Play on: Under

Marc Lawrence
Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians
Monday, July 23rd, 7:05 P.M. EST EST

Red Sox open a big series with the Tribe at the Jake knowing Cleveland right hander Jake Westbrook is in struggling current form with 9 walks and just 8 strikeouts in his last three starts. With Westbrook a poor 2nd half hurler, look for Boston to win for the 7th time in their last nine tries on this field here tonight.

Play on: Boston

Bobby Maxwell
Oakland (+135) at L.A. ANGELS

Oakland has lost nine of its last 11 overall and just went 2-4 in a six-game homestand against the Rangers and Orioles. The A's are pissed and now they face the Angels who they've beaten four of six times this year.
Chad Gaudin (8-5, 3.39 ERA) is starting for Oakland and he's dominated the Angels this season. On April 5 he gave up two runs on five hits in five innings of a 4-3 victory and then followed that on April 17 by limiting Los Angeles to on run on four hits in 7 2/3 innings of a 4-1 Oakland win.
It's Bartolo Colon (6-5, 6.38) for the Angels and he has been beaten up lately. His ERA is 9.00 in his last three starts and he's allowed 10 runs in his last two starts against the D'Rays and Yankees. Teams are hitting him hard.
Look for Oakland to wake up and come out swinging and scoring against Colon. Gaudin will give them a good efford and the A's will win this one.

3♦ OAKLAND

Michael Cannon
LA Dodgers (-110) at HOUSTON

Take the Dodgers for the road win over the Astros tonight.
Los Angeles has won four straight road games and they are 8-3 on the road since June 21. They are batting a collective .335 as a team during that stretch.
Chad Billingsley will get the start tonight and he's 6-0 with a 3.56 ERA this season. The Dodgers are 5-1 as a team in games started by Billingsley this year.
Chris Sampson will start for the Astros and he's 1-1 with a 6.27 ERA over his last three games. Houston won two of three from Pittsburgh over the weekend, but only scored six runs in the series.
If Houston struggled to score runs against the lowly Pirates, I don't like their chances tonight against the Dodgers.

Take the Dodgers for the road win.

4♦ LA DODGERS

Dave Cokin
Take "(970) TEX Rangers"

Seattle's offense is suddenly in hibernation following consecutive shutout losses at Toronto. The M's must now contend with Kevin Millwood, who's in the midst of a very nice run for the Rangers. Horacio Ramirez was okay in his first start off his most recent DL stint, but his K/IP ratio is ridiculously bad. Putting that many balls into play in Arlington is a recipe for anything but success. I'm going to take Texas to win the series opener.

Jim Feist
Take "(953) LA Dodgers"

The Dodgers Chad Billingsley has been very good since his return to the starting lineup after a stint in the pen. Billingsley is actually perfect on the season with a overall 6-0 mark and a 2-0 mark when he's started. His overall era is a nifty 3.56 and in two of his last four starts he's allowed NO earned runs. Chris Sampson starts for the Astros. Sampson has been a pretty solid pitcher for the Astros this season, though his era was much better in April and May then it has been in June and July. The bullpen edge here goes to the Dodgers who possess one of the best in the league. Billingsley has yet to lose a game and coupled with a good bullpen behind him we don't mind laying the very short price on the road. Take the Dodgers.

Monday Horse Racing Spot Picks

SPOT PLAYS

For Monday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Colonial Downs (2nd) Lady at the Helm, 8-1
(5th) Sugar Time, 4-1
Del Mar (2nd) Excessive Tale, 5-1
(4th) Hello Bolly, 3-1
Delaware Park (1st) Knockoff Firefly, 9-2
(6th) Yankee Pride, 6-1
Finger Lakes (3rd) Stage Three, 9-2
(6th) R.B.'s Agenda, 6-1
Fort Erie (5th) Shaker Raider, 7-2
(8th) Nidas, 6-1
Great Lakes Downs (6th) Magic Affirmation, 9-2
(8th) Jimmy Kool, 3-1
Mountaineer (4th) Cyber City Slew, 9-2
(7th) Sing City, 4-1
Philadelphia Park (8th) Judge's Case, 7-2
(10th) Star for Tina, 6-1
Prairie Meadows (3rd) Redhawk Ryde, 9-2
(5th) Robyn's Sharkey, 8-1
Suffolk Downs (7th) Sarai One, 7-2
(8th) Classic Acre, 8-1
Thistledown (7th) Texas, 7-2
(8th) Golden Powers, 5-1

TRACKMASTER RACE OF THE DAY
Today's Free Race: Delaware for Monday July 23, 2007

Delaware - Race #3 - Post: 1:39pm
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
Choice Plays:

#6 LUCINDA AND JANE (ML=2/1)

LUCINDA AND JANE - This equine has the speed, and no one may be able to keep up with her. Last time around the track was at Delaware in a race with a class figure of 80. Dropping drastically in class rating this time out puts her in a solid position right here in this race. Matz moves this filly to the main track today. Look for a solid chance of improvement from the most recent turf race. Is ranked number one in the field in earnings per race entered. A solid performance in today's race can add to that total.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 CARSONCITYROSE (ML=8/5), #4 TYCOON'S ECHO (ML=6/1), #7 PEGANN (ML=6/1)

CARSONCITYROSE - This questionable contender didn't go to the head of the pack and didn't close any ground in the stretch last time she ran. TYCOON'S ECHO - I'm prognosticating a less than stellar go of it out of her this time out. PEGANN - I'm foretelling a less than stellar go out of her in today's event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:


Have to go with #6 LUCINDA AND JANE on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:


6 with 1
__________________

MONDAY WISE OWL - DODGERS

MONDAY STRALEY GROUP - MARINERS OVER

George Smeader
MLB Boston vs. Cleveland []
Take Cleveland Indians
We will play on the moneyline at -130. The Indians stack up in our MLB system with a 6.0 rating. Our system is based on several years of experience, practice and fine tuning with solid year over year returns. Ratings are not multipliers on base unit betting. Our ratings system is on a 1-8 scale, but we will never release a play lower than a 5.9. Winning is our business and businss is good.

Rocco Spacamuro
50 Units Colorado -135

dave price
MLB Minnesota vs. Toronto []
Take Minnesota Twins
1 Unit on Minnesota -139 (listing Santana) Santana is a perfect 18-0 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. He is 38-3 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and 101-37 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher since 1997. Santana has been unbelievable on the road this season going 7-2 with an ERA of 1.85. Take the Twins behind their ace.

Brian Gabrielle

Take Tiger Woods (11-4), 1/6 unit: He’s going for three in a row at the Open, wife and child at home. I understand the distraction of the new father but Nick Faldo points out that he and others have won majors with newborns. And Tiger’s practical precision last year in Liverpool is likely to be aped by other would-be contenders who can’t play six-irons to birdie range like he can. Look for renewed focus after hosting in D.C. and his acute awareness of history, and the fact that the Royal Bank of Scotland routinely advertises Jack as the best major winner of all time. Take Sergio Garcia (34-1), 1/6 unit: What can you say. He should have already won a major, probably several. He’s got a bit of Mickelson in him on the aggressiveness front but the bigger weakness is putting. He’ll put it together one day, I imagine, and it may as well be in the Open, where he’s finished T5 the last two years. Take Graeme McDowell (101-1), 1/6 unit: He doesn’t play much in the states. After 15 starts on Tour last year he’s been pretty much full-time on the European Tour this year. He finished T11 in the Open in 2005 and is coming off a T11 at last week’s Scottish Open. He doesn’t do anything spectacularly well but he’s steady, finds greens and he’s a good putter. He’s worked for this week, according to his Web site: "Like last year, I had to go through 36-hole qualifying to make it to Carnoustie, but now I’m here and ready for whatever the course throws at me."

WUNDERDOG
DELAWARE PARK Race #FIVE (2:30 PM Eastern)


(# 4) SPICY BULL - Son of Holy Bull seems to be getting the hang of things little-by-little. Had a poor post two back and last out showed some more early interest against straight maidens. Trainer Matz thinks it's time for the money-run, so he drops him in for a tag and adds blinkers to his arsenal. Looks well set up for a top try.
(# 3) Fisherman's Duke - First pair of runs this year are almost the same figures he ended 2006 season. Has run very well in all grass starts, and probably is a bit unlucky to not have his picture taken by now. Up-close style fits this race, and he is a solid runner.
(#'s 2 and 5) Mass and Zozimus - Both of these runners have races that put them about 3-5 lengths from the top duo. They are must uses if playing exotic wagering, less on top and heavier underneath.

Locksmith Sports Picks <
Cleveland -127 (listing Westbrook)

Cleveland is 21-6 against the money line in home games against AL East opponents over the last 2 seasons and 30-10 against the money line in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. Boston is just 5-17 against the money line in road games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons. Westbrook is 3-1 against Boston in his career and has been very solid at home this season. Take the Tribe tonight.

PRICELESS

Minnesota -140 (listing Santana)

Santana is a perfect 18-0 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. He is 38-3 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and 101-37 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher since 1997. Santana has been unbelievable on the road this season going 7-2 with an ERA of 1.85. Take the Twins behind their ace.

MADDUX
Atlanta -125

Jimmy The Moose
Game: Florida Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks Jul 23 2007 9:40PM
Prediction: over
Reason: The Marlins have played the over in 4 straight. The over is a profitable 11-3-1 in Florida's last 15 games as the underdog. The over is 14-7 when Willis has been on the mound this season. In his last 11 road starts the over is a profitable 8-3. The over is 9-2-2 in Arizona's last 13 home games. In their last 7 home games vs. team's with losing records the over in 6-0-1. The over is also 7-2-3 in their last 12 games as the favorite. Davis has 3 career starts vs. the Marlins and 2 have played over the total. The over is 21-5 in the last 26 meetings between the clubs in Arizona. Play the over.

Ben Burns
Game: Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox Jul 23 2007 8:10PM
Prediction: under
Reason: Both tonight's southpaws are currently in fine form and this should be a pitcher's duel. Miller has been excellent lately as he has a 2.12 ERA his last three starts. He's also been great on the road, recording a 2.45 ERA in four starts. All four games stayed below the number. He'll face a White Sox team which averages only four runs vs. left-handers while hitting for a mere .231 batting average. Buehrle has been having a great season and has a stellar 2.91 ERA and 1.115 WHIP in 19 starts. Not surprisingly, the UNDER was a profitable 11-4-4 in those game. Buehrle has also been absolutely dominant of late. Indeed, he's got a 1.21 ERA his last three starts. Those three games all stayed well below the total with scores of 3-1, 2-0 and 5-1. Additionally, Buehrle has a stellar 2.89 ERA in 20 starts vs. the Tigers with the UNDER going a profitable 14-5-1. Consider a play on the UNDER

LARRY COOK

MLB Atlanta vs. San Francisco []
Take Atlanta Braves
3* on Atlanta -112 (Listing Smoltz) John Smoltz is having another great year for Atlanta with a 9-5 record to go along with just a 2.88 ERA. Matt Cain has been decent, but a 3-11 record can be attributed to the Giants not being able to accommodate Cain with any run support. Cain won’t be getting any support today either with Smoltz on the mound. The Giants are batting just .249 at home this season. The Braves are hitting .287 on the road. The Braves are 23-5 in Smoltz's last 28 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Giants are 0-8 in Cain's last 8 starts as an underdog. The Giants are 1-15 in Cain's last 16 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 Runs. Bet the Braves tonight.

INFO PLAYS
3* on Atlanta -112

(Listing Smoltz)


John Smoltz is having another great year for Atlanta with a 9-5 record to go along with just a 2.88 ERA. Matt Cain has been decent, but a 3-11 record can be attributed to the Giants not being able to accommodate Cain with any run support. Cain won’t be getting any support today either with Smoltz on the mound. The Giants are batting just .249 at home this season. The Braves are hitting .287 on the road. The Braves are 23-5 in Smoltz's last 28 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Giants are 0-8 in Cain's last 8 starts as an underdog. The Giants are 1-15 in Cain's last 16 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 Runs. Bet the Braves tonight.

 
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VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Boston (Lester) +120* over Cleveland (Westbrook)
L.A.Dodgers (Billingsley) -105** over Houston (Sampson)
Atlanta (Smoltz) -110* over San Francisco (Cain)


Ethan Law

968 KAN (+160) vs 967 NYY

Analysis: NYY: RHP Roger Clemens (2-4, 3.88 ERA) vs. KAN: LHP Odalis Perez (5-8, 5.84 ERA)

Well this is going to be a rather interesting pick for most of you especially considering that aside the stubble on Friday night, the Yankees are on fire! However, their 21 run performance yesterday is something to watch closely as clubs who usually put up those kinds of runs (in a single game) often struggle the next few days to generate offense. That fact is something interesting to consider, but not the basis for this selection. To be honest, I was a bit disappointed at seeing the opening number at just +$160, but I anticipate this line to climb throughout the day so you may want to actually wait and see how much the public drives this line up, and up an away it will go. From the public viewpoint, the mighty Yankees who scored 45 runs over the past three days are going to take on the lowly Royals. The Yankees will be sending on the of the greatest (if not the greatest) right-handed pitcher of all time, against a mediocre Odalis Perez! But that where I come in to take the analysis a bit further. Clemens does come into this contest with a rather impressive 3.88 ERA but his success has only come when he was pitching in the friendly confines of Yankee stadium. When he hits the road, he has been a disaster 0-3 -$485 with a whopping 7.56 ERA. Indeed, on the road Clemons averages 15.8 runners per base per nine innings pitched, and averages just over 5 innings pitched per road start. That means, of course that the horrible Yankee bullpen could decide this contest and the fact that Kansas Cities offense averages a respectable 4.7 runs per game against right-handers in home/night contests shows they are more then capable of putting up some runs in this contest. Meanwhile, his counterpart, Odalis Perez is no CY Young but he should nevertheless find success against a Yankee team that is horrific 1-11 -$1460 against left-handed pitching in away/night settings where their offense averages just 3.3 runs per game! Now normally when you see something incredible like that you look at the sample size, and considering the sample size is 12 games where in pretty good shape dont you think? This game almost caps as though the Royals should be favored, but the Yankee overvalue continues. Wait for the higher number and pray!

Verdict: New York 3, Kansas City 5
PLAY 1* UNIT ON KANSAS CITY +$160

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Dunkel Index

Today's MLB Picks

NY Yankees at Kansas City

The Royals are a dangerous team right now after taking two-out-of-three on the road against both Detroit and Boston. Throw in a home series against Seattle in early July and K.C. has gotten the best of three teams this month battling for the postseason. The Yankee bats are certainly sizzling after putting up 45 runs in the last three games against Tampa Bay. But starter Roger Clemens has been struggling on the road (0-3, 7.70 ERA) opening up an opportunity for the Royal bats to respond and give Odalis Perez much-needed cover. Kansas City looks too dangerous at home (+185) to pass up according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
<TABLE cellSpacing=4 cellPadding=4 width=537><TBODY><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>MONDAY, JULY 23
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST
</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 951-952: Milwaukee at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Capuano) 14.692; Cincinnati (Harang) 16.148
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-122); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-122); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 953-954: LA Dodgers at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 16.100; Houston (Sampson) 15.131
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-115); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 955-956: San Diego at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Maddux) 14.047; Colorado (Francis) 17.095
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 3; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-135); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-135); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 957-958: Florida at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Willis) 15.149; Arizona (Davis) 15.915
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-130); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 959-960: Atlanta at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Smoltz) 16.770; San Francisco (Cain) 15.284
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-125); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 961-962: Boston at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 17.211; Cleveland (Westbrook) 15.485
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-135); 11
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+135); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 963-964: Minnesota at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Santana) 15.959; Toronto (Marcum) 16.328
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+180); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 965-966: Detroit at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Miller) 17.863; White Sox (Buehrle) 15.666
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-118); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+118); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Clemens) 16.022; Kansas City (Perez) 17.503
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-185); 10
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+185); Over</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 969-970: Seattle at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Ramirez) 17.090; Texas (Millwood) 15.099
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+120); Under</TD></TR><TR><TD style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" width=521 height=17>Game 971-972: Oakland at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gaudin) 14.720; LA Angels (Colon) 16.013
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-140); Under</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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Brandon Lang

15 Dime

Tigers-miller Vs Buehrle

5 Dime

Reds- Capuano Vs Harang

Red Sox- Lester Vs Westbrook

5 Dime Parlay

Twins- Santana Vs Marcum

Angels- Gaudin Vs Colon

Free Pick- Rockies
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Michael Cannon Money Train
Monday's Plays:


20 Dime –

RED SOX (With Lester and Westbrook as listed pitchers)
Take the Red Sox as the road dog tonight over the Indians.
Jon Lester will get his first start of the season for the BoSox and I expect him to pick up where he left off last season, when he was 7-2 as a rookie before landing on the DL in late August.
Lester definitely has a tall task in front of him tonight, but I’ll take the Red Sox’ lineup against Cleveland starter Jake Westbrook all day long.
Westbrook is 1-5 with a 6.07 ERA this year, including 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA over his last three starts. He just hasn’t put it together this year, even after spending time on the disabled list.
Lester was one of the top left-handed pitching prospects in the league when he was called up last season, so it’s not like we’re getting a stiff tonight.
Take Boston as the road dog for the win.


10 Dime –

YANKEES -1 ½ RUN LINE (With Clemens and Perez as listed pitchers)
Take the Yankees on the run line tonight over the Royals.
I know Kansas City has been playing well, but New York looks like it’s getting ready to make a move in the AL East. The Yankees just got done pounding the Devil Rays, scoring an incredible 45 runs in the three final games, all wins.
Tonight they’ll get Roger Clemens and he’s done his part in trying to keep the Yankees in the race. The Rocket has allowed one run in four of his last six starts. He’s 24-7 with a 2.17 ERA in 39 career games against the Royals.
Odalis Perez will start for the Royals and he’s 5-8 with a 5.84 ERA this year. Over his last three games, the left-hander is 1-1 with a 7.47 ERA.
I expect the Yankees to keep pounding the ball tonight, while Clemens holds the Royals down.
Take the Yankees on the run line for the win.
 

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VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Boston (Lester) +120* over Cleveland (Westbrook)
L.A.Dodgers (Billingsley) -105** over Houston (Sampson)
Atlanta (Smoltz) -110* over San Francisco (Cain)
======================================== =============
Wise Owl Syndicate...Dodgers
======================================== =============
SCOTT SPREITZER
3* Angels

TOM STRYKER
3* Rangers/Mariners over
 

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EZ Winners

2 STAR: (954) HOUSTON (+$100) over LA Dodgers
(Listing Sampson only)
(Risking $200 to win $200)

2 STAR: (960) SAN FRANCISCO (+$101) over Atlanta
(Listing Cain only)
(Risking $200 to win $202)

2 STAR: (970) TEXAS (-$120) over Seattle
(Listing Millwood only)
(Risking $240 to win $200)

2 STAR: (971) OAKLAND (+$116) over LA Angels
(Action)
(Risking $200 to win $232)
 
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Raymond

monday
<HR style="COLOR: #d1d1d1" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->tigers best bet
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Larry Cook

10* NL Surefire on Cincinnati -117
(Listing Harang)

The Milwaukee Brewers are 1-10 in Chris Capuanos last 11 starts. Yet the Brewers are barely an underdog here. Aaron Harang has been unreal all season and he will shut down Milwaukee tonight. Harang is 10-2 with a 3.63 ERA on the year. Harang has just a 2.49 ERA in his last 3 starts while Capuano has an 8.22 ERA over his last 3 outings. The Reds are 14-3 in Harang's last 17 starts with 4 days of rest. The Reds are 6-0 in Harang's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Reds today.


7* MAJOR on Chicago White Sox -108
(Listing Buehrle)

Mark Buehrle is hands down the best starter on the White Sox staff. He has been dealing all season with just a 2.91 ERA in 130 innings of work. The White Sox are 21-7 in Buehrle's last 28 starts vs. American League Central. The White Sox are 53-25 in Buehrle's last 78 home starts. The White Sox are 7-1 in Buehrle's last 8 home starts vs. Tigers. The Tigers are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings in Chicago. The White Sox win this one behind the left arm of Buehrle. Bet Chicago.


7* MAJOR on Arizona -124
(Listing Davis)

Doug Davis has gotten his act together with just a 3.32 ERA over his last 3 starts for the Diamondbacks. Dontrelle Willis is going in the opposite direction for Florida. Willis is 0-2 with a 9.24 ERA over his last 3 starts. He just doesnt have the same command he did early in his career. The Marlins are 3-12 in Willis' last 15 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Davis' last 6 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Davis' last 5 starts as a home favorite. Bet Arizona.


3* on Atlanta -112
(Listing Smoltz)

John Smoltz is having another great year for Atlanta with a 9-5 record to go along with just a 2.88 ERA. Matt Cain has been decent, but a 3-11 record can be attributed to the Giants not being able to accommodate Cain with any run support. Cain wont be getting any support today either with Smoltz on the mound. The Giants are batting just .249 at home this season. The Braves are hitting .287 on the road. The Braves are 23-5 in Smoltz's last 28 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Giants are 0-8 in Cain's last 8 starts as an underdog. The Giants are 1-15 in Cain's last 16 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 Runs. Bet the Braves tonight.
 
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Ethan Law - 968 KAN (+160) vs 967 NYY
Analysis: NYY: RHP Roger Clemens (2-4, 3.88 ERA) vs. KAN: LHP Odalis Perez (5-8, 5.84 ERA)

Well this is going to be a rather interesting pick for most of you especially considering that aside the stubble on Friday night, the Yankees are on fire! However, their 21 run performance yesterday is something to watch closely as clubs who usually put up those kinds of runs (in a single game) often struggle the next few days to generate offense. That fact is something interesting to consider, but not the basis for this selection. To be honest, I was a bit disappointed at seeing the opening number at just +$160, but I anticipate this line to climb throughout the day so you may want to actually wait and see how much the public drives this line up, and up an away it will go. From the public viewpoint, the mighty Yankees who scored 45 runs over the past three days are going to take on the lowly Royals. The Yankees will be sending on the of the greatest (if not the greatest) right-handed pitcher of all time, against a mediocre Odalis Perez! But that where I come in to take the analysis a bit further. Clemens does come into this contest with a rather impressive 3.88 ERA but his success has only come when he was pitching in the friendly confines of Yankee stadium. When he hits the road, he has been a disaster 0-3 -$485 with a whopping 7.56 ERA. Indeed, on the road Clemons averages 15.8 runners per base per nine innings pitched, and averages just over 5 innings pitched per road start. That means, of course that the horrible Yankee bullpen could decide this contest and the fact that Kansas Cities offense averages a respectable 4.7 runs per game against right-handers in home/night contests shows they are more then capable of putting up some runs in this contest. Meanwhile, his counterpart, Odalis Perez is no CY Young but he should nevertheless find success against a Yankee team that is horrific 1-11 -$1460 against left-handed pitching in away/night settings where their offense averages just 3.3 runs per game! Now normally when you see something incredible like that you look at the sample size, and considering the sample size is 12 games where in pretty good shape dont you think? This game almost caps as though the Royals should be favored, but the Yankee overvalue continues. Wait for the higher number and pray!

Verdict: New York 3, Kansas City 5
PLAY 1* UNIT ON KANSAS CITY +$160

Mon, 07/23/07 - 8:11 PMEthan Law | MLB Money Line
965 DET (-103) vs 966 CWS
Analysis: DET: LHP Andrew Miller (5-3, 3.18 ERA) vs. CWS: LHP Mark Buehrle (7-5, 2.91 ERA)

On paper this looks like a very even match-up with two left-handed pitchers who happen to be the last two pitchers to throw a no-hitter. However, a look inside the numbers reveals that Detroit has a huge statistical and fundamental situational match-up advantage tonight. Detroit will send their young left-hander in Andrew Miller, who was dominate in has last outing against Minnesotas Johan Santana. Miller threw five innings of one-run ball for his second win in his last three starts and his 2.45 road ERA shows that he is just as comfortable pitching on the road then he is at home. Miller should find success against a White Sox club that comes into tonight just 10-19 -$1,055 against left-handed pitching in all settings where their offense is averaging just 4 runs per game. Meanwhile, the White Sox pitching staff was recently destroyed by the Red Sox over the weekend and they must now face MLB #1 ranked offense in runs, hits and extra-base hits. On a positive note for them, they will be sending their Ace in left-hander Mark Beuhrle. Of concern, Buehrle does possess an impressive 2.92 ERA in 21 career games against the Tigers marking his second lowest ERA against any team he has faced more than three times. However, Buehrle is pitching tonight in his least effective situational spot home/night contests where his ERA climbs to 3.79. Thats not good news when hes match-up against a Tigers club that has absolutely demolished left-handed pitching 21-7 +$1,515 where they are averaging a whopping 6.5 runs per game. Perhaps even more impressive is their 11-4 mark +$820 against left-handers when they hit the road for night contests. Buehrle could also be a bit flat when you consider that he was pitching for a big contract and now that he signed four-year, $56 million contract extension a flat effort is not out of the question. All things considered the Tigers look like the clear choice tonight.

Verdict: Detroit 6, Chicago 4
PLAY 1* UNIT ON DETROIT -$103

Mon, 07/23/07 - 7:07 PMEthan Law | MLB Money Line
964 TOR (+135) vs 963 MIN
Analysis: MIN: LHP Johan Santana (11-7, 2.65 ERA) vs. TOR: RHP Shaun Marcum (5-4, 3.73 ERA)

Does anything suck more in life then having to actually go against Johan Santana, especially knowing that your not getting better then 2-1 on your money? I cannot think of much but I have to be honestthis game is a bit of a handicappers dream. There is little to dispute that Santana is probably the dominate pitcher in baseball, but his offense has seemed to be asleep at the when he pitches as his seven losses have come primarily because his offense hadn't scored more than two runs. So going into this we know that the Minnesota offense seems to under perform when hes on the mound. We also have the benefit of knowing that Santana has struggled in 9 career appearances against the Blue Jays posting just a 2-3 record with a 4.15 ERA. All that sounds good an well for Toronto backers until we notice Santanas 0.82 ERA in road/night contests which to be honest scares the hell out of me. Nevertheless, what cannot be ignored is Torontos unbelievable 10-2 +$830 mark against left-handers in home night contests this season where their offense has averaged an impressive 5.5 runs per game. In contrast Minnesota comes into the Sky dome with a 9-11 mark against right-handers in away/night contests and they will face a pretty good one tonight in Shaun Marcum. Marcum will certainly look to continue the success of the Blue Jays pitching staff that hasn't allowed a run over its last 22 innings. Im sure this game will go under the posted total so lets hope the Blue Jays can score 3-4 to get the win.

Verdict: Minnesota 2, Toronto 4
PLAY 1* UNIT ON TORONTO +$135



SmokeYourBookie

FL


Mr. A's Comp Plays

Monday July 23rd, 2007, 8:10 PM EST.

Detroit Tigers (58-38) at Chicago White Sox (43-54)
(L) Andrew Miller (5-3) vs. (L) Mark Buehrle (7-5)


(L) Mark Buehrle


Chicago has won just three of their last 10 games, but have played well against the Tigers, winning13 of the last 20 and right-hander Buehrle is 11-7 with a 2.92 ERA in 20 starts and one relief appearance against the Tigers. Take the White Sox at U.S. Cellular Field. Chicago has won ten of the last 14 meetings against the Detroit at U.S. Cellular Field and is 7-1 in Buehrle's last 8 starts versus the Tigers in Chicago.


Oddsmakers:
Chicago as a -110 home favorite with the total listed at 9½ 'over'.

Chicago White Sox

Monday July 23rd, 2007, 8:10 PM EST.
New York Yankees (51-46) at Kansas City Royals (43-54)
(R) Roger Clemens (2-4) vs. (L) Odalis Perez (5-8)

The Yankees have won ten of the last 12 games versus Kansas City and right-hander Clemens is 9-0 with a 2.83 ERA in his last 10 starts versus the Royals, 24-7 with a 2.17 ERA in 39 career starts.

Oddsmakers:
Chicago as a -170 road favorite with the total listed at 10 'over'.

New York Yankees


PPod <HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Power Play of the Day

Chicago White Sox +100 (Buehrle) 8:00 eastern






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Black Widow

6* Widow Wiseguy AL Steal of the Day on Minnesota -139
(List Santana)

The Twins are 11-4 in their lat 15 meetings in Toronto. With Johan Santana on the mound, we love their chances to keep this trend going. The Twins are 38-13 in Santanas last 51 starts. Santana has only a 2.65 ERA on the season and has been the best second half pitcher in the league over the last 4 season. Santana has just 5 losses in the second half during this span. The Twins are 49-11 in Santana's last 60 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Blue Jays are 1-5 in Marcum's last 6 starts. Take Minnesota.


4* MAJOR on LA Dodgers -110
(List Billingsley)

Chad Billingsley has yet to lose this season and he wont struggle against a terrible Astros line-up. Billingsley is 6-0 on the year. We are getting awesome value on the Dodgers as just -110 favorites today. The Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Dodgers are 8-1 in Billingsley's last 9 starts with 4 days of rest. The Astros are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win. Take the Dodgers.


1* on Colorado -136
(List Francis)

The Rockies are 14-3 in their last 17 home games. They have been putting on a show over the last month for their home fans. Jeff Francis is 10-5 on the season. Greg Maddux in winless in his last 3 starts, largely due to a terrible 5.79 ERA and no run support from his teammates. The Padres are batting .242 on the season. The Rockies are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Rockies are 14-4 in Francis' last 18 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take Colorado at home tonight.
 

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Charliessports
mlb. <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:City w:st="on">milwaukee</st1:City> @ <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">cincinnati</st1:place></st1:City> under 9 runs (500*)

mlb. atlanta-115 (30*)

mlb. white sox+105 (20*)

mlb. <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">boston</st1:place></st1:City>+120(20*)

mlb. arizona-135 (10*)

mlb. dodgers-110 (10*) Bonus Play

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<o:p> </o:p>
AL Total

guaranteed Pick: Jimmy The Moose

Game: New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals Jul 23 2007 8:10PM
Prediction: over
Reason: The Yankees bats really came alive in the 4-game series vs. the D'Rays playing over the total 3 time. The Yankees scored a tptal of 46 runs in the 4 games. The over is 6-2-2 in <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">New York</st1:place></st1:State>'s last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record. In their last 9 games as the road favorite the over is 5-2-2. The Royals have played the over in 4 of their last 5 games. KC has played the over in 5 of their last 6 games vs. AL East opponents. The over is also 5-1 in their last 6 home games where they have been the underdog. The over is 5-0 in Perez's last 5 starts vs. AL East teams. The over is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings between the clubs. Play the over.<o:p></o:p>

<o:p> </o:p>
 
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CHICAGO SPORTS CONNECTION
UNDER 9....Detroit @ Chicago(AL)....8:11 EDT

Buehrle (Chicago) is really the only starter for Sox that you can depend on going 7-8 strong innings.
He has a 1.21 ERA in his L3 starts.
Great @ home...3.00 ERA...10BB/42K's.
Miller (Detroit) has a 2.12 in his L3

Both teams struggling at the plate....
DETROIT has scored 3 or less in 4 of L6
CHICAGO hasn't scored more than 5 in L6, and that was in hitter friendly parks.

15 of 20 Tiger/WSox games in Chicago have gone UNDER L3 years.
 

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