MistaFlava's 2007 MLB Record: 59-63 (-22.13 Units)
Enough is enough. Time to turn things around and start picking some winners. I screwed up pretty bad with the Padres this afternoon but will try to bounce back tonight with some strong one. Here we go:
Cleveland Indians -106 (3 Units)
I was on the Red Sox in Game 1, I was on the Indians in Game 2 and now I find myself on the Indians again for Game 3. So I am 1-1 betting in this series and with my personal rubber betting match on the line, I am going with the team that has been more consistent in this position all season long. I know it's tough to bet on a Cleveland team that is really struggling at the plate but it's not like the Red Sox were any better last night so I have no problems assuming that Tribe can get a few runs off Josh Beckett tonight. I am riding the Fausto Carmona money train as the team is 3-0 in his last three starts and he has been sensational to say the least allowing only 19 hits in 20.1 innings of work without giving up a single Home Run. I actually think the Red Sox perform a lot better without Big Papi who coincidentally has been out the last two games and the Sox have won, but he is back in the lineup tonight and I am happy about that. Keep in mind that Boston is only 3-7 in their last 10 games as the underdog and despite having won the last seven road games Beckett has started, are in a tough position tonight. Cleveland is 7-1 in Carmona's last eight home starts and he has been cash money all year at the Jake. Bank me on the offense getting kick started.
Josh Beckett Situation Rating: 0.78
Fausto Carmona Situation Rating: 3.89
Los Angeles Dodgers -149 (5 Units)
The Dodgers opened at a very shaddy price with Derek Lowe on the mound versus somewhat of a scrub for the Astros but as the line gets pounded more and more and as the line moves, I feel a lot better about backing them. Matthew Kip Albers is on the mound tonight for the Astros and Houston is 2-5 this year when he starts a game. They are 0-3 in his last three starts where he has an ERA of 11.68 and a WHIP of 2.19. Albers is just not getting the job done for this team and they have suffered with losses almost everytime he has been on the mound. The boys in blue send Derek Lowe to the mound tonight and he has been just terrible in his last three starts allowing 28 hits in 15.1 innings of work with an ERA of 7.63 and a WHIP of 2.35. That might explain why oddsmakers have completely given up on him and why we are getting a gift of a price. I remember Derek Lowe's only start in this park last year and it was a 6-2 win for the Dodgers. With Hunter Pence leaving somewhat of a hole in the Astros lineup, I think Lowe can have one of his best outings of the year. The Dodgers are 7-1 in the last eight games where Lowe has started as a short price favorite on the road. The Astros on the other hand have lost six straight coming off a win and I see that happening again tonight. Boys in blue for me.
Derek Lowe Situation Rating: 4.17
Matthew Kip Albers Situation Rating: 0.80
Arizona Diamondbacks -165 (10 Units) ***PLAY OF THE NIGHT***
I am not too good with PLAY OF THE NIGHT or larger unit plays but I feel really strongly about this one and I don't have a problem backing Webb at home against the Olsen and the Marlins. For those of you who didn't know, Olsen is coming off a very good start and win last week but he was arrested and involved in a car chase with Florida police after the game. He has been charged with DUI and is in a heap of trouble with the law once again. For the time being though he has had to go through all the media crap and now he is being asked to start on the road against a team that has already won the first two games of this series and that is now 29-20 in their home ballpark. Brandon Webb is the ace for the D-Backs and although the team has lost his last three starts, I think they are going to bring the bats out tonight to get him some support and get him back in the 'W' column. Webb has been very unlucky in those losses with 2.0 runs of run support per game in those three starts while still pitching well enough to keep the games close. My X-Factor for this game is the fact that Hanley Ramirez is still out. He is the leader on this team when it comes to getting on base and getting the first run on the board but without him they are without that lethal top of the order threat. Arizona should be able to take advantage of this. Webb and the D-Backs have somewhat struggled when he pitches but I think that all changes tonight and I think the bats come out to support their boy. After all, Arizona is 17-8 in Webb's last 25 home starts as a favorite and something has to give. Snake pit baby!
Scott Olsen Situation Rating: 0.53
Brandon Webb Situation Rating: 4.83
:thumbsup:
Enough is enough. Time to turn things around and start picking some winners. I screwed up pretty bad with the Padres this afternoon but will try to bounce back tonight with some strong one. Here we go:
Cleveland Indians -106 (3 Units)
I was on the Red Sox in Game 1, I was on the Indians in Game 2 and now I find myself on the Indians again for Game 3. So I am 1-1 betting in this series and with my personal rubber betting match on the line, I am going with the team that has been more consistent in this position all season long. I know it's tough to bet on a Cleveland team that is really struggling at the plate but it's not like the Red Sox were any better last night so I have no problems assuming that Tribe can get a few runs off Josh Beckett tonight. I am riding the Fausto Carmona money train as the team is 3-0 in his last three starts and he has been sensational to say the least allowing only 19 hits in 20.1 innings of work without giving up a single Home Run. I actually think the Red Sox perform a lot better without Big Papi who coincidentally has been out the last two games and the Sox have won, but he is back in the lineup tonight and I am happy about that. Keep in mind that Boston is only 3-7 in their last 10 games as the underdog and despite having won the last seven road games Beckett has started, are in a tough position tonight. Cleveland is 7-1 in Carmona's last eight home starts and he has been cash money all year at the Jake. Bank me on the offense getting kick started.
Josh Beckett Situation Rating: 0.78
Fausto Carmona Situation Rating: 3.89
Los Angeles Dodgers -149 (5 Units)
The Dodgers opened at a very shaddy price with Derek Lowe on the mound versus somewhat of a scrub for the Astros but as the line gets pounded more and more and as the line moves, I feel a lot better about backing them. Matthew Kip Albers is on the mound tonight for the Astros and Houston is 2-5 this year when he starts a game. They are 0-3 in his last three starts where he has an ERA of 11.68 and a WHIP of 2.19. Albers is just not getting the job done for this team and they have suffered with losses almost everytime he has been on the mound. The boys in blue send Derek Lowe to the mound tonight and he has been just terrible in his last three starts allowing 28 hits in 15.1 innings of work with an ERA of 7.63 and a WHIP of 2.35. That might explain why oddsmakers have completely given up on him and why we are getting a gift of a price. I remember Derek Lowe's only start in this park last year and it was a 6-2 win for the Dodgers. With Hunter Pence leaving somewhat of a hole in the Astros lineup, I think Lowe can have one of his best outings of the year. The Dodgers are 7-1 in the last eight games where Lowe has started as a short price favorite on the road. The Astros on the other hand have lost six straight coming off a win and I see that happening again tonight. Boys in blue for me.
Derek Lowe Situation Rating: 4.17
Matthew Kip Albers Situation Rating: 0.80
Arizona Diamondbacks -165 (10 Units) ***PLAY OF THE NIGHT***
I am not too good with PLAY OF THE NIGHT or larger unit plays but I feel really strongly about this one and I don't have a problem backing Webb at home against the Olsen and the Marlins. For those of you who didn't know, Olsen is coming off a very good start and win last week but he was arrested and involved in a car chase with Florida police after the game. He has been charged with DUI and is in a heap of trouble with the law once again. For the time being though he has had to go through all the media crap and now he is being asked to start on the road against a team that has already won the first two games of this series and that is now 29-20 in their home ballpark. Brandon Webb is the ace for the D-Backs and although the team has lost his last three starts, I think they are going to bring the bats out tonight to get him some support and get him back in the 'W' column. Webb has been very unlucky in those losses with 2.0 runs of run support per game in those three starts while still pitching well enough to keep the games close. My X-Factor for this game is the fact that Hanley Ramirez is still out. He is the leader on this team when it comes to getting on base and getting the first run on the board but without him they are without that lethal top of the order threat. Arizona should be able to take advantage of this. Webb and the D-Backs have somewhat struggled when he pitches but I think that all changes tonight and I think the bats come out to support their boy. After all, Arizona is 17-8 in Webb's last 25 home starts as a favorite and something has to give. Snake pit baby!
Scott Olsen Situation Rating: 0.53
Brandon Webb Situation Rating: 4.83
:thumbsup:
