This is a must-have for the NFL season. Just got mine yesterday.
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/book.php
PRO FOOTBALL PROSPECTUS 2007
Pro Football Prospectus 2007 is now available for pre-order from online sites like Amazon.com and Barnes & Noble. Buy your copy today! (Plus, purchase through our links to Amazon or Barnes and Noble to give us extra financial support.)
****** <table class="stats" align="right" border="2"><tbody><tr><td>
</td></tr><tr><td align="center">Click cover for larger view.</td></tr></tbody></table> ****** For the over 14 million people who play fantasy football every year; for the hardcore fan who wants information beyond sports page recaps; for everyone who bets on the NFL; and for the smart, casual enthusiast looking for entertainment and insight comes the essential preseason annual. With numerous statistical measures that go far beyond standard NFL stats, Pro Football Prospectus gives NFL fans the kind of sabermetric-like statistical analysis that revolutionized the fan's understanding of baseball. And like its sister publication, Baseball Prospectus, it's written with a knowing dry wit that gets under the skin of America's most popular spectator sport.
"Essential reading for fans who want more than cliches -- Pro Football Prospectus tells you not just who will win, but why." -- Ron Jaworski, ESPN Monday Night Football.
The New York Times Magazine compared Aaron Schatz to Bill James, the legendary guru of baseball statistics. Schatz and his team at FootballOutsiders.com are revolutionizing our understanding of professional football with their own collection of advanced and revelatory statistics as well as the results of the Football Outsiders game charting project, which has broken down the last two seasons of NFL games far beyond what is available in the official play-by-play.
Over the past three seasons, Football Outsiders has correctly predicted more NFL playoff teams than any expert from ESPN, Sports Illustrated, or the numerous preseason magazines available on the newsstand. Last year's book predicted that LaDainian Tomlinson would set a career high in touchdowns, that Frank Gore would break out in San Francisco while Edgerrin James barely reached 1,000 yards in Arizona, and that Philip Rivers would become a superstar while Drew Bledsoe and Brad Johnson were done as viable starting quarterbacks.
"Like most football fans, the more football I watch, the more I realize I don't understand about 80 percent of what's going on. Pro Football Prospectus is what I pick up to decipher all the madness. It's a kick to read, too; these guys know their football, but they also know that, after all, this game is supposed to be fun."-- Will Leitch, editor of Deadspin.com.
Inside Pro Football Prospectus 2007
<center><table class="stats" align="center" width="80%"><tbody><tr align="center"><td>
</td><td>
</td></tr> <tr align="center"><td>Order from Amazon.com</td><td>Order from Barnes & Noble</td></tr></tbody></table></center> New and Improved for 2007
Groundbreaking Research on:
Analysis of the Game Off the Field
Vital Stats
Publisher: Plume
528 pages, available July 23, 2007
Cover Price: $19.95 (discounted at online booksellers)
ISBN-10: 0452288479
ISBN-13: 978-0452288478
Authors: Aaron Schatz with Ben Alamar, Jim Armstrong, Bill Barnwell, Maury Brown, Alex Carnevale, Will Carroll, Doug Farrar, Vin Gauri, Tim Gerheim, Shawn Krest, Russell Levine, David Lewin, Ned Macey, Jason McKinley, Bill Moore, Michael David Smith, Mike Tanier, and Ryan Wilson
Pro Football Prospectus 2007 Tour
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/book.php
PRO FOOTBALL PROSPECTUS 2007
Pro Football Prospectus 2007 is now available for pre-order from online sites like Amazon.com and Barnes & Noble. Buy your copy today! (Plus, purchase through our links to Amazon or Barnes and Noble to give us extra financial support.)
****** <table class="stats" align="right" border="2"><tbody><tr><td>
</td></tr><tr><td align="center">Click cover for larger view.</td></tr></tbody></table> ****** For the over 14 million people who play fantasy football every year; for the hardcore fan who wants information beyond sports page recaps; for everyone who bets on the NFL; and for the smart, casual enthusiast looking for entertainment and insight comes the essential preseason annual. With numerous statistical measures that go far beyond standard NFL stats, Pro Football Prospectus gives NFL fans the kind of sabermetric-like statistical analysis that revolutionized the fan's understanding of baseball. And like its sister publication, Baseball Prospectus, it's written with a knowing dry wit that gets under the skin of America's most popular spectator sport."Essential reading for fans who want more than cliches -- Pro Football Prospectus tells you not just who will win, but why." -- Ron Jaworski, ESPN Monday Night Football.
The New York Times Magazine compared Aaron Schatz to Bill James, the legendary guru of baseball statistics. Schatz and his team at FootballOutsiders.com are revolutionizing our understanding of professional football with their own collection of advanced and revelatory statistics as well as the results of the Football Outsiders game charting project, which has broken down the last two seasons of NFL games far beyond what is available in the official play-by-play.
Over the past three seasons, Football Outsiders has correctly predicted more NFL playoff teams than any expert from ESPN, Sports Illustrated, or the numerous preseason magazines available on the newsstand. Last year's book predicted that LaDainian Tomlinson would set a career high in touchdowns, that Frank Gore would break out in San Francisco while Edgerrin James barely reached 1,000 yards in Arizona, and that Philip Rivers would become a superstar while Drew Bledsoe and Brad Johnson were done as viable starting quarterbacks.
"Like most football fans, the more football I watch, the more I realize I don't understand about 80 percent of what's going on. Pro Football Prospectus is what I pick up to decipher all the madness. It's a kick to read, too; these guys know their football, but they also know that, after all, this game is supposed to be fun."-- Will Leitch, editor of Deadspin.com.
Inside Pro Football Prospectus 2007
- Groundbreaking team and player DVOA ratings that correct for situation and opponent to reveal which offenses and defenses are truly superior, and which players really help win games.
- Exclusive data from the Football Outsiders game charting project, unavailable in standard NFL stats, tells you which receivers run the longest patterns on both complete and incomplete passes; which quarterbacks benefit the most from yards after catch; which teams most often blitz or run specific offensive formations; and which defensive backs stop the other team's passing game, measured by pass coverage on every single play rather than just tackles.
- Extensive coverage of all 32 teams with week-by-week stats from the 2006 season, five-year performance trends, and analysis of off-season personnel changes., historical trends, age, and more.
- Exclusive 2007 predictions that give the odds on each team as a Super Bowl contender ... or a contender for the top pick in the 2008 draft.
- 2007 fantasy football projections for more than 500 skill position players based on the KUBIAK forecasting system.
<center><table class="stats" align="center" width="80%"><tbody><tr align="center"><td>
</td><td>
</td></tr> <tr align="center"><td>Order from Amazon.com</td><td>Order from Barnes & Noble</td></tr></tbody></table></center> New and Improved for 2007- The first-ever Pro Football Prospectus Top 25 Prospects list, focusing on the most talented young lower-round draft picks who are not yet NFL starters.
- KUBIAK projections grade each player for fantasy football risk in one of four categories: Red, Yellow, Green, or Peyton Manning.
- General improvements to team projection system and KUBIAK player projections based on variables including team pace and coaching trends.
- Significantly improved projections for tight ends and kickers.
- Quarterback hits and hurries for every defensive lineman and linebacker.
- Pass coverage stats from game charting now better account for zone coverage and are more reliable for linebackers.
- "Hidden" special teams numbers reveal which teams succeed or fail based on opposing kickers over whom they have no control.
- Expanded comments on strategic tendencies analyze the best and worst teams on draws or screens, on play-action passes, or when lined up in various formations. Learn which 2007 offense had the slowest pace of the past decade, which veteran fullback saw his blocking abilities disintegrate, which defense was responsible for 25 percent of the NFL's intentional grounding penalties, and the shocking identity of the NFL quarterback who plays best when hurried by the pass rush.
Groundbreaking Research on:
- the greatest running back seasons in NFL history, inspired by LaDainian Tomlinson's record-setting 2006 season;
- whether "Bend but not Break" defenses, fantasy football's "rookie wall," and "trap games" truly exist;
- optimal play-action strategy, based on the game charting data;
- the shotgun formation vs. standard formations;
- the disappearing two-point conversion;
- accounting for matchups in building your weekly fantasy football lineup;
- running backs who improve with consecutive carries;
- offensive line continuity;
- New England's problem with defensive back injuries;
- why Norv Turner is one of the worst head coaches in NFL history;
- Plus: updates to past research including David Lewin's college quarterback projection system, Bill Barnwell's breakdown of what helps teams win in the postseason, and Aaron Schatz's analysis on the inconsistency of field-goal percentage.
Analysis of the Game Off the Field
- Will Carroll on why the answer to the NFL's concussion problem is treatment, not prevention.
- Maury Brown on the league's business moves over the past 12 months.
- Doug Farrar on the decisions made by the Competition Committee in 2006 and how they affected play on the field.
- Vin Gauri and Russell Levine on the 2007 college football season.
- Ned Macey on how historical changes in the game confuse the Hall of Fame balloting for wide receivers.
Vital Stats
Publisher: Plume
528 pages, available July 23, 2007
Cover Price: $19.95 (discounted at online booksellers)
ISBN-10: 0452288479
ISBN-13: 978-0452288478
Authors: Aaron Schatz with Ben Alamar, Jim Armstrong, Bill Barnwell, Maury Brown, Alex Carnevale, Will Carroll, Doug Farrar, Vin Gauri, Tim Gerheim, Shawn Krest, Russell Levine, David Lewin, Ned Macey, Jason McKinley, Bill Moore, Michael David Smith, Mike Tanier, and Ryan Wilson
Pro Football Prospectus 2007 Tour
- August 14: Washington DC, Politics and Prose, 7pm
- August 15: Boston, Northeastern University Bookstore, details to come
- September 5: Chicago, DePaul University Bookstore, details to come
- September 7: Seattle, Third Place Books, details to come
- Date undecided: Buffalo, SUNY Buffalo Bookstore
- Still possible: Columbia bookstore New York City, something in Indianapolis before the opening game on September 6
