July 28th

BoxingGuy · Jul 29, 2007

16-18
+$30

After a wonderful 10-2 streak on Thursday and Friday, I shit the bed going 1-6 and losing $812 yesterday. I would like to apologize to anyone that came into my thread and had to experience the dusgusting performance that I put out. If it was not for a wonderful late-inning win by the Giants I would have gone 0-7. I am only letting you guys know this for fading purposes. I thought I had a good grip on what was going on in the National League Central, but today makes me realize that this baseball thing is quite difficult after all. Enough of the bitching, and time to move on to Sunday.

Boston Under 9 -110 ($110)

More plays to come tommorow, I just wanted to get on this one before I dropped down to 8.5. Good luck to everyone tommorow.

:aktion033

BoxingGuy · Jul 29, 2007

Cubs -1.5 +105 ($100)

There is no streakier team in the league, and it appears as if the Cubs bats begun to swing a little bit on Saturday. Soriano hits in bunches, and I would expect his bat to continue to sizzle against a very suspect Matt Belisle. Over Belisle's last 3 starts he has posted a WHIP of almost 2, and struggled to keep his ERA under 6. To let you know how bad it as been of late, that 3 game span even includes his best outing fo the season against the Mets. Belisles number only get uglier as you continue to look through. At home he is 1-6 with a 6.22 ERA. During the day he is 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA. The numbers arnt very impressive no matter how you look at them.

The numbers on Zambrano are quite opposite, as he hasnt lost a start since July 8th and is 8-2 in his last 10 decisions. Zambrano is a very emotional pitcher, and much of the time he gets himself in trouble is when he becomes too animated and loses his control on the mound. These are times when his control issue was flare up and he will put himself into a bad postion. However, on the road Carlos seems to have much better control over himself He is 8-2 and has an ERA in the low 3s.

The issue on backing the Cubs in this spot tommorow is that the powerful Reds bats have not woken in this series. Zambrano will challenge Griffey, Dunn, and Phillips all day long. I would imagine he will give up a HR or two also. As long as he makes sure these come when there are no runners on then the Chicago Cubs should be able to outslug the Reds by more than a couple. Griffey owns Z-man over their careers hitting at a .429 clip, but the other Reds have faired very poorly against the big right-hander.

Zambrano struggled against the Reds in his first start of the season and surrendered 2 HRs too Adam Dunn in that game. While it may appear to be a major factor, I will play the laws of percentages on this not happening against to Carlos. He struggled for the first couple of months in trying to get his pitches down, and he seems to have fixed that problem for the time being. Dunn has 6 HRs in his 42 career ABs. I do not think that Zambrano will allow Dunn to beat him.

While the Reds bats are no fun to deal with at home during the day, I think Zambrano should supply the Cubs with a nice outing tommorow. Add in the fact the Cubs bullpen should be pretty rested with Howry, Ohman, and Wuertz not working Saturday (Marmol is still throwing waaayyyy too much). It will be nice for the Cubs to get Ramirez back in the line-up, and I would imagine that after closing to 1.5 games on the Brewers, Pinella will play the full line-up. The Cubs go home after this game, and you have to imagine Pinella will pull out all the stops trying to get that last win on the trip.

:aktion033

DuffleBagRan · Jul 29, 2007

love the write ups bro

DuffleBagRan · Jul 29, 2007

thinking of taking cubs reds over 9

BoxingGuy · Jul 29, 2007

Giants -110 ($110)

BoxingGuy · Jul 29, 2007

That might be a great play for you Ran. I dont know what your book is offering, but the Cubs team total is probably a nice play.

BoxingGuy · Jul 29, 2007

Angels U 10 -135 & Atlanta -140 ($50 to win $100)

BoxingGuy · Jul 29, 2007

2-2
+$45

July 28th

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